Rutgers at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Miami Hurricanes

Thursday, December 28th 2023 (2:15 PM EST)
Rutgers -3.0 (41.0) (115) Open: -3.5 | 41.5
Rutgers 31 - Miami: 24 (Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Miami -10 (SP+ MIAMI -9)
Projected Score: RUTG: 20 - MIAMI: 30 (62)
RUTG Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 1061 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
RUTG Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Miami's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami vs Miami (OH)	-16.5	45.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	50.5	W 48 - 33	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.0	63.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Miami at Temple	-23.0	46.5	W 41 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-19.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/14	Miami at North Carolina	+2.5	57.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Miami vs Clemson	+3.0	48.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Miami vs Virginia	-18.5	48.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Miami at NC State	-6.5	44.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Miami at Florida State	+14.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Miami vs Louisville	-1.5	46.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	Miami at Boston College	-13.5	50.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	.05	37%	28.9	41%	3.01	127	34%	154	3.32	.14	42%	25.4	45%	39%	3.86	64.2	1.7	1.4
MIAMI	.13	44%	43.9	48%	3.09	128	42%	240	3.5	.15	41%	25.3	43%	40%	3.76	59.6	2.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	12	28.9	25	37.4%	3.32	1.7	15	281	127	154	3.5	53%	47%	41%	34%	19%	.05
MIAMI Defense	12	25.3	17	41.3%	3.76	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	12	25.4	22	41.7%	3.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	39%	20%	.14
MIAMI Offense	12	43.9	47.8	44.3%	3.5	2.1	21	368	128	240	3.7	45%	54%	48%	42%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	12	29:11	14.8	28%	53%	7.8	64.2	1.7	1.4	5.5	1.7	3	27.7
Miami	12	30:42	21.2	40%	41%	7	59.6	2.1	2.1	6.9	3.1	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	36	126.9	3.5	11	-.01	3.01	74%	13%	0.71
MIAMI Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.81	68%	14%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.8	69%	11%	0.9
MIAMI Offense	12	45%	48%	34.5	128.1	3.7	12	.09	3.09	70%	11%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	12	47%	34%	14	27.7	154.3	5.6	11	11	14	.12	1.7	34%	21%	.11	7%	2.3
MIAMI Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.8	32%	34%	.29	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.12	9%	1.8
MIAMI Offense	12	54%	42%	21.3	34.4	239.9	7	11.3	18	12	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.29	7%	1.8

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30 Miami: 10.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3 Miami: 11.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 10.8 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 30
Rutgers 20

Projected Total Points: 62

Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/28	Miami	24	Rutgers	31	Rutgers	Rutgers -3.0	Rutgers	41.0	Over
2003	11/22	Miami	34	Rutgers	10	Miami
2002	11/02	Rutgers	17	Miami	42	Miami
2001	09/08	Miami	61	Rutgers	0	Miami
2000	09/29	Rutgers	6	Miami	64	Miami

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	4	0	1 Overs
Rutgers	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Rutgers Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24
2021	Gator Bowl	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38

Miami Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31
2020	It Bowl	Miami vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	58.5	L 34 - 37
2019	Independence Bowl	Miami vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	49.5	L 0 - 14
2018	Pinstripe Bowl	Miami vs Wisconsin	-2.5	43.5	L 3 - 35
2017	N/A	Miami vs Wisconsin	+6.5	46.0	L 24 - 34

(#64) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20

Team Profile

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Rutgers has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 2)
Rutgers has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 5)

Rutgers Ratings Matchup Miami

Power #64

#22

Off #92

#42

Def #59

#41

Talent #39

#15

SP+ #59

#22

SP+ Off #98

#32

SP+ Def #21

#36

Rematch from Week 1
Rutgers 3.0 (41.0)
Rutgers won at Miami this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Miami in 2023 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | MIAMI
Depth Chart: RUTG | MIAMI
Rosters: RUTG | MIAMI

(#22) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.8 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20

Team Profile

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Miami has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 5)
Miami has played in 20 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 14)

Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon	181	308	59%	2032	15	9	6.6
Gavin Wimsatt	16	39	41%	287	3	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Gavin Wimsatt	49	183	2	3.7	24
Aaron Young	23	119	2	5.2	24
Evan Simon	87	20	3	0.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Patterson	25	286	0	11.4	39
Christian Dremel	12	162	1	13.5	36
Kyle Monangai	14	75	1	5.4	14
Aaron Young	2	39	0	19.5	37

View Rutgers's Full Roster

Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2
Desmond Igbinosun	54	4	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2
Rene Konga	20	3	3	2	0
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	4

Miami's OC Shannon Dawson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Van Dyke	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brashard Smith	234	1330	14	5.7	71
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Donald Chaney Jr.	50	178	3	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Restrepo	69	1127	11	16.3	77
Jacolby George	53	752	8	14.2	49
Elijah Arroyo	35	590	7	16.9	74
Brashard Smith	39	327	4	8.4	33

View Miami's Full Roster

Miami's DC Lance Guidry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahfari Harvey	30	13	8	9	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daryl Porter Jr.	28	0	0	2	7
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4