Wisconsin at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Alabama Crimson Tide(#19)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -17.5 (45.5) (-1200)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 38 - Wisconsin: 14

 
Badgers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (14 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Alabama -22.5   (SP+ ALA -20)

Projected Score: WIS: 13 - ALA: 36 (49)
ALA Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
WIS Travel: 689 miles
Crimson Tide (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 43 - 15 (56 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+18
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+5
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+14
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+9
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+6.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.5
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-9
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-8.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-52.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-2

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#66 (.21)46% (51)24.343% (81)3.6 (22)14351% (30)1963.17 (112)#101 (.2)43% (97)1638% (60)48% (115)1.82 (11)351.31
ALA#12 (.45)51% (27)42.742% (86)3.25 (42)12457% (12)3365.26 (23)#84 (.16)36% (44)1536% (43)38% (56)4.43 (102)60.702
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense324.31446.2%3.171.3193391431964.153%46%43%51%14%.21
ALA Defense315736%4.432 - - - - - 66%32%36%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense3163843.2%1.821 - - - - - 43%55%38%48%11%.2
ALA Offense342.755.551%5.260234591243364.340%60%42%57%8%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin333:4419.350%80%3.7351.314.33127.7
Alabama330:512346%56%6.760.7026.31.7036.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense353% (53)43% (81)35.3143.34.14 (79).25 (40)3.6 (22)79% (40)8% (58)1 (56)
ALA Defense366% (134)36% (43) - - - - .13 (96)3.14 (107)83% (110)14% (23)1.09 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense343% (21)38% (60) - - - - -.1 (18)2.8 (72)57% (28)7% (110)0.86 (50)
ALA Offense340% (126)42% (86)29123.74.34 (79).09 (87)3.25 (42)83% (28)6% (16)0.79 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense346% (85)51% (30)17.325.31967.711.35 (54)4 (121).23 (79)1.4 (91)32% (89)33% (54).48 (44)6% (89)2 (59)
ALA Defense332% (2)38% (56) - - - - - - 3 (28).24 (75)2 (133)37% (33)31% (81).44 (106)4% (103)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense355% (106)48% (115) - - - - - - 3 (28).48 (118)1.7 (97)30% (95)37% (119).66 (129)4% (108)2.3 (115)
ALA Offense360% (11)57% (12)25.335.3335.79.513.313 (2)0 (1).69 (8)1.7 (26)28% (44)36% (40).67 (22)3% (16)2.6 (6)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.56 #49
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 11.56   Alabama: 31.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 6.8   Alabama: 26.4




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Alabama's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 36
Wisconsin 13


Total Points: 49

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 42.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Alabama38Wisconsin14AlabamaAlabama -17.5Alabama45.5Over
202409/14Wisconsin10Alabama42AlabamaAlabama -15.5Alabama51.0Over
201509/05Alabama35Wisconsin17AlabamaAlabama -10Alabama44.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama333 Overs
Wisconsin000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#49) Wisconsin Info
Power Rating: 11.56 #49
Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #24
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 1.82 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Wisconsin Notes
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon

Wisconsin Highlights
Wisconsin has a top Offensive Line (#22)
Wisconsin offense is good on 3rd downs
Wisconsin does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#20)

Wisconsin Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Wisconsin defense is really good in red zone (#11)
Wisconsin Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#27)
Wisconsin commits very few Penalties (#16)
Wisconsin defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wisconsin Deficiencies
Wisconsin throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Wisconsin offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALAWIS
OverallOver#25#40
OffenseOff#29#53
DefenseDef#27#31
Special TeamsST#19#22
PassingPass#15#100
RushingRush#59#69
Run BlockRBLK#75#54
Pass BlockPBLK#48#65
Route RunningWR Rt#15#11
TacklingTkl#79#45
Run DefenseR Def#25#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#96#20
Coverage DefCov#27#77

Rematch from Week 3
Alabama -17.5 (45.5)
Alabama won vs Wisconsin this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | ALA
Depth Chart: WIS | ALA
Rosters: WIS | ALA
(#8) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 57%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has won 1 straight
Alabama has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Notes
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(8/17) RB Jam Miller out 6-8 weeks (collarbone)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future

Alabama Highlights
Alabama is Undefeated at Home
Alabama is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Alabama offense is efficent (#27)
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Can Not Run the Ball (#101)
Alabama gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#107)
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
Alabama has a bad defensive line (#107)
Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil (Tr)466373%520548.3
Billy Edwards61346%68005.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dilin Jones2913414.613
Darrion Dupree219204.414
Trech Kekahuna572114.461
Cade Yacamelli145604.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Ballard (Tr)6141223.558
Lance Mason (Tr)9132114.734
Vinny Anthony9115112.831
Trech Kekahuna64607.722

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Tackett Curtis101101
Mason Reiger (Tr)81120
Sebastian Cheeks72100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Brandon Lane32200
Sebastian Cheeks72100
Darryl Peterson41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman40002
Austin Brown30001
Tackett Curtis101101

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson648972%862909.7
Austin Mack81173%80207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Riley2312005.222
AK Dear785112.156
Richard Young194812.56
Ty Simpson174512.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard15275318.343
Ryan Williams10195219.575
Isaiah Horton (Tr)9105211.729
Lotzeir Brooks688014.719

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson101000
Keon Sabb91100
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Qua Russaw31100
London Simmons41100
Keon Sabb91100
Yhonzae Pierre73120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
Zabien Brown30001