Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis

Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis | Punt and Rally

Teams ranked by ATS cover percentage at home. The spread equalizes talent, so consistently beating it = real home field advantage.

Overall Home ATS Home Underdogs Win Rate vs ATS Year-over-Year Trends Conference Breakdown

Last 10 Years (2016–2025) Last 5 Years (2021–2025) Last 2 Years (2024–2025) 2025

#	Team	Conf	Games	ATS Record	ATS % ▲	Avg Margin vs Spread
1	Army	American Athletic	5	0-5	0.0%	-8.00
2	Louisville	ACC	8	1-7	12.5%	-1.63
3	Auburn	SEC	7	1-6	14.3%	-3.57
4	Baylor	Big 12	7	1-6	14.3%	-5.93
5	Clemson	ACC	7	1-6	14.3%	-10.71
6	Air Force	Mountain West	6	1-5	16.7%	-4.75
7	Arkansas	SEC	6	1-5	16.7%	-10.50
8	Charlotte	American Athletic	6	1-5	16.7%	-7.33
9	Georgia State	Sun Belt	6	1-5	16.7%	-5.42
10	Liberty	Conference USA	6	1-5	16.7%	-2.00
11	Massachusetts	Mid-American	6	1-5	16.7%	-15.17
12	Michigan State	Big Ten	6	1-5	16.7%	-8.33
13	Nevada	Mountain West	6	1-5	16.7%	-0.92
14	Northern Illinois	Mid-American	6	1-5	16.7%	-5.00
15	UAB	American Athletic	6	1-5	16.7%	-3.58
16	UCLA	Big Ten	6	1-5	16.7%	-11.67
17	UTEP	Conference USA	6	1-5	16.7%	-4.58
18	Syracuse	ACC	6	1-4-1	20.0%	-12.00
19	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	5	1-4	20.0%	-5.30
20	Texas A&M	SEC	8	2-6	25.0%	-4.25
21	Colorado State	Mountain West	7	2-5	28.6%	-10.71
22	LSU	SEC	7	2-5	28.6%	-9.21
23	Penn State	Big Ten	7	2-5	28.6%	-3.00
24	Rice	American Athletic	7	2-5	28.6%	-4.79
25	Tennessee	SEC	7	2-5	28.6%	-5.57
26	Virginia Tech	ACC	7	2-5	28.6%	-9.21
27	App State	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.25
28	Bowling Green	Mid-American	6	2-4	33.3%	-4.58
29	Buffalo	Mid-American	7	2-4-1	33.3%	-6.64
30	California	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-1.42
31	Duke	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.25
32	Kansas State	Big 12	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.00
33	Michigan	Big Ten	6	2-4	33.3%	-0.42
34	Navy	American Athletic	6	2-4	33.3%	-2.25
35	North Carolina	ACC	6	2-4	33.3%	-4.25
36	San José State	Mountain West	6	2-4	33.3%	-9.08
37	South Alabama	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-7.50
38	Texas State	Sun Belt	6	2-4	33.3%	-3.08
39	UNLV	Mountain West	6	2-4	33.3%	-0.42
40	Oklahoma	SEC	8	3-5	37.5%	-3.44
41	Arizona State	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-5.00
42	Boston College	ACC	7	3-4	42.9%	-1.29
43	Cincinnati	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	+2.14
44	Georgia	SEC	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.71
45	Kansas	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.14
46	Maryland	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.07
47	Minnesota	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	+7.79
48	Nebraska	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	+2.29
49	Oklahoma State	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.64
50	Oregon State	Pac-12	7	3-4	42.9%	-7.79
51	Purdue	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-2.36
52	South Carolina	SEC	7	3-4	42.9%	-4.57
53	UCF	Big 12	7	3-4	42.9%	+5.57
54	Wisconsin	Big Ten	7	3-4	42.9%	-3.79
55	Akron	Mid-American	6	3-3	50.0%	+8.42
56	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	-3.83
57	Delaware	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.17
58	East Carolina	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.67
59	Florida	SEC	6	3-3	50.0%	-0.50
60	Fresno State	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	+2.17
61	Houston	Big 12	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.75
62	Louisiana	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.42
63	Middle Tennessee	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	-10.67
64	New Mexico	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	-1.17
65	New Mexico State	Conference USA	6	3-3	50.0%	+4.75
66	Old Dominion	Sun Belt	6	3-3	50.0%	+8.17
