Alabama at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#17)Alabama Crimson Tide at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -2.5 (53.5) (-142)  Open: -4.0
Alabama 24 - Georgia: 21  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ALA coming off BYE
UGA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -4.5  (SP+ UGA -3)

Projected Score: ALA: 24 - UGA: 29 (53)
UGA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 246 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.550.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-42.553.5W 35 - 3UN
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-15.559.5W 16 - 9UN
Sat 12/6 Georgia vs Alabama-2.547.5W 28 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.053.5L 34 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#40 (.21)43% (61)29.540% (99)2.74 (110)10346% (33)2524.19 (32)#17 (.06)37% (15)19.237% (15)37% (26)3.4 (48)39.10.81.3
UGA#24 (.27)49% (13)32.148% (21)3.11 (38)17449% (15)2054.81 (6)#28 (.08)37% (22)17.635% (9)40% (52)3.66 (68)40.80.90.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.343%4.190.8203551032523.443%56%40%46%13%.21
UGA Defense1417.614.137.4%3.660.9 - - - - - 45%54%35%40%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.736.6%3.41.3 - - - - - 50%49%37%37%18%.06
UGA Offense1432.134.648.6%4.810.9233781742054.556%43%48%49%13%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1529:5219.642%65%4.439.10.81.35.42330.6
Georgia1431:2122.645%76%4.340.80.90.93.91.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (117)40% (99)29.9102.73.421 (99).03 (111)2.74 (110)67% (100)8% (27)0.84 (120)
UGA Defense1445% (14)35% (9) - - - - -.02 (10)2.47 (10)71% (66)8% (108)0.77 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (61)37% (15) - - - - .08 (58)2.71 (32)74% (90)12% (17)1.04 (108)
UGA Offense1456% (27)48% (21)38.5173.54.529 (16).18 (40)3.11 (38)74% (56)8% (34)0.93 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (18)46% (33)21.332.7252.27.711.932 (2)5 (3).36 (34)1.6 (48)30% (40)34% (28).42 (25)5% (44)2 (64)
UGA Defense1454% (123)40% (52) - - - - - - 9 (75).21 (55)1.4 (10)31% (78)24% (11).18 (27)7% (34)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1549% (72)37% (26) - - - - - - 11 (31).09 (11)1.5 (48)35% (16)27% (37).22 (39)7% (37)2 (62)
UGA Offense1443% (108)49% (15)19.127.4204.67.510.724 (61)7 (20).36 (35)1.3 (132)28% (20)32% (45).34 (56)5% (22)1.8 (122)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 26.21  #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.21   Georgia: 28.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.6   Georgia: 23.4




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.075  #6
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.47  #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: -5.30  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #15
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 29
Alabama 24


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 29
Alabama 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 28
Alabama 22

Total Points: 50
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Georgia21Alabama24Georgia -2.5Alabama53.5Under
202512/06Alabama7Georgia28Georgia -2.5Georgia47.5Under
202409/28Alabama41Georgia34Georgia -2Alabama50.0Over
202312/02Alabama27Georgia24Georgia -5Alabama56.0Under
202101/10Alabama18Georgia33Georgia -3.0Georgia53.5Under
202112/04Alabama41Georgia24Georgia -6Alabama48.5Over
202010/17Alabama41Georgia24Alabama -5.5Alabama56.5Over
201812/01Georgia28Alabama35Alabama -11Georgia62.0Over
201701/08Georgia23Alabama26Alabama -3.5Georgia45.5Over
201510/03Georgia10Alabama38Georgia -1Alabama50.5Under
201212/01Georgia28Alabama32
200809/27Georgia30Alabama41
200709/22Alabama23Georgia26
200310/04Georgia37Alabama23
200210/05Alabama25Georgia27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia545 Overs
Alabama1065 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 106 - 41 - 25 - 2
Road Teams10 - 54 - 62 - 52 - 1

(#10) ALA at (#6) UGA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAUGA
Power RatePwr #10 #6
SP+SP+ #12 #6
Perf GradeGrade #14 #12
OffenseOff #32 #21
DefenseDef #12 #30
Spec TeamsST #16 #38
TalentTal #6 #2
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #1
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
Georgia Notes
(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #30
SuccessSuc #61 #22
ExplosiveExp #46 #10
PPAPPA #40 #28
PowerPwr #21 #13
SP+SP+ #22 #8
Pts POPPO #32 #68
HavocHav #33 #77
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #66 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #9
Run ExplRExp #120 #4
PPAExp #111 #10
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #10
Stuff RateStuff #103 #45
TackleTak -  #1
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #29 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #52
Pass ExplPExl #48 #10
PPAExp #34 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #123
F7 HavocF7 #27 #108
DB HavocDB #44 #34
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #12
SuccessSuc #13 #15
ExplosiveExp #131 #75
PPAPPA #24 #17
PowerPwr #4 #9
SP+SP+ #15 #6
Pts POPPO #6 #48
HavocHav #23 #22
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffALA Def
Run GameRun #26 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #21 #15
Run ExplRExp #81 #108
PPAExp #40 #58
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #32
Stuff RateStuff #86 #50
TackleTak -  #26
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #22 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #15 #26
Pass ExplPExl #132 #48
PPAExp #35 #11
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #127
F7 HavocF7 #34 #17
DB HavocDB #22 #37
Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71°
Rematch from Week 15
Georgia 2.5 (47.5)
Georgia won vs Alabama this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Georgia last year (41-34)
Alabama beat Georgia in 2023 (27-24)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson29345764%35002857.7
Austin Mack131681%125207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7027163.930
Kevin Riley5622224.022
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard60802713.443
Ryan Williams43636414.875
Isaiah Horton (Tr)40495812.437
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson767325
Deontae Lawson764114
Brayson Hubbard663118
Keon Sabb493213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre4813781
Lebbeus Overton336441
Justin Jefferson767325
Keon Keeley123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard663118
Zabien Brown333006
Justin Jefferson767325

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton25135571%26912357.6
Ryan Puglisi162759%161126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier15886165.459
Chauncey Bowens9851665.343
Gunner Stockton11644283.822
Dwight Phillips Jr.3521016.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)73744510.247
Colbie Young23336114.645
Dillon Bell27279210.336
London Humphreys18276315.336

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen858424
Raylen Wilson706231
KJ Bolden673004
Chris Cole547502
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole547502
C.J. Allen858424
Quintavius Johnson336233
Zayden Walker62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ellis Robinson IV171007
Daylen Everette390016
Demello Jones231005