Georgia State at Utah State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers vs Utah State Aggies

Saturday, December 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Utah State -2.0 (58.0) (-110) Open: -2.0 | 63.0
Georgia State 45 - Utah State: 22 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Utah State -0 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: GAST: 30 - USU: 30 (60)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 1832 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (41 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
GAST Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#68 (.19)	42% (72)	27.2	40% (105)	2.84 (112)	188	44% (41)	206	3.92 (65)	#94 (.22)	42% (68)	30.1	40% (43)	45% (111)	3.95 (83)	57.5	1.2	1.3
USU	#50 (.22)	42% (67)	33.2	45% (52)	3.36 (19)	184	42% (68)	254	3.27 (109)	#98 (.23)	45% (114)	34.7	49% (124)	43% (82)	4.41 (119)	70.8	1.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	27.2	26	41.6%	3.92	1.2	20	394	188	206	4.8	55%	44%	40%	44%	15%	.19
USU Defense	13	34.7	33.8	45.4%	4.41	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	43%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	30.1	30.7	42.1%	3.95	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	45%	15%	.22
USU Offense	13	33.2	40.5	42.2%	3.27	1.9	22	439	184	254	4.8	48%	50%	45%	42%	20%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:26	19.5	46%	47%	6.4	57.5	1.2	1.3	5.5	2	2	29.1
Utah State	13	26:56	21.7	36%	56%	7.5	70.8	1.9	1.5	5.5	1.8	3	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	55% (29)	40% (105)	39.3	188.1	4.8	25 (37)	.15 (74)	2.84 (112)	78% (30)	11% (89)	1.16 (7)
USU Defense	13	54% (113)	49% (124)	-	-	-	-	.18 (93)	3.1 (68)	83% (118)	11% (39)	0.93 (34)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	47% (25)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.15 (72)	3.05 (56)	63% (19)	10% (63)	1.06 (95)
USU Offense	13	48% (89)	45% (52)	38.2	184.5	4.8	18 (77)	.21 (33)	3.36 (19)	77% (40)	12% (104)	1 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	44% (104)	44% (41)	19.2	28.2	205.5	7.3	10.7	20 (70)	7 (21)	.31 (61)	1.5 (91)	31% (45)	33% (47)	.37 (58)	4% (14)	2.1 (38)
USU Defense	13	45% (22)	43% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (95)	1.6 (71)	30% (108)	31% (77)	.31 (70)	7% (23)	1.9 (32)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	52% (106)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.37 (113)	1.6 (76)	33% (55)	31% (89)	.42 (114)	4% (122)	2.2 (106)
USU Offense	13	50% (56)	42% (68)	20.7	33.5	254.2	7.6	12.3	35 (7)	19 (131)	.34 (48)	1.8 (19)	33% (87)	33% (53)	.42 (40)	8% (122)	2.2 (30)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 Utah State: -8.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 Utah State: -8.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.205 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 30
Utah State 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 30
Georgia State 30

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 34
Georgia State 30

Total Points: 64

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/23	Utah State	22	Georgia State	45	Utah State -2.0	Georgia State	58.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	0	0	1 Overs
Georgia State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Georgia State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Potato Bowl	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22
2021	Camellia Bowl	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20
2020	Lendingtree Bowl	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	W 39 - 21
2019	N/A	Georgia State vs Wyoming	+7.5	49.5	L 17 - 38
2017	Cure Bowl	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-5.0	54.5	W 27 - 17

Utah State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45
2022	Responder Bowl	Utah State vs Memphis	+8.0	57.0	L 10 - 38
2021	La Bowl	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13
2019	Frisco Bowl	Utah State vs Kent State	-7.5	71.5	L 41 - 51
2018	Mexico Bowl	Utah State vs North Texas	-7.0	67.5	W 52 - 13
2017	N/A	Utah State vs New Mexico State	+4.0	61.0	L 20 - 26

(#99) GAST at (#107) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#99	#107
SP+SP+	#100	#97
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#113
OffenseOff	#89	#67
DefenseDef	#118	#131
Spec TeamsST	#99	#91
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Georgia State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#131
SuccessSuc	#72	#114
ExplosiveExp	#41	#27
PPAPPA	#68	#98
PowerPwr	#76	#103
SP+SP+	#71	#129
Pts POPPO	#65	#119
HavocHav	#59	#24

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#91	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	#105	#124
Run ExplRExp	#7	#34
PPAExp	#74	#93
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#68
Stuff RateStuff	#77	#45
TackleTak	-	#126

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#91	#71
PPAExp	#61	#95
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#15	#111
F7 HavocF7	#89	#39
DB HavocDB	#14	#23

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#118
SuccessSuc	#67	#68
ExplosiveExp	#22	#109
PPAPPA	#50	#94
PowerPwr	#72	#96
SP+SP+	#49	#109
Pts POPPO	#109	#83
HavocHav	#119	#105

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#27	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#43
Run ExplRExp	#68	#95
PPAExp	#33	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	#56
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#36
TackleTak	-	#91

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#111
Pass ExplPExl	#19	#76
PPAExp	#48	#113
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	#83
F7 HavocF7	#104	#63
DB HavocDB	#122	#122

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 40° - Wind: 19 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Utah State -2.0 (58.0)
Georgia State won at Utah State this year (45-22)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-22)

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darren Grainger	244	358	68%	2625	20	7	7.3
Mikele Colasurdo	5	8	63%	47	0	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	274	1350	13	4.9	63
Darren Grainger	159	736	10	4.6	65
Freddie Brock (Tr)	30	307	1	10.2	60
KZ Adams	35	61	0	1.7	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	70	881	7	12.6	97
Tailique Williams	49	615	6	12.6	78
Jacari Carter (Tr)	38	276	0	7.3	32
Cadarrius Thompson	25	266	3	10.6	37

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Jeremiah Johnson	76	5	1	0	0
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Denis	31	7	5	6	0
Kevin Swint (Tr)	32	8	4	3	0
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Henry Bryant (Tr)	36	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryquice Brown	34	1	0	1	6
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	138	213	65%	1815	19	8	8.5
McCae Hillstead	94	158	60%	1062	11	8	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	120	805	6	6.7	65
Rahsul Faison	118	736	5	6.2	60
Robert Briggs	80	420	2	5.3	58
Levi Williams	45	209	3	4.6	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	71	1080	15	15.2	71
Terrell Vaughn	90	937	11	10.4	76
Micah Davis	36	628	6	17.4	76
Colby Bowman (Tr)	11	247	2	22.5	63

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Tafisi	142	9	0	2	1
Ike Larsen	102	5	0	1	6
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Devin Dye	82	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Paul Fitzgerald	46	9	7	1	1
Blaine Spires	26	8	5	10	1
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Hale Motu'apuaka	33	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Devin Dye	82	2	7
Jordan Drew	27	0	6
Avante Dickerson	17	0	6