Wisconsin at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Alabama Crimson Tide(#19)

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -17.5 (45.5) (-1200) Open: 0.0
Alabama 38 - Wisconsin: 14

Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Alabama -29 (SP+ ALA -25)
Projected Score: WIS: 9 - ALA: 38 (47)
ALA Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
WIS Travel: 689 miles

Crimson Tide (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 17 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)	-17.5	40.5	W 17 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/6	Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee	-28.5	45.5	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Wisconsin at Alabama	+17.5	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/20	Wisconsin vs Maryland	-10.5	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wisconsin at Michigan	+17.5	42.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Wisconsin vs Iowa	+5.5	37.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/18	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+24.5	41.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/25	Wisconsin at Oregon	+31.5	44.5	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Wisconsin vs Washington	+10.5	44.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Wisconsin at Indiana	+28.5	43.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Wisconsin vs Illinois	+8.5	42.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-2.5	38.5	L 7 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Alabama at Florida State	-13.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/6	Alabama vs UL Monroe	-34.0	50.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Alabama vs Wisconsin	-17.5	45.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Alabama at Georgia	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Alabama vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	58.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Alabama at Missouri	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/18	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	60.5	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Alabama at South Carolina	-11.5	47.5	W 29 - 22	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Alabama vs LSU	-10.5	49.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-6.5	45.5	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/22	Alabama vs Eastern Illinois	-50.5	57.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Alabama at Auburn	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 12/6	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.5	47.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/19	Alabama at Oklahoma	-1.0	0.0

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#132 (.01)	35% (130)	12.8	34% (132)	2.82 (92)	118	38% (108)	136	2.28 (135)	#89 (.19)	45% (113)	21.6	44% (92)	46% (118)	3.13 (24)	30.1	1.3	0.5
ALA	#36 (.22)	44% (54)	31.2	41% (93)	2.84 (86)	116	47% (27)	273	4.27 (30)	#19 (.07)	37% (18)	17.4	38% (21)	38% (31)	3.33 (37)	41.5	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)		45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)		38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	12	12.8	9	35.4%	2.28	1.3	14	255	118	136	3.4	56%	42%	34%	38%	18%	.01
ALA Defense	13	17.4	11.4	37.2%	3.33	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	12	21.6	26.2	44.8%	3.13	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	44%	46%	13%	.19
ALA Offense	13	31.2	39.3	44.1%	4.27	0.9	22	389	116	273	3.6	43%	55%	41%	47%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	12	30:37	14.1	32%	67%	3.6	30.1	1.3	0.5	5.1	2.6	1	28.3
Alabama	13	32:23	21.7	44%	64%	4.8	41.5	0.9	1.5	5.7	1.9	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	12	56% (27)	34% (132)	35.1	118.3	3.4	9 (122)	.04 (108)	2.82 (92)	66% (106)	12% (122)	1.05 (37)
ALA Defense	13	51% (79)	38% (21)	-	-	-	-	.1 (67)	2.73 (38)	72% (79)	12% (16)	1.06 (114)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	12	47% (31)	44% (92)	-	-	-	-	.06 (47)	2.75 (45)	71% (68)	9% (89)	0.86 (19)
ALA Offense	13	43% (116)	41% (93)	32.5	116.3	3.6	20 (99)	.05 (103)	2.84 (86)	67% (99)	7% (24)	0.82 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	12	42% (112)	38% (108)	13.1	22.7	136.4	6	10.4	9 (114)	13 (119)	.03 (131)	1.5 (105)	33% (104)	25% (118)	.2 (108)	7% (93)	2.1 (49)
ALA Defense	13	47% (50)	38% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (31)	.09 (13)	1.5 (31)	35% (18)	27% (37)	.22 (44)	7% (37)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	12	51% (99)	46% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (75)	.33 (107)	1.4 (11)	30% (92)	29% (67)	.34 (87)	4% (133)	2 (72)
ALA Offense	13	55% (19)	47% (27)	23.2	35.5	273.2	7.7	11.8	30 (2)	5 (3)	.37 (33)	1.6 (57)	29% (27)	35% (24)	.43 (26)	5% (50)	2 (69)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: -1.46 #75
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 1.15 #121
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 2.61 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #87
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: -1.46 Alabama: 25.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: -4.6 Alabama: 20.6

