Illinois at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#9)Illinois Fighting Illini at Indiana Hoosiers(#19)Indiana logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -7 (51.5) (-265)  Open: -2.5
Indiana 63 - Illinois: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IND 4th straight Home Game
IND is playing their 4th straight game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -20  (SP+ IND -21)

Projected Score: ILL: 17 - IND: 37 (55)
IND Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 111 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hoosiers (14 - 0) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 10 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+7.051.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+6.562.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-7.555.5W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15.551.5L 16 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington+3.554.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.563.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-15.551.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-8.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-7.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Tue 12/30 Illinois vs Tennessee+3.062.5W 30 - 28UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-4.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#41 (.21)47% (19)29.447% (35)2.97 (66)12149% (13)2214.3 (27)#97 (.2)45% (114)23.639% (39)50% (134)4.27 (122)37.90.81.2
IND#10 (.33)53% (2)41.650% (11)3.27 (17)21056% (3)2344.98 (4)#12 (.04)35% (8)10.332% (4)38% (33)1.82 (1)26.40.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1329.426.647.4%4.30.8193421212213.850%48%47%49%15%.21
IND Defense1410.38.434.5%1.821.8 - - - - - 43%54%32%38%24%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1323.635.645.1%4.271.2 - - - - - 43%55%39%50%15%.2
IND Offense1441.649.152.7%4.980.6234442102345.754%44%50%56%11%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1328:0919.242%60%4.337.90.81.24.41.8130.6
Indiana1430:5822.955%50%3.526.40.61.882.8331.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1350% (61)47% (35)32.2121.23.820 (40).05 (101)2.97 (66)71% (75)10% (94)0.8 (129)
IND Defense1443% (10)32% (4) - - - - -.1 (4)2.17 (3)58% (6)17% (1)1.02 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1343% (7)39% (39) - - - - .05 (40)2.78 (50)73% (87)9% (89)0.91 (43)
IND Offense1454% (34)50% (11)36.8210.35.729 (40).21 (23)3.27 (17)69% (90)6% (6)0.88 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1348% (75)49% (13)17.826220.78.512.422 (33)6 (7).44 (15)1.6 (44)29% (35)37% (15).38 (40)5% (33)1.9 (102)
IND Defense1454% (126)38% (33) - - - - - - 17 (12).22 (57)1.6 (80)37% (9)26% (19).22 (42)7% (20)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1355% (129)50% (134) - - - - - - 6 (123).33 (103)1.3 (5)28% (120)37% (132).39 (114)6% (49)2 (50)
IND Offense1444% (102)56% (3)17.524.5233.69.513.438 (1)7 (7).49 (5)1.5 (103)23% (1)40% (3).57 (7)5% (29)2.1 (52)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 13.83  #34
Illinois's Offense Rating: 21.04  #17
Illinois's Defense Rating: 7.21  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #35
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 13.83   Indiana: 32.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 10.9   Indiana: 31.5




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 32.285  #2
Indiana's Offense Rating: 29.34  #3
Indiana's Defense Rating: -8.83  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.5  #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #3
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 37
Illinois 17


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 33
Illinois 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 38
Illinois 19

Total Points: 57
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 14 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Indiana63Illinois10Indiana -7Indiana51.5Over
202311/11Illinois48Indiana45Illinois -4.5Indiana43.5Over
202209/02Indiana23Illinois20Indiana -1Indiana47.5Under
201711/11Illinois14Indiana24Indiana -10NA51.5Under
201311/09Indiana52Illinois35Indiana -7.5Indiana0
201210/27Illinois17Indiana31
201110/08Indiana20Illinois41
201010/23Illinois43Indiana13
200910/17Indiana27Illinois14
200810/18Illinois55Indiana13
200709/22Indiana14Illinois27
200610/07Illinois32Indiana34
200510/08Indiana36Illinois13
200411/06Illinois26Indiana22
200311/08Indiana17Illinois14
200210/26Illinois45Indiana14
200110/13Indiana14Illinois35
200011/03Illinois42Indiana35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana942 Overs
Illinois902 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 63 - 13 - 10 - 0
Road Teams6 - 121 - 30 - 01 - 3

(#34) ILL at (#2) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLIND
Power RatePwr #34 #2
SP+SP+ #31 #2
Perf GradeGrade #27 #1
OffenseOff #18 #1
DefenseDef #63 #2
Spec TeamsST #69 #9
TalentTal #37 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #44
Illinois Notes
(11/22) Finishes 2-3 on road after awful L @ Wisconsin
(10/10) 1st in P4 at +42 Pts off TOs w/ a TO margin +7
(9/20) Destroyed by IU, outrushed 267 to 2! Off awful
(8/15) OL banged up in fall camp, not major
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
Illinois Injury Report
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffIND Def
Perf GradePerf #18 #2
SuccessSuc #19 #8
ExplosiveExp #106 #117
PPAPPA #41 #12
PowerPwr #17 #8
SP+SP+ #35 #2
Pts POPPO #27 #1
HavocHav #65 #1
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffIND Def
Run GameRun #69 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #4
Run ExplRExp #129 #96
PPAExp #101 #4
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #66 #3
Stuff RateStuff #87 #1
TackleTak -  #6
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #37 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #33
Pass ExplPExl #44 #80
PPAExp #15 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #79 #13
F7 HavocF7 #94 #1
DB HavocDB #33 #20
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffILL Def
Perf GradePerf #1 #63
SuccessSuc #2 #114
ExplosiveExp #121 #34
PPAPPA #10 #97
PowerPwr #3 #64
SP+SP+ #3 #41
Pts POPPO #4 #122
HavocHav #8 #73
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffILL Def
Run GameRun #6 #45
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #39
Run ExplRExp #108 #43
PPAExp #23 #40
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #50
Stuff RateStuff #25 #54
TackleTak -  #33
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #17 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #134
Pass ExplPExl #103 #5
PPAExp #5 #103
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #42
F7 HavocF7 #6 #89
DB HavocDB #29 #49
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83°
Rematch from Week 4
Indiana -7.0 (51.5)
Indiana won vs Illinois this year (63-10)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Indiana in 2023 (48-45)
Indiana beat Illinois in 2022 (23-20)

  
ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer22633268%28112158.5
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine12354944.525
Kaden Feagin11949974.226
Aidan Laughery6230534.957
Luke Altmyer9018842.136
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty64826312.962
Collin Dixon33538516.361
Hudson Clement (Tr)33406312.327
Justin Bowick (Tr)19234412.325

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Miles Scott594104
Dylan Rosiek494013
Torrie Cox Jr.461003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas44141161
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)165231
Leon Lowery183230
James Thompson Jr. (Tr)333221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke291007
Miles Scott594104
James Kreutz273003

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)22631672%29803369.4
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)17691865.282
Kaelon Black14379875.640
Khobie Martin6945366.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)6924063.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.598281114.058
Elijah Sarratt506631213.349
Charlie Becker26515219.853
E.J. Williams34416512.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Louis Moore (Tr)763001
Aiden Fisher757350
Isaiah Jones6613721
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy8713824
Isaiah Jones6613721
Tyrique Tucker3111621
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds464007
Amare Ferrell432006
Devan Boykin (Tr)483045