Alabama at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide at Oklahoma Sooners

Friday, December 19th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -1.5 (42.0) (0) Open: -1.0 | 41.0
Alabama 34 - Oklahoma: 24 (CFP First Round Game)

Crimson Tide (11 - 4) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#11)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oklahoma -2 (SP+ OKLA -4)
Projected Score: ALA: 21 - OKLA: 23 (44)
OKLA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ALA Travel: 582 miles

Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ALA Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Alabama at Florida State	-13.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/6	Alabama vs UL Monroe	-34.0	50.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Alabama vs Wisconsin	-17.5	45.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Alabama at Georgia	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Alabama vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	58.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Alabama at Missouri	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/18	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	60.5	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Alabama at South Carolina	-11.5	47.5	W 29 - 22	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Alabama vs LSU	-10.5	49.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-6.5	45.5	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/22	Alabama vs Eastern Illinois	-50.5	57.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Alabama at Auburn	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 12/6	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.5	47.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/19	Alabama at Oklahoma	+1.5	42.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Thu 1/1	Alabama vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 3 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Oklahoma vs Illinois State	-39.5	61.0	W 35 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma vs Michigan	-3.0	47.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Oklahoma at Temple	-23.5	50.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Oklahoma vs Auburn	-6.5	47.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma vs Kent State	-46.5	53.5	W 44 - 0	U	N
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma vs Texas	+2.5	44.5	L 6 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma at South Carolina	-4.5	42.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma vs Ole Miss	-5.5	52.5	L 26 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma at Tennessee	+3.0	55.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma at Alabama	+6.5	45.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma vs Missouri	-4.5	42.5	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma vs LSU	-11.5	36.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/19	Oklahoma vs Alabama	-1.5	42.0	L 24 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)	29.5	45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)	19.2	38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	26.2	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	15.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	29.5	26.3	45.2%	4.71	1.4	20	390	169	222	4.8	53%	47%	45%	45%	16%	.23
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	19.2	23.7	37.2%	2.85	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	38%	37%	18%	.05
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	27:39	19.7	49%	62%	7.1	66.3	1.4	2.1	4.8	1.8	0	29.8
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	53% (49)	45% (52)	35.2	168.8	4.8	41 (5)	.21 (28)	2.75 (112)	76% (44)	11% (102)	1.12 (12)
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	52% (87)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (8)	2.81 (38)	76% (86)	10% (61)	0.87 (19)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	47% (84)	45% (31)	16.2	24.7	221.6	9	13.7	16 (87)	10 (63)	.27 (59)	1.5 (78)	28% (21)	31% (77)	.3 (83)	4% (20)	2.3 (4)
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	48% (49)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.12 (22)	1.6 (86)	35% (21)	29% (38)	.25 (44)	8% (15)	2 (56)
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 23.11 #8
Alabama's Offense Rating: 21.71 #21
Alabama's Defense Rating: -1.40 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.11 Oklahoma: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8 Oklahoma: 18.3

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.87 #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 17.21 #44
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -1.23 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3 #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 23
Alabama 21

Projected Total Points: 44

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/19	Oklahoma	24	Alabama	34	Oklahoma -1.5	Alabama	42.0	Over
2025	11/15	Alabama	21	Oklahoma	23	Alabama -6.5	Oklahoma	45.5	Under
2024	11/23	Oklahoma	24	Alabama	3	Alabama -14	Oklahoma	47.0	Under
2018	12/29	Alabama	45	Oklahoma	34	Alabama -14.5	Oklahoma	81.5	Under
2013	01/02	Alabama	31	Oklahoma	45	Alabama -17	Oklahoma	51.5	Over
2003	09/06	Alabama	13	Oklahoma	20
2002	09/07	Oklahoma	37	Alabama	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	5	4	2 Overs
Alabama	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	1 - 4	0 - 4	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 3	4 - 1	0 - 1	4 - 0

Alabama Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Alabama vs Indiana	+7.5	46.5	L 3 - 38
2025	CFP 1st Round	Alabama vs Oklahoma	+1.5	42.0	W 34 - 24
2024	Reliaquest Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19
2023	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27
2022	Sugar Bowl	Alabama vs Kansas State	-8.0	58.5	W 45 - 20
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33
2021	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Ohio State	-9.5	75.0	W 52 - 24
2020	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Notre Dame	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 14
2019	Citrus Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16

