Hawai'i at UNLV Game Matchup
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
HAW coming off BYE
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -8.5   (SP+ UNLV -8)

Projected Score: HAW: 24 - UNLV: 33 (53)
UNLV Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
HAW Travel: 2756 miles, 3 hrs behind
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.50.0
Fri 8/29 Hawai'i at Arizona+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-8.5
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-12.5
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+2.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-7
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+9
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+8.5
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
UNLV's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UNLV at Sam Houston-13.50.0
Sat 9/6 UNLV vs UCLA+5.5
Sat 9/13 UNLV vs Idaho State-18.5
Sat 9/20 UNLV at Miami (OH)-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UNLV at Wyoming-5.5
Sat 10/11 UNLV vs Air Force-9
Sat 10/18 UNLV at Boise State+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UNLV vs New Mexico-13.5
Sat 11/8 UNLV at Colorado State-2
Sat 11/15 UNLV vs Utah State-13
Sat 11/22 UNLV vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 11/29 UNLV at Nevada-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)22.346% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)2645% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense1222.315.644.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17
UNLV Defense1421.322.537.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense12263542%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
UNLV Offense1435.445.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -10.90 #95
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 8.82 #100
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.72 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 406.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.90   UNLV: -2.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -11.5   UNLV: -3.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -2.685 #86
UNLV's Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
UNLV's Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 33
Hawai'i 24


Projected Total Points: 53
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Hawai'i27UNLV29UNLVUNLV -12.0Hawai'i51.5Over
202309/30UNLV44Hawai'i20UNLVUNLV -10.5UNLV58.5Over
202211/19Hawai'i31UNLV25Hawai'iUNLV -11Hawai'i56.5Under
202111/13UNLV27Hawai'i13UNLVHawai'i -3.5UNLV55.5Under
202012/12Hawai'i38UNLV21Hawai'iHawai'i -19.5UNLV60.0Under
201911/16UNLV7Hawai'i21Hawai'iHawai'i -6.5Hawai'i72.5Under
201811/17Hawai'i35UNLV28Hawai'iHawai'i -6Hawai'i71.0Under
201711/04UNLV31Hawai'i23UNLVUNLV -7UNLV59.5Under
201610/15Hawai'i38UNLV41UNLVHawai'i -10UNLV54.0Over
201511/07UNLV41Hawai'i21UNLVUNLV -6UNLV53.5Over
201411/22Hawai'i37UNLV35Hawai'iHawai'i -8UNLV0
201310/12UNLV39Hawai'i37UNLVUNLV -7Hawai'i0
201211/24Hawai'i48UNLV10Hawai'i
201109/17UNLV40Hawai'i20UNLV
201012/04Hawai'i59UNLV21Hawai'i
200909/19UNLV34Hawai'i33UNLV
200709/15UNLV14Hawai'i49Hawai'i
200609/16Hawai'i42UNLV13Hawai'i
200309/19UNLV33Hawai'i22UNLV
200012/01Hawai'i32UNLV34UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1174 Overs
Hawai'i956 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 57 - 54 - 43 - 1
Road Teams5 - 155 - 71 - 34 - 4

(#95) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.90 #95
Offense Rating: 8.82 #100
Defense Rating: 19.72 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 406.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Hawai'i Notes
(4/7) New QB SO. Micah Alejado has good command
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) WR good, Ashlock/Cenacle/Crowdus back.
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) HC Chang slow build, needs a good year, bowl
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #95
#86
Off #100
#94
Def #96
#81
Talent #124
#80
SP+ #108
#75
SP+ Off #120
#61
SP+ Def #87
#89

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)
Hawai'i beat UNLV in 2022 (31-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | UNLV
Depth Chart: HAW | UNLV
Rosters: HAW | UNLV
(#86) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.685 #86
Offense Rating: 9.54 #94
Defense Rating: 16.61 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #89
Talent Rating: 640.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
(3/29) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 6 portals. Good LY
(3/29) Def good LY, replace almost all. 17 portal adds
(3/29) New HC Mullen interesting hire.
(3/29) New OC Dennis was Ohio St QB coach


  
Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Cam Barfield3315804.821
Christian Vaughn1710906.430
Micah Alejado195903.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Landon Sims13153011.852
Karsyn Pupunu680013.325

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Wynden Ho'Ohuli144231
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina133200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer325005
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen331004
Jaheim Wilson-Jones161003

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)19832062%212513116.6
Alex Orji (Tr)264953%151323.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Anthony Colandrea (Tr)12827722.235
Alex Orji (Tr)5726914.729
Keyvone Lee (Tr)2914014.818
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)15189112.640
Jaden Bradley9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Kayden McGee397132.349

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Jaheem Joseph (Tr)421112
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marsel McDuffie468214
Bryce Edmondson (Tr)232220
Jalen Dixon122210
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)63210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Marsel McDuffie468214
Denver Harris (Tr)171003