Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis

Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis | Punt and Rally

Teams ranked by ATS cover percentage at home. The spread equalizes talent, so consistently beating it = real home field advantage.

Overall Home ATS Home Underdogs Win Rate vs ATS Year-over-Year Trends Conference Breakdown

Last 10 Years (2016–2025) Last 5 Years (2021–2025) Last 2 Years (2024–2025) 2025

#	Team	Conf	Games	ATS Record	ATS % ▼	Avg Margin vs Spread
1	Ohio State	Big Ten	7	6-0-1	100.0%	+7.21
2	San Diego State	Mountain West	6	6-0	100.0%	+19.08
3	Utah State	Mountain West	6	6-0	100.0%	+13.08
4	Hawai'i	Mountain West	8	7-1	87.5%	+8.56
5	Alabama	SEC	7	6-1	85.7%	+7.71
6	Boise State	Mountain West	7	6-1	85.7%	+2.14
7	North Texas	American Athletic	7	6-1	85.7%	+12.21
8	Texas Tech	Big 12	7	6-1	85.7%	+8.21
9	Vanderbilt	SEC	7	6-1	85.7%	+7.71
10	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	6	5-1	83.3%	+6.00
11	BYU	Big 12	6	5-1	83.3%	+10.17
12	Illinois	Big Ten	7	5-1-1	83.3%	+4.00
13	Kennesaw State	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+7.08
14	Louisiana Tech	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+11.17
15	South Florida	American Athletic	6	5-1	83.3%	+16.83
16	Toledo	Mid-American	6	5-1	83.3%	+16.00
17	UConn	FBS Independents	6	5-1	83.3%	+9.58
18	Western Kentucky	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+3.50
19	Western Michigan	Mid-American	6	5-1	83.3%	+13.50
20	Ball State	Mid-American	5	4-1	80.0%	+5.40
21	Central Michigan	Mid-American	5	4-1	80.0%	+7.30
22	Eastern Michigan	Mid-American	6	4-1-1	80.0%	-1.17
23	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	6	4-1-1	80.0%	-0.42
24	Northwestern	Big Ten	5	4-1	80.0%	+9.10
25	Arizona	Big 12	7	5-2	71.4%	+8.64
26	Florida State	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+11.79
27	Mississippi State	SEC	7	5-2	71.4%	+2.14
28	NC State	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+5.21
29	Virginia	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+6.50
30	Wake Forest	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+6.93
31	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+1.08
32	Florida International	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	-2.42
33	Georgia Tech	ACC	6	4-2	66.7%	+0.58
34	Jacksonville State	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	+7.92
35	Marshall	Sun Belt	6	4-2	66.7%	+6.50
36	Memphis	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.08
37	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.17
38	Missouri State	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	+4.17
39	Ohio	Mid-American	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.67
40	Ole Miss	SEC	9	6-3	66.7%	+3.17
41	Stanford	ACC	6	4-2	66.7%	+12.33
42	TCU	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	-0.92
43	Troy	Sun Belt	6	4-2	66.7%	-3.08
44	UTSA	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+14.50
45	Utah	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	+7.17
46	Washington State	Pac-12	6	4-2	66.7%	+6.83
47	West Virginia	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	-3.08
48	Miami	ACC	8	5-3	62.5%	+4.13
49	Missouri	SEC	8	5-3	62.5%	+3.50
50	Oregon	Big Ten	8	5-3	62.5%	+2.88
51	Iowa State	Big 12	6	3-2-1	60.0%	+7.42
52	Kent State	Mid-American	5	3-2	60.0%	+11.90
53	Colorado	Big 12	7	4-3	57.1%	-4.79
54	Indiana	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+12.86
55	Iowa	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+1.79
56	James Madison	Sun Belt	7	4-3	57.1%	+7.43
57	Kentucky	SEC	7	4-3	57.1%	+5.36
58	Notre Dame	FBS Independents	7	4-3	57.1%	+4.64
59	Pittsburgh	ACC	7	4-3	57.1%	+4.14
60	Rutgers	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	-0.36
61	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	7	4-3	57.1%	-0.29
62	USC	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+7.00
63	Washington	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+8.43
64	Akron	Mid-American	6	3-3	50.0%	+8.42
65	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	-3.83
66	Delaware	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.17
