New Mexico at UNLV Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
UNLV coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -13.5   (SP+ UNLV -15)
Projected Score: UNM: 26 - UNLV: 40 (64)
UNLV Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UNM Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 New Mexico at Michigan+34.50.0
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-7
Sat 9/13 New Mexico at UCLA+21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+14
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+28.5
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-3.5
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-2
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+7
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs San Diego State+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UNLV at Sam Houston-13.50.0
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+5.5
Sat 9/13 UNLV vs Idaho State-18.5
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-5.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-9
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-13.5
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-2
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.748.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31
UNLV Defense1421.322.537.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.450.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
UNLV Offense1435.445.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -14.43 #103
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.43   UNLV: -2.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.4   UNLV: -3.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -2.685 #86
UNLV's Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
UNLV's Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 40
New Mexico 26

Projected Total Points: 64
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04New Mexico14UNLV56UNLVUNLV -10UNLV61.0Over
202209/30UNLV31New Mexico20UNLVUNLV -14New Mexico44.0Over
202111/06New Mexico17UNLV31UNLVNew Mexico -1.5UNLV45.0Over
201810/06UNLV14New Mexico50New MexicoUNLV -8New Mexico62.5Over
201711/17New Mexico35UNLV38UNLVNew Mexico -3UNLV55.5Over
201411/01UNLV28New Mexico31New MexicoUNLV -1New Mexico62.0Under
201309/28New Mexico42UNLV56UNLVNew Mexico -1UNLV0
201211/03UNLV35New Mexico7UNLV
201111/12New Mexico21UNLV14New Mexico
201009/25UNLV45New Mexico10UNLV
200910/24New Mexico17UNLV34UNLV
200811/08UNLV27New Mexico20UNLV
200711/24New Mexico27UNLV6New Mexico
200610/14UNLV36New Mexico39New Mexico
200509/05New Mexico24UNLV22New Mexico
200410/16UNLV20New Mexico24New Mexico
200311/01New Mexico35UNLV37UNLV
200210/12UNLV16New Mexico25New Mexico
200111/10New Mexico27UNLV17New Mexico
200011/10UNLV18New Mexico14UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1145 Overs
New Mexico931 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 110 - 70 - 60 - 1
Road Teams11 - 97 - 01 - 06 - 0

(#103) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.43 #103
Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134
Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
(3/26) New HC Eck was 26-13 @ Idaho, good off
(3/26) New OC Schleusner w/ Eck @ Idaho
(3/18) QB Jack Layne (FCS Idaho) starter?
New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #103
#86
Off #63
#94
Def #133
#81
Talent #126
#80
SP+ #130
#75
SP+ Off #97
#61
SP+ Def #134
#89

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | UNLV
Depth Chart: UNM | UNLV
Rosters: UNM | UNLV
(#86) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.685 #86
Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89
Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
(3/29) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 6 portals. Good LY
(3/29) Def good LY, replace almost all. 17 portal adds
(3/29) New HC Mullen interesting hire.
(3/29) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach


  
New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)8313263%11591148.8
Cole Welliver (Tr)2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)1881291156.979
Deshaun Buchanan (Tr)6050648.472
DJ McKinney (Tr)9547935.059
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters2212415.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Hamper43869520.274
Keagan Johnson (Tr)29359112.435
Michael Buckley8103012.918
Aiden Valdez (Tr)109039.037

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)106500
Dmitri Johnson775212
Randolph Kpai805153
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Randolph Kpai805153
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)19832062%212513116.6
Alex Orji (Tr)264953%151323.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)12827722.235
Alex Orji (Tr)5726914.729
Keyvone Lee (Tr)2914014.818
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)15189112.640
Jaden Bradley9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Kayden McGee397132.349

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)421112
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Jalen Dixon122210
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)63210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Marsel McDuffie468214
Denver Harris (Tr)171003