Indiana at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo   Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -9.5 (47.5) (-340)  Open: -3.0
Indiana 20 - Iowa: 15  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (16 - 0) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13.7 - 0.3 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
IOWA is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -11  (SP+ IND -12.5)
Projected Score: IND: 29 - IOWA: 18 (48)
IND Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
IND Travel: 315 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-7.051.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-9.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+7.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-26.549.5W 38 - 13ON
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-26.553.5W 56 - 6OY
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-21.050.5W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State-13.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-28.543.5W 31 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Indiana at Purdue-28.553.5W 56 - 3OY
Sat 12/6 Indiana vs Ohio State+5.548.5W 13 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Indiana vs Alabama-7.546.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 1/9 Indiana vs Oregon-3.050.5W 56 - 22OY
Mon 1/19 Indiana vs Miami-7.546.5W 27 - 21ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+6.548.5L 21 - 26UY
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.543.0W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5.538.5W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt+3.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)41.650% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)11.735% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)29.344% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)16.146% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1341.637.652.4%5.030.7234281662614.552%48%50%56%13%.33
IOWA Defense1316.113.742%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1311.714.438.1%3.661.8 - - - - - 45%55%35%40%21%.09
IOWA Offense1329.328.342.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1330:4223.548%59%4.843.90.71.86.72.7234.5
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1352% (60)50% (13)37.2166.24.537 (6).17 (48)3.09 (55)75% (53)7% (16)0.89 (107)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1345% (10)35% (7) - - - - .01 (16)2.4 (4)66% (27)13% (9)1.05 (96)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1348% (73)56% (2)18.927.8261.39.413.833 (5)6 (10).53 (2)1.6 (64)27% (12)39% (3).5 (11)6% (73)2.1 (52)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1355% (127)40% (70) - - - - - - 15 (18).15 (29)1.3 (3)32% (59)28% (30).19 (21)7% (26)1.6 (1)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 29.64  #1
Indiana's Offense Rating: 30.19  #1
Indiana's Defense Rating: -0.59  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 13.7 - 0.3
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #1
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #2
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 29.64   Iowa: 19.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 32.4   Iowa: 19.7




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 19.9  #22
Iowa's Offense Rating: 19.71  #29
Iowa's Defense Rating: 4.61  #23
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7  #12
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #37
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 16 - 0
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 29
Iowa 18

Projected Total Points: 48
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Iowa15Indiana20Indiana -9.5Iowa47.5Under
202109/04Iowa34Indiana6Iowa -3.5Iowa45.5Under
201810/13Indiana16Iowa42Iowa -3.5Iowa52.0Over
201511/07Indiana27Iowa35Iowa -8NA58.0Over
201410/11Iowa45Indiana29Iowa -6.5Iowa0
201211/03Indiana24Iowa21
201110/22Iowa45Indiana24
201011/06Indiana13Iowa18
200910/31Iowa42Indiana24
200810/11Indiana9Iowa45
200709/29Iowa20Indiana38
200610/14Indiana31Iowa28
200510/15Iowa38Indiana21
200210/19Indiana8Iowa24
200110/20Iowa42Indiana28
200009/29Indiana45Iowa33
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1142 Overs
Indiana502 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 73 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#1) IND at (#22) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #1 #22
SP+SP+ #1 #12
Perf GradeGrade #1 #8
OffenseOff #1 #9
DefenseDef #2 #21
Spec TeamsST #10 #8
TalentTal #69 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #33
Indiana Notes
(12/6) WR1 Omar Cooper went out of B1G title game w/ inj.
(11/28) Run game mauled Purdue, 330+yds over 10 ypc
(11/9) Mortal vs PSU, even game. Pass Def leaky?
(10/16) Cig now top 5 paid coach in CFB after PSU threat
(10/12) Staff hit #'s on portals is incredible. Scouting +
(10/11) Dominated OU, Def held to 276, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/22) DL is a terror, constant pressure with 4 rushing
(9/20) Beat Ill 63-10, 500+ yds even split. Def great
(9/20) Hoosiers real deal, B1G & CFP contenders
(9/15) RB1 Leo Beebe Jr out for season (knee)
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
Indiana Injury Report
Iowa Notes
(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report
Indiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #21
SuccessSuc #2 #72
ExplosiveExp #90 #4
PPAPPA #6 #30
PowerPwr #1 #23
SP+SP+ #2 #6
Pts POPPO #1 #27
HavocHav #27 #51
Indiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #9 #63
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #97
Run ExplRExp #107 #1
PPAExp #48 #38
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #84
Stuff RateStuff #62 #115
TackleTak -  #84
Indiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
IND OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #4 #30
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #51
Pass ExplPExl #64 #36
PPAExp #2 #39
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #18 #5
F7 HavocF7 #16 #68
DB HavocDB #73 #27
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffIND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #2
SuccessSuc #72 #24
ExplosiveExp #110 #25
PPAPPA #100 #19
PowerPwr #29 #9
SP+SP+ #37 #2
Pts POPPO #84 #55
HavocHav #31 #6
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffIND Def
Run GameRun #26 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #63 #7
Run ExplRExp #47 #96
PPAExp #71 #16
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #4
Stuff RateStuff #110 #6
TackleTak -  #2
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #44 #4
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #70
Pass ExplPExl #93 #3
PPAExp #93 #29
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #29
F7 HavocF7 #76 #9
DB HavocDB #7 #26
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Indiana 9.5 (47.5)
Indiana won at Iowa this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Iowa last year (20-15)

  
IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)27337972%35354169.3
Alberto Mendoza182475%2865111.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby (Tr)230112074.982
Kaelon Black1871039105.640
Khobie Martin7750666.636
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)9027673.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.709611313.758
Elijah Sarratt648061512.649
Charlie Becker34679420.053
E.J. Williams36438612.262

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Aiden Fisher9511551
Louis Moore (Tr)903003
Isaiah Jones7815732
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rolijah Hardy10315845
Isaiah Jones7815732
Tyrique Tucker3812632
Stephen Daley (Tr)3519650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds6040010
Amare Ferrell482006
Rolijah Hardy10315845

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)16626263%17411076.6
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton17087855.234
Mark Gronowski (Tr)130545164.267
Jaziun Patterson6029604.917
Xavier Williams4928535.843
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Vonnahme29434315.051
Jacob Gill24278111.644
Sam Phillips (Tr)16261016.345
Reece Vander Zee15219214.629

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar8312461
Xavier Nwankpa761010
Koen Entringer734013
Zach Lutmer716107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett3510820
Max Llewellyn259685
Aaron Graves377531
Karson Sharar8312461
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall4700010
Zach Lutmer716107
Deshaun Lee341006