Indiana at Notre Dame - 2024 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#2)Indiana Hoosiers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#10)Notre Dame logo
Friday, December 20th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -7.0 (50.0) (-320)  Open: -7.5 | 50.5
Notre Dame 27 - Indiana: 17  (CFP First Round Game Presented by Allstate)

 
Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 26.2°
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Notre Dame -8  (SP+ ND -4)

Projected Score: IND: 23 - ND: 31 (55)
ND Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 175 miles
Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Indiana vs Florida International-20.550.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/6 Indiana vs Western Illinois-44.552.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 9/14 Indiana at UCLA-3.546.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/21 Indiana vs Charlotte-28.550.0W 52 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 Indiana vs Maryland-7.550.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/5 Indiana vs Northwestern-12.540.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Indiana vs Nebraska-6.548.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Indiana vs Washington-5.554.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 Indiana at Michigan State-7.553.5W 47 - 10OY
Sat 11/9 Indiana vs Michigan-14.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Indiana at Ohio State+10.552.5L 15 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Indiana vs Purdue-28.556.5W 66 - 0OY
Fri 12/20 Indiana at Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Notre Dame at Texas A&M+3.047.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois-28.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Notre Dame at Purdue-11.545.5W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-27.544.0W 28 - 3UN
Sat 9/28 Notre Dame vs Louisville-6.545.0W 31 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Notre Dame vs Stanford-22.545.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/19 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-14.049.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-14.050.5W 51 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Notre Dame vs Florida State-25.544.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/16 Notre Dame vs Virginia-20.551.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Notre Dame vs Army-14.544.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 Notre Dame at USC-6.552.5W 49 - 35OY
Fri 12/20 Notre Dame vs Indiana-7.050.0W 27 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Notre Dame vs Georgia-1.546.5W 23 - 10UY
Thu 1/9 Notre Dame vs Penn State+1.545.5W 27 - 24OY
Mon 1/20 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+8.545.5L 23 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)41.350% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)15.635% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)36.147% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)15.543% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1341.330.352.4%5.030.7234281662614.552%48%50%56%13%.33
ND Defense1615.51236.4%2.751.8 - - - - - 51%48%43%29%19%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1315.62238.1%3.661.8 - - - - - 45%55%35%40%21%.09
ND Offense1636.133.747%4.80.8173411811606.353%47%47%47%11%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1330:4223.548%59%4.843.90.71.86.72.7234.5
Notre Dame1624:3416.839%76%4.842.40.81.842.1533.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1352% (60)50% (13)37.2166.24.537 (6).17 (48)3.09 (55)75% (53)7% (16)0.89 (107)
ND Defense1651% (78)43% (73) - - - - .1 (58)2.9 (49)67% (29)10% (57)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1345% (10)35% (7) - - - - .01 (16)2.4 (4)66% (27)13% (9)1.05 (96)
ND Offense1653% (46)47% (26)28.6181.36.342 (3).36 (2)3.31 (24)73% (71)8% (26)1.3 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1348% (73)56% (2)18.927.8261.39.413.833 (5)6 (10).53 (2)1.6 (64)27% (12)39% (3).5 (11)6% (73)2.1 (52)
ND Defense1648% (59)29% (1) - - - - - - 18 (4)-.15 (1)1.6 (67)34% (29)27% (24).1 (2)8% (6)1.6 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1355% (127)40% (70) - - - - - - 15 (18).15 (29)1.3 (3)32% (59)28% (30).19 (21)7% (26)1.6 (1)
ND Offense1647% (89)47% (21)14.922.4159.97.210.820 (58)6 (10).29 (50)1.3 (133)28% (19)32% (58).45 (22)3% (6)2.1 (50)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 17.50  #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20  #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35  #24
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1  #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 17.50   Notre Dame: 26.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 20.1   Notre Dame: 23.9




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.78  #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52  #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27  #2
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54  #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9  #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 31
Indiana 23


