Miami at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#4)Miami Hurricanes at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Lane Stadium - Blacksburg, VA  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (40 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
MIAMI is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -28.5   (SP+ MIAMI -24)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 43 - VT: 15 (58)
MIAMI Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
MIAMI Travel: 778 miles
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (23 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-7.551.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-12
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-30
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-12
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-22
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-19.5
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-28.5
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-13

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-18.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+16
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest+4.5
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+20
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California+11
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+27
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+28.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+16

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#21 (.39)55% (15)40.352% (32)3.42 (31)17759% (8)3075.5 (13)#48 (.06)35% (33)1328% (9)41% (74)3.64 (72)56.70.72
VT#113 (.07)43% (72)1955% (21)2.97 (70)13232% (123)2073.86 (77)#134 (.45)52% (131)37.749% (115)58% (133)5.81 (134)6120.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense340.340.355.2%5.50.7264841773075.150%50%52%59%9%.39
VT Defense337.744.551.6%5.810.7 - - - - - 62%37%49%58%14%.45
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense3131334.8%3.642 - - - - - 46%54%28%41%19%.06
VT Offense3192343.2%3.862203391322073.950%50%55%32%19%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami332:412652%50%6.356.70.726.32029.9
Virginia Tech330:4219.744%25%6.36120.74.71.7025.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense350% (74)52% (32)351775.110 (10).2 (47)3.42 (31)77% (45)4% (4)0.88 (90)
VT Defense362% (128)49% (115) - - - - .26 (120)3.03 (95)89% (119)10% (61)1.11 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense346% (42)28% (9) - - - - -.2 (7)2.1 (14)50% (19)13% (33)0.91 (64)
VT Offense350% (73)55% (21)341323.92 (109).15 (64)2.97 (70)65% (95)11% (107)0.79 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense350% (59)59% (8)2532.3306.79.512.37 (23)2 (60).57 (18)1.4 (103)23% (13)35% (45).48 (43)5% (65)2.2 (48)
VT Defense337% (8)58% (133) - - - - - - 1 (87).86 (135)2 (125)32% (77)46% (132).82 (133)4% (115)2.3 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense354% (97)41% (74) - - - - - - 3 (28).28 (93)1.5 (58)38% (21)26% (47).24 (62)6% (56)2 (69)
VT Offense350% (60)32% (123)19.334.3207610.74 (72)3 (92) (128)1.5 (85)29% (53)27% (102).11 (115)7% (115)1.5 (123)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Miami's Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 32.16   Virginia Tech: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.7   Virginia Tech: -4.4




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Miami Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense on Road: 13

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 43
Virginia Tech 15


Total Points: 58

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.5

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/27Miami38Virginia Tech34MiamiMiami -17.5Virginia Tech55.5Over
202210/15Virginia Tech14Miami20MiamiMiami -9Virginia Tech48.5Under
202111/20Miami38Virginia Tech26MiamiMiami -7Miami55.5Over
202011/14Virginia Tech24Miami25MiamiVirginia Tech -2.0Miami67.5Under
201910/05Miami35Virginia Tech42Virginia TechMiami -14Virginia Tech46.0Over
201811/17Virginia Tech14Miami38MiamiMiami -6.5Miami52.0Push
201711/04Miami28Virginia Tech10MiamiMiami -2Miami48.5Under
201610/20Virginia Tech37Miami16Virginia TechVirginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
201510/17Miami30Virginia Tech20MiamiMiami -7Miami51.5Under
201410/23Virginia Tech6Miami30MiamiVirginia Tech -2Miami0
201311/09Miami24Virginia Tech42Virginia TechMiami -6.5Virginia Tech0
201211/01Miami30Virginia Tech12Miami
201110/08Virginia Tech38Miami35Virginia Tech
201011/20Miami17Virginia Tech31Virginia Tech
200909/26Virginia Tech31Miami7Virginia Tech
200811/13Miami16Virginia Tech14Miami
200711/17Virginia Tech44Miami14Virginia Tech
200611/04Miami10Virginia Tech17Virginia Tech
200511/05Virginia Tech7Miami27Miami
200412/04Miami10Virginia Tech16Virginia Tech
200311/01Virginia Tech31Miami7Virginia Tech
200112/01Virginia Tech24Miami26Miami
200011/03Miami41Virginia Tech21Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech1054 Overs
Miami1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams11 - 126 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#5) Miami Info
Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44
Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 59%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami has lost 7 straight
Miami has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami Notes
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(5/23) DEs Bain + Mesidor is one of CFBs top units
(5/21) Def very talented, why so bad? DBs 7 portals
(5/21) QBs Beck (UGA) supposedly good to go summer
(5/21) OL one of CFBs best, 4/5 back. Deep, big
(5/3) Fr WR Malachi Toney is a playmaker, will play
(4/4) DE Bain a top 10 DE via PFF. Hurt LY
(4/4) OT Francis Mauigoa a top OT via PFF

Miami Highlights
Miami in Undefeated

Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Miami Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTMIAMI
OverallOver#90#4
OffenseOff#87#5
DefenseDef#96#10
Special TeamsST#106#88
PassingPass#78#40
RushingRush#35#15
Run BlockRBLK#104#8
Pass BlockPBLK#106#29
Route RunningWR Rt#75#5
TacklingTkl#76#41
Run DefenseR Def#71#2
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#10
Coverage DefCov#116#53

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia Tech last year (38-34)
Miami beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | VT
Depth Chart: MIAMI | VT
Rosters: MIAMI | VT
(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Virginia Tech has lost 10 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent

Virginia Tech Highlights

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)


  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)658378%812729.8
Emory Williams101471%108007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.4227246.538
CharMar Brown (Tr)3111123.611
Girard Pringle Jr.74826.930
Chris Wheatley-Humphrey73304.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney18228112.728
C.J. Daniels (Tr)14175312.540
Keelan Marion (Tr)10117011.736
Tony Johnson (Tr)384028.051

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rueben Bain Jr.153201
Akheem Mesidor133200
Raul Aguirre Jr.100000
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor133200
Rueben Bain Jr.153201
Ahmad Moten92100
Booker Pickett31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
OJ Frederique Jr.40002
Keionte Scott (Tr)63012
Chase Smith80001

Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones5810356%621436.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones4312723.032
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)2710804.011
Terion Stewart (Tr)116505.931
Jeremiah Coney64106.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)9193221.437
Ayden Greene8148018.567
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)565013.028
Tucker Holloway348016.033

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Woodson242010
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Quentin Reddish150000
Isaiah Cash (Tr)110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elhadj Fall (Tr)41100
Emmett Laws51100
Kelvin Gilliam81100
Kemari Copeland111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001
Krystian Williams20001