Indiana at Maryland - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#2)Indiana Hoosiers at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -21 (50.5) (-2100)  Open: -16.5
Indiana 55 - Maryland: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (14 - 0) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 10 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MD coming off BYE
IND is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -26.5  (SP+ IND -32)

Projected Score: IND: 39 - MD: 12 (51)
IND Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
IND Travel: 514 miles
Terrapins (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-4.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+10.544.5W 27 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+5.552.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+7.047.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA+3.552.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+21.050.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.556.5L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+15.551.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+14.046.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+4.049.5L 28 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#10 (.33)53% (2)41.650% (11)3.27 (17)21056% (3)2344.98 (4)#12 (.04)35% (8)10.332% (4)38% (33)1.82 (1)26.40.61.8
MD#84 (.15)40% (99)23.539% (105)2.83 (89)10641% (80)2563.39 (99)#58 (.13)44% (102)26.546% (105)43% (82)3.6 (63)55.81.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1441.637.652.7%4.980.6234442102345.754%44%50%56%11%.33
MD Defense1226.527.344.2%3.61.8 - - - - - 53%45%46%43%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1410.314.434.5%1.821.8 - - - - - 43%54%32%38%24%.04
MD Offense1223.526.340.1%3.391.2183611062564.235%64%39%41%14%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1430:5822.955%50%3.526.40.61.882.8331.3
Maryland1226:5818.337%36%655.81.21.85.42.3429.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1454% (34)50% (11)36.8210.35.729 (40).21 (23)3.27 (17)69% (90)6% (6)0.88 (108)
MD Defense1253% (108)46% (105) - - - - .13 (89)3.06 (102)77% (106)8% (117)0.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1443% (10)32% (4) - - - - -.1 (4)2.17 (3)58% (6)17% (1)1.02 (96)
MD Offense1235% (136)39% (105)25.3105.54.29 (107).04 (109)2.83 (89)73% (63)6% (6)1.02 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1444% (102)56% (3)17.524.5233.69.513.438 (1)7 (7).49 (5)1.5 (103)23% (1)40% (3).57 (7)5% (29)2.1 (52)
MD Defense1245% (32)43% (82) - - - - - - 19 (1).16 (34)1.6 (75)29% (108)32% (103).32 (85)6% (64)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1454% (126)38% (33) - - - - - - 17 (12).22 (57)1.6 (80)37% (9)26% (19).22 (42)7% (20)2.1 (92)
MD Offense1264% (1)41% (80)23.740.9255.76.310.818 (61)9 (20).23 (77)1.5 (99)34% (118)37% (14).46 (18)8% (125)2 (80)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 28.07  #2
Indiana's Offense Rating: 29.34  #3
Indiana's Defense Rating: -8.83  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 28.07   Maryland: 3.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 31.5   Maryland: -0.5




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 3.34  #62
Maryland's Offense Rating: 9.01  #67
Maryland's Defense Rating: 6.83  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5  #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #89
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 14 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 39
Maryland 12


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 28
Maryland 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 33
Maryland 19

Total Points: 52
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Maryland10Indiana55Indiana -21Indiana50.5Over
202409/28Indiana42Maryland28Indiana -7.5Indiana50.0Over
202309/30Maryland44Indiana17Maryland -14.5Maryland50.0Over
202210/15Indiana33Maryland38Maryland -11Indiana63.0Over
202110/30Maryland38Indiana35Maryland -3.5Indiana48.0Over
202011/28Indiana27Maryland11Indiana -11.5Indiana65.0Under
201910/19Maryland28Indiana34Indiana -6.5Maryland59.5Over
201811/10Indiana34Maryland32Indiana -1Indiana55.0Over
201710/28Maryland42Indiana39Indiana -6.5Maryland51.5Over
201610/29Indiana42Maryland36Indiana -5Indiana55.5Over
201511/21Maryland28Indiana47Indiana -1.5Indiana63.0Over
201409/27Indiana15Maryland37Indiana -3Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland5410 Overs
Indiana781 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 58 - 45 - 23 - 2
Road Teams5 - 74 - 82 - 32 - 5

(#2) IND at (#62) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDMD
Power RatePwr #2 #62
SP+SP+ #2 #75
Perf GradeGrade #1 #106
OffenseOff #1 #110
DefenseDef #2 #88
Spec TeamsST #9 #96
TalentTal #69 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #29
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Maryland Notes
(11/29) 8 straight L's to finish, but Locksley is back next year?
(11/22) 7 straight L's, 4th straight no show. Team quit
(11/9) Only 3 2H points in bad L to Rutgers. Bowl doubts
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
Maryland Injury Report
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffMD Def
Perf GradePerf #1 #88
SuccessSuc #2 #102
ExplosiveExp #121 #31
PPAPPA #10 #58
PowerPwr #3 #58
SP+SP+ #3 #60
Pts POPPO #4 #63
HavocHav #8 #104
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffMD Def
Run GameRun #6 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #105
Run ExplRExp #108 #39
PPAExp #23 #89
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #102
Stuff RateStuff #25 #99
TackleTak -  #74
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #17 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #82
Pass ExplPExl #103 #75
PPAExp #5 #34
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #16 #58
F7 HavocF7 #6 #117
DB HavocDB #29 #64
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffIND Def
Perf GradePerf #110 #2
SuccessSuc #99 #8
ExplosiveExp #33 #117
PPAPPA #84 #12
PowerPwr #67 #8
SP+SP+ #89 #2
Pts POPPO #99 #1
HavocHav #52 #1
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffIND Def
Run GameRun #84 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #105 #4
Run ExplRExp #49 #96
PPAExp #109 #4
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #3
Stuff RateStuff #73 #1
TackleTak -  #6
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #72 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #33
Pass ExplPExl #99 #80
PPAExp #77 #57
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #13
F7 HavocF7 #6 #1
DB HavocDB #125 #20
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Indiana 21.0 (50.5)
Indiana won at Maryland this year (55-10)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Maryland last year (42-28)
Maryland beat Indiana in 2023 (44-17)
Maryland beat Indiana in 2022 (38-33)

  
IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)22631672%29803369.4
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)17691865.282
Kaelon Black14379875.640
Khobie Martin6945366.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)6924063.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.598281114.058
Elijah Sarratt506631213.349
Charlie Becker26515219.853
E.J. Williams34416512.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Louis Moore (Tr)763001
Aiden Fisher757350
Isaiah Jones6613721
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Isaiah Jones6613721
Tyrique Tucker3111621
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds464007
Amare Ferrell432006
Devan Boykin (Tr)483045

MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington27347358%29631796.3
Khristian Martin111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams12850133.940
Malik Washington5531745.873
Nolan Ray6728924.353
Iverson Howard3912503.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts44717616.362
Jalil Farooq (Tr)5854549.429
Octavian Smith Jr.43529012.353
DeJuan Williams4542619.555

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Ted Monachino (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate1027221
Jalen Huskey722002
Lavain Scruggs641013
Carlton Smith642140
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart3211772
Zahir Mathis359631
Nahsir Taylor193220
Trey Reddick536202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)401008
Jamare Glasker (Tr)326006
Messiah Delhomme391003