Air Force Team Profile
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Air Force Falcons (@AF_Football)
Troy Calhoun (19th year) (137-95)
Record: 2 - 6 (1 - 4)  |  Proj: 4 - 8 (#118)  |  SOS: (#94)
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Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-31.054.5W 49 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-4.051.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+10.551.5L 37 - 49ON
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-7.052.5L 35 - 44ON
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+13.550.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+7.065.5L 48 - 51OY
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-4.056.5W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+1.548.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+6.067.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+11.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-1
Fri 11/28 Air Force at Colorado State+1.5

Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3  #118
Schedule Rating:  #94
Record: 2 - 6( MWC: 1 - 4)
Spread Record 3 - 5 - 0 | O/U 6 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

Air Force's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Merrimack-30.547.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Air Force vs San José State-1.543.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Baylor+17.540.5L 3 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Air Force at Wyoming-4.033.5L 19 - 31ON
Sat 10/5 Air Force vs Navy+10.037.0L 7 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Air Force at New Mexico+7.056.0L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/19 Air Force vs Colorado State+6.043.5L 13 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Air Force at Army+18.038.5L 3 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Air Force vs Fresno State+9.540.5W 36 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Air Force vs Oregon State+3.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/23 Air Force at Nevada+3.044.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Air Force at San Diego State-6.543.5W 31 - 20OY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #98
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (MWC: 3 - 4)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7


Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 3 Avg, 4 Bad, 4 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 2 Avg, 3 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 2Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 80 points   #130
2024 class: 23 points   #134
2023 class: 131 points   #101
2022 class: 110 points   #114
2021 class: 144 points   #90

Average Class Ranking:   #114
Average Recruiting Points: 98

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Poor G5
4 Year Class:  #123 - Best:  #101 Worst:  #134



CFB Crootin Averages
Mountain West Class: 132  #105
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 142 points   #107
2019 class: 135 points   #107
2018 class: 111 points   #122
2017 class: 116 points   #109
2016 class: 111 points   #114

Average Class Ranking:   #112
Average Recruiting Points: 123
 

2025 Portal Class  #136 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #130 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #132 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #178 - 0 players, 0 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka6810764%12198511.4
Josh Johnson91850%2242112.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka158816115.264
Owen Allen5940336.843
Dylan Carson5729325.164
Cade Harris5129345.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris29536218.574
Quin Smith11291326.552
Bruin Fleischmann16270416.968
Jonah Dawson9217124.153
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher781040
Roger Jones Jr.541000
Dallas Daley281002
Korey Johnson260004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert219360
Jackson Adams83220
Grady Forsythe22200
Peyton Zdroik253150
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson260004
Dallas Daley281002
RJ Reedus40001
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 56%  #69
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 43%  #107

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #136
0 Commits, 0 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 0% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00  #134
Offense Talent  #134 | Defense Talent  #132
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #149 | 2021  #139


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 2 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 4
Spread: 3 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 2

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 4
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 10 - 3
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Four Year Record: 26 - 20
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 25 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 10 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 3
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 2
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 5

2019 Record: 11 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 7 - 1
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2018 Record: 5 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 5 - 7

Eight Year Record: 55 - 35
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 46 - 41 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 37 - 24

Air Force Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Forces Bowl Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
2022Forces Bowl Air Force vs Baylor+3.542.0W 30 - 15
2021Responder Bowl Air Force vs Louisville-1.055.0W 31 - 28
2019It Bowl Air Force vs Washington State-3.073.0W 31 - 21
2016N/A Air Force vs South Alabama-14.054.0W 45 - 21
2015Forces Bowl Air Force vs California+6.5L 36 - 55
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.35 (7)1.27 (52)50% (11)4.94 (6)27.2 (112)51%76%.47 (136)1.52 (135)49% (133)4.49 (125)28 (60)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (103)1.04 (134)42% (77)4.02 (56)28.6 (78)42%64%.2 (88)1.3 (84)42% (68)3.97 (84)30.9 (114)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025833:082351%76%4.3381.30.83.81.30
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.50



