Stanford at Miami - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at Miami Hurricanes(#9)Miami logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Miami -28.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: -30.5
Miami 42 - Stanford: 7  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (3 - 6) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 30 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#119)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 18.6 MPH
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -34  (SP+ MIAMI -30)

Projected Score: STAN: 7 - MIAMI: 41 (47)
MIAMI Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
STAN Travel: 2566 miles, 3 hrs behind
Hurricanes (7 - 2) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (35 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#19)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.555.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28.545.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+8.541.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+6.5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28.545.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8.550.5L 20 - 26UN
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-28.547.5W 38 - 10ON
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-18.5
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-22.5
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#127 (.04)36% (128)17.836% (127)2.13 (126)8337% (119)2262.95 (127)#102 (.2)45% (117)30.146% (117)45% (107)3.22 (25)57.31.61
MIAMI#59 (.19)48% (20)32.948% (23)2.7 (87)13850% (12)2304.48 (29)#13 (.03)36% (14)1536% (19)37% (28)3.11 (22)56.311.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense917.81235.6%2.951.617308832262.646%52%36%37%18%.04
MIAMI Defense91512.436.3%3.111.4 - - - - - 44%55%36%37%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense930.134.845.3%3.221 - - - - - 42%57%46%45%13%.2
MIAMI Offense932.935.448.4%4.481203681382304.351%48%48%50%11%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford929:5617.134%56%6.157.31.614.11.8124.8
Miami929:4719.647%56%7.156.311.45.31.9031.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense946% (99)36% (127)31.882.82.66 (119)-.03 (126)2.13 (126)77% (34)10% (102)0.86 (115)
MIAMI Defense944% (11)36% (19) - - - - -.07 (10)1.88 (5)71% (68)11% (36)0.95 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense942% (7)46% (117) - - - - .04 (35)3.11 (115)77% (109)7% (127)0.82 (15)
MIAMI Offense951% (61)48% (23)32.1137.64.319 (40).05 (96)2.7 (87)82% (11)5% (2)0.74 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense952% (44)37% (119)18.632.4225.7712.210 (106)10 (60).18 (95)1.5 (68)33% (98)23% (127).14 (119)8% (123)1.8 (109)
MIAMI Defense955% (123)37% (28) - - - - - - 7 (55).15 (38)1.4 (16)35% (19)28% (48).22 (41)7% (22)1.7 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense957% (131)45% (107) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (112)1.5 (71)32% (71)35% (123).34 (91)6% (73)1.9 (34)
MIAMI Offense948% (76)50% (12)20.628.6230.18.111.214 (61)9 (108).41 (23)1.4 (103)25% (7)30% (76).26 (91)6% (75)2 (69)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -5.66  #93
Stanford's Offense Rating: 1.14  #120
Stanford's Defense Rating: 6.80  #70
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #115
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -5.66   Miami: 25.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -12.1   Miami: 18.2




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.245  #7
Miami's Offense Rating: 21.33  #18
Miami's Defense Rating: -9.03  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.2  #13
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #20
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.8

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 41
Stanford 7


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 34
Stanford 16

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Miami 34
Stanford 14

Total Points: 48
Miami Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Miami42Stanford7Miami -28.5Miami45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami111 Overs
Stanford000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#93) STAN at (#7) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANMIAMI
Power RatePwr #93 #7
SP+SP+ #115 #13
Perf GradeGrade #125 #4
OffenseOff #117 #11
DefenseDef #128 #4
Spec TeamsST #44 #105
TalentTal #39 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #9
Stanford Notes
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/22) QB Gulbranson inj vs FSU, ? for Miami game
(10/19) Huge W vs FSU, box score L but held on. 3-2 run now
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
Stanford Injury Report
Miami Notes
(11/3) 9 trips into SMU territory only scored 20 pts
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
Miami Injury Report
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Perf GradePerf #117 #4
SuccessSuc #128 #14
ExplosiveExp #85 #49
PPAPPA #127 #13
PowerPwr #120 #7
SP+SP+ #117 #15
Pts POPPO #127 #22
HavocHav #118 #26
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #65 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #19
Run ExplRExp #115 #65
PPAExp #126 #10
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLY #126 #5
Stuff RateStuff #97 #17
TackleTak -  #123
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #124 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #28
Pass ExplPExl #68 #16
PPAExp #95 #38
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #3
F7 HavocF7 #102 #36
DB HavocDB #123 #22
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #128
SuccessSuc #20 #117
ExplosiveExp #130 #67
PPAPPA #59 #102
PowerPwr #18 #70
SP+SP+ #20 #100
Pts POPPO #29 #25
HavocHav #9 #119
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #23 #113
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #117
Run ExplRExp #133 #15
PPAExp #96 #35
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #115
Stuff RateStuff #28 #123
TackleTak -  #119
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #33 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #107
Pass ExplPExl #103 #71
PPAExp #23 #112
Pass Block/RushP Blk #2 #121
F7 HavocF7 #2 #127
DB HavocDB #75 #73
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 82° - Wind: 19 mph
Rain: 0.028
Rematch from Week 9
Miami -28.5 (45.5)
Miami won vs Stanford this year (42-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)14826057%18139107.0
Elijah Brown193161%218107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9942534.375
Cole Tabb9537924.028
Sedrick Irvin278013.015
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams48606412.636
Bryce Farrell25413116.568
Sam Roush37409211.169
Caden High (Tr)22278112.634

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose755113
Scotty Edwards474311
Jahsiah Galvan350002
Charlie Eckhardt300012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson235441
Scotty Edwards474311
Zach Johnson (Tr)283221
Hunter Barth (Tr)263221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green281005
Brandon Nicholson110004
Matt Rose755113

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)19226573%21941598.3
Emory Williams111669%124007.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.12563695.138
CharMar Brown (Tr)8230543.713
Girard Pringle Jr.1711546.830
Jordan Lyle3510813.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney54644311.961
Keelan Marion (Tr)26369114.261
C.J. Daniels (Tr)33351610.647
Tony Johnson (Tr)7162023.151

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure (Tr)451103
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)404303
Akheem Mesidor349530
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor349530
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)404303
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
Rueben Bain Jr.316341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Scott (Tr)4310365
OJ Frederique Jr.100005
Mohamed Toure (Tr)451103