UL Monroe at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo   UL Monroe Warhawks at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
Alabama -34.0 (50.0) (0)  Open: -37.5 | 50.0
Alabama 73 - UL Monroe: 0

 
Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Alabama -38  (SP+ ALA -36)
Projected Score: ULM: 6 - ALA: 44 (51)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
ULM Travel: 266 miles
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5W 31 - 25OY
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-1.555.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe at Northwestern+12.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina-3.046.5L 8 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.545.5L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+14.048.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+16.555.5L 6 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+4.049.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+20.559.5L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+10.547.5L 27 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)16.640% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)31.953% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)29.545% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)19.238% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.437.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15
ALA Defense1319.211.437.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93946.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
ALA Offense1329.539.345.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -11.68  #108
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.64  #116
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 17.32  #96
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6  #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -11.68   Alabama: 21.455

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -21.6   Alabama: 14.8




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 21.455  #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.71  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -1.40  #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 44
UL Monroe 6


Projected Total Points: 51
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Alabama73UL Monroe0Alabama -34.0Alabama50.0Over
202209/17Alabama63UL Monroe7Alabama -49.5Alabama68.5Over
201509/26Alabama34UL Monroe0Alabama -39UL Monroe53.0Under
200711/17Alabama14UL Monroe21
200609/16Alabama41UL Monroe7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama422 Overs
UL Monroe111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#108) ULM at (#8) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #108 #8
SP+SP+ #131 #20
Perf GradeGrade #93 #17
OffenseOff #71 #36
DefenseDef #70 #17
Spec TeamsST #99 #27
TalentTal #126 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #2
UL Monroe Notes
(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
UL Monroe on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71 #17
SuccessSuc #121 #12
ExplosiveExp #15 #47
PPAPPA #94 #8
PowerPwr #116 #5
SP+SP+ #127 #11
Pts POPPO #117 #5
HavocHav #48 #41
UL Monroe Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
Run GameRun #56 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #15
Run ExplRExp #15 #19
PPAExp #54 #8
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #38
Stuff RateStuff #63 #53
TackleTak -  #24
UL Monroe Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #107 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #19
Pass ExplPExl #8 #86
PPAExp #110 #22
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #127
F7 HavocF7 #75 #61
DB HavocDB #26 #15
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffULM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #70
SuccessSuc #34 #120
ExplosiveExp #34 #6
PPAPPA #44 #89
PowerPwr #21 #96
SP+SP+ #36 #123
Pts POPPO #8 #99
HavocHav #63 #120
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffULM Def
Run GameRun #93 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #134
Run ExplRExp #12 #26
PPAExp #28 #122
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #112 #129
Stuff RateStuff #121 #127
TackleTak -  #48
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #20 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #31 #53
Pass ExplPExl #78 #20
PPAExp #59 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #9 #65
F7 HavocF7 #102 #117
DB HavocDB #20 #111
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -34.0 (50.0)
Alabama won vs UL Monroe this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat UL Monroe last year (73-0)

  
ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta14725258%16191286.4
Landon Graves194048%185224.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Dorian Lewis2719507.272
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)3513703.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Bibbs26383314.768
Nic Trujillo (Tr)23368416.052
JP Coulter21234011.139
Jacob Godfrey16191211.937

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Flemmings8010321
Jabari Tiller468301
Seidrion Langston363000
Marcus Ross (Tr)356220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
Dylan Howell195440
Noah Flemmings8010321
Kevontay Wells334340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
David Godsey Jr.260005
Jyren Ester193004

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson30547365%35672857.5
Austin Mack243275%228207.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7528463.830
Kevin Riley5922423.822
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard64862713.543
Ryan Williams49689414.175
Isaiah Horton (Tr)42511812.237
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson805214
Justin Jefferson797325
Brayson Hubbard745218
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)545023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre5215881
Lebbeus Overton406441
Justin Jefferson797325
Keon Keeley133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard745218
Zabien Brown393006
Justin Jefferson797325