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense833.932.436.349.9% (11)4.94 (6)1.3234552701855.274% (3)25% (134)50% (15)51% (8)10% (6).35 (7)
2025 Defense835.129.444.749% (133)4.49 (125)0.8 - - - - - 52% (96)47% (44)43% (84)55% (136)10% (133).47 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1218.918.719.242.1% (77)4.02 (56)1.31831422590482% (2)18% (133)45% (60)31% (131)12% (16).13 (103)
2024 Defense1223.317.728.841.7% (68)3.97 (84)1 - - - - - 56% (120)44% (16)41% (47)43% (89)15% (86).2 (88)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense874% (3)50% (15)52.1270.15.225 (1).27 (9)3.27 (19)79% (24)7% (18)0.99 (55)
2025 Defense852% (96)43% (84) - - - - .33 (136)3.24 (125)70% (54)7% (130)1.35 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)
2024 Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense825% (134)51% (8)9.81618511.61910 (75)6 (34).64 (2)2.1 (2)25% (9)36% (23).49 (21)3% (3)2.1 (34)
2025 Defense847% (44)55% (136) - - - - - - 4 (75).62 (136)1.7 (112)27% (128)44% (136).88 (136)4% (133)2.4 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)
2024 Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)




Overall
Power Rating  #99 | SP+ Rating  #91
Performance Grade  #71
Special Teams Grade  #48
Record Prediction 3.7 - 8.3  #118
5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #37 | SP+  #51 | Grade  #19
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Off Success  #11 | Explosivness  #52
Rush Grade  #74 | Pass Grade  #23
Rush Success  #15 | Explosiveness  #55
Pass Success  #8 | Explosiveness  #2
Run Block  #22 | Pass Block  #103
OL YDS  #19 | Stuff Rate  #7
Scoring Zone Off:  #6

Defense
Power  #131 | SP+  #127 | Grade  #131
Def Success  #133 | Explosivness  #135
Rush Success  #84 | Explosiveness  #136
Tackling  #67 | Run Def  #84
Pass Success  #136 | Explosiveness  #112
Pass Rush  #81 | Coverage  #136
F7 Havoc  #130 | DB Havoc  #133
Scoring Zone Def  #125


Roster
Team Talent  #134 Blue Chips: 0%  #101
Offense Talent  #134 Defense Talent  #132
Crootin: '25 Class  #130 - 4 YR Class:  #123
Profile: Consistent Poor G5
Portal Class  #136 - 0 players, 0 Avg
0% of Roster from Portal, 0% TY
7 New Players, 10% of '25 Roster  #1

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 33.9 - 35.1 (19 - 23) in '24
Scoring at Home: 32 - 29 | Road: 36 - 45
OC: Mike Thiessen - been OC for 3 years
DC: Brian Knorr - been DC for 3 years

2025 Record: 2 - 6 (3 - 5 - 0) (MWC: 1 - 4)
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 7 - 0) (MWC: 3 - 4)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (5 - 7 - 1) (MWC: 5 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (26 - 20) | 8 Yr Record: (55 - 35)


Notes
Def may be worst in CFB, back 7 sub FCS level bad
Def torched 2 straight weeks vs Utah St/Boise
QB Szarka good find, Off humming, Def awful
Off 500+ yds on Boise, impressive. Def not great
Run Off OK vs Bucknell, expected better
OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
 
'25 Offense
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 74%
Great when off Schedule 38%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.9 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 73%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 46%

Returning Prod
AFA lost their '24 starting QB (6%)  #120
Returning Production: 56%  #69
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 43%  #107
OL Prod: 63%  #48, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2309  #95 | From Portal: 0  #100
Rush Prod: 71%  #39 | Rec Prod: 82%  #14
Def Front Seven: 46% - Secondary: 23%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #91 - Power Rating:  #99
2024 SP+ Overall:  #111 - Power Rating:  #125
2023 SP+ Overall:  #45 - Power Rating:  #69
2022 SP+ Overall:  #58

#58 #57 #118 #95

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #51 - Power Rating:  #37
2024 SP+ Offense:  #120 - Power Rating:  #112
2023 SP+ Offense:  #76 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Offense:  #115

#115 #55 #116 #44

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #127 - Power Rating:  #131
2024 SP+ Defense:  #76 - Power Rating:  #117
2023 SP+ Defense:  #29 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Defense:  #10

#10 #32 #97 #129