North Texas Team Profile
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North Texas Mean Green (@MeanGreenFB)
Eric Morris (3rd year) (18-14)
Record: 7 - 1 (3 - 1)  |  Proj: 10 - 2 (#13)  |  SOS: (#103)
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North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-2.550.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13.563.5W 36 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-2.568.5L 36 - 63ON
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-4.064.5W 55 - 17OY
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-25.560.5W 54 - 20OY
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-6.566.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-13
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-10.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-10.5

Record Prediction: 10.0 - 2.0  #13
Schedule Rating:  #103
Record: 7 - 1( AAC: 3 - 1)
Spread Record 6 - 2 - 0 | O/U 6 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas at South Alabama+6.061.5W 52 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin-21.572.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 North Texas at Texas Tech+10.570.5L 21 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs Wyoming-7.055.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Tulsa-7.065.5W 52 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 41 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas at Memphis+10.567.5L 44 - 52OY
Sat 10/26 North Texas vs Tulane+7.570.5L 37 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 North Texas vs Army+6.568.0L 3 - 14UN
Fri 11/15 North Texas at UTSA+1.073.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 North Texas vs East Carolina-2.573.5L 28 - 40UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas at Temple-10.563.5W 24 - 17UN
Fri 1/3 North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30UY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #91
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (AAC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 8 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 4 Bad, 5 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 3 Bad, 3 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 2Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 5 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 130 points   #110
2024 class: 172 points   #70
2023 class: 138 points   #96
2022 class: 103 points   #118
2021 class: 154 points   #80

Average Class Ranking:   #95
Average Recruiting Points: 139

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average G5
4 Year Class:  #96 - Best:  #70 Worst:  #118



CFB Crootin Averages
American Athletic Class: 129  #103
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 165 points   #68
2019 class: 159 points   #75
2018 class: 127 points   #101
2017 class: 111 points   #115
2016 class: 122 points   #102

Average Class Ranking:   #92
Average Recruiting Points: 137
 

2025 Portal Class  #82 - 32 players, 83 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #63 - 21 players, 85 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #110 - 10 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #80 - 9 players, 82 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Jordan Davis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker19528868%24582148.5
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins8853776.137
Makenzie McGill7538955.227
Kiefer Sibley2821057.545
Jayden Becks (Tr)218724.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young35586716.770
Cameron Dorner31441414.241
Miles Coleman30320110.754
Landon Sides20295114.860
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Whitter572060
Trey Fields (Tr)554132
Ethan Wesloski517240
Will Jones II (Tr)402011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Day (Tr)296430
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)156400
Joshua Pierce (Tr)92200
Zhaiylen Scott142230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)221015
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)370002
Quinton Hammonds354112
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 53%  #78
Offense Returning Production: 43%  #101
Defense Returning Production: 64%  #28

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #82
32 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 44% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00  #91
Offense Talent  #102 | Defense Talent  #82
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #78 | 2021  #79


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 7 - 1
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 1
Spread: 6 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 2

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 7 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 5

Four Year Record: 25 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 25 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

2020 Record: 4 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 4
Spread: 3 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 3 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 12

Eight Year Record: 48 - 47
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 44 - 50 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 37 - 29

North Texas Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Responder Bowl North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30
2022Frisco Bowl North Texas vs Boise State+12.063.0L 32 - 35
2021Frisco Football Classic North Texas vs Miami (OH)+2.056.5L 14 - 27
2020Beach Bowl North Texas vs App State+21.567.5L 28 - 56
2018Mexico Bowl North Texas vs Utah State+7.067.5L 13 - 52
2017Orleans Bowl North Texas vs Troy+5.561.5L 30 - 50
2016Dallas Bowl North Texas vs Army+9.547.0L 31 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.29 (20)1.31 (30)48% (24)4.91 (13)36.4 (2)45%61%.15 (70)1.17 (38)42% (80)3.97 (88)28 (67)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.23 (45)1.47 (4)42% (70)3.91 (69)28.4 (87)36%48%.22 (98)1.26 (62)44% (98)4.03 (93)32.1 (122)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025829:3026.345%61%5.948.41.32.162.40
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.71



