Indiana at Ohio State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#2)Indiana Hoosiers vs Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, December 6th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -5.5 (48.5) (-210)  Open: -6.5 | 48.5
Indiana 13 - Ohio State: 10  (Big Ten Championship)

 
Hoosiers (15 - 0) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 43 - 11 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
IND 2nd straight Road Game
OSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -0.5  (SP+ OSU -1)

Projected Score: IND: 25 - OSU: 25 (50)
OSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
IND Travel: 44 miles
Buckeyes (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-3.050.5W 56 - 22OY
Mon 1/19 Indiana vs Miami-8.048.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas-1.546.5W 14 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling-55.562.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio-28.049.0W 37 - 9UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington-9.552.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota-23.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois-15.551.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin-24.541.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue-29.549.5W 34 - 10UN
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA-33.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers-29.054.0W 42 - 9UY
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan-9.543.5W 27 - 9UY
Sat 12/6 Ohio State vs Indiana-5.548.5L 10 - 13UN
Wed 12/31 Ohio State vs Miami-7.539.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 5, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#5 (.34)52% (1)42.649% (11)3.29 (15)22357% (2)2435.14 (1)#6 (.02)34% (6)11.131% (3)38% (35)1.93 (1)26.90.51.9
OSU#10 (.31)52% (3)33.445% (47)2.99 (61)15558% (1)2684.83 (5)#3 (-.02)34% (7)9.331% (4)38% (32)2.64 (8)38.50.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1542.637.652.4%5.140.5244662232435.555%43%49%57%11%.34
OSU Defense149.37.434.4%2.641 - - - - - 48%50%31%38%16%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1511.114.434.4%1.931.9 - - - - - 43%54%31%38%24%.02
OSU Offense1433.441.651.7%4.830.8234231552684.648%51%45%58%11%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1533:172458%50%3.726.90.51.98.53431.5
Ohio State1433:0022.653%67%4.138.50.815.62.5129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1555% (28)49% (11)40.3222.95.533 (40).2 (26)3.29 (15)69% (93)7% (8)0.86 (115)
OSU Defense1448% (50)31% (4) - - - - -.09 (4)2.5 (10)59% (9)11% (17)0.82 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1543% (8)31% (3) - - - - -.11 (2)2.17 (3)56% (4)17% (1)0.98 (79)
OSU Offense1448% (80)45% (47)33.6154.84.625 (60).08 (89)2.99 (61)73% (61)7% (14)0.78 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1543% (109)57% (2)18.425.3242.79.613.246 (1)7 (7).54 (3)1.5 (92)24% (2)41% (3).63 (4)5% (22)2.1 (40)
OSU Defense1450% (89)38% (32) - - - - - - 8 (100).05 (5)1.2 (1)36% (13)23% (5).08 (5)5% (108)1.7 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1554% (126)38% (35) - - - - - - 18 (12).18 (42)1.6 (77)36% (12)27% (28).27 (59)7% (35)2.1 (95)
OSU Offense1451% (54)58% (1)22.429.1268.29.21233 (22)8 (20).54 (4)1.4 (117)24% (3)39% (7).5 (12)4% (17)1.9 (90)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 29.64  #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19  #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 29.64   Ohio State: 30.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 31.5   Ohio State: 32.4




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 30.98  #2
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.53  #10
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -5.04  #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #5
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.0  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 42.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 25
Indiana 25


