Oregon at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#5)Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers(#2)Indiana logo
Friday, January 9th 2026 (7:30 PM EST)
Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA  (CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl)

 
Ducks (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 38 - 15 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Indiana -2  (SP+ IND -4)

Projected Score: ORE: 23 - IND: 25 (47)
IND Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ORE Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs behind
Hoosiers (14 - 0) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 10 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+4.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-4.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#2 (.39)51% (5)3853% (2)3.37 (10)18750% (11)2124.4 (24)#14 (.04)37% (17)15.140% (48)34% (12)3.86 (90)43.40.61.2
IND#10 (.33)53% (2)41.650% (11)3.27 (17)21056% (3)2344.98 (4)#12 (.04)35% (8)10.332% (4)38% (33)1.82 (1)26.40.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense143832.851%4.40.6193991872125.852%46%53%50%9%.39
IND Defense1410.38.434.5%1.821.8 - - - - - 43%54%32%38%24%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1415.115.636.8%3.861.2 - - - - - 49%49%40%34%18%.04
IND Offense1441.649.152.7%4.980.6234442102345.754%44%50%56%11%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1426:3119.449%64%4.543.40.61.24.11.6430.6
Indiana1430:5822.955%50%3.526.40.61.882.8331.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1452% (47)53% (2)32.2187.25.830 (16).34 (3)3.37 (10)80% (15)6% (5)1.06 (32)
IND Defense1443% (10)32% (4) - - - - -.1 (4)2.17 (3)58% (6)17% (1)1.02 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1449% (55)40% (48) - - - - .06 (49)2.73 (37)75% (99)9% (83)0.94 (59)
IND Offense1454% (34)50% (11)36.8210.35.729 (40).21 (23)3.27 (17)69% (90)6% (6)0.88 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1446% (93)50% (11)17.424211.58.812.225 (6)6 (34).48 (7)1.6 (47)25% (7)31% (58).39 (36)3% (4)2.1 (57)
IND Defense1454% (126)38% (33) - - - - - - 17 (12).22 (57)1.6 (80)37% (9)26% (19).22 (42)7% (20)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1449% (83)34% (12) - - - - - - 13 (22).1 (18)1.6 (95)36% (15)27% (27).17 (23)9% (3)2 (49)
IND Offense1444% (102)56% (3)17.524.5233.69.513.438 (1)7 (7).49 (5)1.5 (103)23% (1)40% (3).57 (7)5% (29)2.1 (52)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.05  #3
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.91  #8
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.88  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.1  #13
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.05   Indiana: 29.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 27.1   Indiana: 31.5




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 29.785  #2
Indiana's Offense Rating: 29.34  #3
Indiana's Defense Rating: -8.83  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 15.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 25
Oregon 23


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 24
Oregon 18

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 30
Oregon 22

Total Points: 52
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 14 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Oregon20Indiana30Oregon -7Indiana51.5Under
200409/11Oregon24Indiana30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana210 Overs
Oregon001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Oregon Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0
2025CFP 1st Round Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34
2024CFP Quarterfinal Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41
2023Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs Liberty-18.571.5W 45 - 6
2022Holiday Bowl Oregon vs North Carolina-13.076.0W 28 - 27
2021Alamo Bowl Oregon vs Oklahoma+7.064.0L 32 - 47
2020Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs Iowa State+4.557.5L 17 - 34
2019Rose Bowl Oregon vs Wisconsin+3.053.0W 28 - 27
Indiana Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3
2024CFP 1st Round Indiana vs Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27
2020Outback Bowl Indiana vs Ole Miss-6.566.5L 20 - 26
2019Gator Bowl Indiana vs Tennessee+4.056.0L 22 - 23
  
(#3) ORE at (#2) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREIND
Power RatePwr #3 #2
SP+SP+ #4 #2
Perf GradeGrade #6 #1
OffenseOff #4 #1
DefenseDef #11 #2
Spec TeamsST #17 #9
TalentTal #3 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #44
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIND Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #2
SuccessSuc #5 #8
ExplosiveExp #35 #117
PPAPPA #2 #12
PowerPwr #8 #8
SP+SP+ #13 #2
Pts POPPO #24 #1
HavocHav #3 #1
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIND Def
Run GameRun #1 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #4
Run ExplRExp #32 #96
PPAExp #3 #4
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #3
Stuff RateStuff #16 #1
TackleTak -  #6
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #5 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #33
Pass ExplPExl #47 #80
PPAExp #7 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #13
F7 HavocF7 #5 #1
DB HavocDB #4 #20
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffORE Def
Perf GradePerf #1 #11
SuccessSuc #2 #17
ExplosiveExp #121 #65
PPAPPA #10 #14
PowerPwr #3 #4
SP+SP+ #3 #5
Pts POPPO #4 #90
HavocHav #8 #23
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffORE Def
Run GameRun #6 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #48
Run ExplRExp #108 #59
PPAExp #23 #49
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #37
Stuff RateStuff #25 #100
TackleTak -  #7
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #17 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #12
Pass ExplPExl #103 #95
PPAExp #5 #18
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #46
F7 HavocF7 #6 #83
DB HavocDB #29 #3
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Oregon -7.0 (51.5)
Indiana won vs Oregon this year (30-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORE's OC Will Stein (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore24634072%30462889.0
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington11679866.968
Jordon Davison97625136.467
Dierre Hill Jr.6555758.666
Jayden Limar4325936.053
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)36645617.964
Kenyon Sadiq42509812.130
Jeremiah McClellan31480315.551
Dakorien Moore29448315.465

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1095154
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)713115
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Aaron Flowers601012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Matayo Uiagalelei309573
Nasir Wyatt92210
A'Mauri Washington315256
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.343107
Ify Obidegwu221006
A'Mauri Washington315256

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)22631672%29803369.4
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)17691865.282
Kaelon Black14379875.640
Khobie Martin6945366.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)6924063.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.598281114.058
Elijah Sarratt506631213.349
Charlie Becker26515219.853
E.J. Williams34416512.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Louis Moore (Tr)763001
Aiden Fisher757350
Isaiah Jones6613721
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Isaiah Jones6613721
Tyrique Tucker3111621
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds464007
Amare Ferrell432006
Devan Boykin (Tr)483045