
Iowa Hawkeyes (@HawkeyeFootball)
Vegas Win Total: 7.5 | Proj: 8 - 4 (#31) | SOS: (#44)

The dominant spring narrative at Iowa is the QB battle between Jeremy Hecklinski and Hank Brown, with Ferentz splitting first-team reps evenly and refusing to name a frontrunner — but late-April video coverage is flagging that one candidate may be starting to separate, and the framing of a 'different QB' stylistically is the most intriguing offensive signal the program has sent in years. The biggest structural concern is a WR room identified by multiple outlets as a years-long deficiency that no portal class has solved, compounded by Iowa replacing 17 starters total (64th of 68 P4 teams in returning production) and bringing in an entirely portal-assembled front seven under DC Phil Parker. The defensive floor is stabilized by CB Zach Lutmer's confirmed return and Kenneth Merrieweather anchoring a rebuilt DL, while the offensive floor leans on DJ Vonnahme (PFF top-5 TE nationally), the Lauck/Pieper OL pairing (both PFF top-10), and Kamari Moulton leading a functional run game — which is either Iowa being Iowa or Iowa coping, depending on your outlook. Iowa projects as a Top 25 program (#21 power rating, #15 defense) but faces road Michigan and home Ohio State before October, which will stress-test whether this rebuild is ahead of schedule or just a very good defensive team waiting for an offense to catch up. Kirk Ferentz has built 213 wins on developmental patience, and 2026 may be the year that model is tested more severely than any season in recent memory.
Key Storylines
- QB battle: Jeremy Hecklinski vs. Hank Brown remains fully unresolved with Ferentz splitting first-team reps evenly through spring and explicitly declining to rush the decision — no starter until August, but late April video coverage suggests one candidate may be separating, signaling a potential stylistic departure from Iowa's recent QB profile
- Historic turnover scale: 17 of 22 starters replaced (8 offense, 9 defense), ranking 64th of 68 P4 programs in returning production — CB Zach Lutmer's confirmed return is the most significant defensive retention news of the offseason, and the safety room remains unsettled after Koen Entringer entered the transfer portal
- WR room is a structural, multi-year problem with no clean resolution: portal additions Tony Diaz and Evan James are the top options but represent G6 provenance, and with Iowa running 55% of the time the WR group risks being exposed in the early Big Ten schedule against elite defenses
- Offensive floor is more stable than the rebuild number suggests: DJ Vonnahme (PFF top-5 TE nationally), Trevor Lauck and Kade Pieper (both PFF top-10 OL), and the Moulton/Phillips Jr. RB tandem give OC Tim Lester foundational pieces to build around despite widespread roster youth
- Week 4-5 schedule gauntlet (at Michigan +6.5, home vs Ohio State +14) arrives before this roster has had time to fully cohese — Iowa's soft non-conference opening (NIU -30, Northern Iowa -31) provides wins but the Big Ten reality sets in fast, and a 1-2 start in conference would quickly reframe the season
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/5 | Iowa vs Northern Illinois | -30 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/12 | Iowa vs Iowa State | -13 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/19 | Iowa vs Northern Iowa | -31 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/26 | Iowa at Michigan | +7 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/3 | Iowa vs Ohio State | +14.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/10 | Iowa at Washington | +6 | — | — | — | — |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/24 | Iowa at Minnesota | -4.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 10/31 | Iowa vs Wisconsin | -14 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/7 | Iowa at Northwestern | -8 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/14 | Iowa vs Purdue | -18.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 11/21 | Iowa at Illinois | -1.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Fri 11/27 | Iowa vs Nebraska | -9 | — | — | — | — |
Schedule Rating: #44
Future 2027 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Iowa vs UAlbany | -39.5W34–7 | 48.5 | W34–7 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Iowa at Iowa State | +3.0L13–16 | 43.0 | L13–16 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/13 | Iowa vs Massachusetts | -35.5W47–7 | 44.5 | W47–7 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/19 | Iowa at Rutgers | -2.5W38–28 | 46.5 | W38–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | Iowa vs Indiana | +9.5L15–20 | 47.5 | L15–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Iowa at Wisconsin | -5.5W37–0 | 37.5 | W37–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Iowa vs Penn State | -3.5W25–24 | 41.5 | W25–24 | O | N |
