Indiana at Purdue - 2025 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Indiana -28.5 (53.5) (-5000) Open: -27.5
Indiana 56 - Purdue: 3 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (16 - 0) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

IND coming off BYE
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Indiana -38 (SP+ IND -38.5)
Projected Score: IND: 45 - PUR: 7 (52)
IND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
IND Travel: 89 miles

Boilermakers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Indiana vs Old Dominion	-23.5	54.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Indiana vs Kennesaw State	-35.5	51.5	W 56 - 9	O	Y
Fri 9/12	Indiana vs Indiana State	-47.5	60.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Indiana vs Illinois	-7.0	51.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Indiana at Iowa	-9.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Indiana at Oregon	+7.0	51.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-26.5	49.5	W 38 - 13	O	N
Sat 10/25	Indiana vs UCLA	-26.5	53.5	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Indiana at Maryland	-21.0	50.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Indiana at Penn State	-13.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/15	Indiana vs Wisconsin	-28.5	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Indiana at Purdue	-28.5	53.5	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Indiana vs Ohio State	+5.5	48.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Indiana vs Alabama	-7.5	46.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 1/9	Indiana vs Oregon	-3.0	50.5	W 56 - 22	O	Y
Mon 1/19	Indiana vs Miami	-7.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Purdue's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Purdue vs Ball State	-16.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Purdue vs Southern Illinois	-19.5	52.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/13	Purdue vs USC	+20.5	59.5	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Purdue at Notre Dame	+24.5	51.5	L 30 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Purdue vs Illinois	+7.5	55.5	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/11	Purdue at Minnesota	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+3.0	47.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/25	Purdue vs Rutgers	-2.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/1	Purdue at Michigan	+21.0	48.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Purdue vs Ohio State	+29.5	49.5	L 10 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Purdue at Washington	+14.5	51.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Purdue vs Indiana	+28.5	53.5	L 3 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)	41.6	50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)	11.7	35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)	18.8	42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)	31.8	49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	13	41.6	37.6	52.4%	5.03	0.7	23	428	166	261	4.5	52%	48%	50%	56%	13%	.33
PUR Defense	12	31.8	30	49.3%	4.82	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	49%	50%	12%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	13	11.7	14.4	38.1%	3.66	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	35%	40%	21%	.09
PUR Offense	12	18.8	20.9	40.8%	3.34	1.6	15	299	116	184	4	46%	53%	42%	40%	22%	.11

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	13	30:42	23.5	48%	59%	4.8	43.9	0.7	1.8	6.7	2.7	2	34.5
Purdue	12	26:50	14.6	31%	28%	5.5	51.8	1.6	0.4	5.2	1.8	0	26.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	13	52% (60)	50% (13)	37.2	166.2	4.5	37 (6)	.17 (48)	3.09 (55)	75% (53)	7% (16)	0.89 (107)
PUR Defense	12	53% (96)	49% (120)	-	-	-	-	.32 (134)	3.39 (120)	76% (79)	8% (109)	1.15 (124)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	13	45% (10)	35% (7)	-	-	-	-	.01 (16)	2.4 (4)	66% (27)	13% (9)	1.05 (96)
PUR Offense	12	46% (94)	42% (90)	28.8	115.5	4	9 (125)	.04 (108)	3.04 (65)	59% (126)	14% (128)	0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	13	48% (73)	56% (2)	18.9	27.8	261.3	9.4	13.8	33 (5)	6 (10)	.53 (2)	1.6 (64)	27% (12)	39% (3)	.5 (11)	6% (73)	2.1 (52)
PUR Defense	12	47% (40)	50% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.48 (130)	1.6 (88)	28% (115)	41% (134)	.63 (134)	4% (125)	2.1 (90)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	13	55% (127)	40% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.15 (29)	1.3 (3)	32% (59)	28% (30)	.19 (21)	7% (26)	1.6 (1)
PUR Offense	12	53% (40)	40% (93)	15.8	27.4	183.9	6.7	11.7	13 (116)	9 (48)	.16 (103)	1.5 (92)	32% (78)	31% (72)	.49 (14)	8% (118)	2.1 (29)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 29.64 #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19 #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4 #1
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 29.64 Purdue: -6.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 32.4 Purdue: -6.1

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -6.875 #112
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.37 #107
Purdue's Defense Rating: 20.02 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #104
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 16 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 45
Purdue 7

