UL Monroe at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Alabama Crimson Tide(#21)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
Alabama -34.0 (50.0) (0)  Open: -37.5 | 50.0
Alabama 73 - UL Monroe: 0

 
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (15 - 73 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Alabama -52   (SP+ ALA -47)
Projected Score: ULM: 3 - ALA: 55 (58)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
ULM Travel: 266 miles
Crimson Tide (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 43 - 15 (56 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+22.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+10.5
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+18
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+12
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+21
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.5
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-9
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-8.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-52.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-2

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#46 (.29)35% (127)14.538% (105)3.14 (52)20232% (121)893.88 (75)#127 (.37)51% (130)36.553% (128)50% (120)6.6 (136)4320.5
ALA#12 (.45)51% (27)42.742% (86)3.25 (42)12457% (12)3365.26 (23)#84 (.16)36% (44)1536% (43)38% (56)4.43 (102)60.702
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense214.514.534.7%3.88216291202895.456%41%38%32%26%.29
ALA Defense315736%4.432 - - - - - 66%32%36%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense236.57350.7%6.60.5 - - - - - 44%55%53%50%9%.37
ALA Offense342.755.551%5.260234591243364.340%60%42%57%8%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe228:1715.542%67%4.54320.53.51.5028
Alabama330:512346%56%6.760.7026.31.7036.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense256% (39)38% (105)37.52025.42 (109).38 (14)3.14 (52)100% (1)20% (135)1.49 (8)
ALA Defense366% (134)36% (43) - - - - .13 (96)3.14 (107)83% (110)14% (23)1.09 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense244% (28)53% (128) - - - - .19 (107)3.64 (134)100% (127)6% (125)0.71 (17)
ALA Offense340% (126)42% (86)29123.74.34 (79).09 (87)3.25 (42)83% (28)6% (16)0.79 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense241% (112)32% (121)1222894.17.42 (102)2 (60).2 (90)1.8 (16)41% (134)35% (43).64 (24)6% (89)2.3 (27)
ALA Defense332% (2)38% (56) - - - - - - 3 (28).24 (75)2 (133)37% (33)31% (81).44 (106)4% (103)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense255% (103)50% (120) - - - - - - 1 (87).54 (125)1.5 (60)23% (132)35% (108).65 (126)3% (128)2.1 (82)
ALA Offense360% (11)57% (12)25.335.3335.79.513.313 (2)0 (1).69 (8)1.7 (26)28% (44)36% (40).67 (22)3% (16)2.6 (6)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -20.30 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.30   Alabama: 31.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.2   Alabama: 26.4




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Alabama's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 55
UL Monroe 3


Total Points: 58

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 42.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Alabama73UL Monroe0AlabamaAlabama -34.0Alabama50.0Over
202209/17Alabama63UL Monroe7AlabamaAlabama -49.5Alabama68.5Over
201509/26Alabama34UL Monroe0AlabamaAlabama -39UL Monroe53.0Under
200711/17Alabama14UL Monroe21UL Monroe
200609/16Alabama41UL Monroe7Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama422 Overs
UL Monroe111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -20.30 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UL Monroe has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALAULM
OverallOver#25#68
OffenseOff#29#48
DefenseDef#27#77
Special TeamsST#19#97
PassingPass#15#47
RushingRush#59#47
Run BlockRBLK#75#32
Pass BlockPBLK#48#33
Route RunningWR Rt#15#90
TacklingTkl#79#60
Run DefenseR Def#25#86
Pass Rush DefPRush#96#65
Coverage DefCov#27#83

Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -34.0 (50.0)
Alabama won vs UL Monroe this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (63-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | ALA
Depth Chart: ULM | ALA
Rosters: ULM | ALA
(#8) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 31.685 #8
Offense Rating: 31.03 #4
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 57%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Notes
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(8/17) RB Jam Miller out 6-8 weeks (collarbone)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future

Alabama Highlights
Alabama is Undefeated at Home
Alabama is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Alabama offense is efficent (#27)
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Can Not Run the Ball (#101)
Alabama gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#107)
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
Alabama has a bad defensive line (#107)
Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta203754%123123.3
Landon Graves4757%55107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)1813707.674
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)135304.119
Dorian Lewis95205.821
Aidan Armenta74316.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Griffin554110.819
JP Coulter43007.511
Rico Powers Jr.32809.318
Jacob Godfrey32107.025

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Korian Wilson111000
Noah Flemmings101001
Kam Canterbury100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Dylan Howell31110
Davin Anderson20000
Julian Nixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen20001
Noah Flemmings101001
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson648972%862909.7
Austin Mack81173%80207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Riley2312005.222
AK Dear785112.156
Richard Young194812.56
Ty Simpson174512.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard15275318.343
Ryan Williams10195219.575
Isaiah Horton (Tr)9105211.729
Lotzeir Brooks688014.719

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson101000
Keon Sabb91100
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Qua Russaw31100
London Simmons41100
Keon Sabb91100
Yhonzae Pierre73120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard81012
Justin Jefferson71011
Zabien Brown30001