NC State Team Profile
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NC State Wolfpack (@PackFootball)
Dave Doeren (13th year) (94-69)
Record: 7 - 5 (4 - 4)  |  Proj: 7 - 5 (#58)  |  SOS: (#20)
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NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina-12.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia-3.053.0W 35 - 31OY
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest-7.552.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke+3.057.5L 33 - 45ON
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech-10.057.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell-42.561.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame+23.559.5L 7 - 36UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh+5.552.5L 34 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech+4.558.5W 48 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami+16.554.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State+7.058.5W 21 - 11UY
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina-7.048.5W 42 - 19OY

Record Prediction: 7.0 - 5.0  #58
Schedule Rating:  #20
Record: 7 - 5( ACC: 4 - 4)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 7 - 5
Future 2026 Schedule

NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #64
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 1 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Played: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 205 points   #49
2025 class: 214 points   #34
2024 class: 225 points   #27
2023 class: 204 points   #40
2022 class: 171 points   #64

Average Class Ranking:   #43
Average Recruiting Points: 204

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #38 - Best:  #27 Worst:  #64



CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211  #42
Power 4 Class: 225  #42
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 202 points   #34
2020 class: 195 points   #41
2019 class: 217 points   #31
2018 class: 221 points   #26
2017 class: 180 points   #53

Average Class Ranking:   #37
Average Recruiting Points: 203
 

2025 Portal Class  #60 - 14 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #12 - 13 players, 89 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #64 - 6 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #101 - 2 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Kurt Roper (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey25937270%28842397.8
Lex Thomas2633%18003.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers16093965.965
Jayden Scott8748745.669
CJ Bailey8221552.630
Will Wilson3914593.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrell Anderson38637516.875
Justin Joly47468710.059
Wesley Grimes28410214.648
Noah Rogers29376213.048
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator D. J. Eliot (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham1308443
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)683152
Asaad Brown Jr.570002
Cian Slone (Tr)5672161
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham1308443
Travali Price225441
Tra Thomas (Tr)235340
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)3873123
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall4200114
Jackson Vick421005
Jamel Johnson (Tr)271005
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 62%  #36
Offense Returning Production: 71%  #18
Defense Returning Production: 53%  #72

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #60
14 Commits, 85.8 Avg Rating
25% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 20% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00  #43
Offense Talent  #51 | Defense Talent  #30
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #35 | 2021  #34


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 7 - 5
2025 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

Four Year Record: 30 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 21 - 29 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 17 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 9 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 2 - 9 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 7

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

Eight Year Record: 60 - 40
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 44 - 54 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 40 - 30

NC State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Go Bowl NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26
2023Tarts Bowl NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
2022Mayo Bowl NC State vs Maryland-2.545.0L 12 - 16
2020Gator Bowl NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23
2018N/A NC State vs Texas A&M+7.558.5L 13 - 52
2017N/A NC State vs Arizona State-5.062.5W 52 - 31
2016Independence Bowl NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17
2015N/A NC State vs Mississippi State+7.0L 28 - 51
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.28 (21)1.36 (16)44% (54)4.72 (10)27.7 (102)41%54%.23 (111)1.45 (134)40% (42)3.85 (87)29.9 (97)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (26)1.33 (32)45% (36)3.97 (61)28.9 (73)37%56%.19 (86)1.38 (113)41% (59)3.78 (67)31.3 (117)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251230:0920.741%54%5.553.61.11.14.81.51
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.82



