NC State Team Profile
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NC State Wolfpack (@PackFootball)
Dave Doeren (13th year) (92-68)
Record: 5 - 4 (2 - 3)  |  Proj: 6 - 6 (#72)  |  SOS: (#17)
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NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina-12.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia-3.053.0W 35 - 31OY
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest-7.552.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke+3.057.5L 33 - 45ON
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech-10.057.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell-42.561.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame+23.559.5L 7 - 36UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh+5.552.5L 34 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech+4.558.5W 48 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami+15.555.5
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State+3
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina-11.5

Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7  #72
Schedule Rating:  #17
Record: 5 - 4( ACC: 2 - 3)
Spread Record 4 - 5 - 0 | O/U 6 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #64
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 1 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 0 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 3 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 0 Poor
Future: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 2 Elite, 2 Good, 3 Avg, 3 Bad, 2 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 214 points   #34
2024 class: 225 points   #27
2023 class: 204 points   #40
2022 class: 171 points   #64
2021 class: 202 points   #34

Average Class Ranking:   #40
Average Recruiting Points: 203

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #38 - Best:  #27 Worst:  #64



CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211  #42
Power 4 Class: 225  #42
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 195 points   #41
2019 class: 217 points   #31
2018 class: 221 points   #26
2017 class: 180 points   #53
2016 class: 178 points   #50

Average Class Ranking:   #40
Average Recruiting Points: 198
 

2025 Portal Class  #60 - 14 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #12 - 13 players, 89 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #64 - 6 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #101 - 2 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Kurt Roper (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey20328771%24111978.4
Lex Thomas2633%18003.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers12082566.965
Jayden Scott7143146.169
CJ Bailey6013742.330
Will Wilson185843.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrell Anderson28527418.875
Justin Joly36365510.159
Wesley Grimes22337115.348
Noah Rogers25333213.348
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator D. J. Eliot (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham927341
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)563151
Cian Slone (Tr)4562101
Sean Brown444041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham927341
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)287373
Travali Price174341
Tra Thomas (Tr)194240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall280016
Jamel Johnson (Tr)241005
Jackson Vick281004
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 62%  #36
Offense Returning Production: 71%  #18
Defense Returning Production: 53%  #72

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #60
14 Commits, 85.8 Avg Rating
25% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 20% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00  #43
Offense Talent  #51 | Defense Talent  #30
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #35 | 2021  #34


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 3
Spread: 4 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 3

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

Four Year Record: 28 - 20
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 28 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 9 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 2 - 9 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 7

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

Eight Year Record: 58 - 39
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 42 - 53 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 29

NC State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Go Bowl NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26
2023Tarts Bowl NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
2022Mayo Bowl NC State vs Maryland-2.545.0L 12 - 16
2020Gator Bowl NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23
2018N/A NC State vs Texas A&M+7.558.5L 13 - 52
2017N/A NC State vs Arizona State-5.062.5W 52 - 31
2016Independence Bowl NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17
2015N/A NC State vs Mississippi State+7.0L 28 - 51
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.32 (17)1.43 (6)45% (42)4.64 (18)27 (118)42%39%.24 (116)1.51 (135)39% (32)3.93 (96)31 (118)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (26)1.33 (32)45% (36)3.97 (61)28.9 (73)37%56%.19 (86)1.38 (113)41% (59)3.78 (67)31.3 (117)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025930:1821.342%39%658.11.20.85.31.41
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.82



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense932.436.82744.7% (42)4.64 (18)1.2214391622785.146% (100)53% (36)43% (80)46% (32)16% (86).32 (17)
2025 Defense930.623.439.538.9% (32)3.93 (96)0.8 - - - - - 43% (8)56% (131)35% (12)42% (70)14% (101).24 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1328.53130.845.1% (36)3.97 (61)1.7193451302154.447% (89)52% (48)44% (68)47% (20)19% (122).25 (26)
2024 Defense1330.224.735.540.9% (59)3.78 (67)1.4 - - - - - 47% (33)53% (106)39% (31)43% (87)20% (16).19 (86)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense946% (100)43% (80)31.8161.65.119 (40).17 (42)2.91 (75)71% (78)11% (104)1.11 (21)
2025 Defense943% (8)35% (12) - - - - .13 (88)2.69 (36)61% (17)8% (105)1.22 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (127)0.98 (59)
2024 Defense1347% (33)39% (31) - - - - .2 (111)3.07 (83)76% (86)12% (24)1.28 (134)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense953% (36)46% (32)23.333.4277.88.311.920 (33)8 (119).47 (16)1.7 (24)32% (77)33% (49).44 (29)6% (60)2.2 (26)
2025 Defense956% (131)42% (70) - - - - - - 6 (75).35 (109)1.7 (120)35% (22)30% (81).39 (110)6% (77)2.1 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1352% (48)47% (20)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (83)2.2 (19)
2024 Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (49)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)




Overall
Power Rating  #45 | SP+ Rating  #56
Performance Grade  #58
Special Teams Grade  #80
Record Prediction 6.3 - 5.7  #72
5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Offense
Power  #26 | SP+  #31 | Grade  #41
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Off Success  #42 | Explosivness  #6
Rush Grade  #72 | Pass Grade  #44
Rush Success  #80 | Explosiveness  #21
Pass Success  #32 | Explosiveness  #24
Run Block  #63 | Pass Block  #31
OL YDS  #75 | Stuff Rate  #127
Scoring Zone Off:  #18

Defense
Power  #77 | SP+  #79 | Grade  #78
Def Success  #32 | Explosivness  #135
Rush Success  #12 | Explosiveness  #133
Tackling  #59 | Run Def  #41
Pass Success  #70 | Explosiveness  #120
Pass Rush  #65 | Coverage  #98
F7 Havoc  #105 | DB Havoc  #77
Scoring Zone Def  #96


Roster
Team Talent  #43 Blue Chips: 10%  #39
Offense Talent  #51 Defense Talent  #30
Crootin: '25 Class  #34 - 4 YR Class:  #38
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #60 - 14 players, 86 Avg
25% of Roster from Portal, 20% TY
77 New Players, 81% of '25 Roster  #119

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 32.4 - 30.6 (29 - 30) in '24
Scoring at Home: 37 - 23 | Road: 27 - 40
OC: Kurt Roper - in his first season
DC: D. J. Eliot - in his first season

2025 Record: 5 - 4 (4 - 5 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 3)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (4 - 8 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (7 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 6 - 2)
4 Yr Record: (28 - 20) | 8 Yr Record: (58 - 39)


Notes
RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
Things could go south in a hurry for this program
Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Avg when off Schedule 33%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 63%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
'24 QB CJ Bailey returns
Returning Production: 62%  #36
Offense: 71%  #18 | Defense: 53%  #72
OL Prod: 46%  #96, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2731  #79 | From Portal: 838  #46
Rush Prod: 46%  #85 | Rec Prod: 67%  #35
Def Front Seven: 75% - Secondary: 42%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #56 - Power Rating:  #45
2024 SP+ Overall:  #56 - Power Rating:  #66
2023 SP+ Overall:  #30 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Overall:  #49

#49 #32 #61 #51

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #31 - Power Rating:  #26
2024 SP+ Offense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #43
2023 SP+ Offense:  #69 - Power Rating:  #83
2022 SP+ Offense:  #99

#99 #76 #45 #29

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #79 - Power Rating:  #77
2024 SP+ Defense:  #68 - Power Rating:  #89
2023 SP+ Defense:  #16 - Power Rating:  #17
2022 SP+ Defense:  #13

#13 #17 #79 #78