Stanford at Miami - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at Miami Hurricanes(#2)Miami logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (13 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -36  (SP+ MIAMI -31)

Projected Score: STAN: 7 - MIAMI: 43 (50)
MIAMI Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
STAN Travel: 2566 miles, 3 hrs behind
Hurricanes (5 - 0) (4 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 35 - 14 (37 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 0.7 (#4)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.552.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+36
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+18.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.553.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.50.0W 45 - 3ON
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-17.556.5W 49 - 12OY
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-8.551.5W 26 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-3.554.5W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-13.551.5
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-36
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-8
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-31
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-21.5
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-29
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#109 (.11)38% (120)18.838% (114)2.6 (116)9538% (106)2412.96 (129)#108 (.23)46% (115)30.246% (112)45% (108)3.39 (42)62.51.30.8
MIAMI#32 (.29)51% (12)3550% (24)3.19 (39)16353% (6)2644.97 (16)#23 (.06)36% (15)13.636% (20)35% (19)3.53 (53)62.80.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense618.813.338.2%2.961.31833695241348%52%38%38%17%.11
MIAMI Defense513.611.535.7%3.531.8 - - - - - 46%54%36%35%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense630.23345.8%3.390.8 - - - - - 39%61%46%45%12%.23
MIAMI Offense53536.851.2%4.970.6234281632644.553%47%50%53%10%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford630:3718.233%69%762.51.30.842123.7
Miami532:5922.648%63%7.662.80.61.86.22.4032.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense648% (88)38% (114)31.794.735 (115).01 (118)2.6 (116)79% (31)11% (102)0.89 (102)
MIAMI Defense546% (32)36% (20) - - - - -.07 (8)2.64 (34)64% (32)12% (29)0.86 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense639% (2)46% (112) - - - - .04 (40)3.06 (102)80% (114)7% (126)0.8 (15)
MIAMI Offense553% (44)50% (24)36.2163.44.512 (48).14 (61)3.19 (39)84% (14)5% (3)0.81 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense652% (49)38% (106)19.332.8240.87.312.56 (110)4 (50).23 (87)1.6 (62)32% (78)25% (112).16 (113)6% (87)1.7 (129)
MIAMI Defense554% (109)35% (19) - - - - - - 5 (46).17 (42)1.6 (82)38% (11)29% (66).29 (70)6% (75)1.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense661% (135)45% (108) - - - - - - 1 (128).35 (113)1.5 (74)33% (59)35% (118).32 (84)5% (106)1.7 (15)
MIAMI Offense547% (88)53% (6)22.430.8264.28.611.811 (49)3 (26).45 (24)1.4 (109)24% (8)29% (87).22 (103)5% (42)2 (61)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.32  #85
Stanford's Offense Rating: 5.99  #96
Stanford's Defense Rating: 9.31  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #108
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #106
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -3.32   Miami: 29.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -10.2   Miami: 20.5




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 29.15  #3
Miami's Offense Rating: 29.46  #7
Miami's Defense Rating: -9.88  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55  #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 0.7
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.5  #15
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #6
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 43
Stanford 7


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 38
Stanford 14

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Miami 34
Stanford 14

Total Points: 48
Miami Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 13.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami000 Overs
Stanford000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#85) STAN at (#3) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANMIAMI
Power RatePwr #85 #3
SP+SP+ #108 #15
Perf GradeGrade #116 #4
OffenseOff #87 #11
DefenseDef #130 #3
Spec TeamsST #26 #113
TalentTal #39 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #9

Stanford Notes
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues

Miami Notes
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(5/23) DEs Bain + Mesidor is one of CFBs top units
(5/21) Def very talented, why so bad? DBs 7 portals
(5/21) QBs Beck (UGA) supposedly good to go summer
(5/21) OL one of CFBs best, 4/5 back. Deep, big
(5/3) Fr WR Malachi Toney is a playmaker, will play
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Perf GradePerf #87 #3
SuccessSuc #120 #15
ExplosiveExp #67 #56
PPAPPA #109 #23
PowerPwr #96 #8
SP+SP+ #106 #23
Pts POPPO #129 #53
HavocHav #100 #44
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #62 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #20
Run ExplRExp #102 #30
PPAExp #118 #8
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #34
Stuff RateStuff #83 #85
TackleTak -  #82
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #101 #31
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #19
Pass ExplPExl #62 #82
PPAExp #87 #42
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #111 #3
F7 HavocF7 #102 #29
DB HavocDB #87 #75
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #130
SuccessSuc #12 #115
ExplosiveExp #128 #66
PPAPPA #32 #108
PowerPwr #7 #75
SP+SP+ #6 #99
Pts POPPO #16 #42
HavocHav #7 #124
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #31 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #24 #112
Run ExplRExp #119 #15
PPAExp #61 #40
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #102
Stuff RateStuff #20 #109
TackleTak -  #115
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #46 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #108
Pass ExplPExl #109 #74
PPAExp #24 #113
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #107
F7 HavocF7 #3 #126
DB HavocDB #42 #106
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)11619659%1445647.4
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9140034.475
Cole Tabb3919415.017
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Sedrick Irvin155213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams36412111.436
Bryce Farrell19381120.168
Sam Roush18219212.269
Caden High (Tr)15190012.734

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Jaivion Green241003
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson144331
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green241003
Matt Rose474112
Collin Wright220002

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)10214073%12131138.7
Emory Williams101471%108007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.7842855.538
CharMar Brown (Tr)5721043.712
Girard Pringle Jr.74826.930
Keelan Marion (Tr)235017.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney29375312.944
C.J. Daniels (Tr)23269511.747
Keelan Marion (Tr)11125011.436
Elija Lofton1110009.117

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rueben Bain Jr.264231
Mohamed Toure (Tr)241101
Akheem Mesidor235420
Wesley Bissainthe222000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor235420
Rueben Bain Jr.264231
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)203202
Ahmad Moten102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Scott (Tr)204033
OJ Frederique Jr.60002
Jakobe Thomas (Tr)203202