Illinois at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#9)Illinois Fighting Illini at Indiana Hoosiers(#19)Indiana logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -4 (52.5) (-205)  Open: -2.5
Memorial Stadium - Bloomington, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IND 4th straight Home Game
IND is playing their 4th straight game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -2.5   (SP+ IND -1)

Projected Score: ILL: 27 - IND: 29 (56)
IND Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 111 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hoosiers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 52 - 8 (52 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+2.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-22.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-1.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-12.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-9
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+12
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-14.5
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-29.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-7.5
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+12
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#25 (.37)50% (30)4551% (34)3.13 (55)16549% (36)2415.76 (5)#35 (.03)38% (56)7.332% (21)42% (80)2.09 (16)52.302
IND#23 (.37)59% (7)5258% (8)3.71 (15)30960% (5)2844.82 (36)#56 (.1)29% (7)7.728% (8)31% (21)2.25 (23)36.70.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense3454550.3%5.760224061652414.351%49%51%49%13%.37
IND Defense37.77.729%2.251.7 - - - - - 50%49%28%31%30%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense37.31937.6%2.092 - - - - - 42%58%32%42%18%.03
IND Offense3525259.1%4.820.330593309284757%43%58%60%9%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois333:292247%100%5.752.3026.33137.3
Indiana335:5130.362%25%4.336.70.31.711.32.7133.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense351% (66)51% (34)38.7164.74.39 (17).18 (50)3.13 (55)69% (83)11% (103)0.91 (80)
IND Defense350% (74)28% (8) - - - - .08 (75)1.92 (8)43% (10)24% (1)1.78 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense342% (19)32% (21) - - - - -.24 (4)2.56 (49)43% (10)14% (22)0.43 (1)
IND Offense357% (28)58% (8)44308.778 (26).39 (12)3.71 (15)68% (84)5% (10)0.92 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense349% (68)49% (36)1926.32419.212.78 (18)0 (1).57 (17)1.8 (22)31% (78)48% (7).82 (8)3% (16)2 (68)
IND Defense349% (59)31% (21) - - - - - - 4 (12).13 (46)1.7 (102)40% (8)30% (78).38 (98)6% (62)2 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense358% (121)42% (80) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (73)1.6 (88)34% (59)33% (95).14 (40)4% (104)1.6 (34)
IND Offense343% (106)60% (5)21.7302849.513.112 (3)0 (1).36 (57)1.2 (126)15% (1)42% (24).5 (40)4% (42)1.5 (119)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 23.63   Indiana: 23.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.7   Indiana: 19.0




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 23.22 #25
Indiana's Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense on Road: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 29
Illinois 27


Total Points: 56

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 52 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 7.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Illinois48Indiana45IllinoisIllinois -4.5Indiana43.5Over
202209/02Indiana23Illinois20IndianaIndiana -1Indiana47.5Under
201711/11Illinois14Indiana24IndianaIndiana -10NA51.5Under
201311/09Indiana52Illinois35IndianaIndiana -7.5Indiana0
201210/27Illinois17Indiana31Indiana
201110/08Indiana20Illinois41Illinois
201010/23Illinois43Indiana13Illinois
200910/17Indiana27Illinois14Indiana
200810/18Illinois55Indiana13Illinois
200709/22Indiana14Illinois27Illinois
200610/07Illinois32Indiana34Indiana
200510/08Indiana36Illinois13Indiana
200411/06Illinois26Indiana22Illinois
200311/08Indiana17Illinois14Indiana
200210/26Illinois45Indiana14Illinois
200110/13Indiana14Illinois35Illinois
200011/03Illinois42Indiana35Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana831 Overs
Illinois902 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 62 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams6 - 111 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Illinois has won 3 straight
Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?

Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated

Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatINDILL
OverallOver#2#15
OffenseOff#2#14
DefenseDef#7#23
Special TeamsST#18#45
PassingPass#2#29
RushingRush#12#17
Run BlockRBLK#13#21
Pass BlockPBLK#3#81
Route RunningWR Rt#6#24
TacklingTkl#65#32
Run DefenseR Def#15#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#11#16
Coverage DefCov#13#59

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Indiana in 2023 (48-45)
Indiana beat Illinois in 2022 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | IND
Depth Chart: ILL | IND
Rosters: ILL | IND
(#25) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 23.22 #25
Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 59%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 60%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Indiana has won 3 straight
Indiana has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Indiana Notes
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add

Indiana Highlights
Indiana in Undefeated
Indiana is Undefeated at Home

Indiana has Really Good Running Game (#2)
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana has a top Offensive Line (#15)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense is really good in red zone (#23)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana has a good pass defense (#21)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#135)


  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer567872%709809.1
Ethan Hampton (Tr)11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Feagin5022234.426
Ca'Lil Valentine2515826.323
Aidan Laughery1510627.157
Hank Beatty125125.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty19289115.259
Justin Bowick (Tr)886310.821
Hudson Clement (Tr)575015.027
Malik Elzy571014.225

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Hood140000
Miles Scott141000
Matthew Bailey130010
Leon Lowery92100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas84421
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)51120
Tanner Heckel41101
Leon Lowery92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Barna30002
Xavier Scott62002
Torrie Cox Jr.80001

Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)557672%708909.3
Alberto Mendoza91275%1393011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black3421716.436
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Roman Hemby (Tr)3620005.630
Khobie Martin1311528.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.13299423.058
Elijah Sarratt15164310.927
E.J. Williams109919.922
Charlie Becker470117.531

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louis Moore (Tr)172000
Aiden Fisher154120
Kellan Wyatt (Tr)134010
Isaiah Jones125200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Jones125200
Stephen Daley (Tr)84100
Mikail Kamara62111
Tyrique Tucker63101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell61002
Devan Boykin (Tr)81021
D'Angelo Ponds103001