New Mexico at UNLV - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -3.5 (61.5) (-180) Open: -5.5
New Mexico 40 - UNLV: 35 (Mountain West)

Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

UNLV coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -8 (SP+ UNLV -7)
Projected Score: UNM: 28 - UNLV: 36 (64)
UNLV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
UNM Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	New Mexico at Michigan	+36.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/6	New Mexico vs Idaho State	-17.5	60.0	W 32 - 22	U	N
Fri 9/12	New Mexico at UCLA	+15.5	52.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-16.5	53.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/3	New Mexico at San José State	+1.5	58.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+14.5	58.5	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/18	New Mexico vs Nevada	-14.0	49.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	New Mexico vs Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/1	New Mexico at UNLV	+3.5	61.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	New Mexico vs Colorado State	-15.5	53.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/22	New Mexico at Air Force	-3.5	53.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/28	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+1.5	41.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/26	New Mexico vs Minnesota	+1.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

UNLV's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	UNLV vs Idaho State	-30.5	67.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Fri 8/29	UNLV vs Sam Houston	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UNLV vs UCLA	+2.5	54.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UNLV at Miami (OH)	-2.5	49.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UNLV at Wyoming	-4.5	50.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/11	UNLV vs Air Force	-7.0	65.5	W 51 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/18	UNLV at Boise State	+12.5	60.5	L 31 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UNLV vs New Mexico	-3.5	61.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/8	UNLV at Colorado State	-5.5	60.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/15	UNLV vs Utah State	-4.5	68.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
Fri 11/21	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-2.5	64.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	53.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Fri 12/5	UNLV at Boise State	+6.0	60.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Tue 12/23	UNLV vs Ohio	-6.5	64.5	L 10 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#65 (.18)	42% (76)	27.1	43% (78)	3.15 (33)	143	42% (71)	198	3.96 (44)	#48 (.11)	40% (51)	22.3	40% (49)	40% (59)	3.12 (25)	44.6	1.7	1.2
UNLV	#17 (.3)	47% (22)	34.1	48% (22)	3.19 (24)	189	46% (26)	238	4.45 (22)	#107 (.21)	44% (104)	28	45% (103)	43% (92)	3.78 (78)	63.4	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Offense	13	27.1	27.5	41.8%	3.96	1.7	18	341	143	198	4.4	53%	45%	43%	42%	14%	.18
UNLV Defense	14	28	29.7	44.3%	3.78	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNM Defense	13	22.3	26.3	40%	3.12	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	40%	17%	.11
UNLV Offense	14	34.1	36.8	46.8%	4.45	1.1	22	427	189	238	5.7	49%	49%	48%	46%	16%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico	13	27:43	18.1	39%	67%	5.3	44.6	1.7	1.2	5.6	2.5	2	28.4
UNLV	14	28:42	21.9	46%	59%	7.3	63.4	1.1	1.5	4.6	2.1	5	28.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Offense	13	53% (42)	43% (78)	32.8	143.5	4.4	22 (49)	.14 (54)	3.15 (33)	75% (47)	9% (69)	0.99 (59)
UNLV Defense	14	47% (41)	45% (103)	-	-	-	-	.23 (130)	3.15 (112)	62% (15)	9% (103)	1.11 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNM Defense	13	47% (36)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	.04 (36)	2.63 (21)	83% (128)	11% (33)	0.97 (73)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (69)	48% (22)	33.2	189	5.7	32 (30)	.26 (11)	3.19 (24)	71% (75)	10% (103)	1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Offense	13	45% (97)	42% (71)	16.3	24.8	198	8	12.1	17 (61)	9 (119)	.27 (62)	1.6 (53)	30% (51)	30% (72)	.33 (61)	5% (22)	1.9 (110)
UNLV Defense	14	50% (93)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (6)	.25 (70)	1.6 (70)	31% (74)	31% (86)	.2 (31)	6% (54)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNM Defense	13	52% (106)	40% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.24 (63)	1.5 (41)	34% (33)	28% (45)	.27 (60)	6% (54)	1.9 (39)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (69)	46% (26)	18.6	28.1	237.7	8.5	12.8	24 (42)	8 (34)	.37 (33)	1.6 (54)	30% (53)	36% (16)	.47 (16)	6% (54)	2.1 (55)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.08 #88
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 4.25 #98
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 9.33 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #69
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.08 UNLV: 5.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: 1.2 UNLV: 7.7

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 5.91 #71
UNLV's Offense Rating: 14.41 #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 15.29 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #41
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #14
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 36
New Mexico 28