67	SMU	ACC	6	3-3	50.0%	+2.42
68	Temple	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	-2.67
69	Texas	SEC	6	3-3	50.0%	+0.58
70	Tulane	American Athletic	7	3-3-1	50.0%	+2.93
71	Tulsa	American Athletic	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.08
72	Wyoming	Mountain West	6	3-3	50.0%	+3.17
73	Colorado	Big 12	7	4-3	57.1%	-4.79
74	Indiana	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+12.86
75	Iowa	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+1.79
76	James Madison	Sun Belt	7	4-3	57.1%	+7.43
77	Kentucky	SEC	7	4-3	57.1%	+5.36
78	Notre Dame	FBS Independents	7	4-3	57.1%	+4.64
79	Pittsburgh	ACC	7	4-3	57.1%	+4.14
80	Rutgers	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	-0.36
81	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	7	4-3	57.1%	-0.29
82	USC	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+7.00
83	Washington	Big Ten	7	4-3	57.1%	+8.43
84	Iowa State	Big 12	6	3-2-1	60.0%	+7.42
85	Kent State	Mid-American	5	3-2	60.0%	+11.90
86	Miami	ACC	8	5-3	62.5%	+4.13
87	Missouri	SEC	8	5-3	62.5%	+3.50
88	Oregon	Big Ten	8	5-3	62.5%	+2.88
89	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+1.08
90	Florida International	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	-2.42
91	Georgia Tech	ACC	6	4-2	66.7%	+0.58
92	Jacksonville State	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	+7.92
93	Marshall	Sun Belt	6	4-2	66.7%	+6.50
94	Memphis	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.08
95	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.17
96	Missouri State	Conference USA	6	4-2	66.7%	+4.17
97	Ohio	Mid-American	6	4-2	66.7%	+2.67
98	Ole Miss	SEC	9	6-3	66.7%	+3.17
99	Stanford	ACC	6	4-2	66.7%	+12.33
100	TCU	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	-0.92
101	Troy	Sun Belt	6	4-2	66.7%	-3.08
102	UTSA	American Athletic	6	4-2	66.7%	+14.50
103	Utah	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	+7.17
104	Washington State	Pac-12	6	4-2	66.7%	+6.83
105	West Virginia	Big 12	6	4-2	66.7%	-3.08
106	Arizona	Big 12	7	5-2	71.4%	+8.64
107	Florida State	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+11.79
108	Mississippi State	SEC	7	5-2	71.4%	+2.14
109	NC State	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+5.21
110	Virginia	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+6.50
111	Wake Forest	ACC	7	5-2	71.4%	+6.93
112	Ball State	Mid-American	5	4-1	80.0%	+5.40
113	Central Michigan	Mid-American	5	4-1	80.0%	+7.30
114	Eastern Michigan	Mid-American	6	4-1-1	80.0%	-1.17
115	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	6	4-1-1	80.0%	-0.42
116	Northwestern	Big Ten	5	4-1	80.0%	+9.10
117	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	6	5-1	83.3%	+6.00
118	BYU	Big 12	6	5-1	83.3%	+10.17
119	Illinois	Big Ten	7	5-1-1	83.3%	+4.00
120	Kennesaw State	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+7.08
121	Louisiana Tech	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+11.17
122	South Florida	American Athletic	6	5-1	83.3%	+16.83
123	Toledo	Mid-American	6	5-1	83.3%	+16.00
124	UConn	FBS Independents	6	5-1	83.3%	+9.58
125	Western Kentucky	Conference USA	6	5-1	83.3%	+3.50
126	Western Michigan	Mid-American	6	5-1	83.3%	+13.50
127	Alabama	SEC	7	6-1	85.7%	+7.71
128	Boise State	Mountain West	7	6-1	85.7%	+2.14
129	North Texas	American Athletic	7	6-1	85.7%	+12.21
130	Texas Tech	Big 12	7	6-1	85.7%	+8.21
131	Vanderbilt	SEC	7	6-1	85.7%	+7.71
132	Hawai'i	Mountain West	8	7-1	87.5%	+8.56
133	Ohio State	Big Ten	7	6-0-1	100.0%	+7.21
134	San Diego State	Mountain West	6	6-0	100.0%	+19.08
135	Utah State	Mountain West	6	6-0	100.0%	+13.08

Methodology: Home field advantage measured by ATS (against the spread) performance. The spread equalizes talent differences, so consistent outperformance = genuine home field edge. Neutral-site games excluded. FCS opponents excluded. Minimum 3 home games required for the selected range. ATS Cover % excludes pushes from the denominator. Data: 2025–2025.