Alabama at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers

Thursday, January 1st 2026 (4:00 PM EST)
Indiana -7.5 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Indiana 38 - Alabama: 3 (CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential)

Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Indiana -12 (SP+ IND -18)
Projected Score: ALA: 19 - IND: 31 (49)
IND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 1755 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Hoosiers (16 - 0) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ALA Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Alabama at Florida State	-13.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/6	Alabama vs UL Monroe	-34.0	50.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Alabama vs Wisconsin	-17.5	45.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Alabama at Georgia	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Alabama vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	58.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Alabama at Missouri	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/18	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	60.5	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Alabama at South Carolina	-11.5	47.5	W 29 - 22	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Alabama vs LSU	-10.5	49.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-6.5	45.5	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/22	Alabama vs Eastern Illinois	-50.5	57.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Alabama at Auburn	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 12/6	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.5	47.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/19	Alabama at Oklahoma	+1.5	42.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Thu 1/1	Alabama vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 3 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Indiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Indiana vs Old Dominion	-23.5	54.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Indiana vs Kennesaw State	-35.5	51.5	W 56 - 9	O	Y
Fri 9/12	Indiana vs Indiana State	-47.5	60.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Indiana vs Illinois	-7.0	51.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Indiana at Iowa	-9.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Indiana at Oregon	+7.0	51.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-26.5	49.5	W 38 - 13	O	N
Sat 10/25	Indiana vs UCLA	-26.5	53.5	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Indiana at Maryland	-21.0	50.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Indiana at Penn State	-13.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/15	Indiana vs Wisconsin	-28.5	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Indiana at Purdue	-28.5	53.5	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Indiana vs Ohio State	+5.5	48.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Indiana vs Alabama	-7.5	46.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 1/9	Indiana vs Oregon	-3.0	50.5	W 56 - 22	O	Y
Mon 1/19	Indiana vs Miami	-7.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)	29.5	45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)	19.2	38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)	41.6	50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)	11.7	35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	29.5	26.3	45.2%	4.71	1.4	20	390	169	222	4.8	53%	47%	45%	45%	16%	.23
IND Defense	13	11.7	8.4	38.1%	3.66	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	35%	40%	21%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	19.2	23.7	37.2%	2.85	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	38%	37%	18%	.05
IND Offense	13	41.6	49.1	52.4%	5.03	0.7	23	428	166	261	4.5	52%	48%	50%	56%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	27:39	19.7	49%	62%	7.1	66.3	1.4	2.1	4.8	1.8	0	29.8
Indiana	13	30:42	23.5	48%	59%	4.8	43.9	0.7	1.8	6.7	2.7	2	34.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	53% (49)	45% (52)	35.2	168.8	4.8	41 (5)	.21 (28)	2.75 (112)	76% (44)	11% (102)	1.12 (12)
IND Defense	13	45% (10)	35% (7)	-	-	-	-	.01 (16)	2.4 (4)	66% (27)	13% (9)	1.05 (96)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	52% (87)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (8)	2.81 (38)	76% (86)	10% (61)	0.87 (19)
IND Offense	13	52% (60)	50% (13)	37.2	166.2	4.5	37 (6)	.17 (48)	3.09 (55)	75% (53)	7% (16)	0.89 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	47% (84)	45% (31)	16.2	24.7	221.6	9	13.7	16 (87)	10 (63)	.27 (59)	1.5 (78)	28% (21)	31% (77)	.3 (83)	4% (20)	2.3 (4)
IND Defense	13	55% (127)	40% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.15 (29)	1.3 (3)	32% (59)	28% (30)	.19 (21)	7% (26)	1.6 (1)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	48% (49)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.12 (22)	1.6 (86)	35% (21)	29% (38)	.25 (44)	8% (15)	2 (56)
IND Offense	13	48% (73)	56% (2)	18.9	27.8	261.3	9.4	13.8	33 (5)	6 (10)	.53 (2)	1.6 (64)	27% (12)	39% (3)	.5 (11)	6% (73)	2.1 (52)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 23.11 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.71 #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -1.40 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.11 Indiana: 31.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8 Indiana: 32.4

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 31.02 #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19 #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4 #1
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 31
Alabama 19

