Oklahoma at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo (#11)Oklahoma Sooners at Alabama Crimson Tide(#14)Alabama logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bryant Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL  (SEC)

 
Sooners (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 6 (42 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -5   (SP+ ALA -5)

Projected Score: OKLA: 23 - ALA: 28 (51)
ALA Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
OKLA Travel: 582 miles
Crimson Tide (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 43 - 15 (56 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-49
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas-0
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-6.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.5
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-9
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-8.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-52.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-2

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#29 (.34)49% (36)33.751% (37)3.17 (47)15648% (41)3165.36 (19)#15 (-.05)25% (4)6.333% (25)16% (1)1.5 (7)361.70
ALA#12 (.45)51% (27)42.742% (86)3.25 (42)12457% (12)3365.26 (23)#84 (.16)36% (44)1536% (43)38% (56)4.43 (102)60.702
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense333.74248.8%5.361.7254731563164.151%48%51%48%14%.34
ALA Defense315736%4.432 - - - - - 66%32%36%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense36.3325.3%1.50 - - - - - 53%47%33%16%19%-.05
ALA Offense342.755.551%5.260234591243364.340%60%42%57%8%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma332:282548%75%4.7361.7082.3021.9
Alabama330:512346%56%6.760.7026.31.7036.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense351% (65)51% (37)38156.34.18 (26).23 (42)3.17 (47)67% (86)10% (88)0.96 (69)
ALA Defense366% (134)36% (43) - - - - .13 (96)3.14 (107)83% (110)14% (23)1.09 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense353% (95)33% (25) - - - - .09 (80)2.67 (55)60% (34)13% (36)1.22 (116)
ALA Offense340% (126)42% (86)29123.74.34 (79).09 (87)3.25 (42)83% (28)6% (16)0.79 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense348% (72)48% (41)2436316.38.813.25 (54)3 (92).47 (32)1.7 (37)26% (29)48% (6).88 (4)4% (45)2.2 (32)
ALA Defense332% (2)38% (56) - - - - - - 3 (28).24 (75)2 (133)37% (33)31% (81).44 (106)4% (103)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense347% (45)16% (1) - - - - - - 0-.21 (6)1.8 (119)38% (16)11% (5)-.09 (11)6% (66)2.1 (90)
ALA Offense360% (11)57% (12)25.335.3335.79.513.313 (2)0 (1).69 (8)1.7 (26)28% (44)36% (40).67 (22)3% (16)2.6 (6)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 32.01 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 32.01   Alabama: 31.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 21.8   Alabama: 26.4




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Alabama's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 6.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 3

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 28
Oklahoma 23


Total Points: 51

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 42.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Oklahoma24Alabama3OklahomaAlabama -14Oklahoma47.0Under
201812/29Alabama45Oklahoma34AlabamaAlabama -14.5Oklahoma81.5Under
201301/02Alabama31Oklahoma45OklahomaAlabama -17Oklahoma51.5Over
200309/06Alabama13Oklahoma20Oklahoma
200209/07Oklahoma37Alabama27Oklahoma
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama101 Overs
Oklahoma432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 32 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 32.01 #7
Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #15
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.36 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 25%
Great in Scoring Position 1.5 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 16%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oklahoma has lost 6 straight
Oklahoma has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma Notes
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT Gracen Halton a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/24) Portal WR Gibson(Ak PB)/Lewis(S Ill) exciting
(3/20) Word is Mateer a great fit, and a real leader.
(3/18) QB1 Mateer w/ new OC Arbuckle (WSU)
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 but awful LY. Must improve

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma in Undefeated

Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma has a good pass defense (#1)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALAOKLA
OverallOver#25#25
OffenseOff#29#26
DefenseDef#27#21
Special TeamsST#19#50
PassingPass#15#27
RushingRush#59#25
Run BlockRBLK#75#80
Pass BlockPBLK#48#15
Route RunningWR Rt#15#19
TacklingTkl#79#52
Run DefenseR Def#25#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#96#32
Coverage DefCov#27#13

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Alabama last year (24-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | ALA
Depth Chart: OKLA | ALA
Rosters: OKLA | ALA
(#8) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 57%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has lost 6 straight
Alabama has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Notes
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(8/17) RB Jam Miller out 6-8 weeks (collarbone)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future

Alabama Highlights
Alabama is Undefeated at Home
Alabama is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Alabama offense is efficent (#27)
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Can Not Run the Ball (#101)
Alabama gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#107)
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
Alabama has a bad defensive line (#107)
Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
Oklahoma's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)7110568%944539.0
Michael Hawkins Jr.1333%5001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock3116835.425
John Mateer (Tr)3316144.951
Jovantae Barnes184512.510
Xavier Robinson134303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaren Kanak14245017.548
Deion Burks17225213.234
Keontez Lewis (Tr)15181212.128
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)11141012.836

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Brent Venables
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Kip Lewis131001
Kobie McKinzie121020
Owen Heinecke112002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Taylor Wein83210
Wyatt Gilmore11100
Michael Boganowski41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Owen Heinecke112002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)83001

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson648972%862909.7
Austin Mack81173%80207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Riley2312005.222
AK Dear785112.156
Richard Young194812.56
Ty Simpson174512.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard15275318.343
Ryan Williams10195219.575
Isaiah Horton (Tr)9105211.729
Lotzeir Brooks688014.719

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson101000
Keon Sabb91100
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Qua Russaw31100
London Simmons41100
Keon Sabb91100
Yhonzae Pierre73120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
Zabien Brown30001