UNLV at Nevada - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Mackay Stadium - Reno, NV  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (35 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -13   (SP+ UNLV -12.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 31 - NEV: 18 (48)
UNLV Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
UNLV Travel: 345 miles
Wolf Pack (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (17 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-1.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-13.5
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-16
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-3.5
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13.5
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Nevada's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Nevada at Penn State+45.558.5L 11 - 46UY
Sat 9/6 Nevada vs Sacramento State-8.056.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Nevada vs Middle Tennessee-9.050.0L 13 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Nevada at Western Kentucky+10.554.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Nevada at Fresno State+13.5
Sat 10/11 Nevada vs San Diego State+9
Sat 10/18 Nevada at New Mexico+4.5
Sat 10/25 Nevada vs Boise State+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Nevada at Utah State+7
Sat 11/15 Nevada vs San José State+5.5
Sat 11/22 Nevada at Wyoming+14
Sat 11/29 Nevada vs UNLV+13

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#35 (.32)50% (31)35.347% (52)3.12 (56)20255% (16)2284.74 (40)#86 (.16)47% (118)2550% (118)47% (112)3.58 (69)1040.72.3
NEV#131 (-.01)42% (79)14.744% (75)2.41 (116)18440% (92)1452.3 (127)#116 (.26)49% (124)25.751% (123)47% (108)4.38 (101)43.72.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense335.335.350%4.740.7224302022285.758%42%47%55%12%.32
NEV Defense325.715.549%4.380.7 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense3252547.1%3.582.3 - - - - - 37%60%50%47%17%.16
NEV Offense314.716.542.3%2.32.3173291841454.968%31%44%40%18%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV329:4921.742%100%9.71040.72.362.3130.1
Nevada329:1817.331%57%4.743.72.30.76.32.7127.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense358% (26)47% (52)35.72025.77 (38).16 (59)3.12 (56)71% (67)10% (93)0.91 (82)
NEV Defense356% (110)51% (123) - - - - .28 (124)3.27 (118)78% (100)11% (52)0.87 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense337% (4)50% (118) - - - - .26 (119)2.55 (47)57% (28)9% (80)1.25 (118)
NEV Offense368% (6)44% (75)37.7183.74.91 (127).13 (72)2.41 (116)86% (22)13% (126)1.02 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense342% (111)55% (16)17.322.722810.113.26 (34)1 (23).55 (20)1.6 (59)25% (24)36% (42).34 (68)2% (10)1.6 (114)
NEV Defense344% (30)47% (108) - - - - - - 2 (56).24 (77)1.4 (43)30% (93)26% (44).32 (84)2% (134)1.8 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense360% (129)47% (112) - - - - - - 6 (2).22 (71)1.4 (33)28% (121)35% (112).02 (22)8% (23)1.6 (29)
NEV Offense331% (131)40% (92)12.322.31456.511.82 (102)5 (129)-.21 (135)1 (134)32% (86)29% (89)-.19 (136)4% (45)1.4 (127)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.04 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.04   Nevada: -14.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.8   Nevada: -14.3




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Nevada's Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Nevada's Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 31
Nevada 18


Total Points: 48

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.5
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30UNLV38Nevada14UNLVUNLV -17.5UNLV54.5Under
202310/14Nevada27UNLV45UNLVUNLV -7.5UNLV51.5Over
202211/26UNLV27Nevada22UNLVUNLV -12.5Nevada49.0Push
202110/29Nevada51UNLV20NevadaNevada -19Nevada58.0Over
202010/31UNLV19Nevada37NevadaNevada -10.5Nevada0
201911/30Nevada30UNLV33UNLVNevada -6.5UNLV52.0Over
201811/24UNLV34Nevada29UNLVNevada -14UNLV60.5Over
201711/25Nevada23UNLV16NevadaNevada -3Nevada70.0Under
201611/26UNLV10Nevada45NevadaUNLV -7Nevada59.0Under
201510/03Nevada17UNLV23UNLVNevada -11.5UNLV57.0Under
201411/29UNLV27Nevada49NevadaNevada -10Nevada0
201310/26Nevada22UNLV27UNLVNevada -3.5UNLV0
201210/13UNLV37Nevada42Nevada
201110/08Nevada37UNLV0Nevada
201010/02UNLV26Nevada44Nevada
200910/03Nevada63UNLV28Nevada
200809/27UNLV27Nevada49Nevada
200709/29Nevada27UNLV20Nevada
200609/30UNLV3Nevada31Nevada
200509/17Nevada22UNLV14Nevada
200410/02UNLV48Nevada13UNLV
200310/04Nevada12UNLV16UNLV
200210/05UNLV21Nevada17UNLV
200110/06Nevada12UNLV27UNLV
200010/06UNLV38Nevada7UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada1364 Overs
UNLV1264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 134 - 83 - 51 - 3
Road Teams13 - 128 - 43 - 15 - 3

(#82) UNLV Info
Power Rating: -1.04 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV has lost 8 straight
UNLV has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's

UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated

UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNEVUNLV
OverallOver#69#24
OffenseOff#87#15
DefenseDef#51#52
Special TeamsST#99#83
PassingPass#97#13
RushingRush#79#15
Run BlockRBLK#34#39
Pass BlockPBLK#85#99
Route RunningWR Rt#99#18
TacklingTkl#75#102
Run DefenseR Def#64#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#12#50
Coverage DefCov#73#24

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2022 (27-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | NEV
Depth Chart: UNLV | NEV
Rosters: UNLV | NEV
(#128) Nevada Info
Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Option Offense 68%, Pass: 31%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Nevada has lost 9 straight
Nevada has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Nevada Notes
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp

Nevada Highlights

Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a really bad Offense at Home
Nevada has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Nevada throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada Does Not Stuff Runs (#128)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)


  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)496575%6476110.0
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas3227348.570
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)3017515.837
Keyvone Lee (Tr)136615.119
Jaylon Glover (Tr)154803.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley13262120.249
Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr)683113.817
JoJo Earle (Tr)665010.832
Troy Omeire (Tr)661110.221

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope (Tr)220000
Marsel McDuffie191111
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu172011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Jalen Lee (Tr)71100
Marsel McDuffie191111
Landen Thomas (Tr)51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes00003
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Justin Flowe (Tr)91001

Nevada's OC David Gilbertson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chubba Purdy244356%329147.7
AJ Bianco132357%106114.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chubba Purdy4421614.930
Herschel Turner (Tr)3115304.964
Caleb Ramseur239304.026
Ky Woods450012.528
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Bellon11153113.943
Jordan Brown (Tr)11145013.228
Ky Woods147147.047
Jett Carpenter64106.812

View Nevada's Full Roster
Nevada's DC Kane Ioane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Stone Combs213100
Dylan Labarbera216200
Murvin Kenion III (Tr)160000
Austin Harnetiaux140001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Labarbera216200
Jonathan Maldonado123200
Sam Cook (Tr)74100
Nelson Ropati51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edward Rhambo (Tr)90003
Bishop Turner30001
Austin Harnetiaux140001