Indiana at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 52 - 8 (52 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IOWA is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -4.5   (SP+ IND -8)

Projected Score: IND: 28 - IOWA: 24 (52)
IND Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 315 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (41 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-4.552.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+12
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-14.5
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-29.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-7.5
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+12
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-2.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+14
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13.5
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+14.5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-8
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+6.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#23 (.37)59% (7)5258% (8)3.71 (15)30960% (5)2844.82 (36)#56 (.1)29% (7)7.728% (8)31% (21)2.25 (23)36.70.31.7
IOWA#61 (.22)47% (45)31.354% (23)3.82 (8)21434% (114)1224.89 (35)#34 (.03)34% (30)1034% (31)34% (40)3.75 (76)210.70.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense3525259.1%4.820.330593309284757%43%58%60%9%.37
IOWA Defense310734.1%3.750.3 - - - - - 47%53%34%34%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense37.77.729%2.251.7 - - - - - 50%49%28%31%30%.1
IOWA Offense331.340.546.7%4.890.7193362141224.961%39%54%34%10%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana335:5130.362%25%4.336.70.31.711.32.7133.3
Iowa333:1619.354%67%2.3210.70.36.32.3133.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense357% (28)58% (8)44308.778 (26).39 (12)3.71 (15)68% (84)5% (10)0.92 (77)
IOWA Defense347% (46)34% (31) - - - - (48)2.81 (74)100% (127)14% (26)0.82 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense350% (74)28% (8) - - - - .08 (75)1.92 (8)43% (10)24% (1)1.78 (136)
IOWA Offense361% (15)54% (23)442144.96 (49).26 (37)3.82 (8)85% (27)7% (46)0.79 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense343% (106)60% (5)21.7302849.513.112 (3)0 (1).36 (57)1.2 (126)15% (1)42% (24).5 (40)4% (42)1.5 (119)
IOWA Defense353% (93)34% (40) - - - - - - 0.05 (28)1 (5)37% (36)15% (13)-.02 (19)5% (99)1.2 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense349% (59)31% (21) - - - - - - 4 (12).13 (46)1.7 (102)40% (8)30% (78).38 (98)6% (62)2 (76)
IOWA Offense339% (121)34% (114)14.323.7121.75.18.54 (72)1 (23).17 (98)1.5 (88)21% (9)21% (122).03 (122)3% (14)1 (135)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Indiana's Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 22.44   Iowa: 16.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 19.0   Iowa: 11.0




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 52 PPG
Offense on Road: 52
Defense: 7.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.7

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 28
Iowa 24


Total Points: 52

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/04Iowa34Indiana6IowaIowa -3.5Iowa45.5Under
201810/13Indiana16Iowa42IowaIowa -3.5Iowa52.0Over
201511/07Indiana27Iowa35IowaIowa -8NA58.0Over
201410/11Iowa45Indiana29IowaIowa -6.5Iowa0
201211/03Indiana24Iowa21Indiana
201110/22Iowa45Indiana24Iowa
201011/06Indiana13Iowa18Iowa
200910/31Iowa42Indiana24Iowa
200810/11Indiana9Iowa45Iowa
200709/29Iowa20Indiana38Indiana
200610/14Indiana31Iowa28Indiana
200510/15Iowa38Indiana21Iowa
200210/19Indiana8Iowa24Iowa
200110/20Iowa42Indiana28Iowa
200009/29Indiana45Iowa33Indiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1132 Overs
Indiana401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 62 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams6 - 91 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#25) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 22.44 #25
Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 59%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 60%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Indiana has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Notes
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add

Indiana Highlights
Indiana in Undefeated

Indiana has Really Good Running Game (#2)
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana has a top Offensive Line (#15)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense is really good in red zone (#23)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana has a good pass defense (#21)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatIOWAIND
OverallOver#16#2
OffenseOff#24#2
DefenseDef#13#7
Special TeamsST#77#18
PassingPass#73#2
RushingRush#46#12
Run BlockRBLK#1#13
Pass BlockPBLK#28#3
Route RunningWR Rt#91#6
TacklingTkl#37#65
Run DefenseR Def#30#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#11
Coverage DefCov#46#13

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | IOWA
Depth Chart: IND | IOWA
Rosters: IND | IOWA
(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Iowa has lost 1 straight
Iowa has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s

Iowa Highlights
Iowa is Undefeated at Home

Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)

Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)


  
Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)557672%708909.3
Alberto Mendoza91275%1393011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black3421716.436
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Roman Hemby (Tr)3620005.630
Khobie Martin1311528.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.13299423.058
Elijah Sarratt15164310.927
E.J. Williams109919.922
Charlie Becker470117.531

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louis Moore (Tr)172000
Aiden Fisher154120
Kellan Wyatt (Tr)134010
Isaiah Jones125200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Jones125200
Stephen Daley (Tr)84100
Mikail Kamara62111
Tyrique Tucker63101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell61002
Devan Boykin (Tr)81021
D'Angelo Ponds103001

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)376359%306314.9
Hank Brown (Tr)6875%59107.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Williams2618617.243
Jaziun Patterson2816105.817
Terrell Washington Jr.239504.113
Mark Gronowski (Tr)338832.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)490022.545
Jacob Gill780011.422
Seth Anderson64026.720
Nathan Mcneil132032.032

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Harrell191110
Karson Sharar162000
Zach Lutmer152101
Xavier Nwankpa110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn64300
Jaden Harrell191110
Zach Lutmer152101
Aaron Graves83120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall80003
Luke Gaffney00001
Deshaun Lee90001