
Cincinnati Bearcats (@GoBearcatsFB)
Vegas Win Total: 5.5 | Proj: 5 - 7 (#87) | SOS: (#36)

Scott Satterfield's fourth Cincinnati team opens 2026 with the program's most significant structural overhaul yet: 40+ new roster additions, a first-time FBS OC in Nic Dardwell, and a new 3-4 defensive scheme under DC Nate Woody replacing the 3-3-5 that defined the program's previous two years. The central question is whether JC French IV — a G5 transfer who improved to 20 TD/8 INT on 2,929 yards at Georgia Southern in 2025 — can manage a rebuilt Big 12 offense without the turnover and sack-exposure habits that followed him in the Sun Belt; his success hinges on an OL anchored by PFF's #2-rated OG Evan Tengesdahl but graded among the worst units in the Big 12 last season. The defense is the spring's relative bright spot: Woody's blitzing system has been absorbed quickly, Jonathan Thompson (67 tackles, 9 TFL) headlines a veteran LB/DE corps, and the new secondary built around portal CBs MJ Cannon and Jacob Finley has promising upside — though PPA ranks them #105 and base-defense reads remain underdeveloped. Cincinnati is projected near 7 wins and carries a #80 power rating — bowl-eligible but firmly in the Big 12's lower tier — with a Week 4 home game vs. Kansas State (line +4.5) serving as the season's early referendum on Satterfield's rebuilding timeline.
Key Storylines
- JC French IV (Georgia Southern G5 transfer, 2,929 yds, 20 TD, 8 INT in 2025) is QB1 heading into spring but has zero Power 4 reps and carries the same turnover and sack-susceptibility concerns flagged from his time in the Sun Belt — OC Nic Dardwell's RPO system is built around French's mobility, making his development the single biggest variable for 2026 offensive viability
- DC Nate Woody's 3-4 blitzing scheme install has been spring's brightest development — defense winning competitive team sessions and players described as 'eating it up' on blitz concepts, though pre-snap reads and base coverage drops are still being refined ahead of fall
- OC Nic Dardwell — elevated from OL coach after four years in that role — is calling plays at the FBS level for the first time, adding coordinator inexperience on top of an offense that must replace Brendan Sorsby's 5,613 career passing yards and rebuild a WR room wholesale
- OL anchor Evan Tengesdahl (PFF's #2-rated OG nationally) and Jonathan Thompson (67 tackles, 9 TFL) are the program's two performance-validated leaders, but the unit around them was poor in 2025 and must improve to give a first-year P4 QB any margin for error
- Satterfield at 15-22 entering Year 4 with a schedule that features a Week 4 home date vs. Kansas State (+4.5 line) followed immediately by a road trip to Arizona — the early conference slate will quickly reveal whether this roster is on an upward trajectory or facing another bowl-bubble fight
Injury & Availability Flags
- CB Zaravion Johnson (2024 recruit) recovering from Achilles injury sustained prior to spring 2026; timeline for return unclear but considered high-upside when healthy
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/5 | Cincinnati vs Boston College | -8 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/12 | Cincinnati vs Western Carolina | -25 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/19 | Cincinnati vs Miami (OH) | -5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/26 | Cincinnati vs Kansas State | +4 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/3 | Cincinnati at Arizona | +11 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/17 | Cincinnati at West Virginia | +2 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/24 | Cincinnati vs Texas Tech | +21.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/31 | Cincinnati vs Utah | +5.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/7 | Cincinnati at Houston | +9 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/14 | Cincinnati at Iowa State | +3 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/21 | Cincinnati vs Colorado | -3.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/28 | Cincinnati at BYU | +16 | — | — | — | — |
Schedule Rating: #36
Future 2027 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | Cincinnati vs Nebraska | +6.5L17–20 | 52.5 | L17–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/6 | Cincinnati vs Bowling Green | -21.5W34–20 | 46.5 | W34–20 | O | N |
| Sat 9/13 | Cincinnati vs Northwestern State | -48.5W70–0 | 55.5 | W70–0 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Cincinnati at Kansas | +5.5W37–34 | 55.5 | W37–34 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/4 | Cincinnati vs Iowa State | -1.5W38–30 | 55.5 | W38–30 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | Cincinnati vs UCF | -10.0W20–11 | 55.5 | W20–11 | U | N |
