
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (@NDFootball)
Vegas Win Total: 11.5 | Proj: 11 - 1 (#2) | SOS: (#64)

Notre Dame sits at #2 in power ratings with 15 returning starters and the defensive profile of a legitimate national title contender — Leonard Moore (5 INT) and Tae Johnson (4 INT) headline a secondary drawing best-in-CFB projections, while Boubacar Traore (37 tackles, 10 TFL) and Francis Brewu (34 tackles, 6 TFL) both graded top-10 at their positions per PFF. CJ Carr (2,741 yards, 24 TDs in 2025) is the engine of Marcus Freeman's 'leave no doubt' mandate, generating the kind of competitive practice fire — trash talk, scuffles, vocal leadership — that elite QB rooms are supposed to produce, not just perform. The clearest obstacle between this roster and a CFP run is red zone efficiency, explicitly flagged by coaches and beat writers as unresolved at the spring midpoint despite Denbrock grading #1 nationally, while LB Drayk Bowen's limitation from offseason hip surgery introduces a secondary concern to a linebacker corps that was supposed to be a settled strength. McMurphy projects Notre Dame as a favorite in all 12 regular season games — including a neutral-site opener against Wisconsin (-16.5) at Green Bay — meaning the path to a first-round CFP bye is real, but the offense's red zone execution needs to catch up to the defense's standard before November.
Key Storylines
- Drayk Bowen (LB), Notre Dame's leading tackler from 2025, is limited in spring practice recovering from offseason hip surgery — timeline and severity unspecified, adding a real concern to a linebacker corps alongside Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa (48 tackles, 8 TFL) that was supposed to be a settled strength
- Red zone efficiency remains the program's most explicitly flagged and unresolved problem at the spring midpoint — particularly notable for an offense with OC Mike Denbrock graded #1 nationally; converting in the red zone is the gap between good and elite
- CJ Carr is cementing himself as the unquestioned program leader through competitive practice intensity — Freeman praised his trash talk for generating the kind of scuffles that signal genuine investment, which is exactly what Marcus Freeman's 'leave no doubt' mandate looks like in practice
- The offensive line is crystallizing: Freeman publicly confirmed Will Black at LT and Anthonie Knapp shifting inside to LG, setting up what could be an elite unit in a 12-game schedule where Notre Dame is projected as a favorite in every game
- The WR room competition is legitimate and unresolved at the halfway mark — Jordan Faison (640 yards, 4 TDs) is the established anchor, but Mylan Graham, Jaden Greathouse, and portal addition Quincy Porter are all pressing for roles, with one player reportedly beginning to separate per Blue & Gold
Injury & Availability Flags
- Drayk Bowen (LB) limited in spring practice recovering from offseason hip surgery — return timeline and severity not specified; practicing at reduced capacity, not fully sidelined
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9/6 | Notre Dame vs Wisconsin | -18.5 | 46.5 | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/12 | Notre Dame vs Rice | -35 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/19 | Notre Dame vs Michigan State | -29 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/26 | Notre Dame at Purdue | -28 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/3 | Notre Dame at North Carolina | -23 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/10 | Notre Dame vs Stanford | -30 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/17 | Notre Dame at BYU | -9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/31 | Notre Dame vs Navy | -28.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/7 | Notre Dame vs Miami | -7 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/14 | Notre Dame vs Boston College | -30 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/21 | Notre Dame vs SMU | -16.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/28 | Notre Dame at Syracuse | -26 | — | — | — | — |
Schedule Rating: #64
Future 2027 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8/31 | Notre Dame at Miami | -2.5L24–27 | 53.5 | L24–27 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Notre Dame vs Texas A&M | -7.5L40–41 | 48.5 | L40–41 | O | N |
| Sat 9/20 | Notre Dame vs Purdue | -24.5W56–30 | 51.5 | W56–30 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | Notre Dame at Arkansas | -5.5W56–13 | 64.5 | W56–13 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/4 | Notre Dame vs Boise State | -21.5W28–7 | 63.5 | W28–7 | U | N |
