Alabama at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#9)Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers(#2)Indiana logo
Thursday, January 1st 2026 (4:00 PM EST)
Indiana -7.5 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Indiana 38 - Alabama: 3  (CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Indiana -6.5  (SP+ IND -11)

Projected Score: ALA: 20 - IND: 27 (47)
IND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 417 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hoosiers (14 - 0) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 10 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-4.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#40 (.21)43% (61)29.540% (99)2.74 (110)10346% (33)2524.19 (32)#17 (.06)37% (15)19.237% (15)37% (26)3.4 (48)39.10.81.3
IND#10 (.33)53% (2)41.650% (11)3.27 (17)21056% (3)2344.98 (4)#12 (.04)35% (8)10.332% (4)38% (33)1.82 (1)26.40.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.343%4.190.8203551032523.443%56%40%46%13%.21
IND Defense1410.38.434.5%1.821.8 - - - - - 43%54%32%38%24%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.736.6%3.41.3 - - - - - 50%49%37%37%18%.06
IND Offense1441.649.152.7%4.980.6234442102345.754%44%50%56%11%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1529:5219.642%65%4.439.10.81.35.42330.6
Indiana1430:5822.955%50%3.526.40.61.882.8331.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (117)40% (99)29.9102.73.421 (99).03 (111)2.74 (110)67% (100)8% (27)0.84 (120)
IND Defense1443% (10)32% (4) - - - - -.1 (4)2.17 (3)58% (6)17% (1)1.02 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (61)37% (15) - - - - .08 (58)2.71 (32)74% (90)12% (17)1.04 (108)
IND Offense1454% (34)50% (11)36.8210.35.729 (40).21 (23)3.27 (17)69% (90)6% (6)0.88 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (18)46% (33)21.332.7252.27.711.932 (2)5 (3).36 (34)1.6 (48)30% (40)34% (28).42 (25)5% (44)2 (64)
IND Defense1454% (126)38% (33) - - - - - - 17 (12).22 (57)1.6 (80)37% (9)26% (19).22 (42)7% (20)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1549% (72)37% (26) - - - - - - 11 (31).09 (11)1.5 (48)35% (16)27% (37).22 (39)7% (37)2 (62)
IND Offense1444% (102)56% (3)17.524.5233.69.513.438 (1)7 (7).49 (5)1.5 (103)23% (1)40% (3).57 (7)5% (29)2.1 (52)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 26.21  #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.21   Indiana: 29.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.6   Indiana: 31.5




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 29.785  #2
Indiana's Offense Rating: 29.34  #3
Indiana's Defense Rating: -8.83  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 27
Alabama 20


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 25
Alabama 18

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 33
Alabama 19

Total Points: 52
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 14 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202501/01Indiana38Alabama3Indiana -7.5Indiana46.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana110 Overs
Alabama001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Alabama Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38
2025CFP 1st Round Alabama vs Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24
2024Reliaquest Bowl Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19
2023CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27
2022Sugar Bowl Alabama vs Kansas State-8.058.5W 45 - 20
2021CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33
2021CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6
2020CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Ohio State-9.575.0W 52 - 24
2020CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Notre Dame-20.066.0W 31 - 14
2019Citrus Bowl Alabama vs Michigan-8.562.0W 35 - 16
Indiana Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3
2024CFP 1st Round Indiana vs Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27
2020Outback Bowl Indiana vs Ole Miss-6.566.5L 20 - 26
2019Gator Bowl Indiana vs Tennessee+4.056.0L 22 - 23
  
(#10) ALA at (#2) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAIND
Power RatePwr #10 #2
SP+SP+ #12 #2
Perf GradeGrade #14 #1
OffenseOff #32 #1
DefenseDef #12 #2
Spec TeamsST #16 #9
TalentTal #6 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #44
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffIND Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #2
SuccessSuc #61 #8
ExplosiveExp #46 #117
PPAPPA #40 #12
PowerPwr #21 #8
SP+SP+ #22 #2
Pts POPPO #32 #1
HavocHav #33 #1
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffIND Def
Run GameRun #66 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #4
Run ExplRExp #120 #96
PPAExp #111 #4
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #3
Stuff RateStuff #103 #1
TackleTak -  #6
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #29 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #33
Pass ExplPExl #48 #80
PPAExp #34 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #13
F7 HavocF7 #27 #1
DB HavocDB #44 #20
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #1 #12
SuccessSuc #2 #15
ExplosiveExp #121 #75
PPAPPA #10 #17
PowerPwr #3 #9
SP+SP+ #3 #6
Pts POPPO #4 #48
HavocHav #8 #22
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffALA Def
Run GameRun #6 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #15
Run ExplRExp #108 #108
PPAExp #23 #58
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #32
Stuff RateStuff #25 #50
TackleTak -  #26
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #17 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #26
Pass ExplPExl #103 #48
PPAExp #5 #11
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #127
F7 HavocF7 #6 #17
DB HavocDB #29 #37
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 1
Indiana -7.5 (46.5)
Indiana won vs Alabama this year (38-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson29345764%35002857.7
Austin Mack131681%125207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7027163.930
Kevin Riley5622224.022
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard60802713.443
Ryan Williams43636414.875
Isaiah Horton (Tr)40495812.437
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson767325
Deontae Lawson764114
Brayson Hubbard663118
Keon Sabb493213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre4813781
Lebbeus Overton336441
Justin Jefferson767325
Keon Keeley123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard663118
Zabien Brown333006
Justin Jefferson767325

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)22631672%29803369.4
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)17691865.282
Kaelon Black14379875.640
Khobie Martin6945366.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)6924063.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.598281114.058
Elijah Sarratt506631213.349
Charlie Becker26515219.853
E.J. Williams34416512.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Louis Moore (Tr)763001
Aiden Fisher757350
Isaiah Jones6613721
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Isaiah Jones6613721
Tyrique Tucker3111621
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds464007
Amare Ferrell432006
Devan Boykin (Tr)483045