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 42
Indiana 23

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 27
Indiana 25

Total Points: 52
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/20Notre Dame27Indiana17Notre Dame -7.0Notre Dame50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame110 Overs
Indiana001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Indiana Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP 1st Round Indiana vs Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27
2020Outback Bowl Indiana vs Ole Miss-6.566.5L 20 - 26
2019Gator Bowl Indiana vs Tennessee+4.056.0L 22 - 23
Notre Dame Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Nat'l Title Notre Dame vs Ohio State+8.545.5L 23 - 34
2024CFP Semifinal Notre Dame vs Penn State+1.545.5W 27 - 24
2024CFP Quarterfinal Notre Dame vs Georgia-1.546.5W 23 - 10
2024CFP 1st Round Notre Dame vs Indiana-7.050.0W 27 - 17
2023Sun Bowl Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8
2022Gator Bowl Notre Dame vs South Carolina-5.050.5W 45 - 38
2021Fiesta Bowl Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37
2020CFP Semifinal Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31
2019World Bowl Notre Dame vs Iowa State-4.055.0W 33 - 9
2018CFP Semifinal Notre Dame vs Clemson+10.558.0L 3 - 30
  
(#10) IND at (#5) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDND
Power RatePwr #10 #5
SP+SP+ #11 #8
Perf GradeGrade #1 #10
OffenseOff #2 #11
DefenseDef #4 #10
Spec TeamsST #4 #5
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #38 #8
Indiana Notes
(12/24) Signed QB Mendoza (Cal)/RB Hemby (MD)
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good
(8/4) Cignetti is cocky/confident & wins everywhere.
Indiana Injury Report
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
IND OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #2 #10
SuccessSuc #2 #8
ExplosiveExp #90 #14
PPAPPA #6 #1
PowerPwr #6 #2
SP+SP+ #18 #7
Pts POPPO #1 #4
HavocHav #27 #25
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
IND OffND Def
Run GameRun #33 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #73
Run ExplRExp #107 #12
PPAExp #48 #58
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #49
Stuff RateStuff #62 #89
TackleTak -  #9
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
IND OffND Def
Pass GamePass #5 #2
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #1
Pass ExplPExl #64 #67
PPAExp #2 #1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #36 #15
F7 HavocF7 #16 #57
DB HavocDB #73 #6
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffIND Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #4
SuccessSuc #22 #24
ExplosiveExp #35 #25
PPAPPA #8 #19
PowerPwr #24 #24
SP+SP+ #4 #15
Pts POPPO #5 #55
HavocHav #8 #6
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffIND Def
Run GameRun #4 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #7
Run ExplRExp #1 #96
PPAExp #2 #16
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #4
Stuff RateStuff #36 #6
TackleTak -  #94
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #37 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #70
Pass ExplPExl #133 #3
PPAExp #50 #29
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #11
F7 HavocF7 #26 #9
DB HavocDB #6 #26
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 26° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Notre Dame -7.0 (50.0)
Notre Dame won vs Indiana this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Indiana last year (27-17)

  
IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)22232069%30422959.5
Tayven Jackson233762%349419.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)159848105.347
Ty Son Lawton141668124.729
Kaelon Black (Tr)4625125.521
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)53957818.184
Omar Cooper Jr.28594721.269
Myles Price (Tr)38466312.341
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)39448511.552

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)1186234
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)695214
D'Angelo Ponds555009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)4614961
James Carpenter (Tr)3711552
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)245341
Lanell Carr395332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Jamari Sharpe131106

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)26940367%28612187.1
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Riley Leonard (Tr)184906174.950
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Beaux Collins (Tr)41490312.053
Mitchell Evans4342139.833
Jordan Faison30356111.944

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kiser905231
Xavier Watts834049
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rylie Mills379840
Howard Cross III275431
Donovan Hinish344441
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Xavier Watts834049
Christian Gray353009