| Sat 10/11 | Notre Dame vs NC State | -23.5W36–7 | 59.5 | W36–7 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Notre Dame vs USC | -10.5W34–24 | 60.5 | W34–24 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Notre Dame at Boston College | -31.5W25–10 | 55.5 | W25–10 | U | N |
| Sat 11/8 | Notre Dame vs Navy | -30.5W49–10 | 54.5 | W49–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Notre Dame at Pittsburgh | -12.5W37–15 | 55.5 | W37–15 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | Notre Dame vs Syracuse | -36.5W70–7 | 51.5 | W70–7 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | Notre Dame at Stanford | -32.5W49–20 | 50.5 | W49–20 | O | N |
2025 Record: 10 - 2 (Ind: 0 - 0)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6
2025 class: 270 points #12
2024 class: 276 points #10
2023 class: 273 points #12
2022 class: 275 points #6
Average Class Ranking: #9
Average Recruiting Points: 279
Consistent Title Contenders
4 Year Class: #10 - Best: #6 Worst: #12
CFB Crootin Averages
FBS Independents Class: 236 #57
Power 4 Class: 229 #57
FBS Class: 198 #70
2020 class: 252 points #20
2019 class: 260 points #16
2018 class: 269 points #9
2017 class: 251 points #13
Average Class Ranking: #14
Average Recruiting Points: 261
2026 Portal Class #9 - 7 players, 92 Avg
2025 Portal Class #58 - 8 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #39 - 9 players, 89 Avg
2023 Portal Class #40 - 7 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class #74 - 4 players, 91 Avg
2021 Portal Class #10 - 27 players, 90 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Carr | 195 | 293 | 67% | 2741 | 24 | 6 | 9.4 |
| Jordan Faison | 1 | 1 | 100% | 40 | 0 | 0 | 40.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneyas Williams | 24 | 224 | 5 | 9.3 | 54 |
| Nolan James Jr. | 14 | 37 | 0 | 2.6 | 15 |
| C.J. Carr | 41 | 33 | 3 | 0.8 | 28 |
| Jordan Faison | 1 | -8 | 0 | -8.0 | 0 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Faison | 49 | 640 | 4 | 13.1 | 54 |
| Micah Gilbert | 9 | 93 | 1 | 10.3 | 26 |
| Mylan Graham (Tr) | 6 | 93 | 0 | 15.5 | 23 |
| Luke Talich | 1 | 84 | 1 | 84.0 | 84 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drayk Bowen | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Adon Shuler | 52 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Jaiden Ausberry | 51 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa | 48 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boubacar Traore | 37 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| Drayk Bowen | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaylen Sneed | 35 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Keon Keeley (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Gray | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Leonard Moore | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Adon Shuler | 52 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Overall Returning Production: 73% #32
Offense Returning Production: 67% #76
Defense Returning Production: 79% #5
Notre Dame's Official Roster
2026 Portal Class #9
7 Commits, 92.3 Avg Rating
9% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 8% TY
2026 Talent Rating: 1210.00 #2
Offense Talent #2 | Defense Talent #4
2025 #4 | 2024 #8 | 2023 #8 | 2022 #10
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2025 Record: 10 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2024 Record: 14 - 2
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 13 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 7
2023 Record: 10 - 3
2023 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 9 - 3 - 1 | Totals: 9 - 4
Four Year Record: 34 - 7
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 28 - 12 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 0 - 0
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 0
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2021 Record: 11 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 0
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2020 Record: 10 - 2
2020 Conf Record: 9 - 1
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2019 Record: 11 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8
Eight Year Record: 75 - 17
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 59 - 32 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 15 - 1
| Notre Dame Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | CFP Nat'l Title | Notre Dame vs Ohio State | +8.5 | 45.5 | L 23 - 34 |