Projected Total Points: 49

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 16 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	01/01	Indiana	38	Alabama	3	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	46.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	1	1	0 Overs
Alabama	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Alabama Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Alabama vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 3 - 38
2025	CFP 1st Round	Alabama vs Oklahoma	+1.5	42.0	W 34 - 24
2024	Reliaquest Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19
2023	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27
2022	Sugar Bowl	Alabama vs Kansas State	-8.0	58.5	W 45 - 20
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33
2021	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Ohio State	-9.5	75.0	W 52 - 24
2020	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Notre Dame	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 14
2019	Citrus Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16

Indiana Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Nat'l Title	Indiana vs Miami	-7.5	46.5	W 27 - 21
2025	CFP Semifinal	Indiana vs Oregon	-3.0	50.5	W 56 - 22
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Indiana vs Alabama	-7.5	46.5	W 38 - 3
2024	CFP 1st Round	Indiana vs Notre Dame	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 27
2020	Outback Bowl	Indiana vs Ole Miss	-6.5	66.5	L 20 - 26
2019	Gator Bowl	Indiana vs Tennessee	+4.0	56.0	L 22 - 23

(#8) ALA at (#1) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#8	#1
SP+SP+	#20	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#17	#1
OffenseOff	#36	#1
DefenseDef	#17	#2
Spec TeamsST	#27	#10
TalentTal	#6	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#44

Alabama Notes(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report

Indiana Notes(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report

Alabama on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#2
SuccessSuc	#34	#24
ExplosiveExp	#34	#25
PPAPPA	#44	#19
PowerPwr	#21	#9
SP+SP+	#36	#2
Pts POPPO	#8	#55
HavocHav	#63	#6

Alabama Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#93	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#7
Run ExplRExp	#12	#96
PPAExp	#28	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#44	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#121	#6
TackleTak	-	#2

Alabama Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#3
PPAExp	#59	#29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#9	#29
F7 HavocF7	#102	#9
DB HavocDB	#20	#26

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	ALA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#17
SuccessSuc	#2	#12
ExplosiveExp	#90	#47
PPAPPA	#6	#8
PowerPwr	#1	#5
SP+SP+	#2	#11
Pts POPPO	#1	#5
HavocHav	#27	#41

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#9	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	#13	#15
Run ExplRExp	#107	#19
PPAExp	#48	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#53
TackleTak	-	#24

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#86
PPAExp	#2	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#18	#127
F7 HavocF7	#16	#61
DB HavocDB	#73	#15

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Indiana -7.5 (46.5)
Indiana won vs Alabama this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Alabama last year (38-3)

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Simpson	305	473	65%	3567	28	5	7.5
Austin Mack	24	32	75%	228	2	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Miller	130	504	3	3.9	24
Daniel Hill	75	284	6	3.8	30
Kevin Riley	59	224	2	3.8	22
AK Dear	19	140	3	7.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Germie Bernard	64	862	7	13.5	43
Ryan Williams	49	689	4	14.1	75
Isaiah Horton (Tr)	42	511	8	12.2	37
Lotzeir Brooks	32	441	2	13.8	53

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Lawson	80	5	2	1	4
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	54	5	0	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1
Lebbeus Overton	40	6	4	4	1
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5
Keon Keeley	13	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Zabien Brown	39	3	0	0	6
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	273	379	72%	3535	41	6	9.3
Alberto Mendoza	18	24	75%	286	5	1	11.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)	230	1120	7	4.9	82
Kaelon Black	187	1039	10	5.6	40
Khobie Martin	77	506	6	6.6	36
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	90	276	7	3.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omar Cooper Jr.	70	961	13	13.7	58
Elijah Sarratt	64	806	15	12.6	49
Charlie Becker	34	679	4	20.0	53
E.J. Williams	36	438	6	12.2	62

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5
Aiden Fisher	95	11	5	5	1
Louis Moore (Tr)	90	3	0	0	3
Isaiah Jones	78	15	7	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5
Isaiah Jones	78	15	7	3	2
Tyrique Tucker	38	12	6	3	2
Stephen Daley (Tr)	35	19	6	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	60	4	0	0	10
Amare Ferrell	48	2	0	0	6
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5