LSU at Alabama Game Matchup
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bryant Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL  (SEC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
LSU coming off BYE
ALA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -6.5   (SP+ ALA -6)
Projected Score: LSU: 24 - ALA: 30 (53)
ALA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
LSU Travel: 288 miles
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 LSU at Clemson+3.056.5
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-44.5
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-8.5
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-12
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt-18
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-18.5
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-40
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Alabama at Florida State-11.550.5
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-47.5
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-27
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-14.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-15
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-13.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-53.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-10.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1330.527.344.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25
ALA Defense1317.413.737.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1324.32741.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
ALA Offense1333.84145.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 29.23 #6
LSU's Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
LSU's Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #3
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 29.23   Alabama: 32.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 22.1   Alabama: 27.9




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Alabama's Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Alabama's Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
LSU 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09LSU13Alabama42AlabamaAlabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28AlabamaAlabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31LSUAlabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14AlabamaAlabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55AlabamaAlabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46LSUAlabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29AlabamaAlabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10AlabamaAlabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20AlabamaAlabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17AlabamaAlabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21Alabama
201111/05Alabama6LSU9LSU
201101/09LSU0Alabama21Alabama
201011/06LSU24Alabama21LSU
200911/07Alabama24LSU15Alabama
200811/08LSU21Alabama27Alabama
200711/03Alabama34LSU41LSU
200611/11LSU28Alabama14LSU
200511/12Alabama13LSU16LSU
200411/13LSU26Alabama10LSU
200311/15Alabama3LSU27LSU
200111/03Alabama21LSU35LSU
200011/03LSU30Alabama28LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1484 Overs
LSU1146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 144 - 83 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 118 - 45 - 13 - 3

(#6) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.23 #6
Offense Rating: 30.64 #3
Defense Rating: 1.41 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #23
Talent Rating: 1032.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #3
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


LSU Notes
(5/16) DE portals Pyburn (UF) & Payton (FSU) huge
(4/4) LB Whit Weeks a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/22) Top portal class, 10 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) WR Anderson(OU) a weapon if/when healthy
(3/20) TE's are massive. Sharp (OU) v athletic.
(3/18) QB Nussmeier could be special, good depth
(3/18) RB Durham good Fr yr, talented depth
(3/18) WRs deep/talented. A top unit in CFB TY.
(3/18) OL replacing both T's, must improve from LY
(3/18) Def better LY, next step in DC Baker 2nd yr?
LSU     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #6
#2
Off #3
#7
Def #12
#3
Talent #8
#7
SP+ #9
#2
SP+ Off #2
#5
SP+ Def #23
#5

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)
LSU beat Alabama in 2022 (32-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | ALA
Depth Chart: LSU | ALA
Rosters: LSU | ALA
(#2) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Alabama Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future
(4/4) DE LT Overton/DT Keenan III top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL Brailsford (C), Proctor/Roberts (T) top 10 PFF
(3/22) DE Overton a huge DT/DE pass rush threat
(3/20) OC Ryan Grubb back w/ DeBoer a huge add
(3/18) RBs Avg LY. Miller OK, any RB1's in depth?
(3/18) WRs deep and talented. A top CFB unit


  
LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)14025655%18861177.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Barion Brown (Tr)135013.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Barion Brown (Tr)29361312.463
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Caden Durham2826029.371

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Jack Pyburn (Tr)604100
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton (Tr)3210440
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Jimari Butler (Tr)227250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)740007
Mansoor Delane (Tr)541007

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Dre'Lyn Washington (Tr)7347856.564
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard50794215.947
Isaiah Horton (Tr)56616511.030
Josh Cuevas16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Keenan III408321
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Justin Jefferson617201
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Domani Jackson512017
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224