UNLV at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels vs Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Tuesday, December 23rd 2025 (9:00 PM EST)
UNLV -6.5 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 17 - UNLV: 10  (Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl)

 
Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: UNLV -5.5  (SP+ UNLV -10.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 33 - OHIO: 27 (60)
UNLV Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UNLV Travel: 1809 miles, 3 hrs behind
Bobcats (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.549.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-4.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-7.065.5W 51 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+12.560.5L 31 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-3.561.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-5.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-4.568.5W 29 - 26UN
Fri 11/21 UNLV vs Hawai'i-2.564.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-7.553.0W 42 - 17OY
Fri 12/5 UNLV at Boise State+6.060.0L 21 - 38UN
Tue 12/23 UNLV vs Ohio-6.564.5L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-10.541.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-11.560.5W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-2.550.5W 24 - 20UY
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+1.546.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-34.553.5W 42 - 14ON
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-7.044.5W 31 - 26ON
Tue 12/23 Ohio vs UNLV+6.564.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#17 (.3)47% (22)34.148% (22)3.19 (24)18946% (26)2384.45 (22)#107 (.21)44% (104)2845% (103)43% (92)3.78 (78)63.41.11.5
OHIO#42 (.21)45% (42)27.845% (57)3.32 (15)21246% (30)1733.55 (82)#55 (.12)41% (62)21.942% (68)40% (56)2.83 (13)44.51.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.1224271892385.749%49%48%46%16%.3
OHIO Defense1321.92041.3%2.831.2 - - - - - 50%48%42%40%15%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.5 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
OHIO Offense1327.836.344.9%3.551.2203852121735.460%38%45%46%12%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:4221.946%59%7.363.41.11.54.62.1528.2
Ohio1329:3920.243%57%5.844.51.21.24.41.5229.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (69)48% (22)33.21895.732 (30).26 (11)3.19 (24)71% (75)10% (103)1.09 (21)
OHIO Defense1350% (75)42% (68) - - - - .08 (57)2.98 (89)67% (33)9% (83)0.99 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (41)45% (103) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (15)9% (103)1.11 (126)
OHIO Offense1360% (11)45% (57)39.2212.25.430 (26).21 (27)3.32 (15)79% (25)7% (18)1.1 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (69)46% (26)18.628.1237.78.512.824 (42)8 (34).37 (33)1.6 (54)30% (53)36% (16).47 (16)6% (54)2.1 (55)
OHIO Defense1348% (63)40% (56) - - - - - - 11 (31).21 (54)1.6 (88)31% (73)28% (42).2 (30)6% (76)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (92) - - - - - - 13 (6).25 (70)1.6 (70)31% (74)31% (86).2 (31)6% (54)1.9 (29)
OHIO Offense1338% (127)46% (30)13.922.8173.27.612.414 (86)10 (60).27 (60)1.4 (118)29% (31)33% (36).24 (95)5% (33)1.6 (135)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.88  #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29  #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.88   Ohio: -2.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 7.7   Ohio: -2.9




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -2.05  #73
Ohio's Offense Rating: 6.67  #82
Ohio's Defense Rating: 7.87  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #88
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 33
Ohio 27


Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 28
UNLV 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 30
UNLV 28

Total Points: 58
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/23Ohio17UNLV10UNLV -6.5Ohio64.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio110 Overs
UNLV001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

UNLV Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Frisco Bowl UNLV vs Ohio-6.564.5L 10 - 17
2024La Bowl UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13
2023Rate Bowl UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49
Ohio Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Frisco Bowl Ohio vs UNLV+6.564.5W 17 - 10
2024Cure Bowl Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27
2023Beach Bowl Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21
2022Arizona Bowl Ohio vs Wyoming-3.043.0W 30 - 27
2019Potato Bowl Ohio vs Nevada-10.562.5W 30 - 21
  
(#71) UNLV at (#73) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVOHIO
Power RatePwr #71 #73
SP+SP+ #41 #82
Perf GradeGrade #45 #79
OffenseOff #27 #52
DefenseDef #89 #82
Spec TeamsST #77 #126
TalentTal #76 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
UNLV Notes
(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report
Ohio Notes
(12/17) HC Smith fired. Weird situation
(11/13) WMU controls MAC after beating Ohio, Navarro meh
(11/4) Big W over Miami OH. Even game, ST's, clutch
(10/31) Beat WVU, 4-2 w/o paycheck games. Def meh
(10/31) QB Navarro decent, RB Bangura leads MAC, OL #2
(10/31) Top Off in MAC w/ WR Hendricks & RB Bangura
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
Ohio Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffOHIO Def
Perf GradePerf #27 #82
SuccessSuc #22 #62
ExplosiveExp #26 #76
PPAPPA #17 #55
PowerPwr #44 #68
SP+SP+ #14 #67
Pts POPPO #22 #13
HavocHav #79 #84
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #4 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #68
Run ExplRExp #21 #91
PPAExp #11 #57
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #89
Stuff RateStuff #63 #73
TackleTak -  #97
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #16 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #56
Pass ExplPExl #54 #88
PPAExp #33 #54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #72
F7 HavocF7 #103 #83
DB HavocDB #54 #76
Ohio on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #52 #89
SuccessSuc #42 #104
ExplosiveExp #84 #112
PPAPPA #42 #107
PowerPwr #82 #112
SP+SP+ #88 #87
Pts POPPO #82 #78
HavocHav #17 #84
Ohio Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #60 #109
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #103
Run ExplRExp #18 #126
PPAExp #27 #130
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #112
Stuff RateStuff #3 #101
TackleTak -  #71
Ohio Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #111 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #92
Pass ExplPExl #118 #70
PPAExp #60 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #21
F7 HavocF7 #18 #103
DB HavocDB #33 #54
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Center At The Star
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UNLV 6.5 (64.5)
Ohio won vs UNLV this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)27541766%34592398.3
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)127650105.137
Keyvone Lee (Tr)10044064.422
Jaylon Glover (Tr)6438416.043
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley58931416.156
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)33471514.386
JoJo Earle (Tr)22258011.737

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie1126223
Jake Pope (Tr)803213
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Lucas Conti224310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Quandarius Keyes141006
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro18830362%237514117.8
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)2401392155.849
Parker Navarro16188695.544
Duncan Brune12058584.966
Jake Bruno148048.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks711037714.667
Rodney Harris II30419214.049
Mason Williams27285310.630
Caleb Gossett12162013.535

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson867021
Adonis Williams Jr.754111
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable288644
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Joseph Marsh (Tr)82200
Derek Reagans82230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tank Pearson490008
Jack Fries543115
Jay Crable288644