Miami at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#18)Miami Hurricanes at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Lane Stadium - Blacksburg, VA  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (7 - 2) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#19)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
MIAMI is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -22.5  (SP+ MIAMI -22)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 38 - VT: 15 (53)
MIAMI Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
MIAMI Travel: 778 miles
Hokies (3 - 6) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28.545.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8.550.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-28.547.5W 38 - 10ON
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-18.5
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-22.5
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+19
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+22.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+17.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#59 (.19)48% (20)32.948% (23)2.7 (87)13850% (12)2304.48 (29)#13 (.03)36% (14)1536% (19)37% (28)3.11 (22)56.311.4
VT#84 (.15)41% (85)24.348% (28)3.3 (18)18334% (130)1774.04 (49)#126 (.27)46% (119)29.745% (104)47% (120)4.49 (127)65.91.10.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense932.92448.4%4.481203681382304.351%48%48%50%11%.19
VT Defense929.731.245.6%4.490.7 - - - - - 51%47%45%47%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense9152436.3%3.111.4 - - - - - 44%55%36%37%18%.03
VT Offense924.327.541.5%4.041.1203601831774.955%44%48%34%16%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami929:4719.647%56%7.156.311.45.31.9031.6
Virginia Tech930:2420.141%43%7.265.91.10.75.22027.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense951% (61)48% (23)32.1137.64.319 (40).05 (96)2.7 (87)82% (11)5% (2)0.74 (133)
VT Defense951% (83)45% (104) - - - - .17 (117)2.12 (12)80% (121)10% (66)1.06 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense944% (11)36% (19) - - - - -.07 (10)1.88 (5)71% (68)11% (36)0.95 (65)
VT Offense955% (35)48% (28)37.11834.910 (107).16 (42)3.3 (18)68% (87)9% (71)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense948% (76)50% (12)20.628.6230.18.111.214 (61)9 (108).41 (23)1.4 (103)25% (7)30% (76).26 (91)6% (75)2 (69)
VT Defense947% (45)47% (120) - - - - - - 4 (100).41 (128)1.5 (78)29% (113)33% (107).47 (130)5% (105)2.2 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense955% (123)37% (28) - - - - - - 7 (55).15 (38)1.4 (16)35% (19)28% (48).22 (41)7% (22)1.7 (8)
VT Offense944% (103)34% (130)16.929176.96.110.515 (61)6 (60).12 (117)1.5 (76)33% (108)25% (117).26 (89)6% (85)2 (68)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 27.29  #7
Miami's Offense Rating: 21.33  #18
Miami's Defense Rating: -9.03  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.2  #13
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #20
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 27.29   Virginia Tech: 0.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 18.2   Virginia Tech: -3.9




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 0.145  #75
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 11.93  #52
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.74  #99
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9  #86
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #75
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 38
Virginia Tech 15


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 29
Virginia Tech 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Miami 29
Virginia Tech 23

Total Points: 52
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/27Miami38Virginia Tech34Miami -17.5Virginia Tech55.5Over
202210/15Virginia Tech14Miami20Miami -9Virginia Tech48.5Under
202111/20Miami38Virginia Tech26Miami -7Miami55.5Over
202011/14Virginia Tech24Miami25Virginia Tech -2.0Miami67.5Under
201910/05Miami35Virginia Tech42Miami -14Virginia Tech46.0Over
201811/17Virginia Tech14Miami38Miami -6.5Miami52.0Push
201711/04Miami28Virginia Tech10Miami -2Miami48.5Under
201610/20Virginia Tech37Miami16Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
201510/17Miami30Virginia Tech20Miami -7Miami51.5Under
201410/23Virginia Tech6Miami30Virginia Tech -2Miami0
201311/09Miami24Virginia Tech42Miami -6.5Virginia Tech0
201211/01Miami30Virginia Tech12
201110/08Virginia Tech38Miami35
201011/20Miami17Virginia Tech31
200909/26Virginia Tech31Miami7
200811/13Miami16Virginia Tech14
200711/17Virginia Tech44Miami14
200611/04Miami10Virginia Tech17
200511/05Virginia Tech7Miami27
200412/04Miami10Virginia Tech16
200311/01Virginia Tech31Miami7
200112/01Virginia Tech24Miami26
200011/03Miami41Virginia Tech21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech1054 Overs
Miami1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams11 - 126 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#7) MIAMI at (#75) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIVT
Power RatePwr #7 #75
SP+SP+ #13 #86
Perf GradeGrade #4 #104
OffenseOff #11 #114
DefenseDef #4 #82
Spec TeamsST #105 #110
TalentTal #16 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #54
Miami Notes
(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #82
SuccessSuc #20 #119
ExplosiveExp #130 #108
PPAPPA #59 #126
PowerPwr #18 #99
SP+SP+ #20 #86
Pts POPPO #29 #127
HavocHav #9 #89
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Run GameRun #23 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #104
Run ExplRExp #133 #110
PPAExp #96 #117
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #12
Stuff RateStuff #28 #100
TackleTak -  #74
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #33 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #120
Pass ExplPExl #103 #78
PPAExp #23 #128
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #17
F7 HavocF7 #2 #66
DB HavocDB #75 #105
Virginia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatVT OffMIAMI Def
Perf GradePerf #114 #4
SuccessSuc #85 #14
ExplosiveExp #120 #49
PPAPPA #84 #13
PowerPwr #52 #7
SP+SP+ #75 #15
Pts POPPO #49 #22
HavocHav #79 #26
Virginia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
VT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #40 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #19
Run ExplRExp #92 #65
PPAExp #42 #10
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #18 #5
Stuff RateStuff #36 #17
TackleTak -  #123
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatVT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #77 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #28
Pass ExplPExl #76 #16
PPAExp #117 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #3
F7 HavocF7 #71 #36
DB HavocDB #85 #22
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia Tech last year (38-34)
Miami beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (20-14)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)19226573%21941598.3
Emory Williams111669%124007.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.12563695.138
CharMar Brown (Tr)8230543.713
Girard Pringle Jr.1711546.830
Jordan Lyle3510813.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney54644311.961
Keelan Marion (Tr)26369114.261
C.J. Daniels (Tr)33351610.647
Tony Johnson (Tr)7162023.151

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)451103
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)404303
Akheem Mesidor349530
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor349530
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)404303
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
Rueben Bain Jr.316341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
OJ Frederique Jr.100005
Mohamed Toure (Tr)451103

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones15226059%15921566.1
William Watson III010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)9857615.934
Kyron Drones12749983.933
Terion Stewart (Tr)6339506.385
P.J. Prioleau124703.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene24382215.967
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath1817339.644
Cameron Seldon (Tr)2114326.822

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer495100
Caleb Woodson402011
Kemari Copeland358500
Jaden Keller353101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland358500
Elhadj Fall (Tr)163310
Kelvin Gilliam243241
Jason Abbey122200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams221004
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003
Noah Chambers222112