Miami at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas A&M -3 (48.5) (-142) Open: 0.0
Miami 10 - Texas A&M: 3 (CFP First Round Game)

Hurricanes (13 - 3) (11 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas A&M -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 23 - TA&M: 25 (48)
TA&M Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MIAMI Travel: 1030 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MIAMI Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	Miami vs Notre Dame	+2.5	53.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.5	0.0	W 45 - 3	O	N
Sat 9/13	Miami vs South Florida	-17.5	56.5	W 49 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Miami vs Florida	-8.5	51.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Miami at Florida State	-3.5	54.5	W 28 - 22	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17	Miami vs Louisville	-10.5	49.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/25	Miami vs Stanford	-28.5	45.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Miami at SMU	-8.5	50.5	L 20 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/8	Miami vs Syracuse	-28.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	N
Sat 11/15	Miami vs NC State	-16.5	54.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Miami at Virginia Tech	-18.5	49.0	W 34 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/29	Miami at Pittsburgh	-6.5	49.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Miami at Texas A&M	+3.0	48.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Wed 12/31	Miami vs Ohio State	+7.5	39.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Thu 1/8	Miami vs Ole Miss	-3.0	52.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Mon 1/19	Miami vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 21 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Texas A&M vs UTSA	-21.5	56.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/6	Texas A&M vs Utah State	-34.5	57.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/13	Texas A&M at Notre Dame	+7.5	48.5	W 41 - 40	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-6.5	51.5	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/4	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-17.5	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Texas A&M vs Florida	-7.0	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Texas A&M at Arkansas	-7.5	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Texas A&M at LSU	-1.5	50.5	W 49 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Texas A&M at Missouri	-7.0	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-16.5	49.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/22	Texas A&M vs Samford	-54.5	59.5	W 48 - 0	U	N
Fri 11/28	Texas A&M at Texas	-2.5	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/20	Texas A&M vs Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 3 - 10	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)	30.9	56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)	14.8	38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)	33.8	46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)	21	40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Offense	13	30.9	26	52.5%	4.96	1	25	497	165	332	5.5	43%	57%	56%	50%	10%	.4
TA&M Defense	13	21	15.3	38.1%	3.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	40%	37%	20%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Defense	13	14.8	15	38.1%	4.02	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	38%	38%	18%	.16
TA&M Offense	13	33.8	31.1	44.8%	3.63	1	20	372	185	188	4.9	57%	43%	46%	43%	12%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami	13	30:13	25.2	56%	65%	6.2	63.1	1	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29.7
Texas A&M	13	29:13	19.6	45%	41%	6.9	60.7	1	1.3	6.6	1.8	2	38.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense	13	43% (114)	56% (1)	30.1	165.5	5.5	28 (25)	.32 (5)	3.59 (4)	90% (1)	6% (3)	0.95 (73)
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.1 (60)	2.55 (10)	77% (89)	11% (46)	1.11 (117)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense	13	45% (11)	38% (16)	-	-	-	-	.08 (49)	2.6 (16)	57% (4)	11% (43)	1.15 (125)
TA&M Offense	13	57% (21)	46% (38)	37.8	184.5	4.9	26 (36)	.19 (37)	3.29 (27)	73% (68)	7% (12)	0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (7)	23.9	35.1	331.6	9.5	13.9	38 (1)	7 (26)	.47 (6)	1.7 (26)	27% (5)	42% (1)	.69 (1)	4% (15)	2.3 (6)
TA&M Defense	13	53% (105)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.22 (62)	1.8 (131)	36% (11)	30% (69)	.37 (94)	8% (2)	2.3 (131)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense	13	55% (125)	38% (40)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.23 (66)	1.7 (113)	36% (9)	36% (123)	.45 (115)	7% (34)	2.1 (84)
TA&M Offense	13	43% (112)	43% (58)	14.6	24.5	187.8	7.7	12.9	16 (87)	9 (48)	.25 (70)	1.6 (72)	30% (48)	34% (43)	.35 (61)	5% (28)	1.9 (112)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.83 #6
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.47 #13
Miami's Defense Rating: -1.36 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 25.83 Texas A&M: 25.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7 Texas A&M: 20.7

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.85 #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80 #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 25
Miami 23

Projected Total Points: 48

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/20	Texas A&M	3	Miami	10	Texas A&M -3	Miami	48.5	Under
2023	09/09	Miami	48	Texas A&M	33	Texas A&M -3	Miami	50.5	Over
2022	09/17	Texas A&M	17	Miami	9	Texas A&M -6.5	Texas A&M	45.5	Under
2008	09/20	Texas A&M	23	Miami	41
2007	09/20	Miami	34	Texas A&M	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	1	1	1 Overs
Miami	4	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

