Washington at Oregon State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington Huskies at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Oregon State -1.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 22 - Oregon State: 20 (Pac-12)

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST 2nd straight Home Game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
WASH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington -1.5 (SP+ WASH -4)
Projected Score: WASH: 29 - ORST: 27 (56)
ORST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WASH Travel: 219 miles

Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Oregon State at San José State	-14.0	56.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon State vs UC Davis	-24.0	57.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon State vs San Diego State	-24.5	48.5	W 26 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oregon State at Washington State	-3.0	58.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	Oregon State vs Utah	-4.0	43.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Oregon State at California	-7.5	51.0	W 52 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Oregon State vs UCLA	-3.5	53.5	W 36 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Oregon State at Arizona	-3.0	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Oregon State at Colorado	-13.0	60.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oregon State vs Stanford	-21.5	51.5	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oregon State vs Washington	-1.5	62.5	L 20 - 22	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oregon State at Oregon	+14.0	61.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/29	Oregon State vs Notre Dame	+5.5	40.5	L 8 - 40	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.37	52%	34.1	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	18.7	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1
ORST	.25	48%	17.6	51%	3.42	196	46%	200	4.47	.1	39%	29.4	44%	36%	3.09	54.7	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	34.1	29.6	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37
ORST Defense	13	29.4	25.3	38.8%	3.09	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	44%	36%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	18.7	19	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24
ORST Offense	13	17.6	21.7	48.5%	4.47	1.4	22	396	196	200	4.9	59%	40%	51%	46%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2
Oregon State	13	31:57	22.2	44%	70%	6	54.7	1.4	1.6	4.9	1.6	4	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08
ORST Defense	13	42%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	78%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9
ORST Offense	13	59%	51%	40.2	196.5	4.9	36	.23	3.42	78%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9
ORST Defense	13	57%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.4	35%	28%	.27	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1
ORST Offense	13	40%	46%	15.5	24.8	199.5	8	12.9	16	13	.36	1.6	27%	33%	.36	5%	1.9

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 751.12 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 Oregon State: 15.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 Oregon State: 14.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 15.53 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 653.16 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 29
Oregon State 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Oregon State	20	Washington	22	Oregon State -1.5	Washington	62.5	Under
2022	11/04	Washington	24	Oregon State	21	Washington -4.5	Oregon State	53.5	Under
2021	10/02	Oregon State	27	Washington	24	Oregon State -2.5	Oregon State	57.5	Under
2020	11/14	Washington	27	Oregon State	21	Washington -13.5	Oregon State	51.0	Under
2019	11/08	Oregon State	7	Washington	19	Washington -10.5	Washington	65.0	Under
2018	11/17	Washington	42	Oregon State	23	Washington -32.5	Oregon State	57.5	Over
2017	09/30	Oregon State	7	Washington	42	Washington -27.5	Washington	59.5	Under
2016	10/22	Washington	41	Oregon State	17	Washington -31.5	Oregon State	53.0	Over
2015	11/21	Oregon State	7	Washington	52	Washington -16	Washington	48.0	Over
2014	11/22	Washington	37	Oregon State	13	Washington -4	Washington	0
2013	11/23	Oregon State	27	Washington	69	Washington -1.5	Washington	0
2012	10/27	Washington	20	Oregon State	17
2011	11/19	Oregon State	38	Washington	21
2010	10/16	Washington	35	Oregon State	34
2009	11/14	Oregon State	48	Washington	21
2008	10/18	Washington	13	Oregon State	34
2007	11/10	Oregon State	29	Washington	23
2006	10/14	Washington	17	Oregon State	27
2005	11/05	Washington	10	Oregon State	18
2004	10/16	Washington	14	Oregon State	29
2003	10/18	Oregon State	17	Washington	38
2002	11/09	Washington	41	Oregon State	29
2001	11/10	Oregon State	49	Washington	24
2000	10/06	Washington	33	Oregon State	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	9	5	3 Overs
Washington	15	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 14	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2

(#12) WASH at (#17) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#12	#17
SP+SP+	#11	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#19
OffenseOff	#4	#12
DefenseDef	#42	#58
Spec TeamsST	#15	#57
TalentTal	#26	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	#23	#66

Washington Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#58
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#5	#39
SP+SP+	#4	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#39	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#10	#52
SP+SP+	#22	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#29	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#95	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Oregon State -1.5 (62.5)
Washington won at Oregon State this year (22-20)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Oregon State in 2023 (22-20)

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	180	315	57%	2638	21	7	8.4
Aidan Chiles	24	35	69%	309	4	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Martinez	194	1185	9	6.1	64
Deshaun Fenwick	96	515	5	5.4	38
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	68	219	6	3.2	26
Silas Bolden	9	84	2	9.3	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Silas Bolden	54	746	5	13.8	50
Anthony Gould	44	718	2	16.3	75
Jack Velling	29	438	8	15.1	41
Jesiah Irish	18	302	1	16.8	38

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	106	7	2	3	0
Kitan Oladapo	73	3	1	1	7
Akili Arnold	62	2	1	2	6
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.	28	10	10	4	2
John McCartan	47	9	5	4	2
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0
Joe Golden	42	4	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Robinson	33	1	1	0	8
Ryan Cooper Jr.	37	2	1	1	7
Jermod McCoy	31	1	0	1	7