UNLV at Sam Houston Game Matchup

Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -13.5 (0.0) (0) Open: -13.5
Bowers Stadium - Huntsville, TX

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Our Line: UNLV -9.5 (SP+ UNLV -8)
Projected Score: UNLV: 28 - SHSU: 19 (51)
UNLV Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UNLV Travel: 1189 miles, 2 hrs behind

Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
SHSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	UNLV at Sam Houston	-13.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	UNLV vs UCLA	+5.5
Sat 9/13	UNLV vs Idaho State	-18.5
Sat 9/20	UNLV at Miami (OH)	-4
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UNLV at Wyoming	-5.5
Sat 10/11	UNLV vs Air Force	-9
Sat 10/18	UNLV at Boise State	+17
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UNLV vs New Mexico	-13.5
Sat 11/8	UNLV at Colorado State	-2
Sat 11/15	UNLV vs Utah State	-13
Sat 11/22	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-8.5
Sat 11/29	UNLV at Nevada	-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/22	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+7.5	0.0
Fri 8/29	Sam Houston vs UNLV	+13.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Sam Houston at Hawai'i	+8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Sam Houston at Texas	+48.5
Thu 10/2	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+1
Thu 10/9	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	-4.5
Wed 10/15	Sam Houston vs UTEP	+1
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+3.5
Sat 11/8	Sam Houston at Oregon State	+16.5
Sat 11/15	Sam Houston vs Delaware	-2
Sat 11/22	Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee	+2
Sat 11/29	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-0

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)	35.4	43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)	21.3	40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6
SHSU	#115 (.1)	39% (107)	23.8	41% (100)	3.18 (44)	180	38% (105)	168	2.97 (129)	#31 (.11)	42% (70)	20.5	47% (105)	37% (27)	3.84 (75)	37.9	1.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	14	35.4	28.8	41.7%	4.26	0.6	21	420	248	173	5.7	61%	39%	43%	40%	14%	.21
SHSU Defense	13	20.5	15.2	41.8%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	47%	37%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	14	21.3	21.7	37.4%	4.05	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	40%	36%	19%	.11
SHSU Offense	13	23.8	21	39.3%	2.97	1.2	19	349	180	168	4.3	57%	43%	41%	38%	15%	.1

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	14	29:59	21.1	40%	70%	5.6	49.2	0.6	1.6	6.3	2.6	4	34.7
Sam Houston	13	32:10	18.8	39%	67%	4.6	37.9	1.2	2.1	5.4	2.2	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	14	61% (8)	43% (83)	43.5	247.8	5.7	29 (18)	.23 (23)	3.36 (16)	73% (71)	9% (58)	1.16 (9)
SHSU Defense	13	51% (74)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	3.37 (119)	75% (75)	10% (56)	0.83 (9)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	14	44% (8)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.11 (63)	2.63 (19)	73% (65)	10% (55)	1.08 (108)
SHSU Offense	13	57% (25)	41% (100)	42.5	180.4	4.3	21 (59)	.1 (83)	3.18 (44)	68% (104)	10% (69)	0.9 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	14	39% (127)	40% (90)	12.7	22.1	172.6	7.8	13.6	25 (31)	6 (10)	.2 (94)	1.7 (32)	30% (43)	29% (93)	.26 (97)	5% (25)	2.1 (58)
SHSU Defense	13	48% (60)	37% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.06 (6)	1.4 (9)	32% (57)	25% (11)	.21 (32)	6% (58)	1.8 (12)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	14	56% (128)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.13 (25)	1.5 (47)	36% (17)	25% (7)	.19 (24)	8% (9)	2.2 (106)
SHSU Offense	13	43% (113)	38% (105)	16.7	26.8	168.2	6.3	10.1	15 (98)	9 (48)	.13 (114)	1.5 (106)	30% (51)	24% (126)	.13 (130)	5% (47)	2 (95)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -7.07 #86
UNLV's Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
UNLV's Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -7.07 Sam Houston: -14.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -3.3 Sam Houston: -11.1

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -14.775 #132
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 3.00 #126
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 26.45 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 396.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 28
Sam Houston 19

Projected Total Points: 51

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Sam Houston	0	0	0 Overs
UNLV	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#86) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.07 #86
Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89
Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV Notes
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
(3/29) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 6 portals. Good LY
(3/29) Def good LY, replace almost all. 17 portal adds
(3/29) New HC Mullen interesting hire.
(3/29) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach

UNLV Ratings Matchup Sam Houston

Power #86

#132

Off #94

#126

Def #81

#127

Talent #80

#125

SP+ #75

#107

SP+ Off #61

#118

SP+ Def #89

#90

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | SHSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | SHSU
Rosters: UNLV | SHSU

(#132) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.775 #132
Offense Rating: 3.00 #126
Defense Rating: 26.45 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 396.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Sam Houston Notes
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL returns 6 w/ starting exp. Good rush LY
(3/26) Def awful, returns little. 9 portals, 5 DBs
(3/26) HC Longo interesting hire. Bad OC fit @ Wisc
(3/26) OC Patterson was SHSU RB coach past 2 yrs

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	198	320	62%	2125	13	11	6.6
Alex Orji (Tr)	26	49	53%	151	3	2	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	161	915	7	5.7	54
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)	128	277	2	2.2	35
Alex Orji (Tr)	57	269	1	4.7	29
Keyvone Lee (Tr)	29	140	1	4.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	15	189	1	12.6	40
Jaden Bradley	9	173	1	19.2	42
Kaleo Ballungay	17	152	6	8.9	29
Kayden McGee	3	97	1	32.3	49

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)	42	1	1	1	2
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)	23	2	2	2	0
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	0	0	1	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)	23	2	2	2	0
Jalen Dixon	12	2	2	1	0
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	6	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	0	0	1	7
Marsel McDuffie	46	8	2	1	4
Denver Harris (Tr)	17	1	0	0	3

Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Watson	152	253	60%	1598	11	8	6.3
Mabrey Mettauer (Tr)	1	1	100%	2	0	0	2.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Watson	152	623	7	4.1	46
Elijah Green (Tr)	29	201	5	6.9	51
Qua'Vez Humphreys	3	21	0	7.0	10
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qua'Vez Humphreys	18	362	4	20.1	67
Michael Phoenix II	13	205	3	15.8	50
Malik Phillips	2	25	0	12.5	13
Shane Johnson	2	14	0	7.0	7

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	1	2
Cecil Powell (Tr)	24	1	0	1
Chatavies Johnson	15	1	0	0
Emon Allen	12	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	1	2
Grady O'Neill (Tr)	2	0	0	0
AJ Edwards	1	0	0	1
Gannon Tullos	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	1	2
AJ Edwards	1	0	0	1
Emon Allen	12	2	0	1