| 2024 | CFP Semifinal | Notre Dame vs Penn State | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 24 |
| 2024 | CFP Quarterfinal | Notre Dame vs Georgia | -1.5 | 46.5 | W 23 - 10 |
| 2024 | CFP 1st Round | Notre Dame vs Indiana | -7.0 | 50.0 | W 27 - 17 |
| 2023 | Sun Bowl | Notre Dame vs Oregon State | -5.5 | 40.5 | W 40 - 8 |
| 2022 | Gator Bowl | Notre Dame vs South Carolina | -5.0 | 50.5 | W 45 - 38 |
| 2021 | Fiesta Bowl | Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State | +1.5 | 45.5 | L 35 - 37 |
| 2020 | CFP Semifinal | Notre Dame vs Alabama | +20.0 | 66.0 | L 14 - 31 |
| 2019 | World Bowl | Notre Dame vs Iowa State | -4.0 | 55.0 | W 33 - 9 |
| 2018 | CFP Semifinal | Notre Dame vs Clemson | +10.5 | 58.0 | L 3 - 30 |
| 2017 | Citrus Bowl | Notre Dame vs LSU | +2.0 | 52.0 | W 21 - 17 |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .36 (4) | 1.44 (3) | 49% (10) | 4.79 (6) | 32.5 (9) | 48% | 55% | .04 (12) | 1.28 (85) | 36% (13) | 2.58 (6) | 26.4 (10) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .32 (8) | 1.32 (35) | 47% (22) | 4.8 (5) | 33.2 (8) | 39% | 76% | -.02 (1) | 1.14 (14) | 36% (8) | 2.75 (4) | 25.3 (5) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 29:17 | 22.5 | 48% | 55% | 5.5 | 53.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 7 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 24:34 | 16.8 | 39% | 76% | 4.8 | 42.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 2.1 | 5 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 42 | 44.7 | 38.2 | 49% (10) | 4.79 (6) | 0.8 | 23 | 460 | 204 | 255 | 5.9 | 53% (38) | 45% (95) | 47% (25) | 51% (6) | 13% (36) | .36 (4) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 17.6 | 18 | 17 | 36.4% (13) | 2.58 (6) | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% (7) | 56% (133) | 38% (20) | 36% (16) | 18% (19) | .04 (12) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 16 | 36.1 | 33.7 | 46 | 47% (22) | 4.8 (5) | 0.8 | 17 | 341 | 181 | 160 | 6.3 | 53% (46) | 47% (89) | 47% (26) | 47% (21) | 11% (8) | .32 (8) |
| 2024 Defense | 16 | 15.5 | 12 | 18.3 | 36.4% (8) | 2.75 (4) | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% (78) | 48% (59) | 43% (73) | 29% (1) | 19% (25) | -.02 (1) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 53% (38) | 47% (25) | 34.8 | 204.4 | 5.9 | 38 (11) | .25 (11) | 3.05 (50) | 62% (122) | 8% (36) | 1.16 (8) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 43% (7) | 38% (20) | - | - | - | - | .04 (37) | 2.74 (39) | 71% (66) | 9% (77) | 0.89 (32) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 16 | 53% (46) | 47% (26) | 28.6 | 181.3 | 6.3 | 42 (3) | .36 (2) | 3.31 (24) | 73% (71) | 8% (26) | 1.3 (1) |
| 2024 Defense | 16 | 51% (78) | 43% (73) | - | - | - | - | .1 (58) | 2.9 (49) | 67% (29) | 10% (57) | 0.85 (12) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 45% (95) | 51% (6) | 18.1 | 26.8 | 255.1 | 9.5 | 14.1 | 25 (33) | 6 (34) | .45 (10) | 1.7 (25) | 29% (37) | 44% (2) | .65 (3) | 5% (35) | 2 (65) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 56% (133) | 36% (16) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 (1) | .09 (8) | 1.6 (93) | 36% (9) | 26% (24) | .17 (17) | 9% (3) | 2.1 (84) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 16 | 47% (89) | 47% (21) | 14.9 | 22.4 | 159.9 | 7.2 | 10.8 | 20 (58) | 6 (10) | .29 (50) | 1.3 (133) | 28% (19) | 32% (58) | .45 (22) | 3% (6) | 2.1 (50) |
| 2024 Defense | 16 | 48% (59) | 29% (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 (4) | -.15 (1) | 1.6 (67) | 34% (29) | 27% (24) | .1 (2) | 8% (6) | 1.6 (2) |
(4/6) WR J. Faison (leader LY) dropped lacrosse, focused on fball ❌
(4/6) DB's may be best in CFB. LBs/DL top 10 as well ❌
(4/2) WR Mylan Graham twitchy, a diff level than ND WRs ❌
(4/2) OT Will Black starting, Knapp to OG (PFF top 10 OT) ❌
(4/2) QB Carr true leader of team. Best ND QB in 20+ yrs ❌
(4/1) DE Traore + DT Brewu both top 10 via PFF ❌
(2/10) 16 starters back, 2nd in CFB, 8 exp'd depth too ❌
(1/29) DEs talented but need more, DT portals big adds ❌
(1/29) OL great pieces, expecting a lot. RBs inexp'd ❌
(1/28) ? at skill but loaded w talent. Portal WR's help ❌
Overall
Team Info
2025 Record
Ind 0 - 0
5 Year Profile
'26 Profile
Returning Production
From 2025
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(OC) Mike Denbrock 3
(DC) Chris Ash 2
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(OC) Mike Denbrock 3
(DC) Chris Ash 2
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Four Year Offense Pts Per Play
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