Projected Total Points: 52

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Purdue	3	Indiana	56	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	53.5	Over
2024	11/30	Indiana	66	Purdue	0	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	56.5	Over
2023	11/25	Purdue	35	Indiana	31	Purdue -2.5	Purdue	55.5	Over
2022	11/26	Indiana	16	Purdue	30	Purdue -10	Purdue	52.5	Under
2021	11/27	Purdue	44	Indiana	7	Purdue -18	Purdue	50.5	Over
2019	11/30	Purdue	41	Indiana	44	Indiana -7	Purdue	56.5	Over
2018	11/24	Indiana	21	Purdue	28	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	65.0	Under
2017	11/25	Purdue	31	Indiana	24	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.0	Over
2016	11/26	Indiana	26	Purdue	24	Indiana -16	Purdue	66.5	Under
2015	11/28	Purdue	36	Indiana	54	Indiana -5	Indiana	68.5	Over
2014	11/29	Indiana	23	Purdue	16	Indiana -2.5	Indiana	0
2013	11/30	Indiana	56	Purdue	36	Indiana -20.5	Purdue	0
2012	11/24	Purdue	56	Indiana	35
2011	11/26	Indiana	25	Purdue	33
2010	11/27	Purdue	31	Indiana	34
2009	11/21	Indiana	21	Purdue	38
2008	11/22	Purdue	62	Indiana	10
2007	11/17	Indiana	27	Purdue	24
2006	11/18	Purdue	28	Indiana	19
2005	11/19	Indiana	14	Purdue	41
2004	11/20	Purdue	63	Indiana	24
2003	11/22	Indiana	16	Purdue	24
2001	11/24	Indiana	13	Purdue	7
2000	11/17	Purdue	41	Indiana	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	14	8	7 Overs
Indiana	10	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 6	5 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 6	4 - 1	2 - 5

(#1) IND at (#112) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IND	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#1	#112
SP+SP+	#1	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#1	#125
OffenseOff	#1	#112
DefenseDef	#2	#134
Spec TeamsST	#10	#6
TalentTal	#69	#65
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#88

Indiana Notes(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report

Purdue Notes(12/18) DC Mike Scherer fired after one season
(11/28) Lost 10 straight to finish, only 3 one score games. Woof
(11/5) 0-17 vs P4 since 2024, 3 of last 4 by one score
(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
Purdue Injury Report

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#134
SuccessSuc	#2	#129
ExplosiveExp	#90	#112
PPAPPA	#6	#134
PowerPwr	#1	#108
SP+SP+	#2	#90
Pts POPPO	#1	#134
HavocHav	#27	#125

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#9	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	#13	#120
Run ExplRExp	#107	#124
PPAExp	#48	#134
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#106
TackleTak	-	#124

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#129
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#88
PPAExp	#2	#130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#18	#117
F7 HavocF7	#16	#109
DB HavocDB	#73	#125

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#2
SuccessSuc	#96	#24
ExplosiveExp	#117	#25
PPAPPA	#112	#19
PowerPwr	#107	#9
SP+SP+	#104	#2
Pts POPPO	#115	#55
HavocHav	#131	#6

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#103	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#90	#7
Run ExplRExp	#130	#96
PPAExp	#108	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	#65	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#97	#6
TackleTak	-	#2

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#92	#3
PPAExp	#103	#29
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#109	#29
F7 HavocF7	#128	#9
DB HavocDB	#118	#26

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Indiana 28.5 (53.5)
Indiana won at Purdue this year (56-3)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (56-3)
Indiana beat Purdue in 2024 (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	273	379	72%	3535	41	6	9.3
Alberto Mendoza	18	24	75%	286	5	1	11.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)	230	1120	7	4.9	82
Kaelon Black	187	1039	10	5.6	40
Khobie Martin	77	506	6	6.6	36
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	90	276	7	3.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omar Cooper Jr.	70	961	13	13.7	58
Elijah Sarratt	64	806	15	12.6	49
Charlie Becker	34	679	4	20.0	53
E.J. Williams	36	438	6	12.2	62

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5
Aiden Fisher	95	11	5	5	1
Louis Moore (Tr)	90	3	0	0	3
Isaiah Jones	78	15	7	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5
Isaiah Jones	78	15	7	3	2
Tyrique Tucker	38	12	6	3	2
Stephen Daley (Tr)	35	19	6	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	60	4	0	0	10
Amare Ferrell	48	2	0	0	6
Rolijah Hardy	103	15	8	4	5

PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)	199	338	59%	2153	9	10	6.4
Malachi Singleton (Tr)	38	64	59%	439	5	2	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	125	521	4	4.2	32
Antonio Harris	69	305	2	4.4	41
Malachi Thomas (Tr)	53	243	0	4.6	57
Ryan Browne (Tr)	66	206	4	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)	63	570	1	9.0	31
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)	34	505	4	14.9	36
E.J. Horton (Tr)	27	289	1	10.7	28
Corey Smith (Tr)	14	237	1	16.9	60

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)	110	3	0	0	5
Mani Powell (Tr)	110	12	5	3	2
Charles Correa (Tr)	77	8	3	4	2
Myles Slusher	63	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mani Powell (Tr)	110	12	5	3	2
C.J. Nunnally	42	11	5	8	1
Charles Correa (Tr)	77	8	3	4	2
Jamarrion Harkless	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hudauri Hines	32	2	0	8
Smiley Bradford	30	5	2	6
Tony Grimes (Tr)	34	0	0	5