| Sat 10/18 | Cincinnati at Oklahoma State | -23.5W49–17 | 57.5 | W49–17 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/25 | Cincinnati vs Baylor | -3.5W41–20 | 68.5 | W41–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/1 | Cincinnati at Utah | +11.5L14–45 | 57.5 | L14–45 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Cincinnati vs Arizona | -6.5L24–30 | 56.5 | L24–30 | U | N |
| Sat 11/22 | Cincinnati vs BYU | +2.5L14–26 | 56.5 | L14–26 | U | N |
| Sat 11/29 | Cincinnati at TCU | +3.0L23–45 | 58.5 | L23–45 | O | N |
| Fri 1/2 | Cincinnati vs Navy | +7.5L13–35 | 57.5 | L13–35 | U | N |
2025 Record: 7 - 6 (B12: 5 - 4)
Spread Record 6 - 7 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6
2025 class: 190 points #64
2024 class: 197 points #46
2023 class: 168 points #82
2022 class: 198 points #42
Average Class Ranking: #58
Average Recruiting Points: 190
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class: #61 - Best: #46 Worst: #82
CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 211 #47
Power 4 Class: 229 #47
FBS Class: 198 #70
2020 class: 199 points #47
2019 class: 178 points #72
2018 class: 193 points #53
2017 class: 168 points #67
Average Class Ranking: #57
Average Recruiting Points: 186
2026 Portal Class #45 - 22 players, 86 Avg
2025 Portal Class #46 - 21 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class #42 - 26 players, 86 Avg
2023 Portal Class #42 - 22 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class #39 - 7 players, 87 Avg
2021 Portal Class #44 - 24 players, 86 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French | 249 | 390 | 64% | 2924 | 20 | 8 | 7.5 |
| Liam O'Brien (Tr) | 211 | 314 | 67% | 2376 | 19 | 6 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zylan Perry (Tr) | 138 | 689 | 8 | 5.0 | 84 |
| Liam O'Brien (Tr) | 138 | 548 | 7 | 4.0 | 25 |
| Cole Tabb (Tr) | 114 | 445 | 3 | 3.9 | 28 |
| JC French | 133 | 315 | 6 | 2.4 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larenzo Fenner (Tr) | 41 | 961 | 15 | 23.4 | 70 |
| Malachi Henry (Tr) | 69 | 889 | 10 | 12.9 | 56 |
| Cade Wolford (Tr) | 19 | 509 | 7 | 26.8 | 79 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 14 | 222 | 3 | 15.9 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Maciorowski (Tr) | 76 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Jasper Beeler (Tr) | 74 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Thompson | 67 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob Finley (Tr) | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Maciorowski (Tr) | 76 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Chidera Otutu (Tr) | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. | 57 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Montay Weedon | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Goodwill (Tr) | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jacob Finley (Tr) | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| KK Meier (Tr) | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Overall Returning Production: 53% #122
Offense Returning Production: 51% #123
Defense Returning Production: 54% #106
Cincinnati's Official Roster
2026 Portal Class #45
22 Commits, 85.9 Avg Rating
33% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 22% TY
2026 Talent Rating: 759.00 #55
Offense Talent #52 | Defense Talent #58
2025 #53 | 2024 #53 | 2023 #52 | 2022 #49
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2025 Record: 7 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 5 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 8
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 8
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4
Four Year Record: 15 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 15 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 9 - 18
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 2 - 9 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8
2021 Record: 13 - 1
2021 Conf Record: 9 - 0
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8
2020 Record: 9 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 0
Spread: 6 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 6
2019 Record: 11 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 11
Eight Year Record: 57 - 31
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 40 - 45 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 39 - 22