| Sat 10/25 | Iowa vs Minnesota | -7.5W41–3 | 39.5 | W41–3 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Iowa vs Oregon | +4.5L16–18 | 41.5 | L16–18 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Iowa at USC | +6.5L21–26 | 48.5 | L21–26 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | Iowa vs Michigan State | -17.5W20–17 | 43.0 | W20–17 | U | N |
| Fri 11/28 | Iowa at Nebraska | -5.5W40–16 | 38.5 | W40–16 | O | Y |
| Wed 12/31 | Iowa vs Vanderbilt | +3.0W34–27 | 47.5 | W34–27 | O | Y |
2025 Record: 9 - 4 (B1G: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 9 - 3 - 1 | O/U 6 - 7
2025 class: 208 points #39
2024 class: 215 points #27
2023 class: 204 points #40
2022 class: 214 points #32
Average Class Ranking: #33
Average Recruiting Points: 214
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #32 - Best: #26 Worst: #40
CFB Crootin Averages
Big Ten Class: 231 #38
Power 4 Class: 229 #38
FBS Class: 198 #70
2020 class: 208 points #30
2019 class: 201 points #34
2018 class: 203 points #30
2017 class: 191 points #37
Average Class Ranking: #30
Average Recruiting Points: 204
2026 Portal Class #64 - 15 players, 85 Avg
2025 Portal Class #56 - 9 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #129 - 4 players, 85 Avg
2023 Portal Class #47 - 7 players, 89 Avg
2022 Portal Class #126 - 1 players, 87 Avg
2021 Portal Class #17 - 19 players, 88 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Brown | 11 | 21 | 52% | 107 | 1 | 1 | 5.1 |
| Jeremy Hecklinski | 2 | 2 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Phillips Jr. (Tr) | 281 | 1860 | 19 | 6.6 | 67 |
| Kamari Moulton | 170 | 878 | 5 | 5.2 | 34 |
| Xavier Williams | 49 | 285 | 3 | 5.8 | 43 |
| Nathan Mcneil | 37 | 169 | 0 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Diaz (Tr) | 67 | 881 | 11 | 13.1 | 75 |
| Evan James (Tr) | 65 | 796 | 7 | 12.2 | 61 |
| DJ Vonnahme | 29 | 434 | 3 | 15.0 | 51 |
| Reece Vander Zee | 15 | 219 | 2 | 14.6 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Lutmer | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Tyler Brown (Tr) | 71 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Jayden Montgomery | 44 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Deshaun Lee | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Ingold (Tr) | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Zach Lutmer | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Tyler Brown (Tr) | 71 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Kahmari Brown (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Lutmer | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Deshaun Lee | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Tyler Brown (Tr) | 71 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Overall Returning Production: 58% #107
Offense Returning Production: 59% #105
Defense Returning Production: 57% #90
Iowa's Official Roster
2026 Portal Class #64
15 Commits, 85.3 Avg Rating
20% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 15% TY
2026 Talent Rating: 842.00 #37
Offense Talent #38 | Defense Talent #38
2025 #41 | 2024 #20 | 2023 #22 | 2022 #36
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2025 Record: 9 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 3 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4
2023 Record: 10 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 2 - 12
Four Year Record: 27 - 13
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 17 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 19 - 9
2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
2021 Record: 10 - 4
2021 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 8
2020 Record: 6 - 2
2020 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 5 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 5
2019 Record: 10 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 61 - 27
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 46 - 38 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 50 - 21
| Iowa Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2025 | Reliaquest Bowl | Iowa vs Vanderbilt | +3.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 27 |
| 2024 | City Bowl | Iowa vs Missouri | +1.0 | 41.0 | L 24 - 27 |
| 2023 | Citrus Bowl | Iowa vs Tennessee | +4.5 | 37.0 | L 0 - 35 |
