Miami at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#12)Miami Hurricanes at Texas A&M Aggies(#7)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, December 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas A&M -3 (48.5) (-142)  Open: 0.0
Miami 10 - Texas A&M: 3  (CFP First Round Game)

 
Hurricanes (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 13 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas A&M -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 23 - TA&M: 26 (49)
TA&M Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MIAMI Travel: 1030 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28.545.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8.550.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-28.547.5W 38 - 10ON
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-16.554.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-18.549.0W 34 - 17ON
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-6.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 12/20 Miami at Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3UY
Wed 12/31 Miami vs Ohio State+7.539.5W 24 - 14UY
Thu 1/8 Miami vs Ole Miss+2.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#30 (.24)47% (18)31.646% (45)3.09 (41)14150% (10)2444.47 (20)#9 (.04)36% (12)13.137% (16)35% (15)2.42 (3)55.90.91.6
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (36)3.16 (31)18546% (27)2604.14 (35)#56 (.13)34% (6)2136% (10)33% (5)3.91 (96)60.71.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1431.62647.5%4.470.9213851412444.350%48%46%50%12%.24
TA&M Defense132115.334.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1413.11535.8%2.421.6 - - - - - 43%55%37%35%20%.04
TA&M Offense1333.831.146.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1430:4620.646%61%6.855.90.91.66.32.9231.1
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1450% (63)46% (45)32.51414.323 (40).07 (86)3.09 (41)86% (2)6% (3)0.75 (134)
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (10) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (25)75% (99)16% (3)1.29 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1443% (8)37% (16) - - - - -.01 (14)2.53 (13)72% (74)13% (8)0.98 (81)
TA&M Offense1352% (50)47% (36)38.11854.928 (36).16 (46)3.16 (31)75% (49)6% (1)0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1448% (76)50% (10)2128.6243.88.511.628 (61)10 (108).47 (9)1.5 (77)25% (6)32% (52).37 (44)5% (44)2.1 (37)
TA&M Defense1352% (116)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (15)1.6 (92)39% (2)23% (6).22 (37)6% (76)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1455% (128)35% (15) - - - - - - 14 (55).12 (20)1.5 (43)38% (4)28% (51).23 (50)7% (14)1.9 (26)
TA&M Offense1347% (83)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (83).28 (74)5% (39)2 (71)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 27.78  #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.69  #10
Miami's Defense Rating: -9.44  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #18
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 27.78   Texas A&M: 27.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.8   Texas A&M: 21.8




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 27.27  #7
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.53  #6
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -6.20  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 13.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 26
Miami 23


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 27
Texas A&M 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 24
Miami 23

Total Points: 47
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/20Texas A&M3Miami10Texas A&M -3Miami48.5Under
202309/09Miami48Texas A&M33Texas A&M -3Miami50.5Over
202209/17Texas A&M17Miami9Texas A&M -6.5Texas A&M45.5Under
200809/20Texas A&M23Miami41
200709/20Miami34Texas A&M17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M111 Overs
Miami422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

Miami Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Miami vs Ohio State+7.539.5W 24 - 14
2025CFP 1st Round Miami vs Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3
2024Tarts Bowl Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
2023Pinstripe Bowl Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31
2020It Bowl Miami vs Oklahoma State+2.558.5L 34 - 37
2019Independence Bowl Miami vs Louisiana Tech-7.049.5L 0 - 14
Texas A&M Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP 1st Round Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10
2024Vegas Bowl Texas A&M vs USC-3.556.5L 31 - 35
2023Texas Bowl Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31
2020Orange Bowl Texas A&M vs North Carolina-7.067.5W 41 - 27
2019Texas Bowl Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State-4.555.5W 24 - 21
  
(#5) MIAMI at (#7) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMITA&M
Power RatePwr #5 #7
SP+SP+ #8 #8
Perf GradeGrade #4 #17
OffenseOff #6 #42
DefenseDef #3 #18
Spec TeamsST #89 #13
TalentTal #16 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #6
Miami Notes
(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTA&M Def
Perf GradePerf #6 #18
SuccessSuc #18 #6
ExplosiveExp #128 #135
PPAPPA #30 #56
PowerPwr #10 #11
SP+SP+ #18 #21
Pts POPPO #20 #96
HavocHav #9 #4
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #30 #31
Run SuccessRSuc #45 #10
Run ExplRExp #134 #136
PPAExp #86 #96
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #41 #25
Stuff RateStuff #18 #41
TackleTak -  #82
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #21 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #5
Pass ExplPExl #77 #92
PPAExp #9 #15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #14
F7 HavocF7 #3 #3
DB HavocDB #44 #76
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffMIAMI Def
Perf GradePerf #42 #3
SuccessSuc #28 #12
ExplosiveExp #82 #70
PPAPPA #29 #9
PowerPwr #6 #6
SP+SP+ #8 #10
Pts POPPO #35 #3
HavocHav #7 #7
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #47 #18
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #16
Run ExplRExp #83 #81
PPAExp #46 #14
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #31 #13
Stuff RateStuff #30 #27
TackleTak -  #115
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #82 #14
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #15
Pass ExplPExl #66 #43
PPAExp #26 #20
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #1
F7 HavocF7 #1 #8
DB HavocDB #39 #14
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M -3.0 (48.5)
Miami won at Texas A&M this year (10-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Texas A&M in 2023 (48-33)
Texas A&M beat Miami in 2022 (17-9)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)27737374%317526108.5
Emory Williams131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.158857105.456
CharMar Brown (Tr)10037553.813
Girard Pringle Jr.5936346.238
Jordan Lyle3510813.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney89992811.161
Keelan Marion (Tr)44590113.461
C.J. Daniels (Tr)37420711.447
Elija Lofton2220339.229

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)622104
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)574404
Keionte Scott (Tr)5413565
Wesley Bissainthe532010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor5114950
Rueben Bain Jr.4212841
Keionte Scott (Tr)5413565
Ahmad Moten248530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas (Tr)392117
Keionte Scott (Tr)5413565
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)533115

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005