Alabama at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
MIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -14.5   (SP+ ALA -15.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 32 - MIZ: 17 (50)
ALA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
ALA Travel: 477 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.551.0
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-47
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-25
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-27
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-14.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-15
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-13.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-53.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-10.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-36.5
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-11.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-22
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-37.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+14.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+6.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+6.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-14
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+8.5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-1

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1333.827.845.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23
MIZ Defense1320.415.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1317.422.237.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
MIZ Offense1328.932.144%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.74 #2
Alabama's Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Alabama's Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 62% #4
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 954.75
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.74   Missouri: 15.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 27.9   Missouri: 12.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.13 #47
Missouri's Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 954.75
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 32
Missouri 17

Projected Total Points: 50
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Alabama34Missouri0AlabamaAlabama -16Alabama51.5Under
202009/26Missouri19Alabama38AlabamaAlabama -29.0Missouri56.0Over
201810/13Alabama39Missouri10AlabamaAlabama -28Alabama72.5Under
201412/06Missouri13Alabama42AlabamaAlabama -3Alabama0
201210/13Missouri10Alabama42Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri011 Overs
Alabama532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams3 - 21 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#2) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.74 #2
Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1072.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 62% #4
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Alabama Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future
(4/4) DE LT Overton/DT Keenan III top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL Brailsford (C), Proctor/Roberts (T) top 10 PFF
(3/22) DE Overton a huge DT/DE pass rush threat
(3/20) OC Ryan Grubb back w/ DeBoer a huge add
(3/18) RBs Avg LY. Miller OK, any RB1's in depth?
(3/18) WRs deep and talented. A top CFB unit
Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Missouri
Power #2
#26
Off #7
#47
Def #3
#15
Talent #8
#28
SP+ #2
#21
SP+ Off #5
#41
SP+ Def #5
#22

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Missouri last year (34-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | MIZ
Depth Chart: ALA | MIZ
Rosters: ALA | MIZ
(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Offense Rating: 17.13 #47
Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22
Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Missouri Notes
(6/3) QB1 B. Pribula (PSU) mobile, #2 Horn staff high
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?
(3/18) Should improve TY w/ better QB, great Def
(3/18) Drinkwitz underrated HC. Team always tough


  
Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Dre'Lyn Washington (Tr)7347856.564
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard50794215.947
Isaiah Horton (Tr)56616511.030
Josh Cuevas16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Keenan III408321
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Justin Jefferson617201
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Domani Jackson512017
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)263574%275517.9
Connor Weselman (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2371352135.780
Beau Pribula (Tr)3824246.449
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Tavorus Jones135504.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)69844512.280
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Vince Brown II (Tr)24256310.730
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)934152
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Nate Johnson (Tr)293311
Zion Young416353
Chris McClellan396332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004
Santana Banner (Tr)542014