UCLA at UNLV - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
UCLA -2.5 (54.5) (-125) Open: -2.0 | 56.5
UNLV 30 - UCLA: 23

Bruins (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Our Line: UNLV -10.5 (SP+ UNLV -17)
Projected Score: UCLA: 22 - UNLV: 33 (55)
UCLA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 220 miles

Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UCLA vs Utah	+6.5	50.5	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/6	UCLA at UNLV	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Fri 9/12	UCLA vs New Mexico	-15.5	52.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	UCLA at Northwestern	+6.0	45.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/4	UCLA vs Penn State	+24.5	48.5	W 42 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/11	UCLA at Michigan State	+7.0	51.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/18	UCLA vs Maryland	-3.5	52.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/25	UCLA at Indiana	+26.5	53.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	UCLA vs Nebraska	-1.5	45.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/15	UCLA at Ohio State	+33.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/22	UCLA vs Washington	+10.5	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/29	UCLA at USC	+21.0	59.0	L 10 - 29	U	Y

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

UNLV's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	UNLV vs Idaho State	-30.5	67.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Fri 8/29	UNLV vs Sam Houston	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UNLV vs UCLA	+2.5	54.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UNLV at Miami (OH)	-2.5	49.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UNLV at Wyoming	-4.5	50.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/11	UNLV vs Air Force	-7.0	65.5	W 51 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/18	UNLV at Boise State	+12.5	60.5	L 31 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UNLV vs New Mexico	-3.5	61.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/8	UNLV at Colorado State	-5.5	60.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/15	UNLV vs Utah State	-4.5	68.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
Fri 11/21	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-2.5	64.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	53.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Fri 12/5	UNLV at Boise State	+6.0	60.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Tue 12/23	UNLV vs Ohio	-6.5	64.5	L 10 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#97 (.12)	42% (75)	18.2	45% (55)	3.06 (45)	140	40% (95)	180	2.98 (124)	#122 (.25)	50% (135)	33.4	53% (135)	48% (127)	4.61 (133)	65.5	1.1	0.8
UNLV	#17 (.3)	47% (22)	34.1	48% (22)	3.19 (24)	189	46% (26)	238	4.45 (22)	#107 (.21)	44% (104)	28	45% (103)	43% (92)	3.78 (78)	63.4	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)		34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)		45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	12	18.2	16.8	41.9%	2.98	1.1	17	320	140	180	4.5	47%	51%	45%	40%	16%	.12
UNLV Defense	14	28	29.7	44.3%	3.78	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	12	33.4	32.2	50.3%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	53%	48%	12%	.25
UNLV Offense	14	34.1	36.8	46.8%	4.45	1.1	22	427	189	238	5.7	49%	49%	48%	46%	16%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	12	29:11	17.3	37%	48%	7.5	65.5	1.1	0.8	3.3	0.8	0	26.4
UNLV	14	28:42	21.9	46%	59%	7.3	63.4	1.1	1.5	4.6	2.1	5	28.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	12	47% (89)	45% (55)	31.3	139.6	4.5	8 (107)	.21 (22)	3.06 (45)	65% (112)	9% (64)	1.05 (36)
UNLV Defense	14	47% (41)	45% (103)	-	-	-	-	.23 (130)	3.15 (112)	62% (15)	9% (103)	1.11 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	12	54% (116)	53% (135)	-	-	-	-	.23 (131)	3.32 (128)	79% (118)	7% (132)	0.89 (30)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (69)	48% (22)	33.2	189	5.7	32 (30)	.26 (11)	3.19 (24)	71% (75)	10% (103)	1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	12	51% (48)	40% (95)	19.1	30.1	180.3	6	9.5	15 (75)	7 (60)	.09 (126)	1.3 (136)	32% (75)	32% (49)	.28 (80)	7% (94)	1.9 (98)
UNLV Defense	14	50% (93)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (6)	.25 (70)	1.6 (70)	31% (74)	31% (86)	.2 (31)	6% (54)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	12	45% (23)	48% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (132)	.33 (106)	1.4 (15)	26% (135)	40% (135)	.45 (129)	5% (95)	1.8 (10)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (69)	46% (26)	18.6	28.1	237.7	8.5	12.8	24 (42)	8 (34)	.37 (33)	1.6 (54)	30% (53)	36% (16)	.47 (16)	6% (54)	2.1 (55)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.61 #68
UCLA's Offense Rating: 11.71 #54
UCLA's Defense Rating: 11.10 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #104
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #106
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #96

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.61 UNLV: 5.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -9.5 UNLV: 7.7

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 5.91 #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41 #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 33
UCLA 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 30
UCLA 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 34
UCLA 23