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 27
Ohio State 27

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 25
Indiana 24

Total Points: 49
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Ohio State10Indiana13Ohio State -5.5Indiana48.5Under
202411/23Ohio State38Indiana15Ohio State -10.5Ohio State52.5Over
202309/02Indiana3Ohio State23Ohio State -30Indiana59.0Under
202211/12Ohio State56Indiana14Ohio State -40Ohio State62.0Over
202110/23Indiana7Ohio State54Ohio State -21Ohio State59.0Over
202011/21Ohio State42Indiana35Ohio State -21.0Indiana67.0Over
201909/14Indiana10Ohio State51Ohio State -17Ohio State60.5Over
201810/06Ohio State49Indiana26Ohio State -27.5Indiana63.0Over
201708/31Indiana21Ohio State49Ohio State -21Ohio State56.5Over
201610/08Ohio State38Indiana17Ohio State -32Indiana60.5Under
201510/03Indiana27Ohio State34Ohio State -17.5Indiana64.5Under
201411/22Ohio State42Indiana27Ohio State -30Indiana0
201311/23Ohio State42Indiana14Ohio State -31.5Indiana0
201210/13Indiana49Ohio State52
201111/05Ohio State34Indiana20
201010/09Ohio State38Indiana10
200910/03Indiana14Ohio State33
200610/21Ohio State44Indiana3
200510/22Indiana10Ohio State41
200410/23Ohio State30Indiana7
200310/25Indiana6Ohio State35
200209/28Ohio State45Indiana17
200109/29Indiana14Ohio State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State2257 Overs
Indiana184 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 92 - 62 - 3
Road Teams11 - 129 - 43 - 26 - 2

(#1) IND at (#2) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDOSU
Net PPPPPP #1 #4
Power RatePwr #1 #2
SP+SP+ #2 #1
Perf GradeGrade #1 #2
OffenseOff #1 #2
DefenseDef #2 #3
Spec TeamsST #10 #21
TalentTal #69 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #2
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Ohio State Notes
(11/15) WR2 Carnell Tate out for season (calf injury)
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos
Ohio State Injury Report
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPP #2 #13
Perf GradePerf #1 #3
SuccessSuc #1 #7
ExplosiveExp #119 #2
PPAPPA #5 #3
PowerPwr #1 #1
SP+SP+ #3 #1
Pts POPPO #1 #8
HavocHav #8 #57
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #9 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #4
Run ExplRExp #115 #7
PPAExp #26 #4
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #10
Stuff RateStuff #18 #14
TackleTak -  #3
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #4 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #32
Pass ExplPExl #92 #1
PPAExp #3 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #18 #44
F7 HavocF7 #8 #17
DB HavocDB #22 #108
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffIND Def
PPPDefPPP #4 #1
Perf GradePerf #2 #2
SuccessSuc #3 #6
ExplosiveExp #124 #112
PPAPPA #10 #6
PowerPwr #10 #9
SP+SP+ #5 #2
Pts POPPO #5 #1
HavocHav #6 #1
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffIND Def
Run GameRun #24 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #3
Run ExplRExp #133 #79
PPAExp #89 #2
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #3
Stuff RateStuff #73 #1
TackleTak -  #2
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #1 #4
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #35
Pass ExplPExl #117 #77
PPAExp #4 #42
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #29
F7 HavocF7 #14 #1
DB HavocDB #17 #35
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 32°
Rematch from Week 15
Ohio State -5.5 (48.5)
Indiana won at Ohio State this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Indiana last year (38-15)
Ohio State beat Indiana in 2023 (23-3)
Ohio State beat Indiana in 2022 (56-14)

  
IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)25735273%33494169.5
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)211106075.082
Kaelon Black170960105.640
Khobie Martin7750666.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)8328463.421
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.658901313.758
Elijah Sarratt617781512.849
Charlie Becker30614420.553
E.J. Williams36438612.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy9915844
Aiden Fisher9110451
Louis Moore (Tr)833002
Isaiah Jones7615731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy9915844
Isaiah Jones7615731
Tyrique Tucker3611622
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds554007
Amare Ferrell472006
Devan Boykin (Tr)566145

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin30139177%36103289.2
Lincoln Kienholz111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson179109066.164
CJ Donaldson (Tr)96361103.827
James Peoples6134435.649
Isaiah West5931025.338
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8712431214.387
Carnell Tate51875917.257
Max Klare (Tr)43448210.439
Brandon Inniss3627137.529

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles837143
Arvell Reese6910752
Caleb Downs685111
Caden Curry66171182
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Curry66171182
Kenyatta Jackson2811722
Arvell Reese6910752
Eddrick Houston214310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun521006
Sonny Styles837143
Jaylen McClain530003