Indiana State at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana State logo   Indiana State Sycamores at Indiana Hoosiers  Indiana logo
Friday, September 12th 2025 (6:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -47.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: -48.5 | 59.5
Indiana 73 - Indiana State: 0

 
Sycamores (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 73 (0 - 73 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IND 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Indiana -33.5  (SP+ IND -32)

IND Win prob: 100% | Cover: 67%
Hoosiers (16 - 0) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Indiana State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/12 Indiana State at Indiana+47.560.0L 0 - 73ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana State's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-3.050.5W 56 - 22OY
Mon 1/19 Indiana vs Miami-7.546.5W 27 - 21ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
INST0%00%000%000%730%0%0000
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)41.650% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)11.735% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
INST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
INST Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
IND Defense1311.78.438.1%3.661.8 - - - - - 45%55%35%40%21%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
INST Defense173730%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
IND Offense1341.649.152.4%5.030.7234281662614.552%48%50%56%13%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Indiana1330:4223.548%59%4.843.90.71.86.72.7234.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
INST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
IND Defense1345% (10)35% (7) - - - - .01 (16)2.4 (4)66% (27)13% (9)1.05 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
INST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
IND Offense1352% (60)50% (13)37.2166.24.537 (6).17 (48)3.09 (55)75% (53)7% (16)0.89 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
INST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
IND Defense1355% (127)40% (70) - - - - - - 15 (18).15 (29)1.3 (3)32% (59)28% (30).19 (21)7% (26)1.6 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
INST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
IND Offense1348% (73)56% (2)18.927.8261.39.413.833 (5)6 (10).53 (2)1.6 (64)27% (12)39% (3).5 (11)6% (73)2.1 (52)

Indiana State's Power Ratings
Indiana State's Power Rating: NR
Indiana State's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Indiana State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Indiana State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Indiana State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana State:    Indiana: 33.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana State:    Indiana: 32.4




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 33.52  #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19  #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #1
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #2
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 73 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

Indiana State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 48
Indiana State 14


Projected Total Points: 62
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 16 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/12Indiana73Indiana State0Indiana -47.5Indiana60.0Over
202309/08Indiana41Indiana State7Indiana -31Indiana44.0Over
201408/30Indiana28Indiana State10Indiana -27Indiana State0
201308/29Indiana73Indiana State35Indiana -30.5Indiana0
201209/01Indiana24Indiana State17
200709/01Indiana55Indiana State7
200309/13Indiana33Indiana State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana732 Overs
Indiana State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 03 - 13 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 71 - 30 - 01 - 3

(#) INST at (#1) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINSTIND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #1
SP+SP+NR #1
Perf GradeGradeNR #1
OffenseOffNR #1
DefenseDefNR #2
Spec TeamsSTNR #10
TalentTalNR #69
Blue ChipsBC%NR #44
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Indiana State on Offense
CategoryCat
INST OffIND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #2
SuccessSucNR #24
ExplosiveExpNR #25
PPAPPANR #19
PowerPwrNR #9
SP+SP+NR #2
Pts POPPONR #55
HavocHavNR #6
Indiana State Run Game
CategoryCat
INST OffIND Def
Run GameRunNR #3
Run SuccessRSucNR #7
Run ExplRExpNR #96
PPAExpNR #16
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #4
Stuff RateStuffNR #6
TackleTak -  #2
Indiana State Pass Game
CategoryCat
INST OffIND Def
Pass GamePassNR #4
Pass SuccessPSucNR #70
Pass ExplPExlNR #3
PPAExpNR #29
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #29
F7 HavocF7NR #9
DB HavocDBNR #26
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffINST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1NR
SuccessSuc #2NR
ExplosiveExp #90NR
PPAPPA #6NR
PowerPwr #1NR
SP+SP+ #2NR
Pts POPPO #1NR
HavocHav #27NR
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffINST Def
Run GameRun #9NR
Run SuccessRSuc #13NR
Run ExplRExp #107NR
PPAExp #48NR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #55NR
Stuff RateStuff #62NR
TackleTak - NR
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatIND OffINST Def
Pass GamePass #4NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #2NR
Pass ExplPExl #64NR
PPAExp #2NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #18NR
F7 HavocF7 #16NR
DB HavocDB #73NR
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

INST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Indiana -47.5 (60.0)
Indiana won vs Indiana State this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Indiana State last year (73-0)
Indiana beat Indiana State in 2023 (41-7)

  
INST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keegan Patterson12421757%15571277.2
Brock Riddle275946%320335.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Osho11968685.879
Plez Lawrence5925234.332
Deion Brown (Tr)6624813.842
Keegan Patterson7018012.647
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Rochelle44863919.678
Keshon Singleton25328213.157
Zackary Drawdy (Tr)1716709.830
Torey French11165115.072

View Indiana State's Full Roster

INST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braxton Sampson70000
Kimal Clarke70000
J.T. Anderson60001
Alex Rose61000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braxton Sampson70000
Kaleb Harris20000
Jayden Childers10000
Spencer Conrad10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Anderson60001
Braxton Sampson70000
Brandon Amaniampong21000

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)27337972%35354169.3
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)230112074.982
Kaelon Black1871039105.640
Khobie Martin7750666.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)9027673.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.709611313.758
Elijah Sarratt648061512.649
Charlie Becker34679420.053
E.J. Williams36438612.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Aiden Fisher9511551
Louis Moore (Tr)903003
Isaiah Jones7815732
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Isaiah Jones7815732
Tyrique Tucker3812632
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds6040010
Amare Ferrell482006
Rolijah Hardy10315845