Georgia State at Utah State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers vs Utah State Aggies

Saturday, December 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Utah State -2.0 (58.0) (-110) Open: -2.0 | 63.0
Georgia State 45 - Utah State: 22 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Utah State -0 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: GAST: 31 - USU: 31 (64)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 1589 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
GAST Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	23.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	33.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	24	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
USU Defense	13	37.8	30.3	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	33.8	36.5	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
USU Offense	13	31.9	38.7	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 Utah State: -8.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 Utah State: -8.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.205 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 31
Utah State 31

Projected Total Points: 64

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/23	Utah State	22	Georgia State	45	Georgia State	Utah State -2.0	Georgia State	58.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	0	0	1 Overs
Georgia State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Georgia State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Potato Bowl	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22
2021	Camellia Bowl	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20
2020	Lendingtree Bowl	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	W 39 - 21
2019	N/A	Georgia State vs Wyoming	+7.5	49.5	L 17 - 38
2017	Cure Bowl	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-5.0	54.5	W 27 - 17

Utah State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45
2022	Responder Bowl	Utah State vs Memphis	+8.0	57.0	L 10 - 38
2021	La Bowl	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13
2019	Frisco Bowl	Utah State vs Kent State	-7.5	71.5	L 41 - 51
2018	Mexico Bowl	Utah State vs North Texas	-7.0	67.5	W 52 - 13
2017	N/A	Utah State vs New Mexico State	+4.0	61.0	L 20 - 26

(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Georgia State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Georgia State has played in 6 Bowls since 2000 (4 - 2)

Georgia State Ratings Matchup Utah State

Power #99

#107

Off #76

#72

Def #96

#103

Talent #113

#119

SP+ #100

#97

SP+ Off #71

#49

SP+ Def #109

#129

Rematch from Week 1
Utah State -2.0 (58.0)
Georgia State won at Utah State this year (45-22)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 40° - Wind: 19 mph

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | USU
Depth Chart: GAST | USU
Rosters: GAST | USU

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.205 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Utah State has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 3)
Utah State has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 6)

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	140	595	12	4.3	35
KZ Adams	91	433	5	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	16	155	0	9.7	18
Ja'Cyais Credle	9	113	0	12.6	21
KZ Adams	10	69	1	6.9	11
Marcus Carroll	9	66	0	7.3	19

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Anthony Blume	27	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Javon Denis	23	6	1	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2

Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	152	759	5	5.0	43
Cooper Legas	79	201	1	2.5	33
Elliott Nimrod	1	10	0	10.0	10
Kyrese Rowan	2	4	1	2.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	55	834	6	15.2	75
Kyrese Rowan	44	526	3	12.0	57
Davon Booth	13	164	4	12.6	54
Colby Bowman (Tr)	7	69	0	9.9	31

View Utah State's Full Roster

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0
Sir Mells	8	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Seni Tuiaki	1	1	1	1	0
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0