Alabama at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#9)Alabama Crimson Tide at Oklahoma Sooners(#8)Oklahoma logo
Friday, December 19th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -1.5 (42.0) (0)  Open: -1.0 | 41.0
Alabama 34 - Oklahoma: 24  (CFP First Round Game)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
Wins: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oklahoma -1.5  (SP+ ALA -1.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 21 - OKLA: 22 (43)
OKLA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ALA Travel: 582 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Alabama at Florida State-13.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-34.050.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+2.553.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-13.558.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-3.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.560.5W 37 - 20UY
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.547.5W 29 - 22ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-10.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-6.545.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-50.557.5W 56 - 0UY
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-6.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 12/6 Alabama vs Georgia+2.547.5L 7 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24OY
Thu 1/1 Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#40 (.21)43% (61)29.540% (99)2.74 (110)10346% (33)2524.19 (32)#17 (.06)37% (15)19.237% (15)37% (26)3.4 (48)39.10.81.3
OKLA#109 (.1)40% (103)26.238% (115)2.71 (112)11941% (72)2363.77 (62)#5 ()32% (3)15.530% (1)34% (10)2.62 (8)61.21.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.343%4.190.8203551032523.443%56%40%46%13%.21
OKLA Defense1315.51532.1%2.621 - - - - - 44%54%30%34%23%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.736.6%3.41.3 - - - - - 50%49%37%37%18%.06
OKLA Offense1326.226.439.7%3.771.2193551192363.645%53%38%41%17%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1529:5219.642%65%4.439.10.81.35.42330.6
Oklahoma1329:4418.539%57%6.861.21.219.53.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1543% (117)40% (99)29.9102.73.421 (99).03 (111)2.74 (110)67% (100)8% (27)0.84 (120)
OKLA Defense1344% (12)30% (1) - - - - -.06 (6)2.03 (2)65% (26)16% (2)1.08 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1550% (61)37% (15) - - - - .08 (58)2.71 (32)74% (90)12% (17)1.04 (108)
OKLA Offense1345% (104)38% (115)33.3118.73.618 (60) (123)2.71 (112)64% (116)10% (77)0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1556% (18)46% (33)21.332.7252.27.711.932 (2)5 (3).36 (34)1.6 (48)30% (40)34% (28).42 (25)5% (44)2 (64)
OKLA Defense1354% (125)34% (10) - - - - - - 9 (100).09 (12)1.5 (46)37% (10)26% (20).22 (38)6% (49)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1549% (72)37% (26) - - - - - - 11 (31).09 (11)1.5 (48)35% (16)27% (37).22 (39)7% (37)2 (62)
OKLA Offense1353% (33)41% (72)20.433.2235.87.111.617 (75)11 (88).21 (94)1.5 (85)33% (105)28% (91).25 (93)7% (106)2.2 (10)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 26.21  #10
Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.39  #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -7.34  #9
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.6  #12
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #22
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.21   Oklahoma: 24.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.6   Oklahoma: 19.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 24.795  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 13.79  #46
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -11.52  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.3  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9  #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 22
Alabama 21


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 20
Oklahoma 19

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma 24
Alabama 22

Total Points: 46
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/19Oklahoma24Alabama34Oklahoma -1.5Alabama42.0Over
202511/15Alabama21Oklahoma23Alabama -6.5Oklahoma45.5Under
202411/23Oklahoma24Alabama3Alabama -14Oklahoma47.0Under
201812/29Alabama45Oklahoma34Alabama -14.5Oklahoma81.5Under
201301/02Alabama31Oklahoma45Alabama -17Oklahoma51.5Over
200309/06Alabama13Oklahoma20
200209/07Oklahoma37Alabama27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma542 Overs
Alabama213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 41 - 40 - 41 - 0
Road Teams4 - 34 - 10 - 14 - 0

Alabama Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Alabama vs Indiana+7.546.5L 3 - 38
2025CFP 1st Round Alabama vs Oklahoma+1.542.0W 34 - 24
2024Reliaquest Bowl Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19
2023CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27
2022Sugar Bowl Alabama vs Kansas State-8.058.5W 45 - 20
2021CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33
2021CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6
2020CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Ohio State-9.575.0W 52 - 24
2020CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Notre Dame-20.066.0W 31 - 14
2019Citrus Bowl Alabama vs Michigan-8.562.0W 35 - 16
Oklahoma Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP 1st Round Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34
2024Forces Bowl Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21
2023Alamo Bowl Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38
2022It Bowl Oklahoma vs Florida State+10.567.0L 32 - 35
2021Alamo Bowl Oklahoma vs Oregon-7.064.0W 47 - 32
2020Cotton Bowl Oklahoma vs Florida+3.072.0W 55 - 20
2019CFP Semifinal Oklahoma vs LSU+13.075.0L 28 - 63
  
(#10) ALA at (#11) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAOKLA
Power RatePwr #10 #11
SP+SP+ #12 #13
Perf GradeGrade #14 #37
OffenseOff #32 #92
DefenseDef #12 #12
Spec TeamsST #16 #43
TalentTal #6 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #15
Alabama Notes
(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
Alabama on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffOKLA Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #12
SuccessSuc #61 #3
ExplosiveExp #46 #109
PPAPPA #40 #5
PowerPwr #21 #2
SP+SP+ #22 #3
Pts POPPO #32 #8
HavocHav #33 #3
Alabama Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #66 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #1
Run ExplRExp #120 #119
PPAExp #111 #6
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #2
Stuff RateStuff #103 #2
TackleTak -  #33
Alabama Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
ALA OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #29 #25
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #10
Pass ExplPExl #48 #46
PPAExp #34 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #14
F7 HavocF7 #27 #2
DB HavocDB #44 #49
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #12
SuccessSuc #103 #15
ExplosiveExp #61 #75
PPAPPA #109 #17
PowerPwr #46 #9
SP+SP+ #51 #6
Pts POPPO #62 #48
HavocHav #95 #22
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffALA Def
Run GameRun #91 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #15
Run ExplRExp #86 #108
PPAExp #123 #58
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #112 #32
Stuff RateStuff #117 #50
TackleTak -  #26
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #110 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #26
Pass ExplPExl #85 #48
PPAExp #94 #11
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #127
F7 HavocF7 #77 #17
DB HavocDB #106 #37
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 52° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Alabama -6.5 (45.5)
Oklahoma won vs Alabama this year (23-21)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Alabama last year (24-3)

  
ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson29345764%35002857.7
Austin Mack131681%125207.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller13050433.924
Daniel Hill7027163.930
Kevin Riley5622224.022
AK Dear1914037.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Germie Bernard60802713.443
Ryan Williams43636414.875
Isaiah Horton (Tr)40495812.437
Lotzeir Brooks32441213.853

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Jefferson767325
Deontae Lawson764114
Brayson Hubbard663118
Keon Sabb493213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Yhonzae Pierre4813781
Lebbeus Overton336441
Justin Jefferson767325
Keon Keeley123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayson Hubbard663118
Zabien Brown333006
Justin Jefferson767325

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)24739762%288514117.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer (Tr)14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)65949814.687
Deion Burks57620410.945
Jaren Kanak44533012.148
Keontez Lewis (Tr)21243211.628

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Owen Heinecke7412324
Robert Spears-Jennings592002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5410123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
R Mason Thomas2610731
Kip Lewis7611444
Gracen Halton337472
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtland Guillory411017
Peyton Bowen461017
Kip Lewis7611444