Indiana at Purdue - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Ross-Ade Stadium - West Lafayette, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 52 - 8 (52 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IND coming off BYE
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Indiana -22.5   (SP+ IND -22)

Projected Score: IND: 37 - PUR: 15 (52)
IND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
IND Travel: 89 miles
Boilermakers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-4.552.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+12
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-14.5
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-29.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-7.5
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+12
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Ball State-16.550.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-19.552.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+20.559.5L 17 - 33UY
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+26.554.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+22.5
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+20
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+6.5
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+11.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+29.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+31.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#23 (.37)59% (7)5258% (8)3.71 (15)30960% (5)2844.82 (36)#56 (.1)29% (7)7.728% (8)31% (21)2.25 (23)36.70.31.7
PUR#78 (.17)49% (34)27.349% (43)2.69 (99)12050% (32)2723.58 (90)#90 (.18)43% (95)16.744% (92)43% (88)3.31 (60)38.31.30
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense3525259.1%4.820.330593309284757%43%58%60%9%.37
PUR Defense316.716.743.2%3.310 - - - - - 53%47%44%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense37.77.729%2.251.7 - - - - - 50%49%28%31%30%.1
PUR Offense327.327.349.2%3.581.3253911202723.252%47%49%50%18%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana335:5130.362%25%4.336.70.31.711.32.7133.3
Purdue329:392551%83%3.338.31.3072.7028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense357% (28)58% (8)44308.778 (26).39 (12)3.71 (15)68% (84)5% (10)0.92 (77)
PUR Defense353% (94)44% (92) - - - - .11 (92)3.16 (109)69% (66)12% (42)0.79 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense350% (74)28% (8) - - - - .08 (75)1.92 (8)43% (10)24% (1)1.78 (136)
PUR Offense352% (61)49% (43)37119.73.25 (62).14 (68)2.69 (99)65% (95)13% (121)0.91 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense343% (106)60% (5)21.7302849.513.112 (3)0 (1).36 (57)1.2 (126)15% (1)42% (24).5 (40)4% (42)1.5 (119)
PUR Defense347% (47)43% (88) - - - - - - 0.26 (85)1.7 (96)32% (81)26% (45).22 (59)4% (106)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense349% (59)31% (21) - - - - - - 4 (12).13 (46)1.7 (102)40% (8)30% (78).38 (98)6% (62)2 (76)
PUR Offense347% (77)50% (32)19.330.3271.7914.15 (54)4 (121).24 (77)1.6 (43)31% (66)41% (26).3 (78)5% (65)1.9 (82)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Indiana's Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 22.44   Purdue: -1.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 19.0   Purdue: -3.2




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Purdue's Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 52 PPG
Offense on Road: 52
Defense: 7.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.7

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 37
Purdue 15


Total Points: 52

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Indiana66Purdue0IndianaIndiana -28.5Indiana56.5Over
202311/25Purdue35Indiana31PurduePurdue -2.5Purdue55.5Over
202211/26Indiana16Purdue30PurduePurdue -10Purdue52.5Under
202111/27Purdue44Indiana7PurduePurdue -18Purdue50.5Over
201911/30Purdue41Indiana44IndianaIndiana -7Purdue56.5Over
201811/24Indiana21Purdue28PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue65.0Under
201711/25Purdue31Indiana24PurduePurdue -1.5Purdue51.0Over
201611/26Indiana26Purdue24IndianaIndiana -16Purdue66.5Under
201511/28Purdue36Indiana54IndianaIndiana -5Indiana68.5Over
201411/29Indiana23Purdue16IndianaIndiana -2.5Indiana0
201311/30Indiana56Purdue36IndianaIndiana -20.5Purdue0
201211/24Purdue56Indiana35Purdue
201111/26Indiana25Purdue33Purdue
201011/27Purdue31Indiana34Indiana
200911/21Indiana21Purdue38Purdue
200811/22Purdue62Indiana10Purdue
200711/17Indiana27Purdue24Indiana
200611/18Purdue28Indiana19Purdue
200511/19Indiana14Purdue41Purdue
200411/20Purdue63Indiana24Purdue
200311/22Indiana16Purdue24Purdue
200111/24Indiana13Purdue7Indiana
200011/17Purdue41Indiana13Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1486 Overs
Indiana933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 96 - 55 - 21 - 3
Road Teams9 - 145 - 63 - 12 - 5

(#25) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 59%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 60%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Indiana has lost 8 straight
Indiana has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Notes
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add

Indiana Highlights
Indiana in Undefeated

Indiana has Really Good Running Game (#2)
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana has a top Offensive Line (#15)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense is really good in red zone (#23)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana has a good pass defense (#21)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPURIND
OverallOver#58#2
OffenseOff#48#2
DefenseDef#75#7
Special TeamsST#29#18
PassingPass#32#2
RushingRush#55#12
Run BlockRBLK#74#13
Pass BlockPBLK#103#3
Route RunningWR Rt#37#6
TacklingTkl#69#65
Run DefenseR Def#75#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#100#11
Coverage DefCov#59#13

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | PUR
Depth Chart: IND | PUR
Rosters: IND | PUR
(#92) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Purdue has lost 9 straight
Purdue has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Purdue Notes
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom

Purdue Highlights
Purdue is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Purdue offense is good on 3rd downs
Purdue commits very few Penalties (#13)
Purdue defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)


  
Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)557672%708909.3
Alberto Mendoza91275%1393011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black3421716.436
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Roman Hemby (Tr)3620005.630
Khobie Martin1311528.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.13299423.058
Elijah Sarratt15164310.927
E.J. Williams109919.922
Charlie Becker470117.531

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louis Moore (Tr)172000
Aiden Fisher154120
Kellan Wyatt (Tr)134010
Isaiah Jones125200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Jones125200
Stephen Daley (Tr)84100
Mikail Kamara62111
Tyrique Tucker63101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell61002
Devan Boykin (Tr)81021
D'Angelo Ponds103001

Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)568864%786548.9
Malachi Singleton (Tr)2367%29009.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee5823034.017
Ryan Browne (Tr)255922.426
Antonio Harris93604.017
Malachi Thomas (Tr)102102.17
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arhmad Branch7167223.949
Michael Jackson III (Tr)14149110.631
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)8130216.333
E.J. Horton (Tr)10125012.521

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
Myles Slusher181001
Mani Powell (Tr)172101
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)171000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
C.J. Nunnally42240
Jamarrion Harkless41200
Mani Powell (Tr)172101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hudauri Hines91002
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
Mani Powell (Tr)172101