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 39
New Mexico 35

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 30
New Mexico 28

Total Points: 58

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	UNLV	35	New Mexico	40	UNLV -3.5	New Mexico	61.5	Over
2023	11/04	New Mexico	14	UNLV	56	UNLV -10	UNLV	61.0	Over
2022	09/30	UNLV	31	New Mexico	20	UNLV -14	New Mexico	44.0	Over
2021	11/06	New Mexico	17	UNLV	31	New Mexico -1.5	UNLV	45.0	Over
2018	10/06	UNLV	14	New Mexico	50	UNLV -8	New Mexico	62.5	Over
2017	11/17	New Mexico	35	UNLV	38	New Mexico -3	UNLV	55.5	Over
2014	11/01	UNLV	28	New Mexico	31	UNLV -1	New Mexico	62.0	Under
2013	09/28	New Mexico	42	UNLV	56	New Mexico -1	UNLV	0
2012	11/03	UNLV	35	New Mexico	7
2011	11/12	New Mexico	21	UNLV	14
2010	09/25	UNLV	45	New Mexico	10
2009	10/24	New Mexico	17	UNLV	34
2008	11/08	UNLV	27	New Mexico	20
2007	11/24	New Mexico	27	UNLV	6
2006	10/14	UNLV	36	New Mexico	39
2005	09/05	New Mexico	24	UNLV	22
2004	10/16	UNLV	20	New Mexico	24
2003	11/01	New Mexico	35	UNLV	37
2002	10/12	UNLV	16	New Mexico	25
2001	11/10	New Mexico	27	UNLV	17
2000	11/10	UNLV	18	New Mexico	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	11	4	6 Overs
New Mexico	10	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 12	0 - 8	0 - 7	0 - 1
Road Teams	12 - 9	8 - 0	1 - 0	7 - 0

(#88) UNM at (#71) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNM	UNLV
Power RatePwr	#88	#71
SP+SP+	#66	#41
Perf GradeGrade	#49	#45
OffenseOff	#77	#27
DefenseDef	#29	#89
Spec TeamsST	#58	#77
TalentTal	#127	#76
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#101

New Mexico Notes(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report

UNLV Notes(10/31) Team has huge flag issues, smoke & mirrors team
(10/9) RB Jai'Den Thomas & WR Jaden Bradley are weapons
(10/9) Have played very weak schedule going into Boise
(9/21) Nearly lost to Mia OH off bye? Colandrea meh
(9/8) QB2 Alex Orji out for season (hamstring)
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(6/28) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach, Urbs SIL
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
UNLV Injury Report

New Mexico on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
Perf GradePerf	#77	#89
SuccessSuc	#76	#104
ExplosiveExp	#56	#112
PPAPPA	#65	#107
PowerPwr	#98	#112
SP+SP+	#69	#87
Pts POPPO	#44	#78
HavocHav	#44	#84

New Mexico Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#107	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	#103
Run ExplRExp	#59	#126
PPAExp	#54	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#101
TackleTak	-	#71

New Mexico Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#92
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#70
PPAExp	#62	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#114	#21
F7 HavocF7	#69	#103
DB HavocDB	#22	#54

UNLV on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
Perf GradePerf	#27	#29
SuccessSuc	#22	#51
ExplosiveExp	#26	#58
PPAPPA	#17	#48
PowerPwr	#44	#76
SP+SP+	#14	#66
Pts POPPO	#22	#25
HavocHav	#79	#40

UNLV Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#4	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#49
Run ExplRExp	#21	#73
PPAExp	#11	#36
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#21
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#17
TackleTak	-	#41

UNLV Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	#26	#59
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#41
PPAExp	#33	#63
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#11
F7 HavocF7	#103	#33
DB HavocDB	#54	#54

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
UNLV -3.5 (61.5)
New Mexico won at UNLV this year (40-35)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-20)

UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Layne (Tr)	199	302	66%	2398	13	9	7.9
James Laubstein	10	14	71%	96	2	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)	104	578	5	5.6	54
DJ McKinney (Tr)	109	454	7	4.2	54
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)	77	349	5	4.5	61
James Laubstein	44	306	1	7.0	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)	55	712	3	12.9	80
Dorian Thomas (Tr)	53	545	4	10.3	34
Damon Bankston (Tr)	26	374	3	14.4	84
Cade Keith (Tr)	20	253	3	12.7	45

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)	126	7	2	3	2
Tavian Combs	68	1	1	0	3
Jon Johnson	50	0	0	0	5
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5
Brett Karhu	26	11	7	5	1
Darren Agu (Tr)	29	4	2	2	1
Gabriel Lopez	14	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Drew Speech	9	0	0	0	7
Jon Johnson	50	0	0	0	5
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	275	417	66%	3459	23	9	8.3
Alex Orji (Tr)	3	3	100%	37	0	0	12.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	148	1034	12	7.0	70
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	127	650	10	5.1	37
Keyvone Lee (Tr)	100	440	6	4.4	22
Jaylon Glover (Tr)	64	384	1	6.0	43

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Bradley	58	931	4	16.1	56
Troy Omeire (Tr)	32	521	5	16.3	68
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	33	471	5	14.3	86
JoJo Earle (Tr)	22	258	0	11.7	37

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	112	6	2	2	3
Jake Pope (Tr)	80	3	2	1	3
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	73	8	4	0	3
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	73	8	4	0	3
Aamaris Brown (Tr)	43	5	4	0	7
Lucas Conti	22	4	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)	43	5	4	0	7
Quandarius Keyes	14	1	0	0	6
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5