Rutgers at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Miami Hurricanes(#12)

Thursday, December 28th 2023 (2:15 PM EST)
Rutgers -3.0 (41.0) (115) Open: -3.5 | 41.5
Rutgers 31 - Miami: 24 (Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (11 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Miami -10 (SP+ MIAMI -9)
Projected Score: RUTG: 18 - MIAMI: 28 (46)
RUTG Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 34 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
RUTG Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Miami's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami vs Miami (OH)	-16.5	45.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	50.5	W 48 - 33	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.0	63.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Miami at Temple	-23.0	46.5	W 41 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-19.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/14	Miami at North Carolina	+2.5	57.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Miami vs Clemson	+3.0	48.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Miami vs Virginia	-18.5	48.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Miami at NC State	-6.5	44.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Miami at Florida State	+14.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Miami vs Louisville	-1.5	46.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	Miami at Boston College	-13.5	50.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	23.2	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	21.2	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4
MIAMI	#37 (.27)	43% (52)	31.5	43% (64)	3.35 (24)	173	44% (43)	258	3.99 (56)	#37 (.14)	39% (31)	22.8	38% (27)	39% (38)	4.53 (125)	57.8	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	23.2	11.4	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12
MIAMI Defense	13	22.8	21.4	38.5%	4.53	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	21.2	23.6	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14
MIAMI Offense	13	31.5	34.6	43.3%	3.99	1.7	22	431	173	258	5.1	47%	52%	43%	44%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30
Miami	13	31:52	21.9	41%	52%	6.1	57.8	1.7	1.4	6	2.6	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)
MIAMI Defense	13	47% (36)	38% (27)	-	-	-	-	.07 (28)	2.65 (12)	70% (45)	12% (27)	1 (71)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)
MIAMI Offense	13	47% (96)	43% (64)	33.8	173.2	5.1	24 (41)	.2 (44)	3.35 (24)	82% (10)	8% (21)	1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)
MIAMI Defense	13	52% (102)	39% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.22 (41)	1.6 (60)	33% (47)	28% (33)	.3 (62)	5% (104)	2.2 (111)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)
MIAMI Offense	13	52% (42)	44% (43)	21.8	33.6	258	7.7	11.9	23 (51)	14 (107)	.39 (28)	1.6 (55)	30% (36)	32% (63)	.36 (60)	6% (91)	2 (87)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30 Miami: 10.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3 Miami: 11.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 10.8 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.4
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 28
Rutgers 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Rutgers 25
Miami 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Miami 28
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 48

Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/28	Miami	24	Rutgers	31	Rutgers -3.0	Rutgers	41.0	Over
2003	11/22	Miami	34	Rutgers	10
2002	11/02	Rutgers	17	Miami	42
2001	09/08	Miami	61	Rutgers	0
2000	09/29	Rutgers	6	Miami	64

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	4	0	1 Overs
Rutgers	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Rutgers Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24
2021	Gator Bowl	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38

Miami Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31
2020	It Bowl	Miami vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	58.5	L 34 - 37
2019	Independence Bowl	Miami vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	49.5	L 0 - 14
2018	Pinstripe Bowl	Miami vs Wisconsin	-2.5	43.5	L 3 - 35
2017	N/A	Miami vs Wisconsin	+6.5	46.0	L 24 - 34

(#64) RUTG at (#22) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#64	#22
SP+SP+	#59	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#50	#12
OffenseOff	#61	#15
DefenseDef	#37	#22
Spec TeamsST	#115	#95
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#11

Rutgers Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#22
SuccessSuc	#91	#31
ExplosiveExp	#116	#76
PPAPPA	#107	#37
PowerPwr	#92	#41
SP+SP+	#98	#36
Pts POPPO	#62	#125
HavocHav	#10	#56

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#33	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#27
Run ExplRExp	#94	#71
PPAExp	#64	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#12
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#9
TackleTak	-	#51

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#38
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#60
PPAExp	#126	#41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#22
F7 HavocF7	#11	#27
DB HavocDB	#19	#104

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#37
SuccessSuc	#52	#104
ExplosiveExp	#37	#1
PPAPPA	#37	#43
PowerPwr	#42	#59
SP+SP+	#32	#21
Pts POPPO	#56	#44
HavocHav	#38	#107

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#31	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	#123
Run ExplRExp	#51	#4
PPAExp	#44	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#58	#120
TackleTak	-	#4

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#5
PPAExp	#28	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#55
F7 HavocF7	#21	#122
DB HavocDB	#91	#55

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 54°

Rematch from Week 1
Rutgers 3.0 (41.0)
Rutgers won at Miami this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Miami in 2023 (31-24)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Van Dyke	219	333	66%	2703	19	12	8.1
Emory Williams	44	71	62%	470	3	1	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	100	625	6	6.3	38
Mark Fletcher Jr.	105	514	5	4.9	54
Donald Chaney Jr.	94	478	2	5.1	29
Ajay Allen (Tr)	70	361	5	5.2	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Restrepo	85	1092	6	12.8	48
Jacolby George	57	864	8	15.2	85
Colbie Young	47	563	5	12.0	57
Brashard Smith	22	263	2	12.0	54

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	78	17	8	6	3
James Williams	72	1	0	2	4
Kamren Kinchens	52	3	1	0	5
Corey Flagg Jr.	47	7	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	78	17	8	6	3
Rueben Bain Jr.	42	12	8	4	1
Branson Deen (Tr)	15	4	3	2	0
Wesley Bissainthe	41	7	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamren Kinchens	52	3	1	0	5
Daryl Porter Jr.	21	0	0	1	4
James Williams	72	1	0	2	4