UNLV at Colorado State - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (35 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CSU coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -3.5   (SP+ UNLV -10.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 28 - CSU: 24 (52)
UNLV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (21 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-1.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-13.5
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-16
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-3.5
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13.5
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Colorado State at Washington+20.552.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-35.052.5W 21 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+4.559.5
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-3
Sat 10/4 Colorado State at San Diego State+4.5
Sat 10/11 Colorado State vs Fresno State-1.5
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-4
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+3.5
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico-5
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+14.5
Sat 11/29 Colorado State vs Air Force-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#35 (.32)50% (31)35.347% (52)3.12 (56)20255% (16)2284.74 (40)#86 (.16)47% (118)2550% (118)47% (112)3.58 (69)1040.72.3
CSU#87 (.15)47% (47)2157% (15)3.14 (51)15836% (110)1614.2 (57)#70 (.14)43% (94)27.543% (88)44% (97)3.93 (86)5731.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense335.335.350%4.740.7224302022285.758%42%47%55%12%.32
CSU Defense227.51743.1%3.931.5 - - - - - 60%40%43%44%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense3252547.1%3.582.3 - - - - - 37%60%50%47%17%.16
CSU Offense2212146.6%4.23223181581614.353%45%57%36%18%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV329:4921.742%100%9.71040.72.362.3130.1
Colorado State226:562235%50%7.55731.55.51.5029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense358% (26)47% (52)35.72025.77 (38).16 (59)3.12 (56)71% (67)10% (93)0.91 (82)
CSU Defense260% (124)43% (88) - - - - .05 (65)2.45 (40)73% (77)10% (78)0.98 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense337% (4)50% (118) - - - - .26 (119)2.55 (47)57% (28)9% (80)1.25 (118)
CSU Offense253% (51)57% (15)36.5157.54.35 (62).12 (78)3.14 (51)75% (52)12% (111)0.73 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense342% (111)55% (16)17.322.722810.113.26 (34)1 (23).55 (20)1.6 (59)25% (24)36% (42).34 (68)2% (10)1.6 (114)
CSU Defense240% (13)44% (97) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (87)1.6 (92)29% (106)28% (58).17 (46)7% (53)2.4 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense360% (129)47% (112) - - - - - - 6 (2).22 (71)1.4 (33)28% (121)35% (112).02 (22)8% (23)1.6 (29)
CSU Offense245% (89)36% (110)15.529.5160.55.410.41 (123)2 (60).27 (73)1.7 (31)33% (94)28% (94).36 (60)7% (111)2.6 (7)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.04 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.04   Colorado State: -4.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.8   Colorado State: -12.3




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 28
Colorado State 24


Total Points: 52

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21UNLV25Colorado State23UNLVUNLV -6.5Colorado State60.0Under
201911/02Colorado State37UNLV17Colorado StateColorado State -7.5Colorado State63.5Under
201610/22UNLV23Colorado State42Colorado StateUNLV -1.5Colorado State56.5Over
201511/14Colorado State49UNLV35Colorado StateColorado State -6.5Colorado State58.0Over
201211/10Colorado State33UNLV11Colorado State
201110/29UNLV38Colorado State35UNLV
201010/16Colorado State43UNLV10Colorado State
200911/07UNLV35Colorado State16UNLV
200810/04Colorado State41UNLV28Colorado State
200710/20UNLV23Colorado State48Colorado State
200610/07Colorado State28UNLV7Colorado State
200511/19UNLV27Colorado State31Colorado State
200411/13Colorado State45UNLV10Colorado State
200311/22UNLV23Colorado State24Colorado State
200110/20UNLV24Colorado State26Colorado State
200010/13Colorado State20UNLV19Colorado State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State1342 Overs
UNLV302 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 52 - 22 - 20 - 0
Road Teams5 - 112 - 20 - 02 - 2

(#82) UNLV Info
Power Rating: -1.04 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV has lost 5 straight
UNLV has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's

UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated

UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCSUUNLV
OverallOver#101#24
OffenseOff#63#15
DefenseDef#107#52
Special TeamsST#110#83
PassingPass#106#13
RushingRush#30#15
Run BlockRBLK#10#39
Pass BlockPBLK#42#99
Route RunningWR Rt#97#18
TacklingTkl#16#102
Run DefenseR Def#107#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#50
Coverage DefCov#97#24

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Colorado State in 2023 (25-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | CSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | CSU
Rosters: UNLV | CSU
(#84) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Colorado State has lost 6 straight
Colorado State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado State Notes
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
(8/1) RB Marshall OK LY, passed by L Avant in spring
(8/1) WR returns #2, 3 portal adds, TE big ?
(8/1) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 10 portal adds
(8/1) New DC Summers (WKU), Takeaway king
(8/1) Direction of Offense a big ? under OC Mumme
(8/1) Too many ?s for me, lack identity w/o big WR
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds

Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State is Undefeated at Home

Colorado State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)

Colorado State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)

Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Colorado State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Colorado State Can Not Run the Ball (#120)
Colorado State offense is not Explosive (#116)
Colorado State pass game is really bad (#110)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)


  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)496575%6476110.0
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas3227348.570
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)3017515.837
Keyvone Lee (Tr)136615.119
Jaylon Glover (Tr)154803.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley13262120.249
Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr)683113.817
JoJo Earle (Tr)665010.832
Troy Omeire (Tr)661110.221

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope (Tr)220000
Marsel McDuffie191111
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu172011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Jalen Lee (Tr)71100
Marsel McDuffie191111
Landen Thomas (Tr)51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes00003
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Justin Flowe (Tr)91001

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi305753%312125.5
Tay Lanier11100%9009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Dupree2815015.420
Lloyd Avant (Tr)158025.320
Justin Marshall83704.67
Javion Kinnard222011.021
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaxxon Warren795113.627
Armani Winfield449012.317
Tommy Maher53807.615
Lavon Brown336012.016

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long241000
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)122001
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Robert Edmonson101100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Robert Edmonson101100
Gabe Jones (Tr)31100
Owen Long241000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Jahari Rogers (Tr)60002
Drew Rodriguez10001