Oklahoma Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP 1st Round	Oklahoma vs Alabama	-1.5	42.0	L 24 - 34
2024	Forces Bowl	Oklahoma vs Navy	+1.0	44.0	L 20 - 21
2023	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38
2022	It Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida State	+10.5	67.0	L 32 - 35
2021	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Oregon	-7.0	64.0	W 47 - 32
2020	Cotton Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida	+3.0	72.0	W 55 - 20
2019	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs LSU	+13.0	75.0	L 28 - 63

(#8) ALA at (#11) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#8	#11
SP+SP+	#20	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#17	#45
OffenseOff	#36	#98
DefenseDef	#17	#15
Spec TeamsST	#27	#48
TalentTal	#6	#10
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#15

Alabama Notes(11/16) Run Off exposed vs OU. OG'd OU but TO's costly
(10/15) RB1 Jam Miller ? for Tenn game
(10/11) Avg 140 yds rush pg with Jam Miller, 80 yds without
(10/6) Leads CFB in TO margin +9, Simpson a Heisman fav
(10/3) Have scored on 1st drive in 3 of 4 games (Scripted)
(10/1) DE/LB Qua Russaw out weeks (foot), big depth hit
(9/14) QB Simpson looks good, Run Off just bad?
(9/3) DT J Beaman out for season (lower body)
(8/30) Outrushed 230-87 vs FSU, Simpson a JAG?
(8/30) Offense 6-17 on 3rd, 2-5 on 4th down. Issues
(8/27) DL Tim Keenan out multiple weeks (ankle inj)
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
Alabama Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report

Alabama on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#15
SuccessSuc	#34	#5
ExplosiveExp	#34	#63
PPAPPA	#44	#12
PowerPwr	#21	#7
SP+SP+	#36	#4
Pts POPPO	#8	#34
HavocHav	#63	#43

Alabama Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#93	#10
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#2
Run ExplRExp	#12	#25
PPAExp	#28	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#44	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#121	#25
TackleTak	-	#52

Alabama Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#83
PPAExp	#59	#61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#9	#12
F7 HavocF7	#102	#12
DB HavocDB	#20	#114

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ALA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#17
SuccessSuc	#113	#12
ExplosiveExp	#112	#47
PPAPPA	#123	#8
PowerPwr	#44	#5
SP+SP+	#51	#11
Pts POPPO	#112	#5
HavocHav	#100	#41

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#114	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#15
Run ExplRExp	#63	#19
PPAExp	#100	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#53
TackleTak	-	#24

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#86
PPAExp	#127	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#127
F7 HavocF7	#129	#61
DB HavocDB	#9	#15

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Alabama -6.5 (45.5)
Oklahoma won vs Alabama this year (23-21)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Alabama last year (23-21)
Oklahoma beat Alabama in 2024 (24-3)

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Simpson	305	473	65%	3567	28	5	7.5
Austin Mack	24	32	75%	228	2	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Miller	130	504	3	3.9	24
Daniel Hill	75	284	6	3.8	30
Kevin Riley	59	224	2	3.8	22
AK Dear	19	140	3	7.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Germie Bernard	64	862	7	13.5	43
Ryan Williams	49	689	4	14.1	75
Isaiah Horton (Tr)	42	511	8	12.2	37
Lotzeir Brooks	32	441	2	13.8	53

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Lawson	80	5	2	1	4
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	54	5	0	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1
Lebbeus Overton	40	6	4	4	1
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5
Keon Keeley	13	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Zabien Brown	39	3	0	0	6
Justin Jefferson	79	7	3	2	5

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer (Tr)	247	397	62%	2885	14	11	7.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.	15	27	56%	167	3	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Blaylock	120	482	4	4.0	25
John Mateer (Tr)	149	431	8	2.9	51
Xavier Robinson	83	421	4	5.1	65
Jadyn Ott	21	68	0	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)	65	949	8	14.6	87
Deion Burks	57	620	4	10.9	45
Jaren Kanak	44	533	0	12.1	48
Keontez Lewis (Tr)	21	243	2	11.6	28

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Owen Heinecke	74	12	3	2	4
Robert Spears-Jennings	59	2	0	0	2
Kendal Daniels (Tr)	54	10	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Wein	39	15	7	6	1
R Mason Thomas	26	10	7	3	1
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Gracen Halton	33	7	4	7	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtland Guillory	41	1	0	1	7
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4