Miami Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Nat'l Title	Miami vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 21 - 27
2025	CFP Semifinal	Miami vs Ole Miss	-3.0	52.5	W 31 - 27
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Miami vs Ohio State	+7.5	39.5	W 24 - 14
2025	CFP 1st Round	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	48.5	W 10 - 3
2024	Tarts Bowl	Miami vs Iowa State	-5.0	62.0	L 41 - 42
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31
2020	It Bowl	Miami vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	58.5	L 34 - 37
2019	Independence Bowl	Miami vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	49.5	L 0 - 14

Texas A&M Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP 1st Round	Texas A&M vs Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 3 - 10
2024	Vegas Bowl	Texas A&M vs USC	-3.5	56.5	L 31 - 35
2023	Texas Bowl	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31
2020	Orange Bowl	Texas A&M vs North Carolina	-7.0	67.5	W 41 - 27
2019	Texas Bowl	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 21

(#6) MIAMI at (#5) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIAMI	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#6	#5
SP+SP+	#9	#9
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#25
OffenseOff	#7	#48
DefenseDef	#4	#17
Spec TeamsST	#49	#17
TalentTal	#16	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	#9	#6

Miami Notes(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report

Texas A&M Notes(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report

Miami on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#17
SuccessSuc	#1	#23
ExplosiveExp	#22	#131
PPAPPA	#2	#67
PowerPwr	#13	#11
SP+SP+	#22	#14
Pts POPPO	#2	#9
HavocHav	#4	#17

Miami Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#21	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#38
Run ExplRExp	#73	#117
PPAExp	#5	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#2	#8
TackleTak	-	#85

Miami Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#32	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#26	#131
PPAExp	#6	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#1	#14
F7 HavocF7	#3	#46
DB HavocDB	#15	#2

Texas A&M on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MIAMI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#4
SuccessSuc	#41	#26
ExplosiveExp	#106	#130
PPAPPA	#54	#69
PowerPwr	#5	#6
SP+SP+	#11	#7
Pts POPPO	#93	#91
HavocHav	#13	#39

Texas A&M Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#45	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#38	#16
Run ExplRExp	#66	#125
PPAExp	#37	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#27	#16
Stuff RateStuff	#29	#7
TackleTak	-	#120

Texas A&M Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#40
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#113
PPAExp	#70	#66
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#1
F7 HavocF7	#12	#43
DB HavocDB	#28	#34

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M -3.0 (48.5)
Miami won at Texas A&M this year (10-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Texas A&M last year (10-3)
Miami beat Texas A&M in 2023 (48-33)

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck (Tr)	338	468	72%	3813	30	12	8.1
Emory Williams	13	19	68%	156	0	0	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.	216	1192	12	5.5	57
CharMar Brown (Tr)	122	460	7	3.8	13
Girard Pringle Jr.	62	375	4	6.0	38
Malachi Toney	23	113	1	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Toney	109	1211	10	11.1	61
Keelan Marion (Tr)	57	746	2	13.1	61
C.J. Daniels (Tr)	50	557	7	11.1	47
Elija Lofton	23	218	3	9.5	29

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)	84	3	2	1	6
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)	75	4	4	0	6
Wesley Bissainthe	71	3	1	1	0
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)	68	3	1	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Akheem Mesidor	63	18	13	6	0
Rueben Bain Jr.	54	16	10	5	1
Keionte Scott (Tr)	64	13	5	8	5
Ahmad Moten	31	9	5	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Lucas (Tr)	45	2	1	1	8
OJ Frederique Jr.	19	0	0	0	7
Mohamed Toure (Tr)	84	3	2	1	6

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	234	377	62%	3169	25	12	8.4
Miles O'Neill	7	14	50%	120	1	2	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rueben Owens	119	639	5	5.4	57
Marcel Reed	104	493	6	4.7	46
Le'Veon Moss	77	404	6	5.2	38
Amari Daniels	41	216	1	5.3	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)	61	919	9	15.1	48
Mario Craver (Tr)	58	911	4	15.7	86
Ashton Bethel-Roman	24	503	5	21.0	76
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)	20	204	3	10.2	28

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	72	7	1	5	3
Marcus Ratcliffe	66	3	0	2	3
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2
Dayon Hayes (Tr)	17	4	4	6	1
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III	50	2	1	0	7
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Dezz Ricks	26	1	0	0	5