Idaho State at UNLV - 2025 Matchup Preview
Idaho State logo Idaho State Bengals at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, August 23rd 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -30.5 (67.0) (-3500)  Open: -24.5 | 64.5
UNLV 38 - Idaho State: 31

 
Bengals (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (27 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2  (SP+ UNLV -1)
UNLV Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
Rebels (6 - 2) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 34 (39 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Idaho State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Idaho State at UNLV+30.567.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 9/6 Idaho State at New Mexico+17.560.0L 22 - 32UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.549.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-4.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-7.065.5W 51 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+12.560.5L 31 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-3.561.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-4.562.5
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-8
Fri 11/21 UNLV vs Hawai'i-6.5
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDST0%26.50%000%000%350%0%0000
UNLV#23 (.28)47% (28)36.946% (44)3.11 (35)19447% (23)2574.55 (23)#129 (.28)46% (122)34.348% (128)45% (113)4.37 (116)69.11.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDST Offense226.526.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNLV Defense834.335.546.1%4.372.1 - - - - - 45%53%48%45%15%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDST Defense235350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNLV Offense836.938.546.6%4.551.1234511942575.551%49%46%47%16%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Idaho State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
UNLV830:4322.644%54%7.569.11.12.14.61.5529.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDST Offense20%0%000000%0%0
UNLV Defense845% (25)48% (128) - - - - .29 (134)3.2 (122)62% (24)8% (110)1.18 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDST Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNLV Offense851% (64)46% (44)35.5194.15.517 (30).23 (18)3.11 (35)73% (64)11% (111)1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDST Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNLV Defense853% (108)45% (113) - - - - - - 11 (6).32 (103)1.6 (110)30% (95)32% (100).23 (46)7% (29)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDST Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNLV Offense849% (73)47% (23)20.930.1256.68.512.316 (42)4 (34).34 (43)1.5 (78)29% (38)36% (21).41 (39)5% (45)1.8 (105)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State:    UNLV: -2.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State:    UNLV: -1.2




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -2.135  #104
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.56  #51
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.63  #129
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #71
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #28
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #122

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Idaho State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 38
Idaho State 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 41
Idaho State 18

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 36
Idaho State 31

Total Points: 67
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23UNLV38Idaho State31UNLV -30.5Idaho State67.0Over
202208/27UNLV52Idaho State21UNLV -23.0UNLV50.0Over
201509/26UNLV80Idaho State8UNLV -13UNLV0
200609/02UNLV54Idaho State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV422 Overs
Idaho State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#NR) IDST at (#104) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIDSTUNLV
Power RatePwrNR #104
SP+SP+NR #71
Perf GradeGradeNR #46
OffenseOffNR #34
DefenseDefNR #72
Spec TeamsSTNR #103
TalentTalNR #76
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
UNLV Notes
(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report
Idaho State on Offense
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerfNR #72
SuccessSucNR #122
ExplosiveExpNR #129
PPAPPANR #129
PowerPwrNR #129
SP+SP+NR #122
Pts POPPONR #116
HavocHavNR #80
Idaho State Run Game
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNR #109
Run SuccessRSucNR #128
Run ExplRExpNR #129
PPAExpNR #134
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #122
Stuff RateStuffNR #82
TackleTak -  #89
Idaho State Pass Game
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNR #36
Pass SuccessPSucNR #113
Pass ExplPExlNR #110
PPAExpNR #103
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #49
F7 HavocF7NR #110
DB HavocDBNR #29
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatUNLV OffIDST Def
Perf GradePerf #34NR
SuccessSuc #28NR
ExplosiveExp #43NR
PPAPPA #23NR
PowerPwr #51NR
SP+SP+ #28NR
Pts POPPO #23NR
HavocHav #87NR
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffIDST Def
Run GameRun #19NR
Run SuccessRSuc #44NR
Run ExplRExp #23NR
PPAExp #18NR
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLY #35NR
Stuff RateStuff #85NR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatUNLV OffIDST Def
Pass GamePass #22NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #23NR
Pass ExplPExl #78NR
PPAExp #43NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #98NR
F7 HavocF7 #111NR
DB HavocDB #45NR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

IDST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UNLV -30.5 (67.0)
UNLV won vs Idaho State this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Idaho State in 2022 (52-21)

  
IDST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Gonzalez1250%2001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dason Brooks10576387.357
Robert Freeman IV (Tr)440010.030
Zack Homan (Tr)42005.010
Jonah Burton (Tr)1505.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tsion Nunnally49692514.169
Julian Mason11150113.630
Jonah Burton (Tr)774010.617
Aidan Garcia673112.217

View Idaho State's Full Roster

IDST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teilor Tuioti210000
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Jayden Bell51000
Davion Ross41000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'ron Willis43100
Teilor Tuioti210000
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Jayden Bell51000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Teilor Tuioti210000
Jayden Bell51000

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)16323669%20001548.5
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas9664776.770
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)8545145.337
Keyvone Lee (Tr)5023054.622
Jaylon Glover (Tr)3218305.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley34586317.256
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)18329318.386
Troy Omeire (Tr)20242212.138
Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr)11168315.327

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie623113
Jake Pope (Tr)501001
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)446202
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)381011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)255322
Aamaris Brown (Tr)313205
Lucas Conti203200
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)446202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)313205
Quandarius Keyes70004
Marsel McDuffie623113