Alabama at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL  (FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start)

 
Crimson Tide (5 - 1) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 17 (23 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#19)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -3.5  (SP+ ALA -7.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 24 - AUB: 20 (44)
ALA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 127 miles
Tigers (3 - 3) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (28 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-7.559.5
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-2.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-3.5

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-8
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-19
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-43.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#23 (.32)46% (40)34.839% (110)3.11 (51)12752% (7)3054.41 (44)#70 (.17)40% (56)17.340% (46)42% (75)4.44 (114)430.31.8
AUB#86 (.16)43% (71)24.748% (39)3.01 (67)16438% (111)1674.7 (25)#31 (.07)36% (17)1728% (1)43% (88)3.24 (29)74.70.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense634.822.746.2%4.410.3244311273053.746%54%39%52%10%.32
AUB Defense61712.735.8%3.240.8 - - - - - 48%52%28%43%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense617.325.340.4%4.441.8 - - - - - 55%45%40%42%18%.17
AUB Offense624.727.743%4.70.3193321641674.551%48%48%38%16%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama634:0323.550%63%5.3430.31.84.81.5032.6
Auburn630:2819.337%54%9.274.70.30.87.33126.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense646% (99)39% (110)34.3126.73.76 (107).03 (110)3.11 (51)67% (97)7% (14)0.8 (123)
AUB Defense648% (51)28% (1) - - - - -.15 (2)1.83 (1)70% (65)13% (22)0.92 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense655% (110)40% (46) - - - - .18 (114)3.09 (105)71% (69)11% (34)1.2 (128)
AUB Offense651% (65)48% (39)36.5164.34.513 (35).24 (22)3.01 (67)89% (7)11% (102)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense654% (36)52% (7)24.534.5304.58.812.420 (1)1 (4).57 (7)1.7 (20)28% (33)39% (17).61 (10)3% (13)2.2 (24)
AUB Defense652% (87)43% (88) - - - - - - 2 (114).29 (89)1.6 (83)35% (26)25% (27).21 (41)4% (127)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense645% (26)42% (75) - - - - - - 6 (29).15 (40)1.4 (26)32% (69)31% (93).3 (78)6% (52)1.9 (41)
AUB Offense648% (73)38% (111)1828.5167.25.99.35 (116)0 (1).09 (123)1.2 (134)29% (40)21% (131).09 (128)5% (42)1.8 (113)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.77  #7
Alabama's Offense Rating: 30.24  #6
Alabama's Defense Rating: -2.95  #21
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #15
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.77   Auburn: 22.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.8   Auburn: 13.4




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.555  #18
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.56  #47
Auburn's Defense Rating: -10.15  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 17.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 24
Auburn 20


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 23
Auburn 20

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 24
Alabama 22

Total Points: 46
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.7

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Alabama28Auburn14Alabama -10.5Alabama50.5Under
202311/25Auburn24Alabama27Alabama -14.0Auburn48.0Over
202211/26Alabama49Auburn27Alabama -22Push51.0Over
202111/27Auburn22Alabama24Alabama -21Auburn57.5Under
202011/28Alabama42Auburn13Alabama -24.5Alabama65.0Under
201911/30Auburn48Alabama45Alabama -3.5Auburn51.0Over
201811/24Alabama52Auburn21Alabama -26Alabama53.0Over
201711/25Auburn26Alabama14Alabama -5Auburn47.5Under
201611/26Alabama30Auburn12Alabama -20Auburn47.0Under
201511/28Auburn13Alabama29Alabama -13Alabama47.5Under
201411/29Alabama55Auburn44Alabama -7Alabama0
201311/30Auburn34Alabama28Alabama -9.5Auburn0
201211/24Alabama49Auburn0
201111/26Auburn14Alabama42
201011/26Alabama27Auburn28
200911/27Auburn21Alabama26
200811/29Alabama36Auburn0
200711/24Auburn17Alabama10
200611/18Alabama15Auburn22
200511/19Auburn28Alabama18
200411/20Alabama13Auburn21
200311/22Auburn28Alabama23
200111/17Auburn7Alabama31
200011/17Alabama0Auburn9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1064 Overs
Alabama1456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 24 - 15 - 1
Road Teams10 - 142 - 91 - 51 - 4

(#7) ALA at (#18) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAAUB
Power RatePwr #7 #18
SP+SP+ #12 #27
Perf GradeGrade #21 #95
OffenseOff #32 #94
DefenseDef #39 #90
Spec TeamsST #87 #131
TalentTal #7 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #12

Alabama Notes
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo

Auburn Notes
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
(10/12) Freeze 5-14 in SEC games, 2-7 at home
(10/9) 59 car, 119 yds, 23 penalites, 154 yards in past 2
(9/27) OL penalized a lot, AU avgs 8.5 penalties per game
(9/24) WR H Fields out for the season (broken foot)
(9/20) Arnold bad vs OU, Run Off worse. Def fought
(9/18) Starting CB Jay Crawford doubtful for OU
(9/4) RB Damari Alston out week two (shoulder)
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #90
SuccessSuc #40 #17
ExplosiveExp #22 #107
PPAPPA #23 #31
PowerPwr #6 #6
SP+SP+ #15 #9
Pts POPPO #44 #29
HavocHav #10 #54
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #96 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #1
Run ExplRExp #123 #52
PPAExp #110 #2
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #1
Stuff RateStuff #37 #1
TackleTak -  #88
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #10 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #88
Pass ExplPExl #20 #83
PPAExp #7 #89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #62
F7 HavocF7 #14 #22
DB HavocDB #13 #127
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #39
SuccessSuc #71 #56
ExplosiveExp #132 #93
PPAPPA #86 #70
PowerPwr #47 #21
SP+SP+ #62 #11
Pts POPPO #25 #114
HavocHav #77 #44
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
Run GameRun #44 #45
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #46
Run ExplRExp #54 #128
PPAExp #22 #114
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #105
Stuff RateStuff #32 #105
TackleTak -  #51
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #130 #14
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #75
Pass ExplPExl #134 #26
PPAExp #123 #40
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #113
F7 HavocF7 #102 #34
DB HavocDB #42 #52
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2022 (49-27)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson13418971%16781618.9
Austin Mack81173%80207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller5826714.622
Kevin Riley4418304.222
AK Dear785112.156
Ty Simpson405821.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard28412514.743
Ryan Williams21336316.075
Isaiah Horton (Tr)21270412.935
Lotzeir Brooks13216016.630

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson352121
Deontae Lawson252012
Brayson Hubbard242014
Lebbeus Overton205320
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lebbeus Overton205320
Justin Jefferson352121
Keon Sabb151111
Qua Russaw31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard242014
Zabien Brown50003
Dijon Lee Jr.92002

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)10616564%983506.0
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb7045346.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)8324763.027
Damari Alston3212814.015
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman24305212.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)3027929.337
Horatio Fields (Tr)1210618.814
Malcolm Simmons1210208.526

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Keyron Crawford227420
Kaleb Harris191001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford227420
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Keldric Faulk113243
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk113243
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Demarcus Riddick111101