67	East Carolina	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.67
68	Florida	SEC	6	3-3	50.0%	-0.50
69	Fresno State	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	+2.17
70	Houston	Big 12	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.75
71	Louisiana	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.42
72	Middle Tennessee	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	-10.67
73	New Mexico	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	-1.17
74	New Mexico State	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	+4.75
75	Old Dominion	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	+8.17
76	SMU	ACC	6	3-3	50.0%	+2.42
77	Temple	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.67
78	Texas	SEC	6	3-3	50.0%	+0.58
79	Tulane	American Athletic	7	3-3-1	50.0%	+2.93
80	Tulsa	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.08
81	Wyoming	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.17
82	Arizona State	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-5.00
83	Boston College	ACC	7	3-4	42.9%	-1.29
84	Cincinnati	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	+2.14
85	Georgia	SEC	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.71
86	Kansas	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.14
87	Maryland	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.07
88	Minnesota	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	+7.79
89	Nebraska	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	+2.29
90	Oklahoma State	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.64
91	Oregon State	Pac-12	7	3-4	42.9%	-7.79
92	Purdue	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.36
93	South Carolina	SEC	7	3-4	42.9%	-4.57
94	UCF	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	+5.57
95	Wisconsin	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.79
96	Oklahoma	SEC	8	3-5	37.5%	-3.44
97	App State	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.25
98	Bowling Green	Mid-American	6	2-4	33.3%	-4.58
99	Buffalo	Mid-American	7	2-4-1	33.3%	-6.64
100	California	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-1.42
101	Duke	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.25
102	Kansas State	Big 12	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.00
103	Michigan	Big Ten	6	2-4	33.3%	-0.42
104	Navy	American Athletic	6	2-4	33.3%	-2.25
105	North Carolina	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-4.25
106	San José State	Mountain West	6	2-4	33.3%	-9.08
107	South Alabama	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.50
108	Texas State	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-3.08
109	UNLV	Mountain West	6	2-4	33.3%	-0.42
110	Colorado State	Mountain West	7	2-5	28.6%	-10.71
111	LSU	SEC	7	2-5	28.6%	-9.21
112	Penn State	Big Ten	7	2-5	28.6%	-3.00
113	Rice	American Athletic	7	2-5	28.6%	-4.79
114	Tennessee	SEC	7	2-5	28.6%	-5.57
115	Virginia Tech	ACC	7	2-5	28.6%	-9.21
116	Texas A&M	SEC	8	2-6	25.0%	-4.25
117	Syracuse	ACC	6	1-4-1	20.0%	-12.00
118	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	5	1-4	20.0%	-5.30
119	Air Force	Mountain West	6	1-5	16.7%	-4.75
120	Arkansas	SEC	6	1-5	16.7%	-10.50
121	Charlotte	American Athletic	6	1-5	16.7%	-7.33
122	Georgia State	Sun Belt	6	1-5	16.7%	-5.42
123	Liberty	Conference USA	6	1-5	16.7%	-2.00
124	Massachusetts	Mid-American	6	1-5	16.7%	-15.17
125	Michigan State	Big Ten	6	1-5	16.7%	-8.33
126	Nevada	Mountain West	6	1-5	16.7%	-0.92
127	Northern Illinois	Mid-American	6	1-5	16.7%	-5.00
128	UAB	American Athletic	6	1-5	16.7%	-3.58
129	UCLA	Big Ten	6	1-5	16.7%	-11.67
130	UTEP	Conference USA	6	1-5	16.7%	-4.58
131	Auburn	SEC	7	1-6	14.3%	-3.57
132	Baylor	Big 12	7	1-6	14.3%	-5.93
133	Clemson	ACC	7	1-6	14.3%	-10.71
134	Louisville	ACC	8	1-7	12.5%	-1.63
135	Army	American Athletic	5	0-5	0.0%	-8.00

Methodology: Home field advantage measured by ATS (against the spread) performance. The spread equalizes talent differences, so consistent outperformance = genuine home field edge. Neutral-site games excluded. FCS opponents excluded. Minimum 3 home games required for the selected range. ATS Cover % excludes pushes from the denominator. Data: 2025–2025.