North Texas Mean Green Team Profile

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North Texas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	North Texas vs Lamar	-16
Fri 9/5	North Texas at Western Michigan	-8
Fri 9/12	North Texas vs Washington State	-5.5
Fri 9/19	North Texas at Army	+7.5
Fri 9/26	North Texas vs South Alabama	+4.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	North Texas vs South Florida	+5.5
Fri 10/17	North Texas vs UTSA	+6
Thu 10/23	North Texas at Charlotte	-12
Fri 10/31	North Texas vs Navy	+1
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14	North Texas at UAB	-4
Fri 11/21	North Texas at Rice	-6
Fri 11/28	North Texas vs Temple	-14

Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 #51
Schedule Rating: #122
Future 2026 Schedule

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Texas at South Alabama	+6.0	61.5	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin	-21.5	72.5	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	North Texas at Texas Tech	+10.5	70.5	L 21 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	North Texas vs Wyoming	-7.0	55.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/28	North Texas vs Tulsa	-7.0	65.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	North Texas at Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 41 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	North Texas at Memphis	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/26	North Texas vs Tulane	+7.5	70.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	North Texas vs Army	+6.5	68.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/15	North Texas at UTSA	+1.0	73.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	North Texas vs East Carolina	-2.5	73.5	L 28 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/30	North Texas at Temple	-10.5	63.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Fri 1/3	North Texas vs Texas State	+15.5	67.5	L 28 - 30	U	Y

2024 Schedule Rating: #91
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (AAC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 8 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5

Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 2 Avg, 3 Bad, 7 Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 5 Poor

Show Past Schedules

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

North Texas's 2022 Schedule
Sat 8/27	North Texas at UTEP	-1.5	52.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/3	North Texas vs SMU	+9.5	67.5	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Texas vs Texas Southern	-38.5	64.5	W 59 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/17	North Texas at UNLV	+2.5	62.5	L 27 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/24	North Texas at Memphis	+13.0	68.5	L 34 - 44	O	Y
Sat 10/1	North Texas vs Florida Atlantic	+3.0	67.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	-6.5	68.0	W 47 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/22	North Texas at UTSA	+10.0	73.0	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/29	North Texas at Western Kentucky	+10.0	70.0	W 40 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	North Texas vs Florida International	-21.0	63.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	North Texas at UAB	+6.5	58.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26	North Texas vs Rice	-14.5	57.0	W 21 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/2	North Texas at UTSA	+8.5	70.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 12/17	North Texas vs Boise State	+12.0	63.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

North Texas's 2020 Schedule
Sat 9/5	North Texas vs Houston Christian	-23.0	74.5	W 57 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	North Texas vs SMU	+15.0	71.5	L 35 - 65	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	North Texas vs Southern Miss	-1.0	74.0	L 31 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/10	North Texas vs Charlotte	+3.0	66.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/17	North Texas at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	70.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	North Texas vs Rice	-2.5	65.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/28	North Texas at UTSA	+1.5	67.0	L 17 - 49	U	N
Thu 12/3	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+1.0	64.5	L 31 - 42	O	N
Fri 12/11	North Texas at UTEP	-10.0	67.0	W 45 - 43	O	N
Mon 12/21	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56	O	N

2025 class: 130 points #110
2024 class: 172 points #70
2023 class: 138 points #96
2022 class: 103 points #118
2021 class: 154 points #80

Average Class Ranking: #95
Average Recruiting Points: 139

Class Averages
American Athletic Class: 129 #103
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 165 points #68
2019 class: 159 points #75
2018 class: 127 points #101
2017 class: 111 points #115
2016 class: 122 points #102

Average Class Ranking: #92
Average Recruiting Points: 137

Offensive Coordinator Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Mestemaker	30	46	65%	462	2	2	10.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)	6	7	86%	20	0	0	2.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makenzie McGill	78	470	10	6.0	75
Kiefer Sibley	44	206	0	4.7	19
Ashaad Clayton	27	198	1	7.3	28
Drew Mestemaker	14	87	1	6.2	70

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)	43	474	5	11.0	64
Miles Coleman	36	378	2	10.5	49
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Wyatt Young	18	295	2	16.4	75

(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Skyler Cassity

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Fields (Tr)	72	6	1	2	1
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1
Quinton Hammonds	52	2	0	1	1
Shane Whitter	49	2	0	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)	26	7	5	3	2
Richard Outland	15	5	3	3	0
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1
Fatafehi Vailea	34	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
David Fisher (Tr)	33	2	6
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)	26	2	4
Taylor Starling	20	2	4

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense Returning Production: 43% #101
Defense Returning Production: 64% #28

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #82
32 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
35% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 47% TY

Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Offense Talent #105 | Defense Talent #78
2024 #81 | 2023 #102 | 2022 #78 | 2021 #79

2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 7 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 5

Four Year Record: 18 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 19 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 13

2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

2020 Record: 4 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 4
Spread: 3 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 3 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 12

Eight Year Record: 41 - 46
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 38 - 48 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 34 - 28

North Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Responder Bowl	North Texas vs Texas State	+15.5	67.5	L 28 - 30
2022	Frisco Bowl	North Texas vs Boise State	+12.0	63.0	L 32 - 35
2021	Frisco Football Classic	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27
2020	Beach Bowl	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56
2018	Mexico Bowl	North Texas vs Utah State	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 52
2017	Orleans Bowl	North Texas vs Troy	+5.5	61.5	L 30 - 50
2016	Dallas Bowl	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38

Power Ranking Stats (2024)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.23 (45)	42% (70)	3.91 (69)	28.4 (87)	36%	48%	.22 (98)	44% (98)	4.03 (93)	32.1 (122)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2023	.28 (28)	45% (42)	4.42 (28)	27.6 (112)	42%	60%	.34 (132)	48% (131)	4.77 (130)	29.5 (75)

More Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	13	25:05 (126)	22.1 (24)	36%	48%	6.3 (99)	52.5 (83)	1.5 (83)	1.1	4.5 (93)	1.7 (75)	1

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2023	12	29:12 (107)	24.8 (23)	42%	60%	4.8 (13)	46.6 (31)	1.6 (77)	1.2	4 (128)	1.4 (120)	0

Overall Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	13	33.5	33.2	34.8	42.5% (70)	3.91 (69)	1.5	22	451	153	298	5.6	38% (129)	62% (6)	40% (109)	44% (39)	15% (47)	.23 (45)
2024 Defense	13	34.2	26	43	44.3% (98)	4.03 (93)	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	54% (105)	46% (26)	47% (106)	42% (79)	11% (133)	.22 (98)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2023 Offense	12	34.5	37.8	31.2	44.7% (42)	4.42 (28)	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45% (105)	54% (29)	46% (37)	44% (42)	17% (86)	.28 (28)
2023 Defense	12	37.1	37.8	36.3	48.5% (131)	4.77 (130)	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60% (133)	39% (1)	51% (129)	46% (120)	11% (132)	.34 (132)

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	13	38% (129)	40% (109)	27.6	153.2	5.6	22 (55)	.17 (44)	2.75 (111)	58% (128)	9% (51)	1.25 (4)
2024 Defense	13	54% (105)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.19 (102)	3.29 (111)	75% (74)	7% (128)	0.96 (54)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2023 Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)
2023 Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	13	62% (6)	44% (39)	25.2	39.8	298	7.5	11.9	31 (6)	12 (85)	.26 (64)	1.6 (60)	33% (88)	34% (35)	.35 (64)	6% (71)	2 (93)
2024 Defense	13	46% (26)	42% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.29 (98)	1.7 (94)	31% (90)	30% (72)	.31 (69)	4% (128)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2023 Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)
2023 Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)

Team Notes (3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr) ❌
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds ❌
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU) ❌
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC ❌
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC ❌

Injury Notes

Staff/Schedule Notes (3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before ❌

Power Ratings Overall: -8.60 #90
Offense: 9.28 #95
Defense: 17.88 #87
SP+ Overall: -6.7 #92
SP+ Offense: 30.5 #37
SP+ Defense: 37.3 #123

Returning Prod UNT lost their '24 starting QB (13%) #112
Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense: 43% #101 | Defense: 64% #28
OL Prod: 44% #102, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2994 #61 | From Portal: 1073 #38
Rush Prod: 43% #88 | Rec Prod: 44% #76
Def Front Seven: 50% - Secondary: 72%

Roster Team Talent #85 Blue Chips: 1% #83
Offense Talent #105 Defense Talent #78
Crootin Class #110 - 4 YR Rank #95
Portal Class #82 - 32 players, 83 Avg
35% of Roster from Portal, 47% TY
52 New Players, 61% of '25 Roster #124

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 #51
Schedule Rating: -118 #122
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 7

Scoring Scoring: 33.5 - 34.2 (35 - 37) in '24
Scoring at Home: 33 - 26 | Road: 35 - 43
OC: Jordan Davis - been OC for 3 years
DC: Skyler Cassity - in his first season

Records 2024 Record: 6 - 7 (5 - 8 - 0) (AAC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (6 - 5 - 1) (AAC: 3 - 5)
2022 Record: 7 - 7 (8 - 6 - 0) (AAC: 6 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (18 - 21) | 8 Yr Record: (41 - 46)

'24 OffenseVery Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Good when off Schedule 34%

'24 DefenseAvg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Team NotesQB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC