Miami at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
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Miami Hurricanes at Virginia Tech Hokies

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Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -18.5 (49.0) (-950)  Open: -17.0 | 48.5
Miami 34 - Virginia Tech: 17  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (13 - 3) (11 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIAMI is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -25  (SP+ MIAMI -31)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 37 - VT: 12 (49)
MIAMI Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
MIAMI Travel: 778 miles
Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28.545.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8.550.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-28.547.5W 38 - 10ON
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-16.554.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-18.549.0W 34 - 17ON
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-6.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 12/20 Miami at Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3UY
Wed 12/31 Miami vs Ohio State+7.539.5W 24 - 14UY
Thu 1/8 Miami vs Ole Miss-3.052.5W 31 - 27OY
Mon 1/19 Miami vs Indiana+7.546.5L 21 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+18.549.0L 17 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+9.553.5L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)30.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)14.838% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)21.444% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)30.242% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1330.92652.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4
VT Defense1330.231.638.9%2.971.8 - - - - - 52%47%42%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1314.81538.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
VT Offense1321.42641.6%4.221.2183511731784.955%44%44%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Virginia Tech1327:1817.937%42%5.546.31.21.85.92.7130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (73)
VT Defense1352% (88)42% (56) - - - - .05 (32)2.86 (45)71% (55)12% (17)0.85 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
VT Offense1355% (32)44% (66)35.2173.24.927 (30).21 (31)3.01 (76)77% (38)13% (124)1.1 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (5)42% (1).69 (1)4% (15)2.3 (6)
VT Defense1347% (44)36% (15) - - - - - - 14 (23).18 (41)1.8 (116)34% (41)25% (6).26 (47)8% (14)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (66)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (84)
VT Offense1344% (105)39% (102)14.624.7177.97.212.215 (98)8 (40).17 (100)1.5 (87)34% (109)27% (112).27 (94)5% (49)2.2 (26)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.83  #6
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.47  #13
Miami's Defense Rating: -1.36  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55%  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 25.83   Virginia Tech: -1.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7   Virginia Tech: -10.1




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -1.615  #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55  #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #105
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #109
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 37
Virginia Tech 12


Projected Total Points: 49
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Virginia Tech17Miami34Miami -18.5Virginia Tech49.0Over
202409/27Miami38Virginia Tech34Miami -17.5Virginia Tech55.5Over
202210/15Virginia Tech14Miami20Miami -9Virginia Tech48.5Under
202111/20Miami38Virginia Tech26Miami -7Miami55.5Over
202011/14Virginia Tech24Miami25Virginia Tech -2.0Miami67.5Under
201910/05Miami35Virginia Tech42Miami -14Virginia Tech46.0Over
201811/17Virginia Tech14Miami38Miami -6.5Miami52.0Push
201711/04Miami28Virginia Tech10Miami -2Miami48.5Under
201610/20Virginia Tech37Miami16Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
201510/17Miami30Virginia Tech20Miami -7Miami51.5Under
201410/23Virginia Tech6Miami30Virginia Tech -2Miami0
201311/09Miami24Virginia Tech42Miami -6.5Virginia Tech0
201211/01Miami30Virginia Tech12
201110/08Virginia Tech38Miami35
201011/20Miami17Virginia Tech31
200909/26Virginia Tech31Miami7
200811/13Miami16Virginia Tech14
200711/17Virginia Tech44Miami14
200611/04Miami10Virginia Tech17
200511/05Virginia Tech7Miami27
200412/04Miami10Virginia Tech16
200311/01Virginia Tech31Miami7
200112/01Virginia Tech24Miami26
200011/03Miami41Virginia Tech21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech1065 Overs
Miami1464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 126 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams12 - 126 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#6) MIAMI at (#58) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIVT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #6 #58
SP+SP+ #9 #105
Perf GradeGrade #5 #115
OffenseOff #7 #119
DefenseDef #4 #98
Spec TeamsST #49 #127
TalentTal #16 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #54
Miami Notes
(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #98
SuccessSuc #1 #34
ExplosiveExp #22 #56
PPAPPA #2 #18
PowerPwr #13 #68
SP+SP+ #22 #96
Pts POPPO #2 #7
HavocHav #4 #10
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Run GameRun #21 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #56
Run ExplRExp #73 #14
PPAExp #5 #32
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #4 #45
Stuff RateStuff #2 #45
TackleTak -  #95
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #32 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #15
Pass ExplPExl #26 #116
PPAExp #6 #41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #51
F7 HavocF7 #3 #17
DB HavocDB #15 #14
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #4
SuccessSuc #87 #26
ExplosiveExp #67 #130
PPAPPA #75 #69
PowerPwr #53 #6
SP+SP+ #109 #7
Pts POPPO #40 #91
HavocHav #111 #39
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #43 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #16
Run ExplRExp #23 #125
PPAExp #31 #49
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #16
Stuff RateStuff #90 #7
TackleTak -  #120
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #100 #15
Pass SuccessPSuc #102 #40
Pass ExplPExl #87 #113
PPAExp #100 #66
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #1
F7 HavocF7 #124 #43
DB HavocDB #49 #34
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Miami 18.5 (49.0)
Miami won at Virginia Tech this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia Tech last year (34-17)
Miami beat Virginia Tech in 2024 (38-34)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)33846872%381330128.1
Emory Williams131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.2161192125.557
CharMar Brown (Tr)12246073.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney10912111011.161
Keelan Marion (Tr)57746213.161
C.J. Daniels (Tr)50557711.147
Elija Lofton2321839.529

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)843216
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)754406
Wesley Bissainthe713110
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)683115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor63181360
Rueben Bain Jr.54161051
Keionte Scott (Tr)6413585
Ahmad Moten319540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas (Tr)452118
OJ Frederique Jr.190007
Mohamed Toure (Tr)843216

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones17831557%19191796.1
William Watson III2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)11874916.340
Kyron Drones17064493.833
Terion Stewart (Tr)8246905.785
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath2220039.144
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)14194013.938

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer679101
Caleb Woodson573011
Jaden Keller503101
Tyson Flowers (Tr)480022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Ben Bell (Tr)406360
Elhadj Fall (Tr)254320
Jason Abbey172200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)392005
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003