UL Monroe at Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Alabama Crimson Tide(#21)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
Alabama -34.0 (50.0) (0)  Open: -37.5 | 50.0
Alabama 73 - UL Monroe: 0

 
Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Temp: 93.6° (43% Hum)
Our Line: Alabama -41  (SP+ ALA -41)

Projected Score: ULM: 5 - ALA: 46 (50)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
ULM Travel: 266 miles
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5W 31 - 25OY
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-1.555.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe at Northwestern+12.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina-3.046.5L 8 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.545.5L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+14.048.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+16.555.5L 6 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+4.049.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+20.559.5L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+10.547.5L 27 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#115 (.09)36% (125)16.636% (127)2.7 (113)16338% (110)1603.19 (118)#87 (.19)41% (57)31.940% (43)42% (74)4.21 (118)651.60.8
ALA#40 (.21)43% (61)29.540% (99)2.74 (110)10346% (33)2524.19 (32)#17 (.06)37% (15)19.237% (15)37% (26)3.4 (48)39.10.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.436.5%3.191.6173221631604.654%43%36%38%21%.09
ALA Defense1519.211.436.6%3.41.3 - - - - - 50%49%37%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93940.9%4.210.8 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%14%.19
ALA Offense1529.539.343%4.190.8203551032523.443%56%40%46%13%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1229:3717.433%38%7.3651.60.85.51.9026.8
Alabama1529:5219.642%65%4.439.10.81.35.42330.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1254% (35)36% (127)35.7162.64.612 (119).05 (106)2.7 (113)78% (28)13% (129)1.11 (14)
ALA Defense1550% (61)37% (15) - - - - .08 (58)2.71 (32)74% (90)12% (17)1.04 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1251% (82)40% (43) - - - - .08 (55)2.83 (58)74% (93)10% (66)1.03 (103)
ALA Offense1543% (117)40% (99)29.9102.73.421 (99).03 (111)2.74 (110)67% (100)8% (27)0.84 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1243% (105)38% (110)14.325.2159.66.311.215 (75)12 (108).21 (91)1.8 (7)37% (134)26% (113).16 (117)8% (119)2.3 (6)
ALA Defense1549% (72)37% (26) - - - - - - 11 (31).09 (11)1.5 (48)35% (16)27% (37).22 (39)7% (37)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1248% (60)42% (74) - - - - - - 5 (75).31 (100)1.7 (116)31% (82)32% (97).36 (104)5% (110)2.1 (112)
ALA Offense1556% (18)46% (33)21.332.7252.27.711.932 (2)5 (3).36 (34)1.6 (48)30% (40)34% (28).42 (25)5% (44)2 (64)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -9.05  #103
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 3.62  #103
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 12.67  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.7  #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -9.05   Alabama: 25.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.7   Alabama: 20.6




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 25.905  #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 46
UL Monroe 5


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 29
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 35
UL Monroe 16

Total Points: 51
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Alabama73UL Monroe0Alabama -34.0Alabama50.0Over
202209/17Alabama63UL Monroe7Alabama -49.5Alabama68.5Over
201509/26Alabama34UL Monroe0Alabama -39UL Monroe53.0Under
200711/17Alabama14UL Monroe21
200609/16Alabama41UL Monroe7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama422 Overs
UL Monroe111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#103) ULM at (#10) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMALA
Power RatePwr #103 #10
SP+SP+ #131 #12
Perf GradeGrade #72 #14
OffenseOff #67 #32
DefenseDef #43 #12
Spec TeamsST #82 #16
TalentTal #126 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #2
UL Monroe Notes
(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
UL Monroe on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #12
SuccessSuc #125 #15
ExplosiveExp #6 #75
PPAPPA #115 #17
PowerPwr #103 #9
SP+SP+ #127 #6
Pts POPPO #118 #48
HavocHav #134 #22
UL Monroe Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
Run GameRun #51 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #15
Run ExplRExp #14 #108
PPAExp #106 #58
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLY #113 #32
Stuff RateStuff #130 #50
TackleTak -  #26
UL Monroe Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #113 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #26
Pass ExplPExl #7 #48
PPAExp #91 #11
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #127
F7 HavocF7 #129 #17
DB HavocDB #119 #37
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffULM Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #43
SuccessSuc #61 #57
ExplosiveExp #46 #121
PPAPPA #40 #87
PowerPwr #21 #100
SP+SP+ #22 #124
Pts POPPO #32 #118
HavocHav #33 #100
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffULM Def
Run GameRun #66 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #43
Run ExplRExp #120 #103
PPAExp #111 #55
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #58
Stuff RateStuff #103 #87
TackleTak -  #48
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatALA OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #29 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #74
Pass ExplPExl #48 #116
PPAExp #34 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #70
F7 HavocF7 #27 #66
DB HavocDB #44 #110
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 94° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -34.0 (50.0)
Alabama won vs UL Monroe this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (63-7)

  
ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta14725258%16191286.4
Landon Graves194048%185224.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Dorian Lewis2719507.272
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)3513703.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Bibbs26383314.768
Nic Trujillo (Tr)23368416.052
JP Coulter21234011.139
Jacob Godfrey16191211.937

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Flemmings8010321
Jabari Tiller468301
Seidrion Langston363000
Marcus Ross (Tr)356220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
Dylan Howell195440
Noah Flemmings8010321
Kevontay Wells334340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
David Godsey Jr.260005
Jyren Ester193004

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson29345764%35002857.7
Austin Mack131681%125207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7027163.930
Kevin Riley5622224.022
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard60802713.443
Ryan Williams43636414.875
Isaiah Horton (Tr)40495812.437
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson767325
Deontae Lawson764114
Brayson Hubbard663118
Keon Sabb493213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre4813781
Lebbeus Overton336441
Justin Jefferson767325
Keon Keeley123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard663118
Zabien Brown333006
Justin Jefferson767325