UNLV at Colorado State - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (9:30 PM EST)
UNLV -5.5 (60.5) (-218)  Open: -6.5
UNLV 42 - Colorado State: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
CSU coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -14.5  (SP+ UNLV -23.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 38 - CSU: 23 (61)
UNLV Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNLV Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tyson Summers (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.549.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-4.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-7.065.5W 51 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+12.560.5L 31 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-3.561.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-5.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-4.568.5W 29 - 26UN
Fri 11/21 UNLV vs Hawai'i-2.564.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-7.553.0W 42 - 17OY
Fri 12/5 UNLV at Boise State+6.060.0L 21 - 38UN
Tue 12/23 UNLV vs Ohio-6.564.5L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Colorado State at Washington+20.552.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-35.052.5W 21 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+4.558.5L 16 - 17UY
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-4.548.5L 3 - 20UN
Fri 10/3 Colorado State at San Diego State+4.540.5L 24 - 45ON
Fri 10/10 Colorado State vs Fresno State+5.547.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-2.553.5L 19 - 31UN
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming+5.546.5L 0 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+5.560.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico+15.553.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+17.546.5L 21 - 49ON
Fri 11/28 Colorado State vs Air Force+2.547.5L 21 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#17 (.3)47% (22)34.148% (22)3.19 (24)18946% (26)2384.45 (22)#107 (.21)44% (104)2845% (103)43% (92)3.78 (78)63.41.11.5
CSU#96 (.13)40% (98)18.544% (65)2.97 (63)10838% (111)2163.52 (86)#116 (.24)45% (118)30.846% (107)46% (117)4.03 (103)56.31.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.1224271892385.749%49%48%46%16%.3
CSU Defense1230.827.145.3%4.031.3 - - - - - 57%42%46%46%13%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.5 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
CSU Offense1218.519.940.3%3.521.7183241082163.645%54%44%38%19%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:4221.946%59%7.363.41.11.54.62.1528.2
Colorado State1226:5018.333%47%5.856.31.71.33.81.3126
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (69)48% (22)33.21895.732 (30).26 (11)3.19 (24)71% (75)10% (103)1.09 (21)
CSU Defense1257% (131)46% (107) - - - - .17 (105)3.26 (123)77% (108)7% (129)0.94 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (41)45% (103) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (15)9% (103)1.11 (126)
CSU Offense1245% (107)44% (65)30.3108.33.613 (70).09 (79)2.97 (63)59% (132)12% (122)0.9 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (69)46% (26)18.628.1237.78.512.824 (42)8 (34).37 (33)1.6 (54)30% (53)36% (16).47 (16)6% (54)2.1 (55)
CSU Defense1242% (7)46% (117) - - - - - - 8 (31).38 (119)1.7 (123)27% (129)35% (126).34 (95)6% (59)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (92) - - - - - - 13 (6).25 (70)1.6 (70)31% (74)31% (86).2 (31)6% (54)1.9 (29)
CSU Offense1254% (28)38% (111)20.332.8215.96.610.715 (103)12 (7).2 (96)1.5 (91)35% (127)28% (87).25 (91)7% (110)2 (85)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.88  #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29  #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.88   Colorado State: -10.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 7.7   Colorado State: -15.6




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.84  #113
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 5.98  #85
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 17.06  #118
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6  #125
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #121
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 38
Colorado State 23