Total Points: 57

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	UNLV	30	UCLA	23	UCLA -2.5	UNLV	54.5	Under
2016	09/10	UCLA	42	UNLV	21	UCLA -25.5	UNLV	57.5	Over
2015	09/12	UNLV	3	UCLA	37	UCLA -28	UCLA	65.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	1	2	1 Overs
UCLA	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#68) UCLA at (#71) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	UNLV
Power RatePwr	#68	#71
SP+SP+	#104	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#45
OffenseOff	#109	#27
DefenseDef	#123	#89
Spec TeamsST	#41	#77
TalentTal	#54	#76
Blue ChipsBC%	#37	#101

UCLA Notes(12/1) Hired Bob Chesney (JMU), a great hire for UCLA
(11/15) QB1 Nico out vs Ohio St (Concussion)
(10/15) No one left via portal after Foster firing, incredible
(10/12) Back 2 back wins, but Sparty is truly awful esp Def
(10/6) 1st time OC Jerry Neuheisel a revelation, great game
(10/4) Incredible effort, unreal W vs Penn St. Nico 5 TD's
(10/4) OG'd PSU by 100, held ball 40 mins, Run Def good
(9/30) Two score underdogs or more in every game forward
(9/30) OC Sunseri fired 4 games in, Jerry Neuheisel Int
(9/14) HC Foster fired, SA Tim Skipper interim HC
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
UCLA Injury Report

UNLV Notes(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report

UCLA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UNLV Def
Perf GradePerf	#109	#89
SuccessSuc	#75	#104
ExplosiveExp	#117	#112
PPAPPA	#97	#107
PowerPwr	#54	#112
SP+SP+	#106	#87
Pts POPPO	#124	#78
HavocHav	#76	#84

UCLA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#62	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#103
Run ExplRExp	#36	#126
PPAExp	#22	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#45	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#101
TackleTak	-	#71

UCLA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#92
Pass ExplPExl	#136	#70
PPAExp	#126	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#80	#21
F7 HavocF7	#64	#103
DB HavocDB	#94	#54

UNLV on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UCLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#27	#123
SuccessSuc	#22	#135
ExplosiveExp	#26	#9
PPAPPA	#17	#122
PowerPwr	#44	#84
SP+SP+	#14	#96
Pts POPPO	#22	#133
HavocHav	#79	#130

UNLV Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#4	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#135
Run ExplRExp	#21	#30
PPAExp	#11	#131
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#129
TackleTak	-	#64

UNLV Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	#26	#127
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#15
PPAExp	#33	#106
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#136
F7 HavocF7	#103	#132
DB HavocDB	#54	#95

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
UCLA 2.5 (54.5)
UNLV won vs UCLA this year (30-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UCLA's OC Jerry Neuheisel (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	208	323	64%	1928	13	7	6.0
Luke Duncan	21	34	62%	235	2	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	112	505	4	4.5	52
Jalen Berger	81	364	2	4.5	24
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)	82	306	1	3.7	32
Anthony Woods (Tr)	63	294	0	4.7	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kwazi Gilmer	50	535	4	10.7	43
Mikey Matthews (Tr)	33	348	2	10.5	37
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala	25	322	3	12.9	34
Rico Flores	26	274	0	10.5	51

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Kevin Coyle (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JonJon Vaughns	107	6	1	0	1
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)	84	3	0	1	1
Key Lawrence (Tr)	70	4	0	1	1
Cole Martin (Tr)	65	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Woods	47	5	2	0	3
Anthony Jones (Tr)	20	3	2	4	1
JonJon Vaughns	107	6	1	0	1
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)	23	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Andre Jordan	19	0	10
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)	36	2	7
Cole Martin (Tr)	65	4	3

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	275	417	66%	3459	23	9	8.3
Alex Orji (Tr)	3	3	100%	37	0	0	12.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	148	1034	12	7.0	70
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	127	650	10	5.1	37
Keyvone Lee (Tr)	100	440	6	4.4	22
Jaylon Glover (Tr)	64	384	1	6.0	43

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Bradley	58	931	4	16.1	56
Troy Omeire (Tr)	32	521	5	16.3	68
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	33	471	5	14.3	86
JoJo Earle (Tr)	22	258	0	11.7	37

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	112	6	2	2	3
Jake Pope (Tr)	80	3	2	1	3
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	73	8	4	0	3
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	73	8	4	0	3
Aamaris Brown (Tr)	43	5	4	0	7
Lucas Conti	22	4	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)	43	5	4	0	7
Quandarius Keyes	14	1	0	0	6
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5