| 2022 | City Bowl | Iowa vs Kentucky | -3.0 | 31.5 | W 21 - 0 |
| 2021 | Citrus Bowl | Iowa vs Kentucky | +3.0 | 43.5 | L 17 - 20 |
| 2019 | Holiday Bowl | Iowa vs USC | +1.5 | 54.5 | W 49 - 24 |
| 2018 | Outback Bowl | Iowa vs Mississippi State | +7.0 | 40.0 | W 27 - 22 |
| 2017 | Pinstripe Bowl | Iowa vs Boston College | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 27 - 20 |
| 2016 | Outback Bowl | Iowa vs Florida | +2.0 | 41.0 | L 3 - 30 |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .17 (73) | 1.12 (132) | 44% (45) | 4.44 (20) | 33.3 (6) | 43% | 67% | .08 (26) | 1.13 (8) | 39% (29) | 3.34 (38) | 26.6 (15) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .14 (100) | 1.2 (110) | 42% (72) | 3.77 (84) | 33.6 (7) | 41% | 50% | .11 (30) | 1.09 (4) | 42% (72) | 3.37 (27) | 24.9 (2) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 31:27 | 17.5 | 43% | 67% | 3 | 30.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 5 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 27:05 | 15.4 | 41% | 50% | 2.8 | 26.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 29.3 | 28.3 | 29.8 | 44.5% (45) | 4.44 (20) | 1 | 17 | 320 | 177 | 143 | 4.6 | 60% (12) | 38% (126) | 48% (16) | 39% (97) | 11% (6) | .17 (73) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 16.1 | 13.7 | 17.2 | 38.5% (29) | 3.34 (38) | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% (45) | 50% (91) | 41% (54) | 37% (25) | 17% (42) | .08 (26) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 27.7 | 33.1 | 20.8 | 42.3% (72) | 3.77 (84) | 0.8 | 15 | 306 | 185 | 121 | 5.2 | 62% (7) | 37% (129) | 44% (63) | 40% (94) | 13% (31) | .14 (100) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 17.8 | 13 | 22.8 | 42% (72) | 3.37 (27) | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% (17) | 54% (118) | 46% (97) | 39% (51) | 17% (51) | .11 (30) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 60% (12) | 48% (16) | 38.8 | 176.9 | 4.6 | 28 (23) | .19 (34) | 3.29 (15) | 81% (10) | 8% (32) | 0.9 (98) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 48% (45) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .08 (53) | 2.92 (75) | 69% (50) | 10% (52) | 0.89 (33) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 62% (7) | 44% (63) | 35.5 | 185 | 5.2 | 29 (18) | .13 (71) | 2.92 (89) | 62% (120) | 10% (76) | 1.02 (47) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (17) | 46% (97) | - | - | - | - | .07 (38) | 3.07 (84) | 84% (126) | 10% (68) | 0.68 (1) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 38% (126) | 39% (97) | 13.8 | 22 | 143.2 | 6.5 | 10.3 | 12 (128) | 8 (60) | .24 (71) | 1.5 (68) | 27% (15) | 26% (112) | .2 (110) | 3% (4) | 1.9 (92) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 50% (91) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (38) | .16 (30) | 1.4 (8) | 29% (105) | 24% (10) | .22 (41) | 7% (32) | 2 (52) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 37% (129) | 40% (94) | 11.5 | 18.6 | 121.5 | 6.5 | 10.6 | 9 (128) | 7 (26) | .21 (93) | 1.5 (93) | 26% (4) | 28% (99) | .2 (108) | 3% (7) | 2 (72) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 54% (118) | 39% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .18 (39) | 1.5 (36) | 32% (76) | 28% (36) | .24 (39) | 7% (27) | 1.8 (7) |
(4/2) OG Kade Peiper + OT Trevor Lauck both PFF top 10 ❌
(4/2) TE DJ Vonnahme rated top 5 in CFB via PFF ❌
(4/2) WR can Tony Diaz (Rio GV) or James (Furman) help? ❌
(2/1) 64th (of 68) in P4 Returning Production. Rebuild? ❌
(2/1) QB1? H. Brown vs J. Hecklinski (both '25 Portals) ❌
(2/1) RB Moulton (RB1 LY) + Phillips (SD Portal, 1.8K) ❌
(2/1) OL 2 starters back but good depth w some exp ❌
(2/1) DL 4 G5/FCS portal adds. V Green but has parts ❌
(2/1) LB 1 back, good talented depth but unproven ❌
(2/1) CBs are great, took 4 portals at S (3 starters) ❌
Overall
Team Info
2025 Record
B1G 6 - 3
5 Year Profile
'26 Profile
Returning Production
From 2025
Roster
Talent Info
Talent Profile
(OC) Tim Lester 3
(DC) Phil Parker 3
2026 Schedule
Information
Win History
Notes
Live Team Notes
Roster Experience
Snaps & Starter Info
Snaps Returning
Upperclass
Portals
Top '26 Incoming Portals
Top Players
Top Performers on Roster
Recruits
Top '26 Incoming Recruits
Overall
Four Year Ratings Profile
Offense
Four Year Ratings Profile
Defense
Four Year Ratings Profile
Offense
2025 Ratings
OLine
Misc
Defense
2025 Ratings
Misc
Scoring
Net Efficiency
Pts Per Drive
Pts Per Play
(OC) Tim Lester 3
(DC) Phil Parker 3
Records
Offense
Four Year Offense Pts Per Play
Defense
Four Year Defense Pts Per Play
Overall
Four Year Net Pts Per Play