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 33
UNLV 31

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 32
Colorado State 24

Total Points: 56
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Colorado State10UNLV42UNLV -5.5UNLV60.5Under
202310/21UNLV25Colorado State23UNLV -6.5Colorado State60.0Under
201911/02Colorado State37UNLV17Colorado State -7.5Colorado State63.5Under
201610/22UNLV23Colorado State42UNLV -1.5Colorado State56.5Over
201511/14Colorado State49UNLV35Colorado State -6.5Colorado State58.0Over
201211/10Colorado State33UNLV11
201110/29UNLV38Colorado State35
201010/16Colorado State43UNLV10
200911/07UNLV35Colorado State16
200810/04Colorado State41UNLV28
200710/20UNLV23Colorado State48
200610/07Colorado State28UNLV7
200511/19UNLV27Colorado State31
200411/13Colorado State45UNLV10
200311/22UNLV23Colorado State24
200110/20UNLV24Colorado State26
200010/13Colorado State20UNLV19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State1342 Overs
UNLV413 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 62 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 113 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#71) UNLV at (#113) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVCSU
Power RatePwr #71 #113
SP+SP+ #41 #125
Perf GradeGrade #45 #135
OffenseOff #27 #124
DefenseDef #89 #136
Spec TeamsST #77 #130
TalentTal #76 #87
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
UNLV Notes
(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report
Colorado State Notes
(11/26) Hiring Jim Mora (UConn). Big for move to new Pac12
(10/22) Former QB1 Fowler-Nicolosi left CSU, portal bound
(10/19) Norvell fired, DC Tyson Summers interim
(10/4) Def suddenly torched by SDSU? Team is a tire fire
(10/2) TE1 Jaxxon Warren out vs SDSU game (in boot)
(10/2) Changing playcallers, Matt Mumme (PGC) now
(9/24) QB Brousseau much better option, good vs UTSA
(9/24) Norvell lost CSU game, pass by QB3 for 2 pts?
(9/21) QB Fowler-Nicolosi cannot play, Off a CFB worst
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
Colorado State Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCSU Def
Perf GradePerf #27 #136
SuccessSuc #22 #118
ExplosiveExp #26 #78
PPAPPA #17 #116
PowerPwr #44 #118
SP+SP+ #14 #106
Pts POPPO #22 #103
HavocHav #79 #116
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCSU Def
Run GameRun #4 #134
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #107
Run ExplRExp #21 #60
PPAExp #11 #105
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #123
Stuff RateStuff #63 #122
TackleTak -  #66
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCSU Def
Pass GamePass #16 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #117
Pass ExplPExl #54 #123
PPAExp #33 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #135
F7 HavocF7 #103 #129
DB HavocDB #54 #59
Colorado State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #124 #89
SuccessSuc #98 #104
ExplosiveExp #98 #112
PPAPPA #96 #107
PowerPwr #85 #112
SP+SP+ #121 #87
Pts POPPO #86 #78
HavocHav #125 #84
Colorado State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #89 #109
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #103
Run ExplRExp #94 #126
PPAExp #79 #130
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLY #63 #112
Stuff RateStuff #76 #101
TackleTak -  #71
Colorado State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #124 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #92
Pass ExplPExl #91 #70
PPAExp #96 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #118 #21
F7 HavocF7 #122 #103
DB HavocDB #110 #54
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 37° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
UNLV 5.5 (60.5)
UNLV won at Colorado State this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Colorado State in 2023 (25-23)

  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)27541766%34592398.3
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)127650105.137
Keyvone Lee (Tr)10044064.422
Jaylon Glover (Tr)6438416.043
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley58931416.156
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)33471514.386
JoJo Earle (Tr)22258011.737

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie1126223
Jake Pope (Tr)803213
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Lucas Conti224310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Quandarius Keyes141006
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Brousseau12820164%1354936.7
Darius Curry7010765%740576.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Dupree10250825.031
Lloyd Avant (Tr)9041754.623
Justin Marshall4926015.373
Javion Kinnard125604.721
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocky Beers (Tr)31388712.548
Tommy Maher32358011.235
Tay Lanier3531529.039
Armani Winfield22276212.549

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long1485205
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)725111
Jace Bellah581020
Lemondre Joe (Tr)5654413
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)5654413
Owen Long1485205
Jeremy Naborne354220
Paul Tangelo (Tr)193241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)5654413
Jahari Rogers (Tr)314118
Owen Long1485205