Miami at Pittsburgh - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
MIAMI 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Miami -13   (SP+ MIAMI -15.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 40 - PITT: 27 (65)
MIAMI Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MIAMI Travel: 1001 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame+2.054.0
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-43.5
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida-22
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State-10
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville-10.5
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford-28
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU-4
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse-17
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State-16.5
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech-12
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh-13

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-28
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-1
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+18.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)25.338% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)32.945% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)28.438% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.552.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4
PITT Defense1328.421.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
PITT Offense1332.937.641.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (73)
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (5)42% (1).69 (1)4% (15)2.3 (6)
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (66)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (84)
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 21.27 #14
Miami's Offense Rating: 29.55 #6
Miami's Defense Rating: 8.28 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #10
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #12
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 823.53
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.27   Pittsburgh: 7.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 18.8   Pittsburgh: 3.4




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.125 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 823.53
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 40
Pittsburgh 27

Projected Total Points: 65
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26Miami16Pittsburgh42PittsburghPittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh43.0Over
202110/30Pittsburgh34Miami38MiamiPittsburgh -9.5Miami61.0Over
202010/17Miami31Pittsburgh19MiamiMiami -12.5Pittsburgh47.5Over
201910/26Pittsburgh12Miami16MiamiPittsburgh -4.5Miami43.0Under
201811/24Miami24Pittsburgh3MiamiMiami -5.5Miami45.5Under
201711/24Pittsburgh24Miami14PittsburghMiami -12Pittsburgh54.0Under
201611/05Miami51Pittsburgh28MiamiMiami -6Miami58.0Over
201511/27Pittsburgh24Miami29MiamiPittsburgh -7Miami54.5Under
201411/29Miami23Pittsburgh35PittsburghMiami -9.5Pittsburgh0
201311/29Pittsburgh31Miami41MiamiMiami -3Miami0
201009/23Pittsburgh3Miami31Miami
200311/29Pittsburgh14Miami28Miami
200109/27Pittsburgh21Miami43Miami
200011/10Miami35Pittsburgh7Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh344 Overs
Miami1164 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 93 - 72 - 51 - 2
Road Teams9 - 57 - 32 - 15 - 2

(#14) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.27 #14
Offense Rating: 29.55 #6
Defense Rating: 8.28 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 976.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #10
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Miami Notes
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(5/23) DEs Bain + Mesidor is one of CFBs top units
(5/21) Def very talented, why so bad? DBs 7 portals
(5/21) ACC sched easy outside @ SMU, OOC hard
(5/21) QBs Beck (UGA) supposedly good to go summer
(5/21) OL one of CFBs best, 4/5 back. Deep, big
(5/3) Fr WR Malachi Toney is a playmaker, will play
(4/4) DE Bain a top 10 DE via PFF. Hurt LY
(4/4) OT Francis Mauigoa a top OT via PFF
(3/28) New DC Hetherman has 1 yr DC exp (Minn)
Miami     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #14
#50
Off #6
#47
Def #29
#47
Talent #14
#58
SP+ #12
#47
SP+ Off #1
#45
SP+ Def #44
#55

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Miami in 2022 (42-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | PITT
Depth Chart: MIAMI | PITT
Rosters: MIAMI | PITT
(#50) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.125 #50
Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(6/14) Look better TY esp Off, but harder schedule.
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OL 3/5 back, 3 portals, could be top 1/2 ACC
(6/14) Def decent LY, 7 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) WR rebuild. Took 3 portals. Have some options
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era


  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck (Tr)29044865%348528127.8
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CharMar Brown (Tr)2441181154.848
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Keelan Marion (Tr)219624.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434
Tony Johnson (Tr)4945269.223
Keelan Marion (Tr)24346114.452
Alex Bauman (Tr)15171611.436

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)773008
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Kamal Bonner (Tr)567160
David Blay (Tr)4510620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay (Tr)4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser (Tr)773008
Ethan O'Connor (Tr)301018
Charles Brantley (Tr)272007

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Gonzales (Tr)19631263%24711257.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid18496655.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Cole Gonzales (Tr)5919423.350
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum372106
Kyle Louis10016793