Indiana at Purdue - 2025 Matchup Preview

(#2)Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers

Friday, November 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Ross-Ade Stadium - West Lafayette, IN (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (10 - 0) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 45 - 12 (33 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 0.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

IND coming off BYE
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Indiana -30 (SP+ IND -31.5)
Projected Score: IND: 41 - PUR: 11 (52)
IND Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
IND Travel: 89 miles

Boilermakers (2 - 8) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (24 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Indiana vs Old Dominion	-23.5	54.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Indiana vs Kennesaw State	-35.5	51.5	W 56 - 9	O	Y
Fri 9/12	Indiana vs Indiana State	-47.5	60.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Indiana vs Illinois	-7.0	51.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Indiana at Iowa	-9.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Indiana at Oregon	+7.0	51.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-26.5	49.5	W 38 - 13	O	N
Sat 10/25	Indiana vs UCLA	-26.5	53.5	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Indiana at Maryland	-21.0	50.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Indiana at Penn State	-13.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/15	Indiana vs Wisconsin	-36
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Indiana at Purdue	-30

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Purdue's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Purdue vs Ball State	-16.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Purdue vs Southern Illinois	-19.5	52.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/13	Purdue vs USC	+20.5	59.5	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Purdue at Notre Dame	+24.5	51.5	L 30 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Purdue vs Illinois	+7.5	55.5	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/11	Purdue at Minnesota	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+3.0	47.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/25	Purdue vs Rutgers	-2.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/1	Purdue at Michigan	+21.0	48.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Purdue vs Ohio State	+29.5	49.5	L 10 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Purdue at Washington	+25
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Purdue vs Indiana	+30

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#16 (.3)	54% (3)	44.5	50% (14)	2.48 (108)	228	59% (2)	233	5.03 (3)	#8 (.01)	32% (6)	12.1	30% (3)	35% (20)	1.48 (1)	27.5	0.6	1.8
PUR	#93 (.13)	45% (43)	20.9	46% (42)	2.85 (67)	128	44% (51)	211	3.33 (109)	#109 (.21)	45% (114)	27.7	46% (108)	45% (109)	3.55 (61)	45	1.7	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	10	44.5	33	53.5%	5.03	0.6	24	461	228	233	6.1	56%	43%	50%	59%	11%	.3
PUR Defense	10	27.7	25.7	45.1%	3.55	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	46%	45%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	10	12.1	17.3	32.4%	1.48	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	30%	35%	24%	.01
PUR Offense	10	20.9	23.8	44.8%	3.33	1.7	19	339	128	211	4.3	47%	52%	46%	44%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	10	31:14	24.2	58%	43%	3.6	27.5	0.6	1.8	7.6	2.9	3	31.5
Purdue	10	25:31	18.8	39%	65%	4.6	45	1.7	0.7	5.3	2.1	0	27.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	10	56% (25)	50% (14)	37.6	228	6.1	22 (40)	.18 (34)	2.48 (108)	68% (89)	5% (3)	0.9 (97)
PUR Defense	10	55% (119)	46% (108)	-	-	-	-	.12 (94)	3.21 (124)	76% (100)	10% (54)	0.81 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	10	42% (4)	30% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.11 (5)	2.25 (18)	50% (3)	17% (2)	1.08 (120)
PUR Offense	10	47% (91)	46% (42)	29.7	128.1	4.3	11 (78)	.18 (35)	2.85 (67)	63% (120)	10% (80)	1.04 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	10	43% (110)	59% (2)	17.8	24.7	233.3	9.5	13.1	29 (1)	5 (7)	.5 (6)	1.4 (107)	20% (1)	39% (10)	.52 (13)	5% (41)	2.1 (39)
PUR Defense	10	44% (19)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.36 (115)	1.7 (120)	29% (109)	30% (73)	.22 (43)	6% (55)	1.9 (40)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	10	56% (130)	35% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.19 (51)	1.6 (94)	38% (6)	25% (19)	.16 (24)	7% (21)	2 (78)
PUR Offense	10	52% (47)	44% (51)	18.3	30.1	210.7	7	11.5	13 (86)	10 (132)	.13 (113)	1.4 (111)	30% (59)	37% (20)	.31 (72)	5% (38)	1.9 (93)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 28.20 #2
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.68 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: -12.22 #2
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 11.8 - 0.2
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #1
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 28.20 Purdue: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 29.5 Purdue: -2.0

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -1 #89
Purdue's Offense Rating: 6.21 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 11.21 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0 #75
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #75
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #75

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 44.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 12.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 0
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 41
Purdue 11

