UNLV at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -2.5 (48.5) (-130)  Open: -5.5
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH

 
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (35 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
UNLV coming off BYE
M-OH coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -8.5   (SP+ UNLV -11)

Projected Score: UNLV: 29 - M-OH: 20 (49)
UNLV Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 1668 miles, 3 hrs behind
RedHawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 9 - 31 (9 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-1.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-13.5
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-16
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-3.5
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13.5
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.548.5
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-11
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+8
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-4.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-8.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+9
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+18
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+10
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-12

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#35 (.32)50% (31)35.347% (52)3.12 (56)20255% (16)2284.74 (40)#86 (.16)47% (118)2550% (118)47% (112)3.58 (69)1040.72.3
M-OH#117 (.07)35% (124)8.538% (104)3.12 (57)7634% (115)1673.4 (101)#104 (.2)51% (129)3151% (124)51% (122)4.43 (102)771.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense335.335.350%4.740.7224302022285.758%42%47%55%12%.32
M-OH Defense2313150.7%4.430.5 - - - - - 51%48%51%51%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense3252547.1%3.582.3 - - - - - 37%60%50%47%17%.16
M-OH Offense28.58.535.4%3.41.510243761673.443%56%38%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV329:4921.742%100%9.71040.72.362.3130.1
Miami (OH)220:501018%0%7.5771.50.54.53023.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense358% (26)47% (52)35.72025.77 (38).16 (59)3.12 (56)71% (67)10% (93)0.91 (82)
M-OH Defense251% (86)51% (124) - - - - .21 (109)3.55 (131)79% (105)6% (127)0.85 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense337% (4)50% (118) - - - - .26 (119)2.55 (47)57% (28)9% (80)1.25 (118)
M-OH Offense243% (107)38% (104)2275.53.42 (109) (106)3.12 (57)40% (133)11% (103)0.81 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense342% (111)55% (16)17.322.722810.113.26 (34)1 (23).55 (20)1.6 (59)25% (24)36% (42).34 (68)2% (10)1.6 (114)
M-OH Defense248% (51)51% (122) - - - - - - 1 (87).25 (81)1.3 (26)28% (116)42% (127).58 (121)6% (66)1.9 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense360% (129)47% (112) - - - - - - 6 (2).22 (71)1.4 (33)28% (121)35% (112).02 (22)8% (23)1.6 (29)
M-OH Offense256% (31)34% (115)11.5201678.414.50 (133)3 (92).2 (93)1.8 (15)33% (95)23% (115).29 (79)6% (91)2.5 (13)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.04 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.04   Miami (OH): -9.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.8   Miami (OH): -12.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 29
Miami (OH) 20


Total Points: 49

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 8.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)000 Overs
UNLV000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#82) UNLV Info
Power Rating: -1.04 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV has won 3 straight
UNLV has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's

UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated

UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatM-OHUNLV
OverallOver#112#24
OffenseOff#104#15
DefenseDef#111#52
Special TeamsST#90#83
PassingPass#103#13
RushingRush#97#15
Run BlockRBLK#76#39
Pass BlockPBLK#117#99
Route RunningWR Rt#77#18
TacklingTkl#112#102
Run DefenseR Def#111#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#108#50
Coverage DefCov#114#24

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | M-OH
Depth Chart: UNLV | M-OH
Rosters: UNLV | M-OH
(#110) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Awful OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami (OH) has lost 2 straight
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami (OH) Notes
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
(7/28) QB Finn + 5 P4 WRs + 3 P4 TEs could be great
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense at Home
Miami (OH) Can Not Run the Ball (#135)
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) pass game is really bad (#115)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) has a bad defense (#129)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Miami (OH) has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)496575%6476110.0
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas3227348.570
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)3017515.837
Keyvone Lee (Tr)136615.119
Jaylon Glover (Tr)154803.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley13262120.249
Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr)683113.817
JoJo Earle (Tr)665010.832
Troy Omeire (Tr)661110.221

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope (Tr)220000
Marsel McDuffie191111
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu172011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Jalen Lee (Tr)71100
Marsel McDuffie191111
Landen Thomas (Tr)51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes00003
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Justin Flowe (Tr)91001

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234058%334038.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dequan Finn (Tr)239814.339
Kenny Tracy122802.39
D'Shawntae Jones51913.85
Josh Ringer2402.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds (Tr)7120017.169
Kamryn Perry4108027.062
Cole Weaver444011.020
Lynel Billups-Williams222011.015

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey181001
Silas Walters151102
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Adam Trick123211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick123211
Nasir Washington32100
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Bai Jobe (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters151102
Kaleb Martin90002
Eli Blakey181001