Utah State at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at San José State Spartans

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
San José State -4 (65.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 42 - Utah State: 21 (Mountain West)

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: San José State -9 (SP+ SJSU -7)
Projected Score: USU: 28 - SJSU: 37 (63)
SJSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 617 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7
SJSU	.18	45%	28.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	27.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	31.9	25.2	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07
SJSU Defense	12	27.5	25.6	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	37.8	45.2	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17
SJSU Offense	12	28.4	29	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91 San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 37
Utah State 28

Projected Total Points: 63

San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	San José State	42	Utah State	21	San José State	San José State -4	San José State	65.0	Under
2022	11/19	Utah State	35	San José State	31	Utah State	Utah State -1	Utah State	51.0	Over
2021	11/13	San José State	17	Utah State	48	Utah State	San José State -4.5	Utah State	58.0	Over
2018	11/10	Utah State	62	San José State	24	Utah State	Utah State -31	Utah State	63.5	Over
2017	09/23	San José State	10	Utah State	61	Utah State	Utah State -1.5	Utah State	55.0	Over
2014	11/21	Utah State	41	San José State	7	Utah State	Utah State -9.5	Utah State	0
2013	09/27	San José State	12	Utah State	40	Utah State	Utah State -9.5	Utah State	0
2012	10/13	San José State	27	Utah State	49	Utah State
2011	11/12	Utah State	34	San José State	33	Utah State
2010	11/13	San José State	34	Utah State	38	Utah State
2009	11/14	Utah State	24	San José State	9	Utah State
2008	10/11	San José State	30	Utah State	7	San José State
2007	09/22	Utah State	20	San José State	23	San José State
2006	10/14	San José State	21	Utah State	14	San José State
2005	10/08	Utah State	24	San José State	17	Utah State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	4	1	4 Overs
Utah State	11	6	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	4 - 3	4 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 9	3 - 4	2 - 0	1 - 4

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Utah State Ratings Matchup San José State

Power #107

#71

Off #72

#42

Def #103

#79

Talent #119

#110

SP+ #97

#73

SP+ Off #49

#48

SP+ Def #129

#87

Rematch from Week 8
San José State -4.0 (65.0)
San José State won vs Utah State this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Utah State in 2023 (42-21)
Utah State beat San José State in 2022 (35-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USU | SJSU
Depth Chart: USU | SJSU
Rosters: USU | SJSU

(#71) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.835 #71
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 410.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50

Team Profile

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Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	152	759	5	5.0	43
Cooper Legas	79	201	1	2.5	33
Elliott Nimrod	1	10	0	10.0	10
Kyrese Rowan	2	4	1	2.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	55	834	6	15.2	75
Kyrese Rowan	44	526	3	12.0	57
Davon Booth	13	164	4	12.6	54
Colby Bowman (Tr)	7	69	0	9.9	31

View Utah State's Full Roster

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0
Sir Mells	8	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Seni Tuiaki	1	1	1	1	0
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

San José State's OC Kevin McGiven

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Nash	2	2	100%	42	2	0	21.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Dominick Mazotti	1	3	0	3.0	3
Anthony Garcia	1	1	0	1.0	1
Nick Nash	1	-9	0	-9.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Sam Olson	13	196	2	15.1	51

View San José State's Full Roster

San José State's DC Derrick Odum

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Justin Eklund	15	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Tre Smith	48	7	5	2	0
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jairus Satele	5	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Bryun Parham	12	0	0	0	1
Elijah Wood	1	0	0	0	1