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1230.235.32344.2% (54)4.72 (10)1.1213971502484.647% (89)52% (44)44% (64)44% (44)16% (74).28 (21)
2025 Defense1228.82139.839.7% (42)3.85 (87)1.1 - - - - - 43% (4)56% (133)37% (18)42% (65)14% (99).23 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1328.53130.845.1% (36)3.97 (61)1.7193451302154.447% (89)52% (48)44% (68)47% (20)19% (122).25 (26)
2024 Defense1330.224.735.540.9% (59)3.78 (67)1.4 - - - - - 47% (33)53% (106)39% (31)43% (87)20% (16).19 (86)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1247% (89)44% (64)32.5149.74.625 (40).19 (35)2.94 (69)75% (49)10% (95)1.09 (21)
2025 Defense1243% (4)37% (18) - - - - .13 (89)2.83 (59)65% (28)8% (118)1.13 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (127)0.98 (59)
2024 Defense1347% (33)39% (31) - - - - .2 (111)3.07 (83)76% (86)12% (24)1.28 (134)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1252% (44)44% (44)22.232.3247.87.711.224 (33)10 (119).39 (30)1.6 (38)32% (76)32% (54).37 (43)6% (59)2 (75)
2025 Defense1256% (133)42% (65) - - - - - - 8 (75).33 (104)1.7 (115)34% (22)31% (89).39 (114)7% (46)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1352% (48)47% (20)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (83)2.2 (19)
2024 Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (49)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)




Overall
Power Rating  #51 | SP+ Rating  #61
Performance Grade  #73
Special Teams Grade  #78
Record Prediction 7.0 - 5.0  #58
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5

5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Offense
Power  #31 | SP+  #47 | Grade  #51
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Off Success  #54 | Explosivness  #16
Rush Grade  #57 | Pass Grade  #79
Rush Success  #64 | Explosiveness  #21
Pass Success  #44 | Explosiveness  #38
Run Block  #67 | Pass Block  #56
OL YDS  #69 | Stuff Rate  #113
Scoring Zone Off:  #10

Defense
Power  #80 | SP+  #73 | Grade  #90
Def Success  #42 | Explosivness  #134
Rush Success  #18 | Explosiveness  #127
Tackling  #56 | Run Def  #61
Pass Success  #65 | Explosiveness  #115
Pass Rush  #68 | Coverage  #97
F7 Havoc  #118 | DB Havoc  #46
DL YDS  #59 | Def Stuff Rate  #62
Scoring Zone Def  #87


Roster
Team Talent  #43 Blue Chips: 10%  #39
Offense Talent  #51 Defense Talent  #30
Crootin: '25 Class  #49 - 4 YR Class:  #38
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #60 - 14 players, 86 Avg
25% of Roster from Portal, 20% TY
77 New Players, 81% of '25 Roster  #119

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 30.2 - 28.8 (29 - 30) in '25
Scoring at Home: 35 - 21 | Road: 23 - 40
OC: Kurt Roper - in his first season
DC: D. J. Eliot - in his first season

2025 Record: 7 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (4 - 8 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (7 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 6 - 2)
4 Yr Record: (30 - 21) | 8 Yr Record: (60 - 40)


Notes
Fr QB W Wilson got designed runs in FSU game
RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
Things could go south in a hurry for this program
Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.72 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Avg when off Schedule 32%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 31%

Returning Prod
'24 QB CJ Bailey returns
Returning Production: 62%  #36
Offense: 71%  #18 | Defense: 53%  #72
OL Prod: 46%  #96, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2731  #79 | From Portal: 838  #46
Rush Prod: 46%  #85 | Rec Prod: 67%  #35
Def Front Seven: 75% - Secondary: 42%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #61 - Power Rating:  #51
2024 SP+ Overall:  #56 - Power Rating:  #66
2023 SP+ Overall:  #30 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Overall:  #49

#49 #32 #61 #56

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #31
2024 SP+ Offense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #43
2023 SP+ Offense:  #69 - Power Rating:  #83
2022 SP+ Offense:  #99

#99 #76 #45 #39

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #73 - Power Rating:  #80
2024 SP+ Defense:  #68 - Power Rating:  #89
2023 SP+ Defense:  #16 - Power Rating:  #17
2022 SP+ Defense:  #13

#13 #17 #79 #77