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense846.147.44447.7% (24)4.91 (13)1.3264941783165.144% (112)55% (26)49% (16)47% (29)12% (19).29 (20)
2025 Defense82522.429.342.1% (80)3.97 (88)2.1 - - - - - 61% (135)39% (2)45% (105)37% (30)15% (92).15 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1333.533.234.842.5% (70)3.91 (69)1.5224511532985.638% (129)62% (6)40% (109)44% (39)15% (47).23 (45)
2024 Defense1334.2264344.3% (98)4.03 (93)1.1 - - - - - 54% (105)46% (26)47% (106)42% (79)11% (133).22 (98)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense844% (112)49% (16)34.9177.65.126 (1).25 (19)3.54 (4)80% (21)7% (24)1.09 (24)
2025 Defense861% (135)45% (105) - - - - .13 (97)3.03 (103)73% (79)11% (42)0.98 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
2024 Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense855% (26)47% (29)25.137.3316.48.512.622 (8)4 (20).36 (36)1.5 (82)27% (19)34% (48).46 (29)4% (30)2.1 (26)
2025 Defense839% (2)37% (30) - - - - - - 7 (31).17 (47)1.5 (77)29% (105)30% (72).2 (36)4% (126)1.7 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
2024 Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)




Overall
Power Rating  #85 | SP+ Rating  #32
Performance Grade  #14
Special Teams Grade  #31
Record Prediction 10.0 - 2.0  #13
5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Offense
Power  #59 | SP+  #5 | Grade  #13
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Off Success  #24 | Explosivness  #30
Rush Grade  #10 | Pass Grade  #8
Rush Success  #16 | Explosiveness  #24
Pass Success  #29 | Explosiveness  #82
Run Block  #21 | Pass Block  #34
OL YDS  #4 | Stuff Rate  #8
Scoring Zone Off:  #13

Defense
Power  #106 | SP+  #87 | Grade  #28
Def Success  #80 | Explosivness  #38
Rush Success  #105 | Explosiveness  #81
Tackling  #2 | Run Def  #50
Pass Success  #30 | Explosiveness  #77
Pass Rush  #73 | Coverage  #26
F7 Havoc  #42 | DB Havoc  #126
Scoring Zone Def  #88


Roster
Team Talent  #91 Blue Chips: 0%  #101
Offense Talent  #102 Defense Talent  #82
Crootin: '25 Class  #110 - 4 YR Class:  #96
Profile: Declining Average G5
Portal Class  #82 - 32 players, 83 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 44% TY
70 New Players, 78% of '25 Roster  #106

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 46.1 - 25 (34 - 34) in '24
Scoring at Home: 47 - 22 | Road: 44 - 29
OC: Jordan Davis - been OC for 3 years
DC: Skyler Cassity - in his first season

2025 Record: 7 - 1 (6 - 2 - 0) (AAC: 3 - 1)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (5 - 8 - 0) (AAC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (6 - 5 - 1) (AAC: 3 - 5)
4 Yr Record: (25 - 22) | 8 Yr Record: (48 - 47)


Notes
37-0 closing run vs Char, Mestemaker 600+ yds
UNT has allowed 200+ yds rushing 3 straight games
NT Fatafehi Vailea II out for season, big loss
DBs much better than F7, DL issues esp vs run
Best Tackling grade via PFF into USF game
Off on a tear, rFr QB Mestemaker brilliant start
Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
 
'25 Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.91 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 73%
Avg when off Schedule 34%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
UNT lost their '24 starting QB (13%)  #106
Returning Production: 53%  #78
Offense: 43%  #101 | Defense: 64%  #28
OL Prod: 26%  #129, 1 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2030  #103 | From Portal: 1073  #37
Rush Prod: 56%  #63 | Rec Prod: 47%  #77
Def Front Seven: 33% - Secondary: 73%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #32 - Power Rating:  #85
2024 SP+ Overall:  #89 - Power Rating:  #98
2023 SP+ Overall:  #88 - Power Rating:  #90
2022 SP+ Overall:  #73

#73 #89 #94 #59

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #5 - Power Rating:  #59
2024 SP+ Offense:  #27 - Power Rating:  #70
2023 SP+ Offense:  #30 - Power Rating:  #27
2022 SP+ Offense:  #52

#52 #29 #49 #32

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #87 - Power Rating:  #106
2024 SP+ Defense:  #121 - Power Rating:  #105
2023 SP+ Defense:  #133 - Power Rating:  #131
2022 SP+ Defense:  #99

#99 #132 #113 #97