UNLV at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -2.5 (49.5) (-130)  Open: -5.5
UNLV 41 - Miami (OH): 38

 
Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
UNLV coming off BYE
M-OH coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -3.5  (SP+ UNLV -9.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 24 - M-OH: 20 (44)
UNLV Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 1668 miles, 3 hrs behind
RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.549.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-4.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-7.065.5W 51 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+12.560.5L 31 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-3.561.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-5.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-4.568.5W 29 - 26UN
Fri 11/21 UNLV vs Hawai'i-2.564.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-7.553.0W 42 - 17OY
Fri 12/5 UNLV at Boise State+6.060.0L 21 - 38UN
Tue 12/23 UNLV vs Ohio-6.564.5L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.549.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-22.549.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois-4.538.5W 25 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-11.547.5W 20 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-12.547.5W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-2.540.5W 26 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+2.550.5L 20 - 24UN
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+6.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-2.538.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-16.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/6 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan+2.544.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 Miami (OH) vs Fresno State+5.041.0L 3 - 18UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#17 (.3)47% (22)34.148% (22)3.19 (24)18946% (26)2384.45 (22)#107 (.21)44% (104)2845% (103)43% (92)3.78 (78)63.41.11.5
M-OH#108 (.1)39% (107)23.543% (82)3.14 (35)14236% (119)1823.34 (105)#29 (.08)39% (37)21.739% (33)40% (51)3.39 (47)46.40.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.1224271892385.749%49%48%46%16%.3
M-OH Defense1421.722.739.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.5 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
M-OH Offense1423.532.339.1%3.340.9173241421824.352%47%43%36%14%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:4221.946%59%7.363.41.11.54.62.1528.2
Miami (OH)1428:1616.835%46%5.346.40.91.45.52.9331.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (69)48% (22)33.21895.732 (30).26 (11)3.19 (24)71% (75)10% (103)1.09 (21)
M-OH Defense1449% (56)39% (33) - - - - .05 (43)2.71 (31)73% (85)11% (35)0.92 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (41)45% (103) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (15)9% (103)1.11 (126)
M-OH Offense1452% (49)43% (82)33.3142.24.317 (78).07 (90)3.14 (35)66% (108)7% (15)0.87 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (69)46% (26)18.628.1237.78.512.824 (42)8 (34).37 (33)1.6 (54)30% (53)36% (16).47 (16)6% (54)2.1 (55)
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (51) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (45)1.5 (28)34% (31)28% (47).22 (41)7% (24)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (92) - - - - - - 13 (6).25 (70)1.6 (70)31% (74)31% (86).2 (31)6% (54)1.9 (29)
M-OH Offense1447% (89)36% (119)12.624.7182.17.414.417 (86)10 (88).17 (108)1.7 (27)32% (80)28% (94).2 (110)6% (84)1.9 (103)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.88  #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29  #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.88   Miami (OH): -0.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 7.7   Miami (OH): -1.6




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.28  #86
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 7.18  #63
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6  #79
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #104
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 24
Miami (OH) 20


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 15
Miami (OH) 7

Total Points: 22

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 28
Miami (OH) 28

Total Points: 56
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Miami (OH)38UNLV41UNLV -2.5UNLV49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)001 Overs
UNLV110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#71) UNLV at (#86) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVM-OH
Power RatePwr #71 #86
SP+SP+ #41 #79
Perf GradeGrade #45 #43
OffenseOff #27 #69
DefenseDef #89 #33
Spec TeamsST #77 #34
TalentTal #76 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
UNLV Notes
(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffM-OH Def
Perf GradePerf #27 #33
SuccessSuc #22 #37
ExplosiveExp #26 #32
PPAPPA #17 #29
PowerPwr #44 #63
SP+SP+ #14 #53
Pts POPPO #22 #47
HavocHav #79 #26
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #4 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #33
Run ExplRExp #21 #49
PPAExp #11 #43
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #31
Stuff RateStuff #63 #48
TackleTak -  #83
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #16 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #51
Pass ExplPExl #54 #28
PPAExp #33 #45
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #5
F7 HavocF7 #103 #35
DB HavocDB #54 #24
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #69 #89
SuccessSuc #107 #104
ExplosiveExp #88 #112
PPAPPA #108 #107
PowerPwr #106 #112
SP+SP+ #104 #87
Pts POPPO #105 #78
HavocHav #38 #84
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #100 #109
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #103
Run ExplRExp #113 #126
PPAExp #90 #130
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #35 #112
Stuff RateStuff #48 #101
TackleTak -  #71
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #67 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #92
Pass ExplPExl #27 #70
PPAExp #108 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #21
F7 HavocF7 #15 #103
DB HavocDB #84 #54
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 4
UNLV 2.5 (49.5)
UNLV won at Miami (OH) this year (41-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)27541766%34592398.3
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)127650105.137
Keyvone Lee (Tr)10044064.422
Jaylon Glover (Tr)6438416.043
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley58931416.156
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)33471514.386
JoJo Earle (Tr)22258011.737

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie1126223
Jake Pope (Tr)803213
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)738403
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Lucas Conti224310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)435407
Quandarius Keyes141006
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)10618159%1451968.0
Henry Hesson399840%596436.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson16476744.760
Dequan Finn (Tr)8939544.439
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Kenny Tracy4927215.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry43976622.766
Cole Weaver45642114.336
Keith Reynolds (Tr)3635219.869
Deion Colzie (Tr)11178116.244

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Corban Hondru847372
Silas Walters713107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick57128124
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Nasir Washington176410
Bai Jobe (Tr)154440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Silas Walters713107
Kaleb Martin310007