Tennessee at Alabama Game Matchup
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bryant Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -15   (SP+ ALA -10)
Projected Score: TENN: 18 - ALA: 33 (52)
ALA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tennessee vs Syracuse-12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-41
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+7.5
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-34
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+15
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-9.5
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-38.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida+5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Alabama at Florida State-11.550.5
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-47.5
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-27
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-14.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-15
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-13.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-53.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-10.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.847.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23
ALA Defense1317.413.737.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12637.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
ALA Offense1333.84145.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 16.18   Alabama: 32.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 18.4   Alabama: 27.9




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Alabama's Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Alabama's Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 33
Tennessee 18

Projected Total Points: 52
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17TennesseeAlabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20AlabamaAlabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49TennesseeAlabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24AlabamaAlabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48AlabamaAlabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13AlabamaAlabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58AlabamaAlabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7AlabamaAlabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14AlabamaAlabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34AlabamaAlabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10AlabamaAlabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44Alabama
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6Alabama
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41Alabama
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10Alabama
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29Alabama
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17Alabama
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13Tennessee
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3Alabama
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13Tennessee
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51Tennessee
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34Alabama
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35Tennessee
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1876 Overs
Tennessee754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 155 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#18) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7
Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tennessee Notes
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
(4/12) QB1 Merklinger (So)? Only 2 on roster, big need
(4/4) CB Jermod McCoy the #2 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Joshua Josephs just outside top 10 via PFF
(3/22) TE Kitselman a top TE w/ great hands
(3/22) Def v good, returns a lot. DE Josephs v good
(3/20) WR rebuild. Brazzell/Matthews/talent ready?
(3/18) RB rebuild. Thomas (Duke) can help. Talented
Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #18
#2
Off #45
#7
Def #13
#3
Talent #18
#7
SP+ #13
#2
SP+ Off #34
#5
SP+ Def #7
#5

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | ALA
Depth Chart: TENN | ALA
Rosters: TENN | ALA
(#2) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Alabama Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future
(4/4) DE LT Overton/DT Keenan III top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL Brailsford (C), Proctor/Roberts (T) top 10 PFF
(3/22) DE Overton a huge DT/DE pass rush threat
(3/20) OC Ryan Grubb back w/ DeBoer a huge add
(3/18) RBs Avg LY. Miller OK, any RB1's in depth?
(3/18) WRs deep and talented. A top CFB unit


  
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)21839056%300223147.7
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Joey Aguilar (Tr)5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jaxson Moi165201
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Colton Hood (Tr)231006

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Dre'Lyn Washington (Tr)7347856.564
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard50794215.947
Isaiah Horton (Tr)56616511.030
Josh Cuevas16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Keenan III408321
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Justin Jefferson617201
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Domani Jackson512017
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224