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 25.905 #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39 #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6 #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 38
Wisconsin 9

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 36
Wisconsin 18

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 29
Wisconsin 13

Total Points: 42

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Alabama	38	Wisconsin	14	Alabama -17.5	Alabama	45.5	Over
2024	09/14	Wisconsin	10	Alabama	42	Alabama -15.5	Alabama	51.0	Over
2015	09/05	Alabama	35	Wisconsin	17	Alabama -10	Alabama	44.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	3	3	3 Overs
Wisconsin	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2

(#75) WIS at (#10) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	ALA
Power RatePwr	#75	#10
SP+SP+	#87	#12
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#14
OffenseOff	#128	#32
DefenseDef	#56	#12
Spec TeamsST	#51	#16
TalentTal	#35	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	#24	#2

Wisconsin Notes(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report

Alabama Notes(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	ALA Def
Perf GradePerf	#128	#12
SuccessSuc	#130	#18
ExplosiveExp	#79	#66
PPAPPA	#132	#19
PowerPwr	#121	#9
SP+SP+	#122	#6
Pts POPPO	#135	#37
HavocHav	#120	#20

Wisconsin Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#125	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#21
Run ExplRExp	#37	#114
PPAExp	#108	#67
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#92	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#51
TackleTak	-	#26

Wisconsin Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	#108	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#31
PPAExp	#131	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#83	#127
F7 HavocF7	#122	#16
DB HavocDB	#93	#37

Alabama on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#32	#56
SuccessSuc	#54	#113
ExplosiveExp	#55	#18
PPAPPA	#36	#89
PowerPwr	#21	#34
SP+SP+	#22	#37
Pts POPPO	#30	#24
HavocHav	#27	#120

Alabama Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#66	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#92
Run ExplRExp	#120	#19
PPAExp	#103	#47
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#45
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#25
TackleTak	-	#76

Alabama Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#57	#11
PPAExp	#33	#107
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#6	#34
F7 HavocF7	#24	#89
DB HavocDB	#50	#133

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Alabama -17.5 (45.5)
Alabama won vs Wisconsin this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Simmons	62	118	53%	664	2	7	5.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)	61	90	68%	635	5	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darrion Dupree	83	363	2	4.4	84
Dilin Jones	76	300	2	3.9	16
Gideon Ituka	60	255	0	4.3	18
Trech Kekahuna	14	129	1	9.2	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance Mason (Tr)	30	398	4	13.3	45
Vinny Anthony	31	391	1	12.6	67
Trech Kekahuna	26	211	0	8.1	45
Jayden Ballard (Tr)	7	150	2	21.4	58

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Cooper Catalano	56	5	1	1	1
Matthew Jung	49	1	0	0	0
Christian Alliegro	48	8	4	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	33	12	7	3	3
Mason Reiger (Tr)	32	6	5	4	1
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Christian Alliegro	48	8	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ricardo Hallman	27	1	0	0	5
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Austin Brown	41	0	0	0	3

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Simpson	275	428	64%	3268	26	5	7.6
Austin Mack	13	16	81%	125	2	0	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Miller	123	493	3	4.0	24
Daniel Hill	61	228	5	3.7	28
Kevin Riley	56	222	2	4.0	22
AK Dear	19	140	3	7.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Germie Bernard	57	762	7	13.4	43
Ryan Williams	42	631	4	15.0	75
Isaiah Horton (Tr)	35	430	8	12.3	35
Lotzeir Brooks	27	362	0	13.4	53

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Jefferson	67	5	2	2	5
Deontae Lawson	66	3	0	1	3
Brayson Hubbard	61	3	1	1	8
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	45	4	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Yhonzae Pierre	44	12	6	8	1
Lebbeus Overton	33	6	4	4	1
James Smith	26	7	3	2	0
Justin Jefferson	67	5	2	2	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	61	3	1	1	8
Justin Jefferson	67	5	2	2	5
Zabien Brown	30	3	0	0	5