Alabama at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#14)Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 43 - 15 (17 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -2.5   (SP+ ALA -7)

Projected Score: ALA: 31 - MIZ: 29 (60)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 477 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 52 - 16 (52 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.5
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-9
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-8.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-52.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-2

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-13.546.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-50.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-12
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-6

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#12 (.45)51% (27)42.742% (86)3.25 (42)12457% (12)3365.26 (23)#84 (.16)36% (44)1536% (43)38% (56)4.43 (102)60.702
MIZ#15 (.45)56% (11)51.760% (6)3.91 (6)30253% (24)2855.52 (12)#29 ()31% (15)15.732% (18)31% (26)3.86 (84)58.30.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense342.71751%5.260234591243364.340%60%42%57%8%.45
MIZ Defense315.715.731.2%3.861 - - - - - 44%55%32%31%26%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense3153136%4.432 - - - - - 66%32%36%38%18%.16
MIZ Offense351.751.756.5%5.520.7285873022856.252%48%60%53%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama330:512346%56%6.760.7026.31.7036.7
Missouri337:4928.362%86%658.30.717.32.3129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense340% (126)42% (86)29123.74.34 (79).09 (87)3.25 (42)83% (28)6% (16)0.79 (108)
MIZ Defense344% (31)32% (18) - - - - .07 (70)2.35 (34)38% (4)17% (4)1.21 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense366% (134)36% (43) - - - - .13 (96)3.14 (107)83% (110)14% (23)1.09 (95)
MIZ Offense352% (62)60% (6)49302.36.211 (8).42 (8)3.91 (6)88% (19)7% (40)1.08 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense360% (11)57% (12)25.335.3335.79.513.313 (2)0 (1).69 (8)1.7 (26)28% (44)36% (40).67 (22)3% (16)2.6 (6)
MIZ Defense355% (104)31% (26) - - - - - - 2 (56).01 (23)1.6 (81)31% (86)21% (28).23 (60)8% (22)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense332% (2)38% (56) - - - - - - 3 (28).24 (75)2 (133)37% (33)31% (81).44 (106)4% (103)2.1 (92)
MIZ Offense348% (71)53% (24)24.331.3284.79.111.78 (18)1 (23).48 (28)1.5 (73)22% (12)47% (10).77 (13)3% (24)2.1 (57)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.97 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Alabama's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.97   Missouri: 26.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.4   Missouri: 19.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Missouri's Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Missouri's Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 42.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 31
Missouri 29


Total Points: 60

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 51.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Alabama34Missouri0AlabamaAlabama -16Alabama51.5Under
202009/26Missouri19Alabama38AlabamaAlabama -29.0Missouri56.0Over
201810/13Alabama39Missouri10AlabamaAlabama -28Alabama72.5Under
201412/06Missouri13Alabama42AlabamaAlabama -3Alabama0
201210/13Missouri10Alabama42Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri011 Overs
Alabama532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams3 - 21 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#8) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 31.97 #8
Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 57%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has lost 2 straight
Alabama has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Alabama Notes
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(8/17) RB Jam Miller out 6-8 weeks (collarbone)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future

Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is efficent (#27)
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Can Not Run the Ball (#101)
Alabama gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#107)
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
Alabama has a bad defensive line (#107)
Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIZALA
OverallOver#3#25
OffenseOff#3#29
DefenseDef#9#27
Special TeamsST#76#19
PassingPass#3#15
RushingRush#9#59
Run BlockRBLK#18#75
Pass BlockPBLK#7#48
Route RunningWR Rt#5#15
TacklingTkl#23#79
Run DefenseR Def#10#25
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#96
Coverage DefCov#22#27

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Missouri last year (34-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | MIZ
Depth Chart: ALA | MIZ
Rosters: ALA | MIZ
(#13) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18
Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.52 PPO
Great Run Success 60%
Good Pass Success 53%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Missouri has lost 2 straight
Missouri has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Missouri Notes
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread
Missouri in Undefeated
Missouri is Undefeated at Home
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Missouri has Really Good Running Game (#3)
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri has a top Offensive Line (#6)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri Secondary is very good (#22)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)


  
Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson648972%862909.7
Austin Mack81173%80207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Riley2312005.222
AK Dear785112.156
Richard Young194812.56
Ty Simpson174512.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard15275318.343
Ryan Williams10195219.575
Isaiah Horton (Tr)9105211.729
Lotzeir Brooks688014.719

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson101000
Keon Sabb91100
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Qua Russaw31100
London Simmons41100
Keon Sabb91100
Yhonzae Pierre73120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
Zabien Brown30001

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)688976%791718.9
Matt Zollers55100%631012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)5746258.171
Jamal Roberts2922217.763
Marquise Davis2512324.917
Beau Pribula (Tr)257633.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)24258110.850
Marquis Johnson9173219.249
Brett Norfleet118737.927
Joshua Manning881010.117

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)155000
Jalen Catalon (Tr)100000
Jeremiah Beasley90000
Nicholas Rodriguez82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.63320
Zion Young73110
Darris Smith31130
Khalil Jacobs51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood61004
Caleb Flagg30002
Nicholas Deloach Jr.20001