Oklahoma at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo (#11)Oklahoma Sooners at Alabama Crimson Tide(#4)Alabama logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -6.5 (45.5) (-250)  Open: -12.5 | 56.5
Oklahoma 23 - Alabama: 21  (SEC)

 
Sooners (10 - 2) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 14 (31 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -3.5  (SP+ ALA -1)

Projected Score: OKLA: 21 - ALA: 25 (46)
ALA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
OKLA Travel: 582 miles
Crimson Tide (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 17 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama+1.00.0

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma-1.00.0

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#105 (.11)41% (94)26.439% (113)2.73 (111)12442% (63)2303.75 (66)#5 (-.01)32% (4)13.930% (2)35% (11)2.51 (5)62.11.31.1
ALA#36 (.22)44% (54)31.241% (93)2.84 (86)11647% (27)2734.27 (30)#19 (.07)37% (18)17.438% (21)38% (31)3.33 (37)41.50.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense1226.43140.6%3.751.3193541242303.746%52%39%42%17%.11
ALA Defense1317.411.437.2%3.331.5 - - - - - 51%47%38%38%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1213.914.532.5%2.511.1 - - - - - 45%53%30%35%23%-.01
ALA Offense1331.239.344.1%4.270.9223891162733.643%55%41%47%13%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1229:2718.639%54%6.962.11.31.19.73.4131.3
Alabama1332:2321.744%64%4.841.50.91.55.71.9230.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1246% (98)39% (113)33.31243.717 (60).01 (119)2.73 (111)62% (123)10% (82)0.93 (82)
ALA Defense1351% (79)38% (21) - - - - .1 (67)2.73 (38)72% (79)12% (16)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1245% (15)30% (2) - - - - -.05 (7)2.09 (2)65% (29)17% (2)1.07 (116)
ALA Offense1343% (116)41% (93)32.5116.33.620 (99).05 (103)2.84 (86)67% (99)7% (24)0.82 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1252% (39)42% (63)19.932.4229.97.111.515 (75)10 (88).22 (85)1.5 (93)33% (91)28% (90).26 (90)7% (104)2.2 (11)
ALA Defense1347% (50)38% (31) - - - - - - 10 (31).09 (13)1.5 (31)35% (18)27% (37).22 (44)7% (37)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1253% (123)35% (11) - - - - - - 9 (100).08 (9)1.5 (34)36% (16)26% (20).21 (35)7% (37)2 (55)
ALA Offense1355% (19)47% (27)23.235.5273.27.711.830 (2)5 (3).37 (33)1.6 (57)29% (27)35% (24).43 (26)5% (50)2 (69)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 25.29  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 13.79  #46
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -11.52  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51%  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.3  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9  #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 25.29   Alabama: 25.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 19.3   Alabama: 20.6




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 25.905  #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 13.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.5

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 25
Oklahoma 21


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 24
Oklahoma 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 25
Oklahoma 22

Total Points: 47
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Alabama21Oklahoma23Alabama -6.5Oklahoma45.5Under
202411/23Oklahoma24Alabama3Alabama -14Oklahoma47.0Under
201812/29Alabama45Oklahoma34Alabama -14.5Oklahoma81.5Under
201301/02Alabama31Oklahoma45Alabama -17Oklahoma51.5Over
200309/06Alabama13Oklahoma20
200209/07Oklahoma37Alabama27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama101 Overs
Oklahoma543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 30 - 31 - 0
Road Teams3 - 33 - 10 - 13 - 0

(#11) OKLA at (#10) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKLAALA
Power RatePwr #11 #10
SP+SP+ #13 #12
Perf GradeGrade #37 #14
OffenseOff #92 #32
DefenseDef #12 #12
Spec TeamsST #43 #16
TalentTal #10 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #15 #2
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #12
SuccessSuc #94 #18
ExplosiveExp #75 #66
PPAPPA #105 #19
PowerPwr #46 #9
SP+SP+ #51 #6
Pts POPPO #66 #37
HavocHav #95 #20
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffALA Def
Run GameRun #91 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #21
Run ExplRExp #82 #114
PPAExp #119 #67
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #111 #38
Stuff RateStuff #120 #51
TackleTak -  #26
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #110 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #31
Pass ExplPExl #93 #31
PPAExp #85 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #23 #127
F7 HavocF7 #82 #16
DB HavocDB #104 #37
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffOKLA Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #12
SuccessSuc #54 #4
ExplosiveExp #55 #93
PPAPPA #36 #5
PowerPwr #21 #2
SP+SP+ #22 #3
Pts POPPO #30 #5
HavocHav #27 #3
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #66 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #2
Run ExplRExp #120 #116
PPAExp #103 #7
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #2
Stuff RateStuff #62 #3
TackleTak -  #33
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #29 #25
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #11
Pass ExplPExl #57 #34
PPAExp #33 #9
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #14
F7 HavocF7 #24 #2
DB HavocDB #50 #37
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Alabama -6.5 (45.5)
Oklahoma won at Alabama this year (23-21)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Alabama last year (24-3)

  
OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)22135662%257812107.2
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock10944644.125
Xavier Robinson8041745.265
John Mateer (Tr)13041673.251
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)63932714.887
Deion Burks50513310.345
Jaren Kanak40511012.848
Keontez Lewis (Tr)20238211.928

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis729344
Owen Heinecke6710214
Robert Spears-Jennings572002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5010123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas2310721
Taylor Wein3714661
Gracen Halton317462
Kip Lewis729344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Bowen431017
Courtland Guillory391016
Kip Lewis729344

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson27542864%32682657.6
Austin Mack131681%125207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller12349334.024
Daniel Hill6122853.728
Kevin Riley5622224.022
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard57762713.443
Ryan Williams42631415.075
Isaiah Horton (Tr)35430812.335
Lotzeir Brooks27362013.453

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson675225
Deontae Lawson663013
Brayson Hubbard613118
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)454013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre4412681
Lebbeus Overton336441
James Smith267320
Justin Jefferson675225
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard613118
Justin Jefferson675225
Zabien Brown303005