Tulsa at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Washington Huskies

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Washington -34 (66.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 43 - Tulsa: 10

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (18 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -30.5 (SP+ WASH -33)
Projected Score: TLSA: 16 - WASH: 47 (63)
WASH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
TLSA Travel: 1560 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	23.4	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	33.8	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	36	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	24.8	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	23.4	18.3	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18
WASH Defense	15	24.8	21.4	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	33.8	32.8	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29
WASH Offense	15	36	38.3	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35 Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 47
Tulsa 16

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 37
Tulsa 27

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Washington 35
Tulsa 22

Total Points: 57

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Washington	43	Tulsa	10	Washington -34	Tulsa	66.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	1	0	0 Overs
Tulsa	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#111) TLSA at (#12) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	WASH
Power RatePwr	#111	#12
SP+SP+	#115	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#13
OffenseOff	#51	#4
DefenseDef	#124	#42
Spec TeamsST	#133	#15
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#23

Tulsa Injury Report

Washington Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	#42
SuccessSuc	#83	#99
ExplosiveExp	#77	#20
PPAPPA	#77	#72
PowerPwr	#70	#52
SP+SP+	#100	#45
Pts POPPO	#34	#80
HavocHav	#87	#89

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#63	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#127
Run ExplRExp	#120	#66
PPAExp	#96	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#130
TackleTak	-	#109

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#7
PPAExp	#37	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#50	#27
F7 HavocF7	#87	#126
DB HavocDB	#73	#12

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#4	#124
SuccessSuc	#4	#96
ExplosiveExp	#81	#123
PPAPPA	#7	#120
PowerPwr	#5	#105
SP+SP+	#4	#117
Pts POPPO	#12	#82
HavocHav	#13	#108

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#39	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#67
Run ExplRExp	#90	#115
PPAExp	#10	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#89
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#69
TackleTak	-	#132

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#100
PPAExp	#11	#124
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#18
F7 HavocF7	#18	#74
DB HavocDB	#36	#113

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Washington -34.0 (66.5)
Washington won vs Tulsa this year (43-10)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Tulsa in 2023 (43-10)

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cardell Williams	79	132	60%	1149	10	7	8.7
Kirk Francis	68	121	56%	967	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	197	889	4	4.5	46
Bill Jackson	91	414	1	4.5	38
Jordan Ford	78	294	1	3.8	22
Cardell Williams	57	200	5	3.5	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	47	727	6	15.5	51
Carl Chester	22	401	1	18.2	57
Devan Williams	29	399	2	13.8	42
Marquis Shoulders	16	283	5	17.7	80

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)	131	4	0	1	1
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Dayne Hodge	56	2	0	0	0
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0
Owen Ostroski	31	10	4	3	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Mitchell Kulkin	39	3	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaise Oliver	48	2	6
Xavier Lanier	15	0	4
Nunu Campbell	23	0	3

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6