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 34
Purdue 17

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 33
Purdue 19

Total Points: 52

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.8
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Indiana	66	Purdue	0	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	56.5	Over
2023	11/25	Purdue	35	Indiana	31	Purdue -2.5	Purdue	55.5	Over
2022	11/26	Indiana	16	Purdue	30	Purdue -10	Purdue	52.5	Under
2021	11/27	Purdue	44	Indiana	7	Purdue -18	Purdue	50.5	Over
2019	11/30	Purdue	41	Indiana	44	Indiana -7	Purdue	56.5	Over
2018	11/24	Indiana	21	Purdue	28	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	65.0	Under
2017	11/25	Purdue	31	Indiana	24	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.0	Over
2016	11/26	Indiana	26	Purdue	24	Indiana -16	Purdue	66.5	Under
2015	11/28	Purdue	36	Indiana	54	Indiana -5	Indiana	68.5	Over
2014	11/29	Indiana	23	Purdue	16	Indiana -2.5	Indiana	0
2013	11/30	Indiana	56	Purdue	36	Indiana -20.5	Purdue	0
2012	11/24	Purdue	56	Indiana	35
2011	11/26	Indiana	25	Purdue	33
2010	11/27	Purdue	31	Indiana	34
2009	11/21	Indiana	21	Purdue	38
2008	11/22	Purdue	62	Indiana	10
2007	11/17	Indiana	27	Purdue	24
2006	11/18	Purdue	28	Indiana	19
2005	11/19	Indiana	14	Purdue	41
2004	11/20	Purdue	63	Indiana	24
2003	11/22	Indiana	16	Purdue	24
2001	11/24	Indiana	13	Purdue	7
2000	11/17	Purdue	41	Indiana	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	14	8	6 Overs
Indiana	9	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 5	5 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 1	2 - 5

(#2) IND at (#89) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IND	PUR
Power RatePwr	#2	#89
SP+SP+	#2	#75
Perf GradeGrade	#1	#112
OffenseOff	#1	#92
DefenseDef	#2	#121
Spec TeamsST	#5	#20
TalentTal	#69	#65
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#88

Indiana Notes(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
Indiana Injury Report

Purdue Notes(11/5) 0-17 vs P4 since 2024, 3 of last 4 by one score
(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
Purdue Injury Report

Indiana on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Perf GradePerf	#1	#121
SuccessSuc	#3	#114
ExplosiveExp	#119	#53
PPAPPA	#16	#109
PowerPwr	#6	#87
SP+SP+	#1	#75
Pts POPPO	#3	#61
HavocHav	#7	#57

Indiana Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#4	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#108
Run ExplRExp	#97	#11
PPAExp	#34	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#108	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#71
TackleTak	-	#117

Indiana Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#120
PPAExp	#6	#115
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#6	#99
F7 HavocF7	#3	#54
DB HavocDB	#41	#55

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Perf GradePerf	#92	#2
SuccessSuc	#43	#6
ExplosiveExp	#78	#126
PPAPPA	#93	#8
PowerPwr	#90	#2
SP+SP+	#75	#2
Pts POPPO	#109	#1
HavocHav	#63	#2

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#69	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#3
Run ExplRExp	#37	#120
PPAExp	#35	#5
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#18
Stuff RateStuff	#54	#1
TackleTak	-	#12

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#20
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#94
PPAExp	#113	#51
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#15
F7 HavocF7	#80	#2
DB HavocDB	#38	#21

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	181	254	71%	2342	26	5	9.2
Alberto Mendoza	15	21	71%	204	4	1	9.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)	137	656	5	4.8	30
Kaelon Black	108	651	5	6.0	40
Khobie Martin	52	369	5	7.1	36
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)	56	240	5	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omar Cooper Jr.	53	725	9	13.7	58
Elijah Sarratt	44	585	10	13.3	49
E.J. Williams	28	352	5	12.6	62
Charlie Becker	12	245	1	20.4	53

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Louis Moore (Tr)	62	2	0	0	1
Rolijah Hardy	61	10	6	1	0
Aiden Fisher	56	7	3	5	0
Isaiah Jones	52	11	5	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rolijah Hardy	61	10	6	1	0
Tyrique Tucker	27	9	6	2	1
Isaiah Jones	52	11	5	2	1
Mario Landino	19	6	4	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Amare Ferrell	32	1	0	5
D'Angelo Ponds	33	4	0	5
Devan Boykin (Tr)	37	2	3	4

PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)	173	285	61%	1898	9	8	6.7
Malachi Singleton (Tr)	20	34	59%	270	3	2	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	125	521	4	4.2	32
Antonio Harris	44	251	2	5.7	41
Malachi Thomas (Tr)	43	221	0	5.1	57
Ryan Browne (Tr)	60	195	4	3.3	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)	53	471	1	8.9	31
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)	26	368	4	14.2	33
Corey Smith (Tr)	14	237	1	16.9	60
Devin Mockobee	18	215	1	11.9	29

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mani Powell (Tr)	94	10	4	1	2
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)	91	3	0	0	5
Charles Correa (Tr)	69	8	3	4	2
Myles Slusher	58	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	33	8	5	8	1
Mani Powell (Tr)	94	10	4	1	2
Charles Correa (Tr)	69	8	3	4	2
Jamarrion Harkless	11	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hudauri Hines	29	2	0	7
Smiley Bradford	27	5	1	5
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)	91	3	0	5