Hawai'i at UNLV - 2025 Matchup Preview
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (6 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
HAW coming off BYE
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -10   (SP+ UNLV -9)

Projected Score: HAW: 22 - UNLV: 32 (53)
UNLV Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
HAW Travel: 2756 miles, 3 hrs behind
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford-1.553.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.555.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-7.047.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-35.554.5W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+3.047.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-6
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+2.5
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+10
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 UNLV vs Idaho State-30.567.0W 38 - 31ON
Fri 8/29 UNLV vs Sam Houston-13.558.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+2.554.5W 30 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-2.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-1.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-13.5
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-16
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-3.5
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13.5
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#114 (.07)40% (97)22.341% (92)2.82 (85)9940% (94)2443.26 (106)#50 (.07)35% (38)20.837% (58)34% (37)3.15 (56)86.520.8
UNLV#35 (.32)50% (31)35.347% (52)3.12 (56)20255% (16)2284.74 (40)#86 (.16)47% (118)2550% (118)47% (112)3.58 (69)1040.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense422.3640%3.26221343992443.436%64%41%40%17%.07
UNLV Defense3252747.1%3.582.3 - - - - - 37%60%50%47%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense420.84035.2%3.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%37%34%16%.07
UNLV Offense335.33450%4.740.7224302022285.758%42%47%55%12%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i431:3920.837%71%8.586.520.84.82.3128.5
UNLV329:4921.742%100%9.71040.72.362.3130.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense436% (131)41% (92)28.8993.40 (135)-.12 (130)2.82 (85)67% (86)9% (80)0.64 (130)
UNLV Defense337% (4)50% (118) - - - - .26 (119)2.55 (47)57% (28)9% (80)1.25 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense447% (50)37% (58) - - - - .1 (89)3.07 (100)86% (112)9% (90)1.11 (100)
UNLV Offense358% (26)47% (52)35.72025.77 (38).16 (59)3.12 (56)71% (67)10% (93)0.91 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense464% (4)40% (94)26.843.8244.35.69.17 (23)4 (121).18 (97)1.4 (109)35% (110)29% (87).3 (77)8% (122)2 (64)
UNLV Defense360% (129)47% (112) - - - - - - 6 (2).22 (71)1.4 (33)28% (121)35% (112).02 (22)8% (23)1.6 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense452% (85)34% (37) - - - - - - 3 (28).08 (33)1.2 (9)35% (49)23% (36).17 (50)8% (30)1.9 (54)
UNLV Offense342% (111)55% (16)17.322.722810.113.26 (34)1 (23).55 (20)1.6 (59)25% (24)36% (42).34 (68)2% (10)1.6 (114)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -7.29   UNLV: 1.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.3   UNLV: -1.8




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 1.08 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 40

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 32
Hawai'i 22


Total Points: 53

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Hawai'i27UNLV29UNLVUNLV -12.0Hawai'i51.5Over
202309/30UNLV44Hawai'i20UNLVUNLV -10.5UNLV58.5Over
202211/19Hawai'i31UNLV25Hawai'iUNLV -11Hawai'i56.5Under
202111/13UNLV27Hawai'i13UNLVHawai'i -3.5UNLV55.5Under
202012/12Hawai'i38UNLV21Hawai'iHawai'i -19.5UNLV60.0Under
201911/16UNLV7Hawai'i21Hawai'iHawai'i -6.5Hawai'i72.5Under
201811/17Hawai'i35UNLV28Hawai'iHawai'i -6Hawai'i71.0Under
201711/04UNLV31Hawai'i23UNLVUNLV -7UNLV59.5Under
201610/15Hawai'i38UNLV41UNLVHawai'i -10UNLV54.0Over
201511/07UNLV41Hawai'i21UNLVUNLV -6UNLV53.5Over
201411/22Hawai'i37UNLV35Hawai'iHawai'i -8UNLV0
201310/12UNLV39Hawai'i37UNLVUNLV -7Hawai'i0
201211/24Hawai'i48UNLV10Hawai'i
201109/17UNLV40Hawai'i20UNLV
201012/04Hawai'i59UNLV21Hawai'i
200909/19UNLV34Hawai'i33UNLV
200709/15UNLV14Hawai'i49Hawai'i
200609/16Hawai'i42UNLV13Hawai'i
200309/19UNLV33Hawai'i22UNLV
200012/01Hawai'i32UNLV34UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1174 Overs
Hawai'i956 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 57 - 54 - 43 - 1
Road Teams5 - 155 - 71 - 34 - 4

(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Hawai'i has lost 6 straight
Hawai'i has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?

Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNLVHAW
OverallOver#24#87
OffenseOff#15#107
DefenseDef#52#47
Special TeamsST#83#59
PassingPass#13#101
RushingRush#15#82
Run BlockRBLK#39#84
Pass BlockPBLK#99#102
Route RunningWR Rt#18#105
TacklingTkl#102#90
Run DefenseR Def#77#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#50#45
Coverage DefCov#24#4

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)
Hawai'i beat UNLV in 2022 (31-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | UNLV
Depth Chart: HAW | UNLV
Rosters: HAW | UNLV
(#82) UNLV Info
Power Rating: 1.08 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UNLV has lost 7 straight
UNLV has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's

UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated
UNLV is Undefeated at Home
UNLV is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)


  
Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver6110260%600535.9
Micah Alejado457064%367215.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims3915403.919
Cam Barfield218904.213
Luke Weaver277302.713
Christian Vaughn32207.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock2623539.047
Landon Sims1815518.628
Karsyn Pupunu1311408.815
Brandon White (Tr)1211109.327

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Jalen Smith180001
Elijah Palmer173003
Jamih Otis170000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III93320
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina124220
Qwyn Williams (Tr)92200
Peter Manuma251114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma251114
Elijah Palmer173003
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen110003

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)496575%6476110.0
Alex Orji (Tr)33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas3227348.570
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)3017515.837
Keyvone Lee (Tr)136615.119
Jaylon Glover (Tr)154803.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Bradley13262120.249
Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr)683113.817
JoJo Earle (Tr)665010.832
Troy Omeire (Tr)661110.221

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope (Tr)220000
Marsel McDuffie191111
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu172011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Jalen Lee (Tr)71100
Marsel McDuffie191111
Landen Thomas (Tr)51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes00003
Aamaris Brown (Tr)173202
Justin Flowe (Tr)91001