Indiana at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 52 - 8 (52 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IND coming off BYE
ORE coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -12   (SP+ ORE -8)

Projected Score: IND: 26 - ORE: 38 (64)
ORE Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
IND Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (64 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+12
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-14.5
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-29.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-7.5
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+12
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-12
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-7
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-11

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#23 (.37)59% (7)5258% (8)3.71 (15)30960% (5)2844.82 (36)#56 (.1)29% (7)7.728% (8)31% (21)2.25 (23)36.70.31.7
ORE#1 (.78)64% (1)5466% (2)4.12 (1)24762% (4)2566.27 (3)#23 (-.02)30% (12)1033% (25)26% (9)2.29 (25)21.30.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense3525259.1%4.820.330593309284757%43%58%60%9%.37
ORE Defense310830%2.291.3 - - - - - 55%45%33%26%20%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense37.77.729%2.251.7 - - - - - 50%49%28%31%30%.1
ORE Offense3546464%6.270.325503247256755%45%66%62%3%.78

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana335:5130.362%25%4.336.70.31.711.32.7133.3
Oregon328:5024.764%75%321.30.31.352.3236.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense357% (28)58% (8)44308.778 (26).39 (12)3.71 (15)68% (84)5% (10)0.92 (77)
ORE Defense355% (105)33% (25) - - - - -.08 (27)2.74 (65)43% (10)10% (67)0.73 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense350% (74)28% (8) - - - - .08 (75)1.92 (8)43% (10)24% (1)1.78 (136)
ORE Offense355% (46)66% (2)35.3247713 (2).82 (1)4.12 (1)100% (1)3% (1)1.39 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense343% (106)60% (5)21.7302849.513.112 (3)0 (1).36 (57)1.2 (126)15% (1)42% (24).5 (40)4% (42)1.5 (119)
ORE Defense345% (35)26% (9) - - - - - - 4 (12).06 (29)1.5 (72)35% (46)14% (10).07 (28)10% (7)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense349% (59)31% (21) - - - - - - 4 (12).13 (46)1.7 (102)40% (8)30% (78).38 (98)6% (62)2 (76)
ORE Offense345% (88)62% (4)18.725.3256.310.113.77 (23)1 (23).73 (6)1.4 (96)20% (6)40% (27).38 (57)0% (1)1 (134)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Indiana's Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 22.44   Oregon: 32.63

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 19.0   Oregon: 27.1




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 52 PPG
Offense on Road: 52
Defense: 7.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.7

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 38
Indiana 26


Total Points: 64

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 64
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 8

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200409/11Oregon24Indiana30Indiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon000 Overs
Indiana100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#25) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 59%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 60%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Indiana has lost 2 straight
Indiana has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Notes
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add

Indiana Highlights
Indiana in Undefeated

Indiana has Really Good Running Game (#2)
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana has a top Offensive Line (#15)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense is really good in red zone (#23)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana has a good pass defense (#21)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOREIND
OverallOver#12#2
OffenseOff#10#2
DefenseDef#33#7
Special TeamsST#15#18
PassingPass#25#2
RushingRush#3#12
Run BlockRBLK#50#13
Pass BlockPBLK#2#3
Route RunningWR Rt#17#6
TacklingTkl#6#65
Run DefenseR Def#68#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#58#11
Coverage DefCov#9#13

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | ORE
Depth Chart: IND | ORE
Rosters: IND | ORE
(#1) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has lost 2 straight
Oregon has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY

Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Oregon Deficiencies


  
Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)557672%708909.3
Alberto Mendoza91275%1393011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black3421716.436
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Roman Hemby (Tr)3620005.630
Khobie Martin1311528.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.13299423.058
Elijah Sarratt15164310.927
E.J. Williams109919.922
Charlie Becker470117.531

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louis Moore (Tr)172000
Aiden Fisher154120
Kellan Wyatt (Tr)134010
Isaiah Jones125200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Jones125200
Stephen Daley (Tr)84100
Mikail Kamara62111
Tyrique Tucker63101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell61002
Devan Boykin (Tr)81021
D'Angelo Ponds103001

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore506478%6577110.3
Luke Moga3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dierre Hill Jr.11161214.666
Noah Whittington14159211.459
Jayden Limar2014537.353
Jay Harris115004.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)11161214.642
Dakorien Moore9144116.065
Jeremiah McClellan598019.651
Kenyon Sadiq595219.026

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher171001
Teitum Tuioti153200
Peyton Woodyard131000
Bear Alexander (Tr)121100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei63321
Teitum Tuioti153200
Nasir Wyatt21100
Will Straton71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ify Obidegwu70002
Daylen Austin41002
Bryce Boettcher171001