Alabama at South Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#4)Alabama Crimson Tide at South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -11.5 (47.5) (-455)  Open: -7.5
Alabama 29 - South Carolina: 22  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
SC 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -10.5  (SP+ ALA -15.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 29 - SC: 18 (47)
ALA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ALA Travel: 380 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+4.542.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.547.5L 22 - 29OY
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+12.555.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+16.549.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-24.050.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson-2.545.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#48 (.2)43% (62)29.540% (103)2.73 (109)10445% (33)2644.04 (38)#27 (.08)38% (23)19.239% (31)38% (33)3.65 (66)39.40.91.3
SC#109 (.1)37% (118)22.739% (107)2.89 (77)11236% (120)2252.61 (134)#30 (.09)42% (67)22.139% (39)44% (106)3.15 (29)57.31.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.342.7%4.040.9203681042643.443%56%40%45%14%.2
SC Defense1222.120.641.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%44%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.737.9%3.651.3 - - - - - 50%48%39%38%18%.08
SC Offense1222.724.937.2%2.611.5183371122253.349%50%39%36%20%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1531:3420.342%61%4.539.40.91.35.72.2330.3
South Carolina1227:5817.732%50%7.357.31.51.85.31.8426.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (118)40% (103)31104.23.421 (99).02 (115)2.73 (109)67% (100)8% (33)0.83 (122)
SC Defense1251% (86)39% (39) - - - - -.06 (8)2.7 (31)68% (42)10% (49)0.88 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (74)39% (31) - - - - .1 (66)2.81 (53)75% (101)11% (19)1 (91)
SC Offense1249% (73)39% (107)34111.63.314 (107).09 (81)2.89 (77)62% (124)14% (132)1.07 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (15)45% (33)22.934.9263.57.611.532 (2)5 (3).35 (37)1.6 (54)30% (49)33% (30).4 (29)5% (42)2 (72)
SC Defense1247% (54)44% (106) - - - - - - 12 (22).25 (72)1.5 (40)31% (83)29% (68).14 (14)6% (69)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1548% (60)38% (33) - - - - - - 11 (31).11 (17)1.5 (50)35% (19)28% (46).25 (53)6% (47)2 (72)
SC Offense1250% (63)36% (120)17.428.5225.37.912.913 (121)11 (60).17 (109)1.7 (30)36% (131)24% (127).14 (125)6% (81)1.8 (119)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 23.11  #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.71  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -1.40  #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.11   South Carolina: 11.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.6   South Carolina: 5.2




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 11.145  #32
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.51  #49
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.42  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2  #51
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #85
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 29
South Carolina 18


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 24
South Carolina 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 25
South Carolina 23

Total Points: 48
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25South Carolina22Alabama29Alabama -11.5South Carolina47.5Over
202410/12Alabama27South Carolina25Alabama -21South Carolina50.0Over
201909/14South Carolina23Alabama47Alabama -25.5South Carolina59.5Over
201010/09South Carolina35Alabama21
200910/17Alabama20South Carolina6
200509/17South Carolina14Alabama37
200410/02Alabama3South Carolina20
200109/29South Carolina37Alabama36
200009/29Alabama27South Carolina17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina333 Overs
Alabama600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 42 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams4 - 51 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#8) ALA at (#32) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALASC
Net PPPPPP #30 #65
Power RatePwr #8 #32
SP+SP+ #12 #51
Perf GradeGrade #17 #95
OffenseOff #36 #108
DefenseDef #17 #44
Spec TeamsST #27 #84
TalentTal #6 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #20
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
South Carolina Notes
(11/16) Blowing 30-3 lead vs A&M feels like the bottom
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
South Carolina Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffSC Def
PPPOffPPP #44 #91
Perf GradePerf #36 #44
SuccessSuc #62 #67
ExplosiveExp #50 #36
PPAPPA #48 #30
PowerPwr #21 #20
SP+SP+ #22 #28
Pts POPPO #38 #29
HavocHav #39 #61
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffSC Def
Run GameRun #93 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #39
Run ExplRExp #122 #24
PPAExp #115 #8
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #31
Stuff RateStuff #109 #26
TackleTak -  #53
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #20 #82
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #106
Pass ExplPExl #54 #40
PPAExp #37 #72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #70
F7 HavocF7 #33 #49
DB HavocDB #42 #69
South Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSC OffALA Def
PPPDefPPP #28 #34
Perf GradePerf #108 #17
SuccessSuc #118 #23
ExplosiveExp #19 #61
PPAPPA #109 #27
PowerPwr #49 #5
SP+SP+ #85 #6
Pts POPPO #134 #66
HavocHav #130 #26
South Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffALA Def
Run GameRun #116 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #31
Run ExplRExp #30 #91
PPAExp #81 #66
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #53
Stuff RateStuff #44 #66
TackleTak -  #24
South Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSC OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #50 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #33
Pass ExplPExl #30 #50
PPAExp #109 #17
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #127
F7 HavocF7 #132 #19
DB HavocDB #81 #47
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 9
Alabama 11.5 (47.5)
Alabama won at South Carolina this year (29-22)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat South Carolina last year (27-25)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson30547365%35672857.5
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard64862713.543
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Isaiah Horton (Tr)42511812.237
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson805214
Justin Jefferson797325
Brayson Hubbard745218
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)545023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Lebbeus Overton406441
Justin Jefferson797325
Keon Keeley133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Justin Jefferson797325

SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers17829361%24371388.3
Luke Doty193063%153015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)9647034.946
Lanorris Sellers14927051.826
Matthew Fuller7226023.672
Oscar Adaway III4114013.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor30618620.680
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Jayden Sellers22337115.375
Donovan Murph14197114.138

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith642001
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)634021
Fred Johnson624143
Jalon Kilgore5400110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Thomas Jr.40117121
Dylan Stewart3112462
Nick Barrett426211
Jatius Geer133220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore5400110
Vicari Swain281105
Brandon Cisse (Tr)272015