UNLV at Colorado State Game Matchup

Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO (Mountain West)

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

CSU coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -2 (SP+ UNLV -5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 27 - CSU: 25 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UNLV Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	UNLV at Sam Houston	-13.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	UNLV vs UCLA	+5.5
Sat 9/13	UNLV vs Idaho State	-18.5
Sat 9/20	UNLV at Miami (OH)	-4
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UNLV at Wyoming	-5.5
Sat 10/11	UNLV vs Air Force	-9
Sat 10/18	UNLV at Boise State	+17
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UNLV vs New Mexico	-13.5
Sat 11/8	UNLV at Colorado State	-2
Sat 11/15	UNLV vs Utah State	-13
Sat 11/22	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-8.5
Sat 11/29	UNLV at Nevada	-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Colorado State at Washington	+18.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Colorado State vs UTSA	+8
Sat 9/27	Colorado State vs Washington State	-3
Sat 10/4	Colorado State at San Diego State	-0
Sat 10/11	Colorado State vs Fresno State	+1
Sat 10/18	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-4
Sat 10/25	Colorado State at Wyoming	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Colorado State vs UNLV	+2
Sat 11/15	Colorado State at New Mexico	-4
Sat 11/22	Colorado State at Boise State	+21.5
Sat 11/29	Colorado State vs Air Force	-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)	35.4	43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)	21.3	40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)	24.4	43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)	25.8	42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	14	35.4	28.8	41.7%	4.26	0.6	21	420	248	173	5.7	61%	39%	43%	40%	14%	.21
CSU Defense	13	25.8	19.9	42.4%	4	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	14	21.3	21.7	37.4%	4.05	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	40%	36%	19%	.11
CSU Offense	13	24.4	26.9	42.2%	3.56	1.2	16	354	162	192	4.9	55%	45%	43%	41%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	14	29:59	21.1	40%	70%	5.6	49.2	0.6	1.6	6.3	2.6	4	34.7
Colorado State	13	28:44	16.5	35%	64%	5.8	47.3	1.2	1.5	4.2	1.1	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	14	61% (8)	43% (83)	43.5	247.8	5.7	29 (18)	.23 (23)	3.36 (16)	73% (71)	9% (58)	1.16 (9)
CSU Defense	13	49% (51)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.1 (55)	3.01 (70)	69% (45)	9% (91)	1.02 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	14	44% (8)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.11 (63)	2.63 (19)	73% (65)	10% (55)	1.08 (108)
CSU Offense	13	55% (30)	43% (80)	33.4	161.8	4.9	19 (73)	.03 (115)	2.88 (96)	55% (133)	9% (46)	0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	14	39% (127)	40% (90)	12.7	22.1	172.6	7.8	13.6	25 (31)	6 (10)	.2 (94)	1.7 (32)	30% (43)	29% (93)	.26 (97)	5% (25)	2.1 (58)
CSU Defense	13	51% (85)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.22 (59)	1.4 (16)	30% (105)	30% (64)	.27 (49)	8% (22)	1.9 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	14	56% (128)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.13 (25)	1.5 (47)	36% (17)	25% (7)	.19 (24)	8% (9)	2.2 (106)
CSU Offense	13	45% (102)	41% (81)	16.2	26.4	191.8	7.3	11.8	15 (98)	8 (40)	.31 (43)	1.7 (25)	32% (75)	34% (37)	.42 (33)	7% (98)	2 (92)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -7.07 #86
UNLV's Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
UNLV's Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -7.07 Colorado State: -7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -3.3 Colorado State: -8.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -7.2 #96
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 27
Colorado State 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	UNLV	25	Colorado State	23	UNLV	UNLV -6.5	Colorado State	60.0	Under
2019	11/02	Colorado State	37	UNLV	17	Colorado State	Colorado State -7.5	Colorado State	63.5	Under
2016	10/22	UNLV	23	Colorado State	42	Colorado State	UNLV -1.5	Colorado State	56.5	Over
2015	11/14	Colorado State	49	UNLV	35	Colorado State	Colorado State -6.5	Colorado State	58.0	Over
2012	11/10	Colorado State	33	UNLV	11	Colorado State
2011	10/29	UNLV	38	Colorado State	35	UNLV
2010	10/16	Colorado State	43	UNLV	10	Colorado State
2009	11/07	UNLV	35	Colorado State	16	UNLV
2008	10/04	Colorado State	41	UNLV	28	Colorado State
2007	10/20	UNLV	23	Colorado State	48	Colorado State
2006	10/07	Colorado State	28	UNLV	7	Colorado State
2005	11/19	UNLV	27	Colorado State	31	Colorado State
2004	11/13	Colorado State	45	UNLV	10	Colorado State
2003	11/22	UNLV	23	Colorado State	24	Colorado State
2001	10/20	UNLV	24	Colorado State	26	Colorado State
2000	10/13	Colorado State	20	UNLV	19	Colorado State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	13	4	2 Overs
UNLV	3	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 11	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#86) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.07 #86
Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89
Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV Notes
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
(3/29) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 6 portals. Good LY
(3/29) Def good LY, replace almost all. 17 portal adds
(3/29) New HC Mullen interesting hire.
(3/29) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach

UNLV Ratings Matchup Colorado State

Power #86

#96

Off #94

#86

Def #81

#106

Talent #80

#102

SP+ #75

#97

SP+ Off #61

#95

SP+ Def #89

#98

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Colorado State in 2023 (25-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | CSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | CSU
Rosters: UNLV | CSU

(#96) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.2 #96
Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98
Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Colorado State Notes
(4/29) WR rebuild, so far not much here. TE decent
(3/24) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG+. Depth inexp'd
(3/24) RB Marshall good #2 LY. Depth looks v light
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 8 portal adds
(3/24) New DC Summers from WKU (DC), HC exp

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	198	320	62%	2125	13	11	6.6
Alex Orji (Tr)	26	49	53%	151	3	2	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	161	915	7	5.7	54
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	128	277	2	2.2	35
Alex Orji (Tr)	57	269	1	4.7	29
Keyvone Lee (Tr)	29	140	1	4.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	15	189	1	12.6	40
Jaden Bradley	9	173	1	19.2	42
Kaleo Ballungay	17	152	6	8.9	29
Kayden McGee	3	97	1	32.3	49

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	42	1	1	1	2
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)	23	2	2	2	0
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	0	0	1	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)	23	2	2	2	0
Jalen Dixon	12	2	2	1	0
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	6	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	0	0	1	7
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Denver Harris (Tr)	17	1	0	0	3

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	227	374	61%	2755	14	8	7.4
Jackson Brousseau	3	6	50%	15	0	1	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Marshall	156	767	4	4.9	42
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	76	259	1	3.4	16
Keegan Holles	15	97	1	6.5	18
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	43	80	4	1.9	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Armani Winfield	38	341	2	9.0	62
Petey Tucker (Tr)	30	324	0	10.8	29
Jordan Ross	15	218	1	14.5	36
Tommy Maher	4	99	1	24.8	53

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long	44	1	0	0	2
Jacob Ellis (Tr)	41	5	1	2	0
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6
Kennedy McDowell	8	2	2	2	0
Jacob Ellis (Tr)	41	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	6
Dylan Phelps	24	0	0	4
Jahari Rogers (Tr)	3	0	0	3