Washington at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Washington -27.5 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 42 - Stanford: 33 (Pac-12)

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -27.5 (SP+ WASH -31)
Projected Score: WASH: 42 - STAN: 15 (57)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
WASH Travel: 706 miles

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Stanford's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Stanford at Hawai'i	-2.0	54.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Stanford at USC	+28.5	70.5	L 10 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/16	Stanford vs Sacramento State	-7.0	60.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Stanford vs Arizona	+13.0	60.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Stanford vs Oregon	+27.0	59.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Stanford at Colorado	+13.0	59.0	W 46 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Stanford vs UCLA	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Stanford vs Washington	+27.5	62.0	L 33 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Stanford at Washington State	+13.0	59.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Stanford at Oregon State	+21.5	51.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/18	Stanford vs California	+6.5	52.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+26.0	50.5	L 23 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.37	52%	34.1	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	18.7	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1
STAN	.14	42%	18.8	45%	2.84	107	40%	254	4.16	.29	48%	29.2	54%	41%	4.05	41.3	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	34.1	29.6	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37
STAN Defense	12	29.2	26	47.6%	4.05	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	54%	41%	15%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	18.7	19	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24
STAN Offense	12	18.8	25.2	42%	4.16	1.8	21	362	107	254	3.4	41%	59%	45%	40%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2
Stanford	12	29:53	20.8	38%	52%	4.6	41.3	1.8	1	5.4	1.8	0	24.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08
STAN Defense	12	51%	54%	-	-	-	-	.39	3.68	83%	10%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9
STAN Offense	12	41%	45%	31.3	107.3	3.4	14	.02	2.84	85%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9
STAN Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	29%	31%	.36	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1
STAN Offense	12	59%	40%	22.9	37.3	254.3	6.8	11.1	15	8	.25	1.5	31%	29%	.28	6%	2

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 751.12 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 Stanford: -12.3

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 710.28 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 42
Stanford 15

Projected Total Points: 57

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Stanford	33	Washington	42	Washington -27.5	Stanford	62.0	Over
2022	09/24	Washington	40	Stanford	22	Washington -14	Washington	62.5	Under
2021	10/30	Stanford	13	Washington	20	Stanford -2.5	Washington	45.5	Under
2020	12/05	Washington	26	Stanford	31	Washington -12	Stanford	49.5	Over
2019	10/05	Stanford	23	Washington	13	Washington -13.5	Stanford	52.0	Under
2018	11/03	Washington	27	Stanford	23	Washington -9.5	Stanford	43.5	Over
2017	11/10	Stanford	30	Washington	22	Washington -7	Stanford	50.0	Over
2016	09/30	Washington	44	Stanford	6	Washington -3.5	Washington	46.5	Over
2015	10/24	Stanford	31	Washington	14	Stanford -17	Push	47.5	Under
2014	09/27	Washington	13	Stanford	20	Stanford -5.5	Stanford	0
2013	10/05	Stanford	31	Washington	28	Stanford -6.5	Washington	0
2012	09/27	Washington	17	Stanford	13
2011	10/22	Stanford	65	Washington	21
2010	10/30	Washington	0	Stanford	41
2009	09/26	Stanford	34	Washington	14
2008	09/27	Washington	28	Stanford	35
2007	11/03	Stanford	9	Washington	27
2006	11/11	Washington	3	Stanford	20
2004	10/02	Stanford	27	Washington	13
2003	09/27	Washington	28	Stanford	17
2001	11/03	Washington	42	Stanford	28
2000	10/27	Stanford	28	Washington	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	12	6	5 Overs
Washington	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 9	5 - 5	2 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 13	5 - 5	1 - 3	4 - 2

(#12) WASH at (#129) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	STAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#12	#129
SP+SP+	#11	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#133
OffenseOff	#4	#118
DefenseDef	#42	#134
Spec TeamsST	#15	#80
TalentTal	#26	#37
Blue ChipsBC%	#23	#36

Washington Injury Report

Stanford Injury Report

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	STAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#5	#133
SP+SP+	#4	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#39	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#76

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#107	#52
SP+SP+	#94	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#121	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#121	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Washington 27.5 (62.0)
Washington won at Stanford this year (42-33)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Stanford in 2023 (42-33)

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	191	327	58%	2247	11	8	6.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)	38	88	43%	504	0	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)	120	334	5	2.8	49
Ashton Daniels	110	296	3	2.7	24
E.J. Smith	53	216	1	4.1	34
Casey Filkins	38	215	1	5.7	59

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	62	1013	6	16.3	97
Tiger Bachmeier	36	409	2	11.4	41
Sam Roush	28	288	0	10.3	31
E.J. Smith	33	242	0	7.3	53

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	81	3	1	4	1
Tristan Sinclair	65	5	1	4	0
Collin Wright	51	4	1	0	4
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	6	5	2	0
Anthony Franklin	27	6	3	4	1
Tevarua Tafiti	46	5	3	9	1
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zahran Manley	28	2	0	4
Collin Wright	51	4	1	4
Alaka'i Gilman	45	0	0	3