Washington at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Washington -27.5 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 42 - Stanford: 33 (Pac-12)

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -27.5 (SP+ WASH -31)
Projected Score: WASH: 42 - STAN: 15 (52)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
WASH Travel: 706 miles

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Stanford's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Stanford at Hawai'i	-2.0	54.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Stanford at USC	+28.5	70.5	L 10 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/16	Stanford vs Sacramento State	-7.0	60.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Stanford vs Arizona	+13.0	60.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Stanford vs Oregon	+27.0	59.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Stanford at Colorado	+13.0	59.0	W 46 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Stanford vs UCLA	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Stanford vs Washington	+27.5	62.0	L 33 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Stanford at Washington State	+13.0	59.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Stanford at Oregon State	+21.5	51.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/18	Stanford vs California	+6.5	52.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+26.0	50.5	L 23 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.37	52%	23.4	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	23.8	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1
STAN	.14	42%	22.8	45%	2.84	107	40%	254	4.16	.29	48%	33.7	54%	41%	4.05	41.3	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	23.4	15.6	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37
STAN Defense	12	33.7	29	47.6%	4.05	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	54%	41%	15%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	23.8	35.2	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24
STAN Offense	12	22.8	24.5	42%	4.16	1.8	21	362	107	254	3.4	41%	59%	45%	40%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2
Stanford	12	29:53	20.8	38%	52%	4.6	41.3	1.8	1	5.4	1.8	0	24.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08
STAN Defense	12	51%	54%	-	-	-	-	.39	3.68	83%	10%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9
STAN Offense	12	41%	45%	31.3	107.3	3.4	14	.02	2.84	85%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9
STAN Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	29%	31%	.36	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1
STAN Offense	12	59%	40%	22.9	37.3	254.3	6.8	11.1	15	8	.25	1.5	31%	29%	.28	6%	2

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 Stanford: -12.3

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 42
Stanford 15

Projected Total Points: 52

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Stanford	33	Washington	42	Washington	Washington -27.5	Stanford	62.0	Over
2022	09/24	Washington	40	Stanford	22	Washington	Washington -14	Washington	62.5	Under
2021	10/30	Stanford	13	Washington	20	Washington	Stanford -2.5	Washington	45.5	Under
2020	12/05	Washington	26	Stanford	31	Stanford	Washington -12	Stanford	49.5	Over
2019	10/05	Stanford	23	Washington	13	Stanford	Washington -13.5	Stanford	52.0	Under
2018	11/03	Washington	27	Stanford	23	Washington	Washington -9.5	Stanford	43.5	Over
2017	11/10	Stanford	30	Washington	22	Stanford	Washington -7	Stanford	50.0	Over
2016	09/30	Washington	44	Stanford	6	Washington	Washington -3.5	Washington	46.5	Over
2015	10/24	Stanford	31	Washington	14	Stanford	Stanford -17	Push	47.5	Under
2014	09/27	Washington	13	Stanford	20	Stanford	Stanford -5.5	Stanford	0
2013	10/05	Stanford	31	Washington	28	Stanford	Stanford -6.5	Washington	0
2012	09/27	Washington	17	Stanford	13	Washington
2011	10/22	Stanford	65	Washington	21	Stanford
2010	10/30	Washington	0	Stanford	41	Stanford
2009	09/26	Stanford	34	Washington	14	Stanford
2008	09/27	Washington	28	Stanford	35	Stanford
2007	11/03	Stanford	9	Washington	27	Washington
2006	11/11	Washington	3	Stanford	20	Stanford
2004	10/02	Stanford	27	Washington	13	Stanford
2003	09/27	Washington	28	Stanford	17	Washington
2001	11/03	Washington	42	Stanford	28	Washington
2000	10/27	Stanford	28	Washington	31	Washington

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	12	6	5 Overs
Washington	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 9	5 - 5	2 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 13	5 - 5	1 - 3	4 - 2

(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

,
,

Washington Ratings Matchup Stanford

Power #12

#129

Off #5

#107

Def #52

#133

Talent #41

#17

SP+ #11

#109

SP+ Off #4

#94

SP+ Def #45

#117

Rematch from Week 9
Washington 27.5 (62.0)
Washington won at Stanford this year (42-33)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Stanford in 2023 (42-33)
Washington beat Stanford in 2022 (40-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | STAN
Depth Chart: WASH | STAN
Rosters: WASH | STAN

(#129) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60

Team Profile

,
,

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	2	3	67%	39	1	0	13.0
Dylan Morris	1	1	100%	6	0	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Nixon	19	76	0	4.0	12
Germie Bernard (Tr)	4	37	1	9.3	13
Giles Jackson	4	16	1	4.0	6
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)	4	9	0	2.3	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Will Nixon	4	44	0	11.0	20

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC William Inge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Davon Banks	35	6	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
E.J. Smith	54	207	3.8	17
Tristan Sinclair	1	6	6.0	6
Bryce Farrell	2	5	2.5	5
Alaka'i Gilman	2	0	0.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	63	831	6	13.2	60
Ben Yurosek	15	185	0	12.3	31
E.J. Smith	8	66	0	8.3	26

View Stanford's Full Roster

Stanford's DC Bobby April

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	86	6	1	2	1
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Alaka'i Gilman	41	6	1	1	1
Lance Keneley	21	1	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tobin Phillips	16	5	4	1	0
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Jaxson Moi	16	5	2	0	1
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	86	6	1	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zahran Manley	12	0	0	0	3
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	86	6	1	2	1
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1