Miami at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#12)Miami Hurricanes at Indiana Hoosiers(#2)Indiana logo
Monday, January 19th 2026 (7:30 PM EST)
Indiana -8.0 (48.5) (0)  Open: -8.0 | 48.5
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL  (CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T)

 
Hurricanes (13 - 2) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 14 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Hoosiers (15 - 0) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 43 - 11 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28.545.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8.550.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-28.547.5W 38 - 10ON
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-16.554.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-18.549.0W 34 - 17ON
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-6.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 12/20 Miami at Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3UY
Wed 12/31 Miami vs Ohio State+7.539.5W 24 - 14UY
Thu 1/8 Miami vs Ole Miss-3.052.5W 31 - 27OY
Mon 1/19 Miami at Indiana+8.048.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-3.050.5W 56 - 22OY
Mon 1/19 Indiana vs Miami-8.048.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#33 (.22)47% (21)31.645% (56)3.14 (34)15549% (10)2554.35 (24)#14 (.05)37% (15)1437% (10)37% (25)2.38 (2)57.10.91.7
IND#5 (.34)52% (1)42.649% (11)3.29 (15)22357% (2)2435.14 (1)#6 (.02)34% (6)11.131% (3)38% (35)1.93 (1)26.90.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1531.62646.5%4.350.9224091552554.351%47%45%49%12%.22
IND Defense1511.18.434.4%1.931.9 - - - - - 43%54%31%38%24%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense15141536.6%2.381.7 - - - - - 41%57%37%37%19%.05
IND Offense1542.649.152.4%5.140.5244662232435.555%43%49%57%11%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1533:4222.348%67%757.10.91.76.43.1330.8
Indiana1533:172458%50%3.726.90.51.98.53431.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1551% (57)45% (56)36.2154.54.326 (40).09 (80)3.14 (34)85% (3)7% (5)0.79 (132)
IND Defense1543% (8)31% (3) - - - - -.11 (2)2.17 (3)56% (4)17% (1)0.98 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1541% (1)37% (10) - - - - .01 (16)2.59 (14)71% (70)12% (12)1 (92)
IND Offense1555% (28)49% (11)40.3222.95.533 (40).2 (26)3.29 (15)69% (93)7% (8)0.86 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1547% (83)49% (10)22.430.9254.68.211.431 (61)11 (108).43 (12)1.5 (80)26% (7)32% (42).37 (42)5% (45)2.1 (58)
IND Defense1554% (126)38% (35) - - - - - - 18 (12).18 (42)1.6 (77)36% (12)27% (28).27 (59)7% (35)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1557% (134)37% (25) - - - - - - 16 (55).13 (18)1.5 (24)36% (14)28% (55).2 (27)8% (14)1.9 (29)
IND Offense1543% (109)57% (2)18.425.3242.79.613.246 (1)7 (7).54 (3)1.5 (92)24% (2)41% (3).63 (4)5% (22)2.1 (40)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.83  #6
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.47  #13
Miami's Defense Rating: -1.36  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #18
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 25.83   Indiana: 33.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.8   Indiana: 31.5




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 33.07  #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19  #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 29
Miami 19


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 23
Indiana 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 30
Miami 19

Total Points: 49
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 42.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana000 Overs
Miami000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

Miami Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Semifinal Miami vs Ole Miss-3.052.5W 31 - 27
2025CFP Quarterfinal Miami vs Ohio State+7.539.5W 24 - 14
2025CFP 1st Round Miami vs Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3
2024Tarts Bowl Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
2023Pinstripe Bowl Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31
2020It Bowl Miami vs Oklahoma State+2.558.5L 34 - 37
2019Independence Bowl Miami vs Louisiana Tech-7.049.5L 0 - 14
Indiana Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Semifinal Indiana vs Oregon-3.050.5W 56 - 22
2025CFP Quarterfinal Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3
2024CFP 1st Round Indiana vs Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27
2020Outback Bowl Indiana vs Ole Miss-6.566.5L 20 - 26
2019Gator Bowl Indiana vs Tennessee+4.056.0L 22 - 23
  
(#6) MIAMI at (#1) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIIND
Net PPPPPP #11 #1
Power RatePwr #6 #1
SP+SP+ #8 #2
Perf GradeGrade #5 #1
OffenseOff #7 #1
DefenseDef #4 #2
Spec TeamsST #49 #10
TalentTal #16 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #44
Miami Notes
(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffIND Def
PPPOffPPP #28 #2
Perf GradePerf #7 #2
SuccessSuc #21 #6
ExplosiveExp #127 #112
PPAPPA #33 #6
PowerPwr #13 #9
SP+SP+ #18 #2
Pts POPPO #24 #1
HavocHav #11 #1
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffIND Def
Run GameRun #21 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #56 #3
Run ExplRExp #132 #79
PPAExp #80 #2
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #34 #3
Stuff RateStuff #14 #1
TackleTak -  #2
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #32 #4
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #35
Pass ExplPExl #80 #77
PPAExp #12 #42
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #29
F7 HavocF7 #5 #1
DB HavocDB #45 #35
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPP #5 #4
Perf GradePerf #1 #4
SuccessSuc #1 #15
ExplosiveExp #119 #80
PPAPPA #5 #14
PowerPwr #1 #6
SP+SP+ #3 #10
Pts POPPO #1 #2
HavocHav #8 #11
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #9 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #10
Run ExplRExp #115 #92
PPAExp #26 #16
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #14
Stuff RateStuff #18 #37
TackleTak -  #120
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #4 #15
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #25
Pass ExplPExl #92 #24
PPAExp #3 #18
Pass Block/RushP Blk #18 #1
F7 HavocF7 #8 #12
DB HavocDB #22 #14
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 60° - Wind: 6 mph
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)31943673%358129118.2
Emory Williams131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.1991080105.456
CharMar Brown (Tr)11945573.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney991089911.061
Keelan Marion (Tr)56740213.261
C.J. Daniels (Tr)46495710.847
Elija Lofton2321839.529

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)733205
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)694406
Wesley Bissainthe633110
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)623115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor60161150
Rueben Bain Jr.4613951
Keionte Scott (Tr)6113585
Ahmad Moten268540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas (Tr)452118
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)694406
Mohamed Toure (Tr)733205

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)25735273%33494169.5
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)211106075.082
Kaelon Black170960105.640
Khobie Martin7750666.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)8328463.421
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.658901313.758
Elijah Sarratt617781512.849
Charlie Becker30614420.553
E.J. Williams36438612.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy9915844
Aiden Fisher9110451
Louis Moore (Tr)833002
Isaiah Jones7615731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy9915844
Isaiah Jones7615731
Tyrique Tucker3611622
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds554007
Amare Ferrell472006
Devan Boykin (Tr)566145