Alabama at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#10)Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Alabama -6.5 (48.5) (-280)  Open: -5.5 | 51.5
Alabama 27 - Auburn: 20  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -5  (SP+ ALA -8.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 27 - AUB: 22 (49)
ALA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ALA Travel: 127 miles
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#48 (.2)43% (62)29.540% (103)2.73 (109)10445% (33)2644.04 (38)#27 (.08)38% (23)19.239% (31)38% (33)3.65 (66)39.40.91.3
AUB#72 (.17)43% (56)26.847% (30)3.19 (23)17740% (90)1973.9 (51)#19 (.07)38% (26)20.733% (5)44% (99)3.37 (42)63.70.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.342.7%4.040.9203681042643.443%56%40%45%14%.2
AUB Defense1220.716.438.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.737.9%3.651.3 - - - - - 50%48%39%38%18%.08
AUB Offense1226.826.443.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1531:3420.342%61%4.539.40.91.35.72.2330.3
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (118)40% (103)31104.23.421 (99).02 (115)2.73 (109)67% (100)8% (33)0.83 (122)
AUB Defense1248% (44)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (3)2.25 (4)70% (59)11% (20)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (74)39% (31) - - - - .1 (66)2.81 (53)75% (101)11% (19)1 (91)
AUB Offense1251% (61)47% (30)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (13)3.19 (23)80% (17)11% (116)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (15)45% (33)22.934.9263.57.611.532 (2)5 (3).35 (37)1.6 (54)30% (49)33% (30).4 (29)5% (42)2 (72)
AUB Defense1251% (97)44% (99) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (81)32% (54)31% (90).3 (70)5% (90)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1548% (60)38% (33) - - - - - - 11 (31).11 (17)1.5 (50)35% (19)28% (46).25 (53)6% (47)2 (72)
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (90)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (105)6% (52)2 (87)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 23.11  #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.71  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -1.40  #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.11   Auburn: 16.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.6   Auburn: 11.9




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 16.79  #16
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.79  #48
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.11  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #58
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 27
Auburn 22


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 26
Alabama 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 24
Alabama 23

Total Points: 47
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Auburn20Alabama27Alabama -6.5Alabama48.5Under
202411/30Alabama28Auburn14Alabama -10.5Alabama50.5Under
202311/25Auburn24Alabama27Alabama -14.0Auburn48.0Over
202211/26Alabama49Auburn27Alabama -22Push51.0Over
202111/27Auburn22Alabama24Alabama -21Auburn57.5Under
202011/28Alabama42Auburn13Alabama -24.5Alabama65.0Under
201911/30Auburn48Alabama45Alabama -3.5Auburn51.0Over
201811/24Alabama52Auburn21Alabama -26Alabama53.0Over
201711/25Auburn26Alabama14Alabama -5Auburn47.5Under
201611/26Alabama30Auburn12Alabama -20Auburn47.0Under
201511/28Auburn13Alabama29Alabama -13Alabama47.5Under
201411/29Alabama55Auburn44Alabama -7Alabama0
201311/30Auburn34Alabama28Alabama -9.5Auburn0
201211/24Alabama49Auburn0
201111/26Auburn14Alabama42
201011/26Alabama27Auburn28
200911/27Auburn21Alabama26
200811/29Alabama36Auburn0
200711/24Auburn17Alabama10
200611/18Alabama15Auburn22
200511/19Auburn28Alabama18
200411/20Alabama13Auburn21
200311/22Auburn28Alabama23
200111/17Auburn7Alabama31
200011/17Alabama0Auburn9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1064 Overs
Alabama1567 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 119 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams11 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#8) ALA at (#16) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAAUB
Net PPPPPP #30 #51
Power RatePwr #8 #16
SP+SP+ #12 #29
Perf GradeGrade #17 #81
OffenseOff #36 #95
DefenseDef #17 #48
Spec TeamsST #27 #91
TalentTal #6 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #12
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPP #44 #83
Perf GradePerf #36 #48
SuccessSuc #62 #26
ExplosiveExp #50 #89
PPAPPA #48 #19
PowerPwr #21 #10
SP+SP+ #22 #15
Pts POPPO #38 #42
HavocHav #39 #50
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #93 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #5
Run ExplRExp #122 #29
PPAExp #115 #3
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #4
Stuff RateStuff #109 #5
TackleTak -  #65
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #20 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #99
Pass ExplPExl #54 #81
PPAExp #37 #80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #46
F7 HavocF7 #33 #20
DB HavocDB #42 #90
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
PPPDefPPP #28 #18
Perf GradePerf #95 #17
SuccessSuc #56 #23
ExplosiveExp #131 #61
PPAPPA #72 #27
PowerPwr #48 #5
SP+SP+ #58 #6
Pts POPPO #51 #66
HavocHav #99 #26
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
Run GameRun #46 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #31
Run ExplRExp #54 #91
PPAExp #13 #66
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #53
Stuff RateStuff #20 #66
TackleTak -  #24
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #105 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #33
Pass ExplPExl #134 #50
PPAExp #120 #17
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #127
F7 HavocF7 #116 #19
DB HavocDB #52 #47
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 52° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Alabama 6.5 (48.5)
Alabama won at Auburn this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2022 (49-27)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson30547365%35672857.5
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard64862713.543
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Isaiah Horton (Tr)42511812.237
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson805214
Justin Jefferson797325
Brayson Hubbard745218
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)545023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Lebbeus Overton406441
Justin Jefferson797325
Keon Keeley133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Justin Jefferson797325

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk275264
Jay Crawford151004
Kayin Lee310004