| Cincinnati Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2025 | Liberty Bowl | Cincinnati vs Navy | +7.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 35 |
| 2022 | Fenway Bowl | Cincinnati vs Louisville | +2.5 | 38.5 | L 7 - 24 |
| 2021 | CFP Semifinal | Cincinnati vs Alabama | +13.0 | 57.5 | L 6 - 27 |
| 2020 | Peach Bowl | Cincinnati vs Georgia | +7.0 | 50.0 | L 21 - 24 |
| 2019 | Birmingham Bowl | Cincinnati vs Boston College | -8.0 | 53.0 | W 38 - 6 |
| 2018 | N/A | Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech | -5.5 | 48.5 | W 35 - 31 |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .29 (17) | 1.31 (37) | 46% (25) | 4.6 (11) | 29.1 (64) | 39% | 72% | .21 (105) | 1.17 (17) | 45% (112) | 3.93 (96) | 27.5 (36) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .21 (59) | 1.26 (79) | 45% (43) | 3.33 (118) | 26.4 (124) | 42% | 55% | .18 (75) | 1.28 (75) | 42% (76) | 3.51 (40) | 32.8 (126) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 24:16 | 19.6 | 39% | 72% | 7.1 | 65.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 31:42 | 22.1 | 42% | 55% | 5.3 | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 30.3 | 34.4 | 30.8 | 46.3% (25) | 4.6 (11) | 1.1 | 20 | 408 | 177 | 230 | 5.8 | 49% (72) | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 46% (30) | 12% (12) | .29 (17) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 25.6 | 19.6 | 35.3 | 45.2% (112) | 3.93 (96) | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% (114) | 45% (31) | 47% (120) | 43% (85) | 12% (128) | .21 (105) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 25.2 | 26.7 | 23.7 | 44.7% (43) | 3.33 (118) | 1.5 | 22 | 422 | 185 | 237 | 5.2 | 50% (72) | 50% (63) | 44% (67) | 45% (32) | 16% (69) | .21 (59) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 24.6 | 18.8 | 30.3 | 42.2% (76) | 3.51 (40) | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% (75) | 49% (63) | 46% (94) | 39% (43) | 16% (67) | .18 (75) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 49% (72) | 48% (14) | 30.8 | 177.5 | 5.8 | 21 (40) | .24 (14) | 3.47 (4) | 76% (37) | 7% (7) | 1.05 (35) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 54% (114) | 47% (120) | - | - | - | - | .17 (106) | 3.3 (126) | 79% (117) | 8% (116) | 0.91 (43) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 50% (72) | 44% (67) | 35.3 | 185 | 5.2 | 19 (73) | .15 (59) | 3.03 (69) | 71% (84) | 11% (93) | 1.07 (34) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 51% (75) | 46% (94) | - | - | - | - | .14 (77) | 3.19 (98) | 73% (63) | 11% (51) | 0.95 (49) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 46% (30) | 17.2 | 27.9 | 230.2 | 8.2 | 13.4 | 29 (6) | 6 (3) | .42 (14) | 1.6 (41) | 29% (38) | 32% (45) | .43 (24) | 5% (42) | 2.2 (19) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 45% (31) | 43% (85) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (132) | .27 (79) | 1.5 (45) | 28% (121) | 33% (113) | .35 (98) | 4% (128) | 1.9 (45) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 50% (63) | 45% (32) | 21 | 32.9 | 236.5 | 7.2 | 11.3 | 18 (68) | 7 (26) | .26 (63) | 1.4 (121) | 30% (41) | 36% (20) | .5 (10) | 5% (33) | 2.1 (67) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 49% (63) | 39% (43) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .23 (71) | 1.7 (108) | 31% (93) | 31% (79) | .34 (86) | 5% (87) | 2 (66) |
(4/2) OG Evan Tengesdahl rated #2 pos via PFF ❌
(3/26) QB JC French is decent/mobile, but TO/sack issues ❌
(2/23) RB Z Perry decent, other #2 guys LY. Good stable ❌
(2/9) WR top 4 are portals, 2 FCS, 1 G5. Solid unit though ❌
(2/9) OL has 3 starters back but were really bad LY ❌
(2/9) DBs built from portals, good looking G5 adds ❌
(2/9) LB/DEs strongest unit? 6 w starting exp & prod ❌
(2/9) Def should be decent but Off is a big step back ❌
Overall
Team Info
2025 Record
B12 5 - 4
5 Year Profile
'26 Profile
Returning Production
From 2025
Roster
Talent Info
Talent Profile
(OC) Nic Dardwell 1
(DC) Nate Woody 1
2026 Schedule
Information
Win History
Notes
Live Team Notes
Roster Experience
Snaps & Starter Info
Snaps Returning
Upperclass
Portals
Top '26 Incoming Portals
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Recruits
Top '26 Incoming Recruits
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Four Year Ratings Profile
Offense
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Four Year Ratings Profile
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(OC) Nic Dardwell 1
(DC) Nate Woody 1
Records
Offense
Four Year Offense Pts Per Play
Defense
Four Year Defense Pts Per Play
Overall
Four Year Net Pts Per Play