UNLV at Wyoming - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -4.5 (50.5) (-198)  Open: -4.5
UNLV 31 - Wyoming: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
UNLV coming off BYE
WYO coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -7.5  (SP+ UNLV -18)

Projected Score: UNLV: 29 - WYO: 22 (51)
UNLV Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 626 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.549.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-4.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-7.065.5W 51 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+12.560.5L 31 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-3.561.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-5.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-4.568.5W 29 - 26UN
Fri 11/21 UNLV vs Hawai'i-2.564.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-7.553.0W 42 - 17OY
Fri 12/5 UNLV at Boise State+6.060.0L 21 - 38UN
Tue 12/23 UNLV vs Ohio-6.564.5L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#17 (.3)47% (22)34.148% (22)3.19 (24)18946% (26)2384.45 (22)#107 (.21)44% (104)2845% (103)43% (92)3.78 (78)63.41.11.5
WYO#122 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (109)13239% (100)1832.9 (127)#26 (.07)38% (25)20.540% (46)37% (22)2.77 (12)56.31.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.1224271892385.749%49%48%46%16%.3
WYO Defense1220.518.338%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.5 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
WYO Offense121620.738.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:4221.946%59%7.363.41.11.54.62.1528.2
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (69)48% (22)33.21895.732 (30).26 (11)3.19 (24)71% (75)10% (103)1.09 (21)
WYO Defense1255% (120)40% (46) - - - - .09 (60)3 (94)74% (94)8% (122)0.93 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (41)45% (103) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (15)9% (103)1.11 (126)
WYO Offense1247% (94)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (119)2.74 (109)56% (135)10% (89)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (69)46% (26)18.628.1237.78.512.824 (42)8 (34).37 (33)1.6 (54)30% (53)36% (16).47 (16)6% (54)2.1 (55)
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (22) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (21)1.6 (93)34% (27)27% (25).17 (22)6% (87)1.9 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (92) - - - - - - 13 (6).25 (70)1.6 (70)31% (74)31% (86).2 (31)6% (54)1.9 (29)
WYO Offense1251% (50)39% (100)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (122)1.4 (131)35% (122)25% (116).16 (118)9% (132)1.8 (123)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.88  #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29  #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.88   Wyoming: -4.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 7.7   Wyoming: -10.5




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -4.065  #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98  #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.61  #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 29
Wyoming 22


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 27
Wyoming 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 27
Wyoming 24

Total Points: 51
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Wyoming17UNLV31UNLV -4.5UNLV50.5Under
202311/10UNLV34Wyoming14UNLV -2.5UNLV48.5Under
202011/27UNLV14Wyoming45Wyoming -16.5Wyoming52.0Over
201909/28Wyoming53UNLV17Wyoming -8Wyoming44.5Over
201611/12UNLV69Wyoming66Wyoming -9UNLV61.0Over
201511/28Wyoming35UNLV28UNLV -3Wyoming59.0Over
201211/17UNLV23Wyoming28
201110/15Wyoming41UNLV14
201011/13UNLV42Wyoming16
200909/26Wyoming30UNLV27
200811/13UNLV22Wyoming14
200710/27Wyoming29UNLV24
200611/18UNLV26Wyoming34
200510/01Wyoming42UNLV17
200411/06UNLV45Wyoming53
200311/29Wyoming24UNLV35
200211/02UNLV49Wyoming48
200110/27Wyoming26UNLV47
200010/20UNLV42Wyoming23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming1034 Overs
UNLV932 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 74 - 22 - 02 - 2
Road Teams7 - 122 - 42 - 20 - 2

(#71) UNLV at (#80) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVWYO
Power RatePwr #71 #80
SP+SP+ #41 #107
Perf GradeGrade #45 #117
OffenseOff #27 #130
DefenseDef #89 #52
Spec TeamsST #77 #132
TalentTal #76 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
UNLV Notes
(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffWYO Def
Perf GradePerf #27 #52
SuccessSuc #22 #25
ExplosiveExp #26 #48
PPAPPA #17 #26
PowerPwr #44 #43
SP+SP+ #14 #55
Pts POPPO #22 #12
HavocHav #79 #119
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #4 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #46
Run ExplRExp #21 #53
PPAExp #11 #60
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #94
Stuff RateStuff #63 #105
TackleTak -  #56
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #16 #45
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #22
Pass ExplPExl #54 #93
PPAExp #33 #21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #112
F7 HavocF7 #103 #122
DB HavocDB #54 #87
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #130 #89
SuccessSuc #116 #104
ExplosiveExp #115 #112
PPAPPA #122 #107
PowerPwr #115 #112
SP+SP+ #131 #87
Pts POPPO #127 #78
HavocHav #124 #84
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #98 #109
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #103
Run ExplRExp #68 #126
PPAExp #119 #130
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #112
Stuff RateStuff #115 #101
TackleTak -  #71
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #133 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #92
Pass ExplPExl #131 #70
PPAExp #122 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101 #21
F7 HavocF7 #89 #103
DB HavocDB #132 #54
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 43°
Rematch from Week 6
UNLV 4.5 (50.5)
UNLV won at Wyoming this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Wyoming in 2023 (34-14)

  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)27541766%34592398.3
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)127650105.137
Keyvone Lee (Tr)10044064.422
Jaylon Glover (Tr)6438416.043
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley58931416.156
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)33471514.386
JoJo Earle (Tr)22258011.737

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie1126223
Jake Pope (Tr)803213
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Lucas Conti224310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Quandarius Keyes141006
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005